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June 7, 2013
Today's noteworthy upgrades include: Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill... BT Group (BT) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays... Bayer (BAYRY) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Exane BNP Paribas... Broadcom (BRCM) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Macquarie... Brocade (BRCD) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at ISI Group... Brookfield Infrastructure (BIP) upgraded to Buy from Hold at TD Securities... Coca-Cola Femsa (KOF) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Citigroup... Deutsche Telekom (DTEGY) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies... Dun & Bradstreet (DNB) upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JPMorgan... J.M. Smucker (SJM) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Gabelli... KPN (KKPNY) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Bernstein... Kroger (KR) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Cleveland Research... Main Street (MAIN) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James... PNM Resources (PNM) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Ladenburg... Scansource (SCSC) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Northcoast... Tyson Foods (TSN) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Stephens... United Continental (UAL) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman... Vale (VALE) upgraded to Outperform from Underperform at Bernstein... Vera Bradley (VRA) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Sterne Agee... Yum! Brands (YUM) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS... lululemon (LULU) upgraded to Underperform from Sell at CLSA.
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November 17, 2015
05:33 EDTYUMStocks with implied volatility below IV index mean; YUM QCOM
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November 16, 2015
18:50 EDTVALESamarco to set aside $262M for initial costs after Brazil dam breach, WSJ says
Samarco, a joint venture of Vale (VALE) and BHP Billiton (BHP), reached an agreement with Brazilian prosecutors to establish an initial $262M cleanup fund related to two dam breaches at its iron-ore mines in Minas Gerais state, reports the Wall Street Journal. Reference Link
17:10 EDTUALSoros took stake in Paypal, liquidated Herbalife stake
Soros Fund Management gave a quarterly update on its stakes in a filing this afternoon. NEW STAKES: Paypal (PYPL), CIT Group (CIT), Schlumberger (SLB), Kraft Heinz (KHC), and Amazon (AMZN). INCREASED STAKES: Allergan (AGN), Lions Gate (LGF), Energen (EGN), Southwest Airlines (LUV), and Qunar Cayman Islands (QUNR). DECREASED STAKES: LyondellBasell (LYB), YPF (YPF), Time Warner Cable (TWC), Dow Chemical (DOW), and Monsanto (MON). LIQUIDATED STAKES: Herbalife (HLF), Lennar (LEN), DR Horton (DHI), United Continental (UAL), and Nice Systems (NICE).
17:02 EDTLULUPoint72 added to lululemon position, subtracted from Netflix position
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16:53 EDTBRCMPaulson reduced stake in Valeant
Paulson & Co. gave a quarterly update on its stakes in a filing this afternoon. NEW STAKES: Perrigo (PRGO), CIT Group (CIT), Precision Castparts (PCP), Cameron (CAM), and Altera (ALTR). INCREASED STAKES: Teva (TEVA), Post Holdings (POST), Starwood Hotels (HOT), LivaNova (LIVN), and Synergy Pharmaceuticals (SGYP). DECREASED STAKES: Valeant (VRX), Shire (SHPG), Whiting Petroleum (WLL), Computer Sciences (CSC), and Oasis Petroleum (OAS). LIQUIDATED STAKES: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt (HMHC), Broadcom (BRCM), and Sprint (S).
13:26 EDTVALEVale: It will take 'years' for Rio Doce river to recover, Reuters reports
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12:04 EDTSJMJ.M. Smucker volatility elevated into Q2 and outlook
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10:25 EDTBRCMUBS trims Apple target, says iPhone partner cut production forecast
Hon Hai, which manufactures Apple's (AAPL) iPhones, expects to assemble significantly fewer iPhones this quarter than in the same period in 2014, UBS wrote in a note to investors today. WHAT'S NEW: Hon Hai Precision Industry, also known as Foxconn, is expected to assemble 10% fewer iPhones this quarter than in the same period in 2014, said UBS analyst Steven Milunovich, citing work from fellow UBS analyst Arthur Hsieh. Previously, companies that supply force touch components for iPhones saw a 10%-15% reduction in their orders, the analyst reported. These developments "are not encouraging," but Apple had previously ordered a large number of iPhones for Q4, according to Milunovich. Overall iPhone demand "could still be decent," he believes. However, the analyst lowered his iPhone sales estimate for Apple's March quarter to 61M from 62.5M, asserting that iPhone sales on China's November 11 Singles Day holiday may have come in below expectations. Based on October search volumes, he continues to believe that demand for iPhone units in the fourth quarter of the calendar year will be 75M, in-line with the consensus outlook. Milunovich trimmed his price target on Apple to $140 from $150 but kept a Buy rating on the shares. WHAT'S NOTABLE In a note to investors on November 10, Credit Suisse reported that it was cutting its estimates for 2016 iPhone sales. The firm expects sales of the device to fall 10.4% in the first quarter versus the same period in 2015, and it predicts that iPhone sales will decline 5.5% year-over-year in 2016. Suppliers with greater than 10% exposure to Apple include Avago (AVGO), SanDisk (SNDK), Analog Devices (ADI), Broadcom (BRCM), Texas Instruments (TXN), NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) and Fairchild (FCS), Credit Suisse reported. The firm said it continues to have a negative view of the smartphone sector. PRICE ACTION: In early trading, Apple added nearly 1% to $113.34.
07:56 EDTYUMTaco Bell committed to serving cage-free eggs in U.S. restaurants by end of 2016
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07:00 EDTBTBT shareholders warn that breakup would be destructive, Telegraph reports
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06:11 EDTYUMTaco Bell to stop using eggs laid by caged hens by 2017, Reuters reports
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November 15, 2015
13:04 EDTBAYRYBayer shares could advance 25% in a year, Barron's says
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November 13, 2015
17:04 EDTYUMThird Point gives quarterly update on stakes
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12:34 EDTYUMOn The Fly: Top stock stories at midday
Stocks on Wall Street were lower at midday following worse than expected retail sales data in the U.S. and a report showing that the Eurozone's economic growth slowed last quarter. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., retail sales rose 0.1% in the month of October, versus expectations for an increase of 0.3%. When autos and gas are removed, the core reading was up 0.3%, versus expectations for a rise of 0.4%. Producer prices fell 0.4%, versus expectations for them to be up 0.2%. When food and energy are removed, the core reading was down 0.3%, versus expectations for it to be up 0.1%. Business inventories grew 0.3% in September while sales were flat compared to August. Consumer sentiment, as measured by the preliminary print from the University of Michigan survey, improved 3.1 points to 93.1 in November, which was better than the 91.5 reading that was expected. In Europe, data showed that eurozone's economy grew by just 0.3% in the third quarter, which was a slowdown from the 0.4% GDP growth recorded three months earlier and weaker than the 0.4% consensus growth forecast. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of retailers broadly declined on Friday morning following the weaker than expected retail sales data reported by the government as well as third quarter earnings reports from Nordstrom (JWN) and J.C. Penney (JCP). Each of the aforementioned department store operators slid following their reports, as did Macy's (M) and Kohl's (KSS), which reported on their own results earlier in the week. TJX Companies (TJX) and Ross Stores (ROST), which are both scheduled to report quarterly earnings next week, were also among those caught up in the weakness... Shares of Mylan (MYL) jumped 13% after the company's offer to acquire Perrigo (PRGO) failed, ending a seven-month fight between the two drugmakers. Perrigo Chief Executive Officer Joseph Papa said he was "delighted" that his company's shareholders rejected the offer and the company added that it will immediately commence its previously announced $2B share buyback program, but its shares slid 7% in the wake of the shareholder vote... Cisco (CSCO) fell 6% after its first quarter earnings and revenue beat expectations but its guidance for the new quarter disappointed. A number of analysts that had been bullish on the name trimmed their price targets in response but also recommended the post-earnings weakness as a buying opportunity. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Syngenta (SYT), which rallied 5% after Bloomberg reported that the company rejected an initial $42B offer from ChemChina. Also higher was Yum! Brands (YUM), which gained 4% after it reported positive year over year same store sales growth for its China division in October. Among the noteworthy losers was GameStop (GME), which fell 14% after its stock was downgraded at Pacific Crest and NPD estimated that video game software sale declined 3% last month compared to the same month of last year. Also lower was Fossil (FOSL), which plunged 33% after the watchmaker gave lower than expected profit guidance for the upcoming quarter and said it continues to expect this fiscal year's results to be "significantly" negatively impacted by foreign currency changes. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was down 88.19, or 0.51%, to 17,359.88, the Nasdaq was down 34.22, or 0.68%, to 4,970.86, and the S&P 500 was down 9.24, or 0.45%, to 2,036.73.
10:50 EDTLULUOptions with increasing implied volatility
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10:06 EDTVRAHigh option volume stocks
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09:39 EDTYUMYum! Brands rises on improving China sales
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09:27 EDTYUMOn The Fly: Pre-market Movers
UP AFTER EARNINGS: Blue Buffalo (BUFF), up 8.2%... Applied Materials (AMAT), up 3.8%... Planet Fitness (PLNT), up 9.8%... Lipocine (LPCN), up 16.2% after reporting quarterly results and that the FDA has assigned a Prescription Drug User Fee Act goal date of June 28, 2016. ALSO HIGHER: Mylan (MYL), up 10.9% after Perrgo (PRGO) shareholders did not tender enough shares for the hostile takeover bid to succeed... Plug Power (PLUG), up 7.3% after entering into a strategic supply agreement with 3M (MMM)... Yum! Brands (YUM), up after reporting that October China Same-Store Sales are up 5%. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS: Fossil (FOSL), down 24.5%... Fossil (JWN), down 20.6%... El Pollo LoCo (LOCO), down 15.1%... Cisco (CSCO), down 4.1%.... Tyco (TYC), down 4.1%... J.C. Penney (JCP), down 6.8%. ALSO LOWER: Fitbit (FIT), down 8.4% after 17M share Secondary priced at $29.00... GameStop (GME), down 8% after being downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at Pacific Crest... Lions Gate (LGF), down 2.6% after 3.4M share Spot Secondary priced at $39.43... Perrigo is down 10.5% after shareholders did not tender enough shares for the hostile takeover bid to succeed.
09:21 EDTYUMWendy's '4 for $4' a hit, McDonald's promo may be next
An analyst at Citi believes Wendy's (WEN) has seen strong results from its ongoing "4 for $4" promotion, prompting him to add the stock to the firm's Focus List and predict that the company's same-store sales growth this quarter will beat expectations. 4 FOR $4: Under an ongoing promotion that was launched in October, Wendy's offers a junior bacon cheeseburger, four piece chicken nuggets, fries, and a drink for $4. Citi analyst Gregory Badishkanian told investors in a research note this morning that his analysis and talks with those in the fast-food industry suggest that the promotion continues to drive strong results, leading to a rise in transactions at Wendy's with little to no impact on restaurants' average check total. Badishkanian predicts Wendy's will post fourth quarter same-store sales growth of at least 4%, versus the First Call consensus forecast of 2.7% and the 3.3% growth implied by the high-end of the company's fiscal year guidance. INDUSTRY VALUE FOCUS: Wendy's management has emphasized value offerings recently, but other quick service restaurant peers are also increasing their focus on value, Badishkanian noted. The analyst sees a good chance that McDonald's (MCD) will roll-out a "2 for $2" promotion soon, which he believes could have a "modest" impact on Wendy's, but more of an impact on Restaurant Brands' (QSR) Burger King. Badishkanian predicts McDonald's same-store sales growth should accelerate further in the fourth quarter, but not at the expense of Wendy's. He keeps a Buy rating on Wendy's shares with an $11 price target. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Yum! Brands (YUM), which also competes in the quick service food space with its KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell brands, is rallying this morning after reporting last night that its China division's same-store sales grew an estimated 5% in October. PRICE ACTION: Wendy's stock has gained over 5% in the last month, closing yesterday at $9.63 per share. In that same period, McDonald's shares have risen over 8% while Restaurant Brands has declined 3%.
08:05 EDTKRRoundy's buyout shows Fresh Market undervalued, sayst Jefferies
Jefferies analyst Mark Wiltamuth says Kroger's (KR) acquisition of Roundy's (RNDY) reaffirms his view that The Fresh Market (TFM) is undervalued. Fresh Market shares trade at 6 times EV/EBITDA, below the 6.9 times EV/EBITDA paid by Kroger for Roundy's, and the company has a "superior" margin, free cash flow and growth profile, Wiltamuth tells investors in a research note. With a new CEO exploring strategic options, either a "buyout or a new turnaround effort are brewing" for Fresh Market, the analyst contends. He keeps a Buy rating on the stock with a $29 price target.
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