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May 16, 2014
16:33 EDTKO, GMCR, WMT, JCP, VRX, JWN, IBM, RDEN, RAX, AGN, DE, GM, CSCO, NYT, MMarket finishes week slightly lower after weak retail sales growth
The market finished the week lower after several economic data points missed expectations and a number of notable companies reported soft results. MACRO NEWS: Retail sales and industrial production for April, a housing market index, and a measure of consumer confidence in May were all worse than expected. On the other hand, jobless claims fell more than expected and reached a seven year low... Overseas, the euro zone's GDP increased only 0.2% last quarter, versus the 0.4% growth forecast by economists. The trend of poor economic news also extended to China, whose April industrial output came in below expectations. COMPANY NEWS: Among the companies that reported weaker than expected results were Wal-Mart (WMT) and Elizabeth Arden (RDEN). Also, IBM (IBM) and farm equipment maker Deere (DE) fell after providing guidance that disappointed investors. Conversely, Cisco (CSCO), Nordstrom (JWN), J.C. Penney (JCP) and Macy's (M) climbed after their earnings surpassed expectations... Allergan (AGN) officially rejected an unsolicited takeover offer from Valeant (VRX), which indicated that it would raise its bid... GM (GM) retreated after the company announced five new recalls covering about 2.7M vehicles and agreed to pay a record $35M civil penalty levied by the DOT... The New York Times (NYT) slumped after abruptly announcing that it had dismissed the executive editor at its namesake newspaper, effective immediately... Cloud computing services provider Rackspace (RAX) announced that it had been approached by a number of other companies that expressed interest in exploring strategic relationships, including partnerships and acquisitions. Rackspace hired Morgan Stanley (MS) to evaluate the proposals and explore other alternatives... Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR) advanced after Coca-Cola (KO) confirmed plans to exercise its option to raise its stake in the K-cup coffee machine maker up to 16%. INDEXES: The Dow was down 0.55% to 16,491.31, the S&P 500 was down 0.03% to 1,877.86, and the Nasdaq was up 0.46% to 4,090.59.
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November 12, 2015
13:31 EDTCSCOCisco November weekly 28 straddle priced for 4.6% movement into Q1
13:24 EDTCSCOEarnings Watch: Cisco seeks to break out of trading rut with Q1 report
Cisco Systems (CSCO) is scheduled to report results of its fiscal first quarter after the market close on Thursday, November 12 with a conference call scheduled for 4:30 pm ET. Cisco, a member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, sells Internet protocol-based networking and other products related to the communications and IT industry and provides related services. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 56c on revenue of $12.65B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 55c-59c on revenue of $12.55B-$12.81B. Along with its quarterly report, Cisco guided to Q1 EPS of 55c-57c and said it expects its revenue to increase 2%-4% year over year. LAST QUARTER: On August 12, Cisco reported fourth quarter EPS of 59c on revenue of $12.8B, beating consensus estimates of 56c and $12.65B for EPS and revenue, respectively. NEWS: On its Q4 earnings conference call, Cisco said that it was looking at acquisitions at the right price, particularly in areas like software and security. On August 31, Apple (AAPL) and Cisco announced a partnership to build a "fast lane" for iOS business users by optimizing Cisco networks for iOS devices and apps, integrating iPhone with Cisco enterprise environments and providing unique collaboration on iPhone and iPad. The next day, Cisco was among multiple other companies, including Amazon (AMZN), Google (GOOG), Intel (INTC), Microsoft (MSFT), Mozilla, and Netflix (NFLX), announcing the formation of the Alliance for Open Media to build next-generation media formats, codecs, and technologies in the public interest. On September 3, Business Insider reported that people at Cisco still though that chairman John Chambers was running the show as chief executive officer after appointing Chuck Robbins to that role last May. On September 15, Mandiant, a FireEye (FEYE) subsidiary, said in a blog post that researchers discovered previously unknown attacks on certain routers and that such attacks replace the operating system used in Cisco equipment. About a week later, the Wall Street Journal reported that Cisco was aiming to strengthen its business in China by joining forces with Inspur group, a move which was confirmed on September 24. On October 29, Cisco announced its intention to acquire 1 Mainstream. CNBC later reported that the company paid $100M-$150M to acquire 1 Mainstream. On November 9, Ericsson (ERIC) and Cisco announced a global business and technology partnership to "create the networks of the future." The companies said that the strategic partnership will be a key driver of growth and value for the next decade, with each company benefiting from incremental revenue in calendar year 2016 and expected to ramp to $1B or more for each by 2018. STREET RESEARCH: On August 17, Morgan Stanley downgraded Cisco to Equal Weight from Overweight and maintained a $30 price target on the stock, saying it did not believe improved growth is "secular" and anticipates growth will revert to GDP like levels as the upgrade cycle concludes. Wells Fargo said on August 28 that a 10% selloff in communication tech stocks, including Cisco, had created an attractive buying opportunity. Bernstein said a week later that Cisco, Juniper (JNPR), and F5 Networks (FFIV) should be bought on wider macro economic weakness. On October 6, Citi initiated coverage of Cisco with a Buy rating and $30 price target. A week later, Barclays initiated coverage of Cisco with an Overweight rating and a $32 price target. On November 9, RBC Capital maintained an Outperform rating and $33 price target on Cisco, saying it expects the company to report slightly better than expected results. The next day, SunTrust maintained a Buy rating on Cisco, saying its partnership with Ericsson was a positive and should strengthen Cisco's service provider business. PRICE ACTION: In afternoon trading ahead of tonight's report, Cisco shares were up 0.5% to $27.97. In the last three months, Cisco shares are fractionally higher and virtually unchanged when discounting this afternoon's slight rise.
12:41 EDTGMGM preparing to sell Chinese-made Buick in the U.S., WSJ reports
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12:02 EDTMOn The Fly: Top stock stories at midday
Stocks on Wall Street opened deep in negative territory but the averages began to pare their losses almost immediately. All eyes and ears were on Fed Chair Janet Yellen, who gave a welcoming speech at a Fed conference, though she did not discuss policy or the economy. Other Fed speakers talked about the lack of inflation as well as interest rate expectations, but their comments so far this morning have failed to clarify expectations for the December meeting. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., initial jobless claims were unchanged at 276,000 in the week of November 7, versus expectations for 270,000 first-time claims. The JOLTS report showed job openings rebounded 149,000 to 5.53M in September. In Europe, European Central Bank president Mario Draghi, in remarks delivered in a hearing in the European Parliament, once again signaled that the bank is ready to boost stimulus at its December meeting as warranted. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of Angie's List (ANGI) jumped 12% after Barry Diller's IAC/InterActiveCorp (IACI), the parent company of HomeAdvisor, made public a $8.75 per share cash buyout offer. Yelp (YELP), which also connects people with local businesses via its web-based and mobile services, advanced 8% following the revelation of the takeout bid for Angie's List... Department store owner Kohl's (KSS), which was weak yesterday along with virtually every company in the space following Macy's (M) disappointing results, bounced back 6% after its third quarter report topped expectations on both the top and bottom lines... Advance Auto Parts (AAP) sunk 13% after its earnings missed the consensus forecast, its profit guidance was lowered, its CEO announced plans to retire and Starboard's CEO Jeff Smith was appointed to the company's board. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Eros International (EROS), which rallied more than 8.5% after it called allegations of security laws violations "baseless and misleading." Also higher was Viacom (VIAB), which gained 2.5% after it quarterly earnings came in roughly in-line with consensus estimates. Among the noteworthy losers was Fairmount Santrol (FMSA), which fell 20% after reporting downbeat third quarter earnings and suspending its earnings guidance due to market uncertainty. Also lower was Flower Foods (FLO), which dropped 10% after it reported quarterly earnings and narrowed its fiscal 2015 guidance. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was down 147.82, or 0.84%, to 17,554.40, the Nasdaq was down 18.15, or 0.36%, to 5,048.87, and the S&P 500 was down 13.77, or 0.66%, to 2,061.23.
11:58 EDTGMCRStocks with call strike movement; GMCR ESV
Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR) March 55 call option implied volatility decreased 10% to 56, Ensco (ESV) March 19 call option implied volatility increased 6% to 55 according to iVolatility.
10:58 EDTCSCOCisco volatility elevated into Q1 and outlook
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10:25 EDTRAXOptions with decreasing implied volatility
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10:00 EDTMOn The Fly: Analyst Upgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy upgrades include: Angie's List (ANGI) upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at Raymond James... CGI Group (GIB) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Societe Generale... Devon Energy (DVN) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Guggenheim... EP Energy (EPE) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Citi... Franco-Nevada (FNV) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Canaccord... Galena (GALE) upgraded on commercial business divestment at Oppenheimer... KPN (KKPNY) upgraded to Buy from Hold at HSBC... Macy's (M) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Northcoast... Magic Software (MGIC) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays... Range Resources (RRC) upgraded on valuation, 2016 outlook at RBC Capital... Raytheon (RTN) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus... Trend Micro (TMICY) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Nomura.
09:31 EDTMMacy's upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Northcoast
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08:33 EDTMG-III Apparel estimates lowered at Stephens following Macy's report
Stephens analyst Rick Patel lowered his estimates for G-III Apparel (GIII) and cut his price target on the stock to $70 from $79 in response to the weaker than expected Q3 results reported by its customer Macy's (M). Patel notes that Macy's accounts for only 18% of G-III sales, but also acknowledges that implications of weak consumer demand could have a broader impact. He keeps an Overweight rating on G-III, however, citing its long-term opportunity, and said the recent pullback presents a good buying opportunity for patient investors.
08:06 EDTMMacy's price target lowered to $48 from $60 at Stifel
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08:02 EDTVRXSynergy Pharmaceuticals still a saleable asset, says Canaccord
Canaccord still views Synergy Pharmaceuticals (SGYP) as a saleable asset, with Valeant (VRX) or Shire (SHPG) seen as the most obvious buyers. The firm also sees the cost of the launch of plecanatide as lower than expected and sees no need for the company to raise capital until at least the end of 2016. Canaccord reiterated its Buy rating and $19 price target on Synergy Pharmaceuticals shares.
08:01 EDTWMTJuniper names Kevin Walker as Security Chief Technology Officer
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06:43 EDTGMGM to build fuel cell vehicle for U.S. Army, Automotive News says
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06:41 EDTMMacy's selloff yesterday 'seems excessive,' sayst Citi
Citi analyst Paul Lejuez says the post-earnings selloff yesterday, which reduced Macy's market capitalization by $2.5B, "seems excessive." The analyst "would not be surprised" to see the stock "recover slightly" from current levels. He lowered his price target for the stock to $43 from $48 and keeps a Neutral rating on Macy's.
06:17 EDTWMTWal-Mart starts Black Friday earlier on Thanksgiving day, WSJ says
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06:12 EDTKO, VRXAckman responds to Munger's Valeant criticism with Coke critique, Bloomberg says
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06:02 EDTKOCoca-Cola North America marketing chief to leave company, WSJ reports
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05:40 EDTIBMIBM, HCL Technologies announce strategic partnership
IBM and HCL Technologies announced a strategic partnership to jointly build hybrid cloud solutions to help enterprises drive their digital transformations. HCL will use Bluemix, IBM's Cloud platform to build applications and solutions in the areas of Unified Service Management and Internet of Things. HCL will also use IBM Cloud's Infrastructure as a Service, SoftLayer, to offer cloud-based solutions to its clients.
05:35 EDTDEDeere implied volatility of 39 at upper end of index mean range
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