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July 5, 2013
09:16 EDTSDRL, SRPT, LULU, HBC, TSLAOn The Fly: Pre-market Movers
HIGHER: Tesla Motors (TSLA), up 2% after saying has received hundreds of orders for Model S sedan in Hong Kong... HSBC (HBC), up 2.3% after Reuters says bank will close retail branch network and wealth management businesses in South Korea... Seadrill (SDRL), up 1.7% following upgrade at BofA Merrill Lynch. LOWER: Sarepta (SRPT), down 2% after announcing $125M at-the-market equity offering... lululemon (LULU), down 1.2% after Chairman and founder Dennis Wilson files to sell 3.4M shares.
News For TSLA;LULU;SDRL;HBC;SRPT From The Last 14 Days
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November 20, 2015
10:30 EDTSRPTRBC's Yee thinks FDA can still approve BioMarin DMD drug
RBC Capital analyst Michael Yee says BioMarin's risk/reward is attractive with shares between $90 and $100. The company may sway approval of Duchenne muscular dystrophy drug Kyndrisa at Tuesday's FDA panel meeting despite today's cautious documents, Yee tells investors in a research note. The FDA can approve the drug and use boxed warning and limitations to rare Exon51 patients, he contends. The analyst thinks shares have upside to $120-$130 on approval and downside to $80 on rejection, a level at which he'd be an "aggressive" buyer. Yee recommends buying BioMarin on today's selloff. He has an Outperform rating on the name. Shares of the orphan drugmaker are well off its lows but remain down $4.99 to $98.12 in morning trading. Sarepta, which is also developing a treatment for DMD, is up $6.49 to $32.56.
10:17 EDTSRPTHigh option volume stocks
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09:48 EDTSRPTSarepta rallies sharply, levels to watch
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09:36 EDTLULUNike, not Under Armour, should buy lululemon, dealReporter says
Lululemon (LULU) gained 3.6% yesterday, which dealReporter credits to "unsubstantiated rumors" that Under Armour (UA) was planning to make a $62 per share takeover bid. Given the differences in their branding, marketing, and culture, dealReporter said it is not sure such a deal would be a good fit, but added that it believes Nike (NKE) is in the "right position at the right time" to make such an acquisition of lululemon work, contacts tell The Fly.
09:25 EDTTSLATesla CEO says Autopilot ramp up a 'super high priority'
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09:19 EDTSRPTSarepta competitive advantage being read into Biomarin docs, says Piper Jaffray
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08:05 EDTSRPTBioMarin drops after FDA posts review of DMD drug drisapersen
Shares of BioMarin are down 7% to $96.01 after the FDA posted a review of the company's Duchenne muscular dystrophy treatment drisapersen ahead of Tuesday's panel vote. Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT), which is developing its own treatment for DMD, is trading higher while PTC Therapeutics (PTCT) is moving lower. Reference Link
November 19, 2015
14:49 EDTSRPTBefore the Move: Watch BioMarin into FDA advisory committee
BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN), which develops and commercializes pharmaceuticals for serious diseases and medical conditions including Duchenne muscular dystrophy, or DMD, is awaiting an FDA advisory committee for its DMD drug drisapersen, which is brand named Kyndrisa. WHAT'S NEW: The Peripheral and Central Nervous System Drugs Advisory Committee is meeting on Tuesday, November 24 to discuss the New Drug Application, or NDA, for Biomarin's drisapersen. It is expected that briefing documents related to that meeting will be posted on the FDA's website tomorrow, Friday, November 20. BULLISH TAKE: On November 15, Leerink analyst Joseph Schwartz said he believes the FDA will feel compelled to approve at least one DMD drug due to "public attention and vocal demand," and says that most likely both drisapersen and Sarepta Therapeutics' (SRPT) eteplirsen will be approved. However, he also makes a case where eteplirsen is not approved due to the "extremely limited" clinical data on the drug. Schwartz noted that drisapersen's advisory panel on November 24 happens first and will be important for both companies, adding that he sees "significant" upside potential for BioMarin. On November 18, Goldman Sachs said it views the risk/reward in BioMarin as favorable, with the advisory committee as a key catalyst on the company's path to non-GAAP profitability. Goldman has a Buy rating on BioMarin shares. On November 19, Jefferies analyst Gena Wang wrote that a buy-side survey the firm conducted suggests positive expectations for BioMarin's advisory committee. Wang, who said the survey of 58 investors suggests buy-side expectations of a positive panel for Kyndrisa are 62%, noted that a positive outcome could push BioMarin higher by almost 20%, and positively impact peers PTC Therapeutics (PTCT) and Sarepta by over 20% and 6%, respectively. BAIRD CAUTIOUS: On November 19, Baird analyst Brian Skorney wrote a note titled "A Skeptic's Guide to DMD Regulatory Reviews" where he says the firm has "increasingly come to believe that the FDA is more likely to reject the NDA's for drisapersen and eteplirsen," although he notes the risk reward for BioMarin is skewed to the upside -- with 20% upside potential on approval, but only 10% downside potential on rejection. Baird has a Neutral rating on BioMarin. Skorney sees a 30% probability both drugs get approved during this review period, a 5% chance BioMarin's drug gets approved and Sarepta's gets rejected, a 5% chance Sarepta's gets approved and BioMarin's gets rejected, and a 60% chance that both get rejected. PRICE ACTION: In afternoon trading on Thursday, shares of BioMarin were down about 4.5% to $102.88, while shares of peers Sarepta and PTC Therapeutics were down 8% and 9.5%, respectively.
11:00 EDTLULUlululemon November calls active on renewed takeover speculation
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10:55 EDTLULURumor: lululemon strength attributed to renewed takeover speculation
The Fly, in fulfilling its mission of explaining stock movement, often comes across the many unconfirmed rumors being passed through trading desks and social media platforms. On the occasion that rumors or speculation appear on The Fly's news feed, it should be viewed not as giving credence to the conjecture, rather as simply highlighting its impact on the stock prices of the companies involved.
08:28 EDTSRPTBaird sees 60% chance BioMarin, Sarepta DMD drugs both get rejected
Baird analyst Brian Skorney said he increasingly thinks that the FDA is more likely to reject the NDA's for the two Duchenne muscular dystrophy drugs it will soon review, BioMarin's (BMRN) drisapersen and Sarepta's (SRPT) eteplirsen, though he notes that his confidence in any of the various approval/rejection scenarios is low. Skorney sees a 30% probability both drugs get approved during this review period, a 5% chance BioMarin's drug gets approved and Sarepta's gets rejected, a 5% chance Sarepta's gets approved and BioMarin's gets rejected, and a 60% chance that both get rejected. Skorney, who sees 20% upside potential and 10% downside potential for Biomarin based on this event, keeps a Neutral rating on its shares. The analyst thinks the risk-reward for Sarepta, however, is "massively" skewed to the upside, with 250% upside potential compared to 50% downside, and keeps an Outperform rating on its shares.
07:23 EDTSRPTBuy-side sees 62% chance of positive BioMarin panel, says Jefferies
Jefferies analyst Gena Wang says her firm's survey of 58 investors suggests buy-side expectations of a positive FDA panel on November 24 for BioMarin's (BMRN) Kyndrisa are 62%. Both positive and negative outcomes are expected to result in significant moves for all three stocks developing treatments for Duchenne muscular dystrophy, or BioMarin, Sarepta (SRPT) and PTC Therapeutics (PTCT), Wang tells investors in a research note. Investors expect a positive Kyndrisa outcome to push BioMarin shares 19% higher, PTC shares 23% higher and Sarepta shares 6% higher, the analyst points out. She notes that a negative panel vote is expected to drive all three stocks 20%-30% lower.
November 18, 2015
09:32 EDTTSLAThe House Oversight & Government Reform Committee to hold a hearing
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08:11 EDTTSLAMusk, Silver Lake investing over $100M in SolarCity, NY Times reports
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06:28 EDTTSLATesla Model 3 will minimize wind resistance, Electrek reports
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November 17, 2015
11:20 EDTTSLATesla in talks with Germany over battery factory, Bloomberg reports
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08:44 EDTSRPTSarepta says eteplirsen study shows 'positive' results
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November 16, 2015
17:02 EDTLULUPoint72 added to lululemon position, subtracted from Netflix position
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09:37 EDTTSLAActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: AAPL FB ORCL BAC SUNE FDX FCX EXPE NFLX MU AMZN INTC TSLA
07:16 EDTSRPTFDA likely feels compelled to approve at least one DMD drug, says Leerink
Leerink analyst Joseph Schwartz says the FDA likely feels compelled to approve at least one of the exon skipping drugs to treat Duchenne muscular dystrophy in this review cycle. There is so much public attention and vocal demand in the DMD community, Schwartz tells investors in a research note. The FDA advisory panel on BioMarin's (BMRN) drisapersen is on November 24 while the panel on Sarepta's (SRPT) eteplirsen is tentatively scheduled for January 22, 2016. The greatest likelihood is that both drugs are approved, Schwartz contends. Shares of BioMarin have "significant" upside potential on a positive panel vote as many investors still doubt that drisapersen is approvable based on existing data, and approval would "greatly aid" the company's goal to reach profitability, the analyst argues. He reiterates an Outperform rating on BioMarin and a Market Perform rating on Sarepta. Jefferies analyst Eun Yang said on Friday that regulatory experts she spoke with see a high likelihood of a positive FDA panel vote BioMarin.
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