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Stock Market & Financial Investment News

News Breaks
June 4, 2014
11:27 EDTTIBX, ORCL, SPLK, VMW, EMCTIBCO sinks after weaker than expected second quarter outlook
Shares of TIBCO (TIBX), which supplies middleware and infrastructure software, are sinking after the company issued a weaker than expected outlook for the second quarter and received several analyst downgrades. WHAT'S NEW: Last night, TIBCO forecast Q2 adjusted EPS of 12c-13c and revenue of $250M-$252M, trailing expectations of 21c and $267.48M, respectively. "After a solid first quarter, revenue fell short of expectations in the second quarter, primarily due to lower-than-expected sales of Spotfire," said Vivek Ranadive, TIBCO's founder and CEO. "We again experienced growth this quarter in our core infrastructure and event processing product revenue, but Spotfire sales were less than anticipated. We have several changes under way that we believe will improve Spotfire performance. We also acquired Jaspersoft this quarter, and while not a meaningful contributor to second quarter revenue, it represents an important addition to our analytics strategy going forward," Ranadive added. ANALYST REACTION: This morning, analyst commentary was decidedly negative. Three separate firms - Mizuho, JMP Securities, and Stifel - all downgraded their ratings on TIBCO, citing its guidance. Conversely, Wells Fargo said the stock could recover within 12 months. Wells believes that the company's guidance is achievable and that the company can benefit from increasing its focus on analytics products. The firm cut its price target range on the stock to $25-$27 from $34-$36, but kept an Outperform rating on the shares. PRICE ACTION: In late morning trading, TIBCO fell $1.47, or about 7%, to $19.32 on nearly four times its average daily trading volume. Including today's pull back, the stock is down about 7.5% over the past twelve months. OTHERS TO WATCH: TIBCO competitors include Oracle (ORCL), Splunk (SPLK), VMware (VMW) and EMC (EMC).
News For TIBX;ORCL;SPLK;VMW;EMC From The Last 14 Days
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October 22, 2014
06:59 EDTEMCEMC expects to repurchase aggregate of $3B in FY14
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06:58 EDTEMCEMC sees FY14 EPS $1.90, consensus $1.91
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06:55 EDTEMCEMC reports Q3 EPS 44c, consensus 46c
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06:41 EDTVMWVMware downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Nomura
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October 21, 2014
20:00 EDTEMCEMC said to buy out most of Cisco VCE joint venture stake, Bloomberg reports
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18:36 EDTVMWOn The Fly: After Hours Movers
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18:06 EDTEMCEMC to hold press conference on 'new' development tomorrow, Bloomberg says
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17:34 EDTVMWVMware reaffirms FY14 revenue guidance $6.0B-$6.04B, consensus $6.03B
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17:32 EDTVMWVMware reaffirms Q4 revenue guidance $1.67B-$1.71B, consensus $1.71B
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16:04 EDTVMWVMware reports Q3 EPS 87c, consensus 83c
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15:35 EDTEMCNotable companies reporting before tomorrow's open
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14:37 EDTEMCEMC October weekly 27.5 straddle priced for 4% move into Q3
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14:34 EDTEMC, ORCL, VMWEarnings Preview: EMC reports after HPQ merger talks said to end
EMC Corporation (EMC) is expected to report third quarter earnings before the bell on Wednesday, October 22, with a conference call scheduled for 8:30 am ET. EMC provides software, hardware and IT services to business customers through its three federated businesses: EMC Information Infrastructure, Pivotal and VMware Virtual Infrastructure, which is represented by EMC’s majority equity stake in VMware (VMW). VMware is expected to report on its own third quarter results after the bell on Tuesday, October 21, with a conference call scheduled for 5:00 pm ET. EXPECTATIONS: For EMC, analysts are looking for earnings per share of 46c on revenue of $6.0B. The consensus range is 44c-49c for EPS and $5.91B-$6.16B for revenue, according to First Call. Along with its last earnings report, EMC raised its FY14 adjusted EPS view to $1.91 from $1.90 and guided to FY14 revenues of $24.58B. Analysts consensus for FY14 EPS and revenue currently stand at $1.91 and $24.55B. For VMware, analysts are looking for earnings per share of 83c on revenue of $1.5B. The consensus range is 81c-85c for EPS and $1.48B-$1.52B for revenue, according to First Call. LAST QUARTER: EMC reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 43c, which matched the consensus expectation. EMC's revenue of $5.9B came in slightly ahead of the $5.83B consensus projection. EMC also accelerated its 2014 share buyback plan, stating that it now expects to repurchase an aggregate of $3B of the company's common stock in 2014. VMware reported Q2 EPS of 81c, versus consensus of 79c, on revenue $1.46B, versus consensus of $1.44B. NEWS: VMware held its "VMWorld 2014" conference from August 24-28, during which the company updated its 2015 guidance. VMware's guidance for revenue growth in the mid teens percentage level and margin expansion of up to one percentage point is positive, RBC Capital analyst Matthew Hedberg wrote in a note to investors on August 26. The same day Cowen analyst Gregg Moskowitz wrote that VMware's FY15 revenue guidance would "likely weigh modestly" on the stock, even though he was not surprised by the outlook. Less than two weeks ago, Elliott Management sent a letter to the board of directors of EMC Corporation detailing its recommendations on the right path forward for EMC, in which Elliott holds a stake. Elliott believes that EMC’s Federation structure obscures enormous value at the company and that the board and management should pursue pathways to recognize this value, including a separation of VMware from Core EMC and/or various M&A opportunities, Elliott wrote. In response, EMC said its directors regularly review and evaluate the company's strategy with a view towards enhancing shareholder value. "Over the past few months, EMC's leadership has met with representatives of Elliott several times and has listened carefully to their ideas, as we do with all of our shareholders," the company said. Last week, HP (HPQ) announced the resumption of its share repurchase program after Reuters reported the company's merger talks with EMC had ended. HP had suspended the buyback program due to "possession of material non-public information." The tech giant said that day that it is "no longer in possession of such information." During September, Re/code reported, citing sources familiar with Oracle's plans, that the company was not interested in acquiring EMC. Meanwhile, Cisco (CSCO) CEO John Chambers also said last month at a Wall Street Journal breakfast that his company is not among the potential merger partners for EMC. Chambers said a deal between the two companies would have been done a "year or two ago" were it to happen, according to Reuters. STREET RESEARCH: On the day after its last earnings report, Brean Capital raised its price target on EMC to $33 from $30, citing the company's aggressive capital return strategy, encouraging core Storage dynamics and potential pent up demand. Tigress Financial, however, downgraded EMC to Buy from Strong Buy, citing valuation. Additionally, VMware estimated that its total available market would reach more than $60B in 2017, versus its estimate last year of a $50B+ total addressable market by 2016, Moskowitz noted. PRICE ACTION: In afternoon trading, EMC shares are up 1% to $27.22, while VMware is fractionally higher at $87.79. Over the last three months, EMC shares have declined almost 4%, while VMware's stock is down about 5.5% in that same time frame.
13:30 EDTVMWVMware October weekly 88 straddle priced for 7.2% move into Q3
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08:05 EDTTIBXTIBCO Software chosen by Rail Europe 4A
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06:40 EDTORCLForrester: Adobe becomes marketing cloud leader, VentureBeat reports
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October 20, 2014
12:09 EDTORCLIBM hits 52 week low after earnings miss, 2015 profit target dropped
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09:59 EDTEMCEMC weekly volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
EMC October weekly call option implied volatility is at 52, November is at 29, December is at 26, January is at 25; compared to its 26-week average of 21 according to Track Data, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q3 results on October 22.
October 17, 2014
14:24 EDTVMWVMware October weekly volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
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10:51 EDTTIBXOptions with increasing implied volatility
Options with increasing implied volatility: COV DISH HLT QEP GREK BKW BYI LLY DTV TIBX
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