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February 27, 2013
12:28 EDTCBB, DLTR, AH, TJX, FSLR, ZGNX, TGTOn The Fly: Midday Wrap
Stocks on Wall Street were higher at midday amid some more encouraging housing data and continued testimony from Fed Chairman Bernanke. The averages began the session in negative territory but almost immediately began to pare their losses. Within the first 30 minutes of trading the market crossed back into positive territory, then continued to advance after the pending home sales data surprised Wall Street with a better than expected move up compared to both the prior month and prior year... ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., durable goods orders fell 5.2% in January, versus the expected decline of 4.8%. When transportation items are removed from the data, orders were up 1.9%, versus an expected increase of 0.2%. Pending home sales increased 4.5% in January from the prior month, versus an expected increase of 1.9%... COMPANY NEWS: As retailers continue their turn during the nearly finished earnings season, two prominent ones saw their shares move in opposite directions following their quarterly reports. Target (TGT) shares slid about 1% in spite of headline adjusted earnings that were better than expected, while TJX (TJX) rose about over 1% following its report and planned dividend increase... MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers were Dollar Tree (DLTR), up over 12% following its earnings report, and Zogenix (ZGNX), which rose 35% after Street analysts said the FDA's decision to delay its decision on one of the company's drugs could be a positive. Among the noteworthy losers was Accretive Health (AH), which dropped 25% and was downgraded at Dougherty following its Q4 earnings postponement due to an accounting review. Also lower were shares of Cincinnati Bell (CBB), down 23%, and First Solar (FSLR), down over 14% following their earnings reports... INDICES: Near noon, the Dow was up 115.27, or 0.83%, to 14,015.40; the Nasdaq was up 36.16, or 1.16%, to 3,165.81; and the S&P 500 was up 14.79, or 0.99%, to 1,511.73.
News For TGT;TJX;DLTR;ZGNX;AH;CBB;FSLR From The Last 14 Days
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November 16, 2015
15:02 EDTTJXNotable companies reporting before tomorrow's open
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14:15 EDTTJXTJX November 65 straddle priced for 8.7% movement into Q3
11:30 EDTFSLRLoeb exits SunEdison while Deutsche says liquidity worries overdone
Deutsche Bank said that investors' fears that SunEdison (SUNE) will run out of liquidity are unfounded, as the solar energy company is not poised to suffer any liquidity events. Meanwhile, quarterly filings are showing that several prominent hedge funds have exited or trimmed their stakes in SunEdison and another firm downgraded the shares of a SunEdison subsidiary. LIQUIDITY WORRIES OVERDONE: Investors are worried about SunEdison's liquidity, but these fears are overdone, wrote Deutsche Bank analyst Vishai Shah. Only about $3B of the company's total $12B debt consists of recourse loans, the analyst stated. Additionally, in the near-term, investors are primarily worried about a $510M payment that SunEdison has to make in connection with its acquisition of the company Wind Energy, according to the analyst. Although SunEdison will not be able to sell its wind projects to TerraForm (TERP) due to the "disarray" of alternative energy financing markets, SunEdison will instead drop the projects into one of its warehouses, enabling it to recognize cash margins for the projects, the analyst explained. Additionally, the interest owed by SunEdison's project development company will only amount to about $150M, versus the $210M per quarter shown on its income statement, Shah stated. The discrepancy is due to the consolidation of its subsidiaries and the non-recourse debt it holds, he explained. Shah kept a $28 price target and Buy rating on SunEdison shares. HEDGE FUND UPDATES: Leon Cooperman's Omega Advisors lowered its stake in SunEdison last quarter, while Dan Loeb's Third Point sold its entire stake in the solar energy company last quarter, their quarterly filings disclosing their positions as of September 30 revealed. TERRAFORM DOWNGRADE: There is "substantial doubt" about TeraForm's ability to profitably buy assets from SunEdison or third parties, according to UBS analyst Julien Dumoulin-Smith. The analyst said he reached this conclusion because of TeraForm's 10%+ dividend yield and deteriorating balance sheet. Given the yieldco's recently revealed need to invest significantly more capital in projects than expected, its balance sheet will be more stressed than he had predicted, the analyst explained. Dumoulin-Smith lowered his price target on TerraForm to $14 from $30 and downgraded the stock to Neutral from Buy. ANOTHER TO WATCH: After meeting with First Solar's (FSLR) management last week, Shah wrote today that he was more confident about the company's upcoming products and earnings. Although investors are concerned about the company's 2017 earnings outlook, its 2017 earnings should grow to over $4 per share that year, he believes. Among the factors that will increase First Solar's profits are cost reductions, capacity expansion, and strong backlog growth, he believes. Shah kept a Buy rating on the shares. PRICE ACTION: In late morning trading, SunEdison fell 8% to $4.53, TerraForm sank 9% to $12.56 after earlier reaching a 52-week low of $12.51 earlier in the session and First Solar was fractionally higher at $52.90.
11:15 EDTTJXTJX volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
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05:09 EDTTJXStocks with implied volatility movement; TJX NKE
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November 13, 2015
14:15 EDTTGTTarget volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
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12:34 EDTTJXOn The Fly: Top stock stories at midday
Stocks on Wall Street were lower at midday following worse than expected retail sales data in the U.S. and a report showing that the Eurozone's economic growth slowed last quarter. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., retail sales rose 0.1% in the month of October, versus expectations for an increase of 0.3%. When autos and gas are removed, the core reading was up 0.3%, versus expectations for a rise of 0.4%. Producer prices fell 0.4%, versus expectations for them to be up 0.2%. When food and energy are removed, the core reading was down 0.3%, versus expectations for it to be up 0.1%. Business inventories grew 0.3% in September while sales were flat compared to August. Consumer sentiment, as measured by the preliminary print from the University of Michigan survey, improved 3.1 points to 93.1 in November, which was better than the 91.5 reading that was expected. In Europe, data showed that eurozone's economy grew by just 0.3% in the third quarter, which was a slowdown from the 0.4% GDP growth recorded three months earlier and weaker than the 0.4% consensus growth forecast. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of retailers broadly declined on Friday morning following the weaker than expected retail sales data reported by the government as well as third quarter earnings reports from Nordstrom (JWN) and J.C. Penney (JCP). Each of the aforementioned department store operators slid following their reports, as did Macy's (M) and Kohl's (KSS), which reported on their own results earlier in the week. TJX Companies (TJX) and Ross Stores (ROST), which are both scheduled to report quarterly earnings next week, were also among those caught up in the weakness... Shares of Mylan (MYL) jumped 13% after the company's offer to acquire Perrigo (PRGO) failed, ending a seven-month fight between the two drugmakers. Perrigo Chief Executive Officer Joseph Papa said he was "delighted" that his company's shareholders rejected the offer and the company added that it will immediately commence its previously announced $2B share buyback program, but its shares slid 7% in the wake of the shareholder vote... Cisco (CSCO) fell 6% after its first quarter earnings and revenue beat expectations but its guidance for the new quarter disappointed. A number of analysts that had been bullish on the name trimmed their price targets in response but also recommended the post-earnings weakness as a buying opportunity. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Syngenta (SYT), which rallied 5% after Bloomberg reported that the company rejected an initial $42B offer from ChemChina. Also higher was Yum! Brands (YUM), which gained 4% after it reported positive year over year same store sales growth for its China division in October. Among the noteworthy losers was GameStop (GME), which fell 14% after its stock was downgraded at Pacific Crest and NPD estimated that video game software sale declined 3% last month compared to the same month of last year. Also lower was Fossil (FOSL), which plunged 33% after the watchmaker gave lower than expected profit guidance for the upcoming quarter and said it continues to expect this fiscal year's results to be "significantly" negatively impacted by foreign currency changes. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was down 88.19, or 0.51%, to 17,359.88, the Nasdaq was down 34.22, or 0.68%, to 4,970.86, and the S&P 500 was down 9.24, or 0.45%, to 2,036.73.
11:05 EDTTGTTarget comparable sales likely within guidance, says Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Sean Naughton acknowledged that sentiment is challenging on Target's stock amid the weakness being reported by a number of retailers this week, but he asserts that Census Bureau data this morning, combined with the firm's observations, leave him thinking that Target's third quarter comparable sales are within the company's guidance of up 1%-2%. The analyst, who thinks Target's fundamentals may be holding up better than some expect, has an Overweight rating and $88 price target on the stock.
10:19 EDTTJXRetailer weakness renewed following Nordstrom, J.C. Penney reports
Shares of department store retailers, and others in the retail space, plunged on Friday morning following third quarter earnings reports from Nordstrom (JWN) and J.C. Penney (JCP). WHAT'S NEW: Nordstrom reported Q3 earnings per share of 42c, against analyst estimates of 72c, Q3 revenue of $3.24B below consensus estimates of $3.37B. Same-store sales for the quarter increased 0.9%. Nordstrom said its quarterly performance reflected softer trends that were generally consistent across channels and merchandise categories. The company also lowered its FY15 adjusted EPS view to $3.40-$3.50 from $3.70-$3.80, against analysts' expectations of $3.75, lowered its FY15 revenue guidance to up 7.5%-8% from 8.5%-9.5% and lowered its FY15 SSS view to 2.5%-3% from 3.5%-4.5%. Meanwhile, J.C. Penney reported a smaller than expected loss, with adjusted EPS of (47c) on revenue of $2.9B, beating analysts' estimates of (55c) and $2.88B, respectively. Same-store sales for the quarter were up 6.4%. The company reaffirmed its fiscal year 2015 view for a 4%-5% increase in SSS and said on its earnings conference call that it believes fourth quarter comps will be in line with FY15 expectations and also reaffirmed expectations of $1.2B in EBITDA in 2017. The company still expects to be cash flow breakeven in FY15 and confirmed reports that it recently cut 300 positions at its Plano, Texas office. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Macy's (M), which generally competes more with Nordstrom, reported Q3 revenue that missed analysts' expectations on Wednesday, and the retailer cut its FY15 EPS view to $4.20-$4.30 excluding charges from $4.70-$4.80, also well below estimates calling for $4.65, with total sales down 2.7%-3.1%, compared to previous guidance of down about 1%. Macy's now sees FY15 SSS on an owned plus licensed basis down by 1.8% to 2.2%, compared with previous guidance of approximately flat. Macy's noted "tepid" spending by U.S. customers in Q3, and provided Q4 EPS of $2.54-$2.64, well below analysts' consensus estimates of $2.90. Kohl's (KSS), which competes more closely with J.C. Penney, reported Q3 results that beat analysts' estimates on Thursday, with EPS of 75c on revenue of $4.43B, against estimates for 69c and $4.4B, respectively, and SSS up 1%. The company said it believes it can "hit" FY15 EPS guidance of the low end of $4.40-$4.60, but forecast negative weather trends in Q4. Macy's is more dependent on tourist spending than Kohl's. ANALYSTS' REACTION: Deutsche Bank analyst Paul Trussell says he's "disappointed and shaken" by Nordstrom's weaker than expected Q3 results and guidance and cut his price target to $66 from $84. Citi analyst Paul Lejuez cut his price target on Nordstrom to $65 from $92 and called the retailer's results a "sucker punch." Credit Suisse analyst Michael Extein also lowered his target on Nordstrom to $60 from $75. Stifel maintained its price target on Nordstrom and said it expects ROIC to improve and EPS growth to accelerate over the longer term. REPORTS TO COME: TJX Companies (TJX) and Ross Stores (ROST), which are also being hit by the plunge in the retail sector, will report quarterly earnings on November 17 and November 19, respectively. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, shares of Nordstrom are down 17% to $52.56 and shares of J.C. Penney are lower by nearly 9% to $8.01. Much of the rest of the retail sector is lower this morning, with Macy's down over 3%, Kohl's plunging 8%, TJX down more than 5% and Ross down nearly 5%. Fossil (FOSL), which also reported earnings yesterday, is down almost 32%.
November 12, 2015
19:00 EDTTGT, TJXOn The Fly: After Hours Movers
UP AFTER EARNINGS: USA Technologies (USAT), up 15.9%... Blue Buffalo (BUFF), up 7.3%... Planet Fitness (PLNT), up 12.3%... Darling Ingredients (DAR), up 8.1%... Applied Materials (AMAT), up 3.8%... Lipocine (LPCN), up 19.9% after reporting quarterly results and that the FDA has assigned a Prescription Drug User Fee Act goal date of June 28, 2016. ALSO HIGHER: Syngenta (SYT), up 14.5% after Bloomberg reported that the company rejected an initial $42B bid from ChemChina... Yum! Brands (YUM), up 4.1% after reporting that October China Same-Store Sales are up 5%. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS: bebe stores (BEBE), down 10.5%... Nordstrom (JWN), down 20.3%... Fossil (FOSL), down 14.7%... Cisco (CSCO), down 4.8%... El Pollo LoCo (LOCO), down 8.7%... Tahoe Resources (TAHO), down 7.2%. ALSO LOWER: Paycom Software (PAYC), down 5.2%... Netflix (NFLX) down 1% after Dow Jones reported that Hulu, a joint venture of Disney (DIS), Comcast (CMCSA, CMCSK), and Fox (FOX, FOXA), is in discussions to sell a stake in the company to Time Warner (TWX)... TJX Companies (TJX), down 4%, Burlington Stores (BURL), down 5.3%, Macy's (M), down 1.6%, Target (TGT), down 1.9%, J.C. Penney (JCP), down 1.4%, and Kohl's (KSS), down 1.3%, after Nordstrom reported quarterly results and cut its fiscal 2015 guidance.
18:38 EDTTGT, TJXDepartment store stocks drop after Nordstrom reports Q3 earnings, cuts guidance
Shares of Nordstrom (JWN) slipped in after-hours trading after the department store reported its third quarter results and cut its guidance for fiscal year 2015. WHAT'S NEW: Nordstrom reported Q3 earnings per share of 42c, against analyst estimates of 72c, Q3 revenue of $3.24B below consensus estimates of $3.37B, and Q3 same-store sales of 0.9%. The company lowered its FY15 adjusted EPS view to $3.40-$3.50 from $3.70-$3.80, against analyst expectations of $3.75, lowered its FY15 revenue guidance to up 7.5%-8% from 8.5%-9.5%, and lowered its FY15 SSS view to 2.5%-3% from 3.5%-4.5%. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Nordstrom reported that Q3 EPS included a reduction of 15c, which primarily represented transaction costs associated with the closing of its credit card portfolio sale. In its Q3 earnings release, Nordstrom said that its performance was below company expectations, reflecting softer sales trends that were generally consistent across channels and merchandise categories. The company noted that its top-performing merchandise category was Cosmetics. In addition, coats, younger customer-focused departments and dresses continued to reflect strength in Women's Apparel. PRICE ACTION: Shares of Nordstrom are trading lower by 20.55% to $50.45 in the after-hours. OTHERS TO WATCH: Retailers that followed Nordstrom downward included TJX Companies (TJX), down 4%, Burlington Stores (BURL), down 5.3%, Macy's (M), down 1.6%, Target (TGT), down 1.9%, J.C. Penney (JCP), down 1.4%, and Kohl's (KSS), down 1.3%.
13:05 EDTTGTTarget to open small-format store in Manhattan next year, Fortune reports
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08:15 EDTTGTTarget names Melanie Healey to board of directors
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07:43 EDTFSLRFirst Solar management to meet with Deutsche Bank
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November 11, 2015
12:37 EDTTJXTJX volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
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11:31 EDTFSLRSunEdison sinks after UBS cuts price target to $6
Shares of SunEdison (SUNE) are selling off for a second straight day after UBS cut its price target on the stock to $6. The seller of photovoltaic energy solutions declined yesterday after reporting a larger than expected quarterly loss. UBS analyst Julien Dumoulin-Smith attributed the post-earnings share selloff to "five key factors," including lower than expected margins on retained projects, management's confidence on the pending Vivint Solar (VSLR) acquisition while a renegotiation of the deal would be perceived positively, and LAP Holdings seeking no less than $150M in damages after SunEdison cancelled its acquisition of the Latin America hydropower and wind development maintenance company. Dumoulin-Smith cut his price target for SunEdison this morning to $6 from $9 and kept a Neutral rating on the name. SunEdison is down 15%, or 88c, to $4.89 in late morning trading. Following the stock lower are peers SolarCity (SCTY), SunPower (SPWR) and First Solar (FSLR).
11:24 EDTTGTStifel is bullish near-term ahead of Q3 report on Target
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November 10, 2015
11:06 EDTTGTBattleground: Wayfair pits noted short sellers against Wall Street analysts
Shares of Wayfair (W), which describes itself as "one of the world's largest online destinations for home furnishings and decor," are sharply lower following its report last night of its third quarter results. The company posted a loss that was not as bad as forecast, reported better than expected revenues and guided to higher than expected sales in its upcoming quarter, but its stock is falling as bears and bulls debate its prospects for future profitability. BEARS: Whitney Tilson of Kase Capital Management, who previously accused Lumber Liquidators (LL) of selling wood with dangerous levels of formaldehyde, is making the same claims against Ark Floors, a California importer that has sold its products via Wayfair and through (WMT), reported The New York Times. Jane Carpenter, a spokeswoman for Wayfair, said the company had previously removed all of Ark's laminate from its website and said it had sold just 10 orders for Ark products since December 2014, including one order through, the report noted. According to a letter that Tilson sent to investors last night, published on Seeking Alpha, he stated that Wayfair is currently his largest short position "by far." Tilson noted that Wayfair competes head-to-head versus Amazon (AMZN), Home Depot (HD), Target (TGT), and Williams-Sonoma (WSM) and he believes the company's chances of "ever reaching breakeven, much less earning a profit, much less earning enough of a profit to justify a $4B market cap are close to zero," he wrote. Tilson predicts the stock will be below $10 within a year. Short-selling blog Citron Research, which has also previously disclosed a short position in Wayfair, linked to a Wall Street Journal article in an October 20 tweet, saying UPS (UPS) "destroys" Wayfair's core model of free shipping on oversized items. The Journal article detailed the shipping giant's plans to charge websites that share "generous shipping discounts with vendors." BULLS: Piper Jaffray analyst Neely Tamminga raised her price target for Wayfair to $73 from $60 this morning, saying the company posted "exceptional" growth in Q3 amid an otherwise "lackluster" retail environment. After the New York Times article citing Wayfair's association with a vendor viewed as at-risk given a short-seller's testing of laminate flooring, Tamminga points out that all laminate flooring accounts for 0.2% of the company's sales. She continues to recommend Wayfair as a top pick for 2015. Analysts at Wells Fargo previously said in September that reports on Wayfair by short sellers included many inaccuracies. For example, Wells said that shorts' view that Wayfair loses money on every transaction relies on a "flawed view" of the company's customer acquisition costs and payback. Shorts compare Wayfair with Overstock (OSTK), but Wayfair is growing much more quickly that the latter company, Wells stated. According to the firm, which kept an Outperform rating on the shares, Wayfair has by far the highest organic revenue growth rate among U.S. consumer companies. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, Wayfair fell $5.08, or 11.2%, to $40.50 per share.
10:53 EDTTGTWhitney Tilson sees Wayfair trading below $10 within a year
Noted short-seller Whitney Tilson explained in a Seeking Alpha post why Wayfair (W) is his largest short position. He predicts the stock will be below $10 within a year. The online retailer is trading down $4.74 to $41.10 after reporting Q3 results. A New York Times article on one of Wayfair's vendors producing potentially toxic Chinese-made laminate flooring shows the company's business model is "completely out of control," Tilson argues. In addition, the odds of the online retailer ever reaching breakeven are "close to zero," he contends, citing the competition Wayfair faces from (AMZN), Home Depot (HD), Target (TGT) and Williams-Sonoma (WSM). Reference Link
09:37 EDTTGTActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: AAPL TGT VLO BAC FB W RAX V PHM
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