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August 20, 2014
12:37 EDTIFNNY, TGT, SFLY, IRF, HTZ, LOWOn The Fly: Midday Wrap
The market opened in negative territory, but within striking distance of the flat line. There was little in the way of major news that investors could use to push the market higher as they moved to the sidelines ahead of this afternoon’s release of the minutes of last month’s FOMC meeting. After spending most of the morning mixed, the each of the major equity averages has crossed into positive territory, albeit just barely. The Fed’s minutes will be released at 2:00 pm ET. ECONOMIC EVENTS: The Mortgage Bankers' Association Purchase Applications showed a week-over-week drop of -0.4% in the purchase index, but a 3% rise in the refinance index... The EIA Petroleum Status Report showed a 4.5M draw in oil inventories to 362.5M barrels during last week. COMPANY NEWS: Target (TGT) reported Q2 earnings that missed on the bottom line by 1c but beat slightly on the top line, and the company cut its FY14 EPS view to $3.10-$3.30 from $3.60-$3.90. Target is trading up over 1% in midday trading... Lowe's (LOW) reported better-than-expected Q2 earnings and said it sees FY14 EPS approximately $2.63, above the consensus of $2.61. Lowe's is trading up fractionally. MAJOR MOVERS: International Rectifier (IRF) is up 47% after being acquired by Infineon (IFNNY) for $40 per share in cash... Hertz (HTZ) is down more than 9% after the company withdrew its FY14 guidance, saying it expects to be "well below" the low end of the guidance... Shutterfly (SFLY) is up over 3% after Bloomberg reported that private equity firms are bidding on the company. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was up 33.38, or 0.2%, to 16,952.97, the Nasdaq was up 0.55, or 0.01%, to 4,528.07, and the S&P 500 was up 1.99, or 0.1%, to 1,983.59.
News For TGT;LOW;IRF;IFNNY;HTZ;SFLY From The Last 14 Days
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November 17, 2015
15:19 EDTHTZHertz advances after providing guidance at investor day
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15:17 EDTTGTTarget November 73 straddle priced for 6% movement into Q3
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15:14 EDTLOWLowe's November 72.5 straddle priced for 4.4% movement into Q3
15:13 EDTLOW, TGTNotable companies reporting before tomorrow's open
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13:53 EDTLOWEarnings Watch: Lowe's up about 2% over last three months
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12:53 EDTTGTEarnings Watch: Analysts bullish on Target's Q3 comps ahead of earnings report
Target (TGT) is scheduled to report third quarter results before the market open on Wednesday, November 18, with a conference call scheduled for 10:30 am ET. Target offers merchandise at discounted prices through its retail stores and online business. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 86c on revenue of $17.57B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 81c-89c on revenue of $17.42B-$17.76B. In its last earnings report, Target forecast Q3 adjusted EPS 79c-89c Q3 comparable sales up 1%-2%. LAST QUARTER: Target reported second quarter adjusted EPS of $1.22, beating analysts' estimates for $1.11, on revenue of $17.43B, generally in line with analysts' $17.4B consensus. The company said comparable sales increased 2.4% in Q2. Looking ahead, Target raised its fiscal year 2015 adjusted EPS view to $4.60-$4.75 from $4.50-$4.65 against estimates at that time for $4.62. On its earnings conference call, Target said it felt "great" about its fourth quarter plans and said it will be "very promotional" in that quarter. NEWS: On August 25, Target said it expects to record a pretax gain of approximately $550M after closing the transaction with CVS Pharmacy (CVS) to sell its pharmacy and clinic businesses for cash consideration of approximately $1.9B. Target also entered into a development agreement with CVS, through which it may jointly develop small-format stores, Target said. The transaction is expected to be accretive to EPS after closing. On September 10, Cherokee (CHKE) announced that Target elected not to renew the license of the Cherokee brand in the U.S., which will expire at the end of its current term on January 31, 2017. Target said on September 30 that it will update its Price Match Policy by expanding digitally and extending its timeframe to 14 days compared to 7 days. The retailer later announced plans to bring back free shipping and returns through the holiday season. STREET RESEARCH: Ahead of the company's earnings report, Piper Jaffray analyst Sean Naughton acknowledged that while sentiment is challenging on Target's stock amid the weakness being reported by a number of retailers this week, he believes Target's Q3 SSS are within the company's guidance of up 1%-2%. The analyst believes Target's fundamentals may be holding up better than some expected. He has an Overweight rating and $88 price target on the stock. Stifel also believes Target will report an above Street comp of 2% versus consensus of 1.7% and inline earnings of 86c. Analyst David A. Schick checks indicate strong merchandising and customer response to key holidays and said PCE trends suggest there is still room for comp upside. Last week, Citi analyst Kate McShane said that in a head-to-head comparison between Costco Wholesale (COST), Target and Wal-Mart Stores (WMT), three of the biggest broadlines retailers in the world, Target is the "surprising" winner. McShane said that Target "wins" on potential for EPS growth, operating margin and valuation. PRICE ACTION: Target shares are down over 7% over the past three months. In early afternoon trading ahead of Wednesday's earnings report, shares are up about 1.7% to $73.54.
09:02 EDTTGTAnalyst pans competing products, says buy Fitbit
Shares of previous high-flier Fitbit (FIT) have dropped about 30% in the last two weeks following the company's third quarter earnings report, but an analyst at Bank of America upgraded his view of the fitness tracker maker this morning, saying that now is the time to buy ahead of fourth quarter results that may be boosted by the "underwhelming" new products being launched by its competitors. UNDERWHELMING COMPETITION: Fitbit's sales guidance for this holiday quarter looks conservative, contends Bank of America analyst Nat Schindler, who notes that the company only had the launch of one new product last December but will have the Charge, Charge HR and Surge to drive sales this season. Schindler also notes that the company's international advertising has expanded into more countries ahead of the holidays this year. Key, however, may be the "underwhelming" lineup of new or updated fitness trackers launched by competitors, such as the Microsoft's (MSFT) Band 2, Jawbone's UP4 and Sony's (SNE) Smartband 2, many of which have only minor improvements and no "must have" features to pull consumers away from Fitbit, Schindler told investors in his research note. PLATFORM PICKING UP STEAM: The analyst also pointed out that Fitbit now has more than 20 companies signed onto its health and wellness platform, including big names like Target (TGT) and Barclays (BCS), which he believes should help drive revenue beats in the upcoming fiscal year due to increased device sales. Also, the additional dashboard data should help Fitbit maintain long-term user engagement, said Schindler. APPLE WATCH: Apple's (AAPL) Apple Watch is largely viewed as the biggest potential competitive threat to Fitbit's offerings, but on the fitness tracker maker's last earnings call CEO James Park said Fitbit's products differ from those of its competitors in several key aspects, including pricing, cross-platform compatibility, brand awareness and product line breadth. Other wearables makers include Garmin (GRMN) and Samsung. PRICE ACTION: Since the day after Fitbit's last earnings report after the market close on November 2, its shares have fallen about 29.5% to close yesterday at $28.80. In pre-market trading this morning, Fitbit shares rose 2% to $29.40.
08:54 EDTIFNNYMaxim could be bidder for Fairchild, says Citi
Citi analyst Atif Malik views Maxim Integrated (MXIM) as a potential acquirer Fairchild Semiconductor (FCS). Bloomberg on October 13 reported that Fairchild was seeking advice for a potential sale, and listed potential acquirers as STMicroelectronics (STM), Infineon (IFNNY) and ON Semiconductor (ON). Bids from STM and ON seem unlikely, but Infineon and Maxim could be potential acquirers of Fairchild, Malik tells investors in a research note. In a bull case scenario, Fairchild's buyout value could reach $25 per share, the analyst contends. Fairchild closed yesterday at $17.76. Malik's peer at Citi, analyst Christopher Danely, argued today in research note that Maxim Integrated (MXIM) is unlikely to get acquired despite reports of interest from Analog Devices (ADI) and Texas Instruments (TXN). Danely views Xilinx (XLNX) as a potential takeout target, potentially for Qualcomm (QCOM).
07:02 EDTLOWLowe's volatility increases into Q3 and outlook
Lowe's November call option implied volatility is at 67, December is at 31, January is at 27; compared to its 52-week range of 16 to 33, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q3 results on November 18.
November 16, 2015
16:43 EDTHTZGreenlight Capital added Apple, sold some SunEdison
Greenlight Capital gave a quarterly update on its stakes in a filing this afternoon. NEW STAKES: CNX Coal Resources (CNXC), Garmin (GRMN), Terraform Global (GLBL), and Liberty Global (LILA). INCREASED STAKES: Apple (AAPL), Michael Kors (KORS), Dillard's (DDS), UIL Holdings (UIL), and Twenty-First Century Fox (FOXA). DECREASED STAKES: SunEdison (SUNE), Micron (MU), Voya (VOYA), Applied Materials (AMAT), and SunEdison Semiconductor (SEMI). LIQUIDATED STAKES: Citizens Financial (CFG), Lam Research (LRCX), Spirit AeroSystems (SPR), Hertz (HTZ), and Macy's (M).
13:24 EDTHTZHertz to host investor day
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November 13, 2015
16:26 EDTHTZStocks end week lower as retail gets routed
Stocks ended the week sharply lower after weak retail earnings reports, highlighted by Macy's (M), were followed by a worse than expected government report on retail sales performance in October. MACRO NEWS: In the U.S., retail sales rose 0.1% in the month of October, versus expectations for an increase of 0.3%. When autos and gas are removed, the core reading was up 0.3%, versus expectations for a rise of 0.4%. Producer prices fell 0.4%, versus expectations for them to be up 0.2%. When food and energy are removed, the core reading was down 0.3%, versus expectations for it to be up 0.1%. Business inventories grew 0.3% in September while sales were flat compared to August. Consumer sentiment, as measured by the preliminary print from the University of Michigan survey, improved 3.1 points to 93.1 in November, which was better than the 91.5 reading that was expected. In Europe, data showed that eurozone's economy grew by just 0.3% in the third quarter, which was a slowdown from the 0.4% GDP growth recorded three months earlier and weaker than the 0.4% consensus growth forecast. In China, exports declined for a fourth straight month in October, sliding 3.6%, while imports fell for a 12th straight month, declining 16% in yuan terms. China's foreign-exchange reserves rose in October for the first time in six months, increasing to $3.53T from $3.51T at the end of September, the People's Bank of China reported. Industrial output in China rose 5.6% in October, matching March's reading as the weakest since 2008. Retail sales climbed 11% last month, beating expectations. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of retailers broadly declined following disappointing earnings reports and commentary from a number of department store operators, including Macy's, Nordstrom (JWN) and J.C. Penney (JCP). Weather was cited by a number of them, and analysts also pointed to the continued rise in competition felt by brick-and-mortar retailers from e-commerce players, mainly (AMZN)... Among earnings reporters outside of the retail sector, Viacom (VIAB) and Rackspace (RAX) rose immediately following their reports, while Cisco (CSCO), Priceline (PCLN), Hertz (HTZ), and Advance Auto Parts (AAP) fell right after their own... During the company's investor meeting, McDonald's (MCD) raised its global refranchising target to 4,000 restaurants through 2018 with a new long-term goal to become 95% franchised, announced plans to increase its dividend by 5% and said that after "robust" debate it had decided to not pursue a REIT spin-off transaction for its real estate holdings... Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) and SABMiller (SBMRY) came to terms on a deal to combine the companies in a transaction worth $107B. In relation to their deal, Molson Coors (TAP) agreed to purchase SABMiller's 58% stake in MillerCoors, the joint venture formed in the United States in 2008, in a deal valued at $12B. Molson Coors was the biggest winner in terms of percentage stock gains immediately following the announcements, rising over 4% on Wednesday... Mylan (MYL) jumped after the company's offer to acquire Perrigo (PRGO) failed, ending a seven-month fight between the two drugmakers. Perrigo Chief Executive Officer Joseph Papa said he was "delighted" that his company's shareholders rejected the offer and the company added that it will immediately commence its previously announced $2B share buyback program, but its shares slid in the wake of the shareholder vote... PayPal (PYPL) shares saw three straight days of losses after the Wall Street Journal reported that Apple (AAPL) is working on a mobile payments service that could compete with the firm's Venmo platform... Angie's List (ANGI) advanced after IAC/InterActiveCorp (IACI), the parent company of HomeAdvisor, made public a $8.75 per share cash buyout offer. Yelp (YELP), which also connects people with local businesses via its web-based and mobile services, also rose following the revelation of the takeout bid for Angie's List... Alibaba Group (BABA) reported blockbuster sales for the 11.11 shopping festival, better known as "Singles' Day." By the end of Wednesday in China, gross merchandise volume on Alibaba's platforms hit $14.3B, far exceeding last year's 24-hour total of $9.3B and topping the company's $11B forecast. INDEXES: The Dow lost about 3.7% to close at 17,245.24, the S&P 500 fell about 4.25% to close at 2,023.04, and the Nasdaq declined about 3.6% to close at 4,927.88.
14:15 EDTTGTTarget volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
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13:46 EDTLOWLowe's volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
Lowe's November call option implied volatility is at 47, December is at 29, January is at 25; compared to its 52-week range of 16 to 33, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q3 results on November 18.
11:05 EDTTGTTarget comparable sales likely within guidance, says Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Sean Naughton acknowledged that sentiment is challenging on Target's stock amid the weakness being reported by a number of retailers this week, but he asserts that Census Bureau data this morning, combined with the firm's observations, leave him thinking that Target's third quarter comparable sales are within the company's guidance of up 1%-2%. The analyst, who thinks Target's fundamentals may be holding up better than some expect, has an Overweight rating and $88 price target on the stock.
November 12, 2015
19:00 EDTTGTOn The Fly: After Hours Movers
UP AFTER EARNINGS: USA Technologies (USAT), up 15.9%... Blue Buffalo (BUFF), up 7.3%... Planet Fitness (PLNT), up 12.3%... Darling Ingredients (DAR), up 8.1%... Applied Materials (AMAT), up 3.8%... Lipocine (LPCN), up 19.9% after reporting quarterly results and that the FDA has assigned a Prescription Drug User Fee Act goal date of June 28, 2016. ALSO HIGHER: Syngenta (SYT), up 14.5% after Bloomberg reported that the company rejected an initial $42B bid from ChemChina... Yum! Brands (YUM), up 4.1% after reporting that October China Same-Store Sales are up 5%. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS: bebe stores (BEBE), down 10.5%... Nordstrom (JWN), down 20.3%... Fossil (FOSL), down 14.7%... Cisco (CSCO), down 4.8%... El Pollo LoCo (LOCO), down 8.7%... Tahoe Resources (TAHO), down 7.2%. ALSO LOWER: Paycom Software (PAYC), down 5.2%... Netflix (NFLX) down 1% after Dow Jones reported that Hulu, a joint venture of Disney (DIS), Comcast (CMCSA, CMCSK), and Fox (FOX, FOXA), is in discussions to sell a stake in the company to Time Warner (TWX)... TJX Companies (TJX), down 4%, Burlington Stores (BURL), down 5.3%, Macy's (M), down 1.6%, Target (TGT), down 1.9%, J.C. Penney (JCP), down 1.4%, and Kohl's (KSS), down 1.3%, after Nordstrom reported quarterly results and cut its fiscal 2015 guidance.
18:38 EDTTGTDepartment store stocks drop after Nordstrom reports Q3 earnings, cuts guidance
Shares of Nordstrom (JWN) slipped in after-hours trading after the department store reported its third quarter results and cut its guidance for fiscal year 2015. WHAT'S NEW: Nordstrom reported Q3 earnings per share of 42c, against analyst estimates of 72c, Q3 revenue of $3.24B below consensus estimates of $3.37B, and Q3 same-store sales of 0.9%. The company lowered its FY15 adjusted EPS view to $3.40-$3.50 from $3.70-$3.80, against analyst expectations of $3.75, lowered its FY15 revenue guidance to up 7.5%-8% from 8.5%-9.5%, and lowered its FY15 SSS view to 2.5%-3% from 3.5%-4.5%. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Nordstrom reported that Q3 EPS included a reduction of 15c, which primarily represented transaction costs associated with the closing of its credit card portfolio sale. In its Q3 earnings release, Nordstrom said that its performance was below company expectations, reflecting softer sales trends that were generally consistent across channels and merchandise categories. The company noted that its top-performing merchandise category was Cosmetics. In addition, coats, younger customer-focused departments and dresses continued to reflect strength in Women's Apparel. PRICE ACTION: Shares of Nordstrom are trading lower by 20.55% to $50.45 in the after-hours. OTHERS TO WATCH: Retailers that followed Nordstrom downward included TJX Companies (TJX), down 4%, Burlington Stores (BURL), down 5.3%, Macy's (M), down 1.6%, Target (TGT), down 1.9%, J.C. Penney (JCP), down 1.4%, and Kohl's (KSS), down 1.3%.
13:05 EDTTGTTarget to open small-format store in Manhattan next year, Fortune reports
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09:05 EDTHTZHertz Equipment Rental appoints new CFO and General Counsel
Hertz Global Holdings' Hertz Equipment Rental Corporation business has recently added two new members to its senior leadership team as the business continues with plans to become an independent company by mid-2016. Barbara Brasier has joined HERC as CFO, effective November 9. Most recently, Brasier was Senior Vice President, Tax and Treasury, for Mondelez International. Maryann Waryjas has joined HERC as General Counsel, effective November 11. Waryjas will oversee HERC's corporate governance and statutory reporting requirements leading up to and after HERC becoming a standalone public company. Waryjas joins HERC with more than 30 years of experience in the legal profession.
08:15 EDTTGTTarget names Melanie Healey to board of directors
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