Seadrill downgraded at Credit Suisse As previously reported, Credit Suisse downgraded Seadrill to Neutral from Outperform. The analyst believes Seadrill misjudged the market with the amount of new rigs it built that have not been contracted and believes there is too much funding uncertainty under a backdrop of high debt repayments and softening dayfloater rates. Price target lowered to $30 from $40.
Seadrill expects market conditions likely to remain challenging through 2016 The company commented, "We believe that market conditions are likely to remain challenging through 2016 and the coming quarters will provide insight into the 2017 environment. It is important to recognize that we are in a cyclical business. The longer this downturn lasts, the more robust the recovery will be when it happens. Seadrill is in a position to capitalize on the upturn with the the most modern fleet and world class operations."
Seadrill volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook Seadrill November weekly call option implied volatility is at 89, December is at 76; compared to its 52-week range of 49 to 111, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q3 results on November 24.