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January 14, 2013
19:07 EDTJPM, COOL, LWAY, LULU, EXPR, GMAN, GCOM, RSYSOn The Fly: After Hours Movers
UP AFTER EARNINGS/GUIDANCE: RadiSys (RSYS), up 12% after raising its Q4 EPS view to positive vs. a prior negative view... Express (EXPR), up 10.9% after raising its Q4, FY12 EPS views... Lifeway (LWAY), up 5.6% after reporting preliminary Q4 net sales... ALSO HIGHER: Globecomm (GCOM), up 7.6% after lowering its FY forecast while hiring Needham to explore strategic alternatives... DOWN AFTER EARNINGS/GUIDANCE: lululemon (LULU), down 6.9% after cutting its Q4 EPS view... Majesco (COOL), down 32.55%, after Q4 EPS missed consensus estimates... Gordman's Stores (GMAN), down 8.8% after lowering its Q4 EPS, revenue views... ALSO LOWER: JPMorgan (JPM), down 0.24% after the Federal Reserve issued two cease-and-desist orders against JPMorgan Chase.
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November 20, 2015
10:49 EDTEXPRAbercrombie & Fitch soars after reporting upbeat Q3 earnings
Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) shares jumped in morning trading after the company reported better than expected quarterly earnings. WHAT'S NEW: Before the market open, Abercrombie & Fitch reported third quarter adjusted earnings per share of 48c on revenue of $878.6M. The consensus was for EPS of 22c on revenue of $864.65M. The company said that the adjusted EPS figure included year-over-year adverse effects from changes in foreign currency exchange rates amounting to roughly 13c. Commenting on the earnings, executive chairman Arthur Martinez said that the company's results "exceeded" expectations and "provide the strongest validation yet" that the retailer's initiatives are working. WHAT'S NOTABLE: On its Q3 earnings conference call, Abercrombie said that it is eyeing expansion outside of the U.S., aiming to roll out multiple new capabilities in the U.K. The company added that it saw growth in China in the past quarter and plans to add mobile enhancements in China in 2016. STREET RESEARCH: A day before Abercrombie's Q3 earnings release, Susquehanna analyst Thomas Filandro said that the retailer was "well positioned" for the holiday season, though weather and international unrest may lead to a higher degree of near-term uncertainty. Filandro said that his firm sees improved holiday performance as Abercrombie shifts focus on an improved in-store experience, growing U.S. outlets, closing underperforming stores, and evolving its merchandise assortment. The analyst reiterated a Positive rating and a $26 price target on the company's stock. After the retailer reported earnings, KeyBanc analyst Edward Yruma maintained an Overweight rating on Abercrombie's shares, saying that the company's better than expected quarter was "particularly impressive" in light of the recent weakness in the retail sector. Yruma said that the company's new brand initiatives are taking hold and that greater expense control and reduced promotional activity are improving the well-being of the business. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, Abercrombie & Fitch rallied over 18% to $23.00. OTHERS TO WATCH: American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) was up just under 3%, Aeropostale (ARO) gained 0.75%, Tilly's (TLYS) rallied 3.4%, Urban Outfitters (URBN) jumped more than 4%, Buckle (BKE) was up just under 1%, and Express (EXPR) fell fractionally in morning trading.
10:00 EDTEXPROn The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: Airgas (ARG) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies... Akamai (AKAM) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman... American Woodmark (AMWD) downgraded to Neutral at Baird... Autodesk (ADSK) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital... Barclays (BCS) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley... Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Cantor... CIBC (CM) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at Scotia Howard Weil... Canon (CAJ) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie... Chart Industries (GTLS) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Jaffray... Cloud Peak (CLD) downgraded to Sell from Buy at UBS... Cnova (CNV) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan... Diana Containerships (DCIX) downgraded to Underperform at Wells Fargo... Diana Shipping (DSX) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo... Eagle Materials (EXP) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman... El Paso Electric (EE) downgraded to Underperform from Hold at Jefferies... Express (EXPR) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman... Fidelity & Guaranty Life (FGL) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital... Grifols (GRFS) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Berenberg... Hanmi Financial (HAFC) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Jaffray... Hawaiian Electric (HE) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo... K+S (KPLUF) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse... Mentor Graphics (MENT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Needham... Nimble Storage (NMBL) downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at Pacific Crest... Peabody (BTU) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS... PolyOne (POL) downgraded to Neutral from Accumulate at Seaport Global... Restoration Hardware (RH) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman... Sanderson Farms (SAFM) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Sidoti... Seaspan (SSW) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo... SunEdison (SUNE) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan... Williams-Sonoma (WSM) downgraded to Buy from Conviction Buy at Goldman... Workday (WDAY) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Wedbush.
09:36 EDTLULUNike, not Under Armour, should buy lululemon, dealReporter says
Lululemon (LULU) gained 3.6% yesterday, which dealReporter credits to "unsubstantiated rumors" that Under Armour (UA) was planning to make a $62 per share takeover bid. Given the differences in their branding, marketing, and culture, dealReporter said it is not sure such a deal would be a good fit, but added that it believes Nike (NKE) is in the "right position at the right time" to make such an acquisition of lululemon work, contacts tell The Fly.
07:10 EDTGMANGordmans Stores sees Q4 EPS 12c-16c, consensus 16c
Sees Q4 revenue $211.4M-$215.8M, consensus $215.33M. Sees Q4 SSS flat to up 2%.
07:09 EDTGMANGordmans Stores reports Q3 EPS (14c), consensus (13c)
Reports Q3 revenue $153.9M, consensus $155.33M. Reports Q3 SSS up 0.3% on an owned plus licensed basis. Reports Q3 SSS up 0.8% on an owned basis.
November 19, 2015
18:57 EDTEXPRExpress downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman
Goldman analyst Lindsay Drucker Mann downgraded Express to Sell from Neutral and lowered her price target on Express shares to $15 from $20 due to increasingly difficult year-ago comparisons and intensifying industry headwinds -- including declining mall traffic -- ahead of the holiday season.
11:00 EDTLULUlululemon November calls active on renewed takeover speculation
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10:55 EDTLULURumor: lululemon strength attributed to renewed takeover speculation
The Fly, in fulfilling its mission of explaining stock movement, often comes across the many unconfirmed rumors being passed through trading desks and social media platforms. On the occasion that rumors or speculation appear on The Fly's news feed, it should be viewed not as giving credence to the conjecture, rather as simply highlighting its impact on the stock prices of the companies involved.
November 18, 2015
08:55 EDTJPMMorgan Stanley exec sees Q4 not much better than Q3 for banks, DJ reports
Morgan Stanley (MS) Institutional Securities President Colm Kelleher cautioned that fixed-income markets "still seem subdued," according to Dow Jones, citing his comments at an investment conference. Morgan Stanley was among the banks that reported lower revenue from fixed-income, currency and commodities trading during the third quarter and Kelleher said he doesn't think "the fourth quarter is going to be much better," the report noted. Large bank peers to Morgan Stanley include Bank of America (BAC), Citi (C), Goldman Sachs (GS), JPMorgan (JPM), U.S. Bancorp (USB) and Wells Fargo (WFC). Reference Link
November 17, 2015
18:34 EDTJPMU.S. pursuing criminal charges against JPMorgan, RBS executives, WSJ says
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07:50 EDTJPMClearing House to hold a conference
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07:48 EDTJPMBofa/Merrill to hold a conference
Banking & Financial Services Conference 2015 is being held in New York on November 17-18.
November 16, 2015
17:02 EDTLULUPoint72 added to lululemon position, subtracted from Netflix position
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11:24 EDTJPMClearing House to hold a conference
Clearing House Annual Conference is being held in New York on November 16-18.
09:42 EDTJPMJPMorgan reports October net credit losses 2.22% vs. 2.21% last month
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08:58 EDTJPMAmerican Express slips following Marriott, Starwood deal announcement
Shares of American Express (AXP) are slipping in pre-market trading following the news that Marriott (MAR) and Starwood Hotels & Resorts (HOT) have agreed to merge. In early June, American Express and Starwood announced new benefits to the Starwood Preferred Guest credit card. Marriott, however, has its co-brand program with JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and the early weakness in American Express shares could reflect concern over a potential change in the merged hotels' co-brand relationships. In pre-market trading, AxEx shares are down about 0.5% to $70.88.
November 13, 2015
10:50 EDTLULUOptions with increasing implied volatility
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November 12, 2015
10:50 EDTLULUOptions with increasing implied volatility
Options with increasing implied volatility: FTK MW NLNK MNK GOGO LULU RAD FL
09:19 EDTJPMPayPal sinks with Apple eyeing peer-to-peer payments
Shares of PayPal (PYPL) are weak again this morning following a report yesterday afternoon alleging that Apple (AAPL) is set to launch a competitor to one of the payment technology company's offerings. Analysts that were already split about PayPal's prospects are also divided on the potential impact of Apple's entry, with a bull at Citi downplaying the risk and a bear at Piper Jaffray voicing greater concern. APPLE COMPETITION: Apple is in talks with U.S. banks to create a mobile person-to-person payment service, reported The Wall Street Journal yesterday afternoon, citing people familiar with the matter. Apple's service, which would likely be linked to the company's Apple Pay system and could get off the ground next year, would compete with PayPal's Venmo peer-to-peer, or P2P, payment platform, the Journal said. BULLISH TAKE: Citi analyst Ashwin Shirvaikar says his Buy thesis on PayPal is unchanged after the Journal's report regarding Apple's efforts. Apple is a "viable competitor in a crowded field," but its product is unlikely to change the near-term growth trajectory of PayPal's Venmo, Shirvaikar told investors in a research note. He keeps a Buy rating on PayPal with a $44 price target. BEARISH TAKE: Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster believes Apple's reported plans for a P2P payment offering sometime in 2016 will have limited to no impact on his model for the iPhone maker, but cautions that more mobile wallets offering P2P will add to the challenges facing PayPal's Venmo. The analyst believes the "real estate for all logos at the point-of-sale will be scarce and cluttered," noting that in addition to new entrants like Apple Pay, Samsung Pay, Google's (GOOG) Android Pay, JPMorgan's (JPM) Chase Pay, MCX/CurrentC and PayPal there are still legacy players such as Visa (V) Checkout, MasterCard (MA) Masterpass, and American Express' (AXP) Express Checkout. Munster thinks Venmo is a strong offering that will keep gaining share, but in addition to competition, he sees low interest rates hindering float income and thinks the value proposition for consumers and merchants remains "uncertain." The analyst keeps an Underweight on PayPal, which is the firm's equivalent of a "sell" rating, with a $30 target for its shares. PRICE ACTION: Shares of PayPal slipped 1.8% to close at $36.33 yesterday following the Journal's report. In pre-market trading, the stock fell another 1% to $36 per share.
06:12 EDTJPMMorgan Stanley to offer wealth management clients savings accounts, Reuters says
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