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July 24, 2013
11:36 EDTPNRAPanera falls after disappointing results, lowered outlook
Shares of national bakery-cafe operator and franchiser Panera Bread (PNRA) are falling after the company reported disappointing second quarter results and issued a weak outlook for the third quarter and full year. WHAT’S NEW: Last night, Panera reported second quarter earnings per share of $1.74 and revenue of $589M. Consensus estimates for EPS and revenue were $1.77 and $596.02M, respectively. The company also issued disappointing guidance for the third quarter and full year. They forecast third quarter EPS of $1.32-$1.36 against analyst views of $1.46. Full year EPS was lowered to $6.75-$6.85, consensus $7.05. The company said its lower EPS target reflects lower than previously expected growth in company-owned comparable bakery-cafe sales. The company lowered its target for company-owned same cafe sales growth for fiscal 2013 to 3.0% to 5.0%, from its previous target of 4.0% to 5.0%. ANALYST REACTION: In a note to investors, Stifel analyst Paul Westra said Panera shares appear to be fairly valued despite the company's still impressive long-term growth prospects. Stifel reiterated its Hold rating on the restaurant operator's stock. PRICE ACTION: In late morning trading, Panera fell $13.36 or 7.34% to $168.65 on more than three times the average daily volume.
News For PNRA From The Last 14 Days
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July 10, 2014
11:40 EDTPNRAPotbelly plummets to 52-week low after outlook falls short
Shares of sandwich maker Potbelly (PBPB) are tanking after the company's second quarter and fiscal 2014 outlook fell significantly short of analysts' consensus estimates. WHAT'S NEW: Last night, Potbelly forecast Q2 adjusted earnings per share of approximately 6c and revenue of approximately $83.6M, far short of the consensus estimate of 12c and $86.66M, respectively. The company expects to report a decrease in company-operated comparable store sales of 1.6%, or a decrease of 0.9% when excluding the shift of the Easter holiday from the first fiscal quarter to the second fiscal quarter. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Based on the preliminary results for its second fiscal quarter, management revised its financial outlook for fiscal 2014. FY14 adjusted EPS is now expected to be 18c-21c, far below the consensus of 34c. For the fiscal year, Potbelly sees flat to negative low single-digit comparable store sales, compared to its previous guidance of low single-digit company-operated comparable store sales growth. PRICE ACTION: In late morning trading, Potbelly fell $3.50, or about 24%, to $11.15 on nearly seven times its average daily trading volume. Earlier in the session, the stock hit a new 52-week low of $10.95. Including today's pull back, the stock is down approximately 64% from its first day of public trading. Potbelly opened for trade at $28.66 on October 4 of last year after pricing its initial public offering at $14.00 per share. OTHERS TO WATCH: Other companies in the sandwich space include Panera Bread (PNRA) and Cosi (COSI), both of which are down about 1%.
July 9, 2014
08:41 EDTPNRACleveland Research recommends avoiding shares of Panera Bread
Cleveland Research continues to see risk to its Panera Bread 2% comp estimate for the year and expects higher food inflation, investments, unclear timing and benefits of Panera 2.0 and limited pricing power to pressure earnings over the next two years. Shares are Neutral rated.

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