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August 20, 2014
UP AFTER EARNINGS: PetSmart (PETM), up 2,1%... Staples (SPLS), up 2%... E-House (EJ), up 2.5%. HIGHER: Fairchild (FCS), up 4% after Bloomberg says Infineon (IFNNY) is near a deal to buy a U.S. semiconductor company for $2B... Amicus Therapeutics (FOLD), up 18.4% after reporting positive Phase 3 data from the Fabry study. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS: Lowe's (LOW), down 3%... Tarena (TEDU), down 9%... Leju (LEJU), down 4.2%... JA Solar (JASO), down 5%. LOWER: Hertz (HTZ), down 12.7% after downgraded at JPMorgan and Deutsche Bank following the company's decision to withdraw its FY14 guidance... NovaBay (NBY), down 35.2% after primary, secondary endpoints were not met in its NVC-422 study... RGS Energy (RGSE), down 14.9% after downgraded at Roth Capital following Q2 earnings results.
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November 17, 2015
15:14 EDTLOWLowe's November 72.5 straddle priced for 4.4% movement into Q3
15:13 EDTLOW, SPLSNotable companies reporting before tomorrow's open
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14:01 EDTEJE-House volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
E-House November call option implied volatility is at 86, December is at 30, January is at 27; compared to its 52-week range of 20 to 70, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q3 results on November 18.
13:53 EDTLOWEarnings Watch: Lowe's up about 2% over last three months
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10:00 EDTLEJUOn The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: Airgas (ARG) downgraded on valuation at KeyBanc... BHP Billiton (BHP) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Clarksons Platou... Chesapeake (CHK) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Sterne Agee CRT... ChipMOS (IMOS) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley... Clovis (CLVS) downgraded to Neutral from Conviction Buy at Goldman... Cooper Companies (COO) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo... Five Below (FIVE) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Sterne Agee CRT... Grainger (GWW) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at Atlantic Equities... Hess Corp. (HES) downgraded to Perform from Outperform at Oppenheimer... J Sainsbury (JSAIY) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi... Kindred Biosciences (KIN) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital... Leju (LEJU) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill... Lombard Medical (EVAR) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays... Osiris (OSIR) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Brean Capital... Polaris Industries (PII) downgraded on anemic ORV growth at Wedbush... SQM (SQM) downgraded to Hold from Buy at HSBC... Southwestern Energy (SWN) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Sterne Agee CRT... Starwood (HOT) downgraded to Outperform from Buy at CLSA... Urban Outfitters (URBN) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Cantor... WM Morrison (MRWSY) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citi... adidas (ADDDY) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital... athenahealth (ATHN) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays.
09:01 EDTLEJULeju downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill
08:54 EDTFCS, IFNNYMaxim could be bidder for Fairchild, says Citi
Citi analyst Atif Malik views Maxim Integrated (MXIM) as a potential acquirer Fairchild Semiconductor (FCS). Bloomberg on October 13 reported that Fairchild was seeking advice for a potential sale, and listed potential acquirers as STMicroelectronics (STM), Infineon (IFNNY) and ON Semiconductor (ON). Bids from STM and ON seem unlikely, but Infineon and Maxim could be potential acquirers of Fairchild, Malik tells investors in a research note. In a bull case scenario, Fairchild's buyout value could reach $25 per share, the analyst contends. Fairchild closed yesterday at $17.76. Malik's peer at Citi, analyst Christopher Danely, argued today in research note that Maxim Integrated (MXIM) is unlikely to get acquired despite reports of interest from Analog Devices (ADI) and Texas Instruments (TXN). Danely views Xilinx (XLNX) as a potential takeout target, potentially for Qualcomm (QCOM).
08:03 EDTJASOSolar module makers outlook positive, says Bernstein
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07:39 EDTSPLSStaples volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
Staples November call option implied volatility is at 87, December is at 68, January is at 60; compared to its 52-week range of 22 to 78, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q3 results on November 18.
07:04 EDTJASOJA Solar reports Q3 EPS 68c, may not compare to consensus 32c
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07:02 EDTLOWLowe's volatility increases into Q3 and outlook
Lowe's November call option implied volatility is at 67, December is at 31, January is at 27; compared to its 52-week range of 16 to 33, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q3 results on November 18.
November 16, 2015
16:43 EDTHTZGreenlight Capital added Apple, sold some SunEdison
Greenlight Capital gave a quarterly update on its stakes in a filing this afternoon. NEW STAKES: CNX Coal Resources (CNXC), Garmin (GRMN), Terraform Global (GLBL), and Liberty Global (LILA). INCREASED STAKES: Apple (AAPL), Michael Kors (KORS), Dillard's (DDS), UIL Holdings (UIL), and Twenty-First Century Fox (FOXA). DECREASED STAKES: SunEdison (SUNE), Micron (MU), Voya (VOYA), Applied Materials (AMAT), and SunEdison Semiconductor (SEMI). LIQUIDATED STAKES: Citizens Financial (CFG), Lam Research (LRCX), Spirit AeroSystems (SPR), Hertz (HTZ), and Macy's (M).
13:24 EDTHTZHertz to host investor day
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10:25 EDTFCSUBS trims Apple target, says iPhone partner cut production forecast
Hon Hai, which manufactures Apple's (AAPL) iPhones, expects to assemble significantly fewer iPhones this quarter than in the same period in 2014, UBS wrote in a note to investors today. WHAT'S NEW: Hon Hai Precision Industry, also known as Foxconn, is expected to assemble 10% fewer iPhones this quarter than in the same period in 2014, said UBS analyst Steven Milunovich, citing work from fellow UBS analyst Arthur Hsieh. Previously, companies that supply force touch components for iPhones saw a 10%-15% reduction in their orders, the analyst reported. These developments "are not encouraging," but Apple had previously ordered a large number of iPhones for Q4, according to Milunovich. Overall iPhone demand "could still be decent," he believes. However, the analyst lowered his iPhone sales estimate for Apple's March quarter to 61M from 62.5M, asserting that iPhone sales on China's November 11 Singles Day holiday may have come in below expectations. Based on October search volumes, he continues to believe that demand for iPhone units in the fourth quarter of the calendar year will be 75M, in-line with the consensus outlook. Milunovich trimmed his price target on Apple to $140 from $150 but kept a Buy rating on the shares. WHAT'S NOTABLE In a note to investors on November 10, Credit Suisse reported that it was cutting its estimates for 2016 iPhone sales. The firm expects sales of the device to fall 10.4% in the first quarter versus the same period in 2015, and it predicts that iPhone sales will decline 5.5% year-over-year in 2016. Suppliers with greater than 10% exposure to Apple include Avago (AVGO), SanDisk (SNDK), Analog Devices (ADI), Broadcom (BRCM), Texas Instruments (TXN), NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) and Fairchild (FCS), Credit Suisse reported. The firm said it continues to have a negative view of the smartphone sector. PRICE ACTION: In early trading, Apple added nearly 1% to $113.34.
November 13, 2015
16:26 EDTHTZStocks end week lower as retail gets routed
Stocks ended the week sharply lower after weak retail earnings reports, highlighted by Macy's (M), were followed by a worse than expected government report on retail sales performance in October. MACRO NEWS: In the U.S., retail sales rose 0.1% in the month of October, versus expectations for an increase of 0.3%. When autos and gas are removed, the core reading was up 0.3%, versus expectations for a rise of 0.4%. Producer prices fell 0.4%, versus expectations for them to be up 0.2%. When food and energy are removed, the core reading was down 0.3%, versus expectations for it to be up 0.1%. Business inventories grew 0.3% in September while sales were flat compared to August. Consumer sentiment, as measured by the preliminary print from the University of Michigan survey, improved 3.1 points to 93.1 in November, which was better than the 91.5 reading that was expected. In Europe, data showed that eurozone's economy grew by just 0.3% in the third quarter, which was a slowdown from the 0.4% GDP growth recorded three months earlier and weaker than the 0.4% consensus growth forecast. In China, exports declined for a fourth straight month in October, sliding 3.6%, while imports fell for a 12th straight month, declining 16% in yuan terms. China's foreign-exchange reserves rose in October for the first time in six months, increasing to $3.53T from $3.51T at the end of September, the People's Bank of China reported. Industrial output in China rose 5.6% in October, matching March's reading as the weakest since 2008. Retail sales climbed 11% last month, beating expectations. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of retailers broadly declined following disappointing earnings reports and commentary from a number of department store operators, including Macy's, Nordstrom (JWN) and J.C. Penney (JCP). Weather was cited by a number of them, and analysts also pointed to the continued rise in competition felt by brick-and-mortar retailers from e-commerce players, mainly (AMZN)... Among earnings reporters outside of the retail sector, Viacom (VIAB) and Rackspace (RAX) rose immediately following their reports, while Cisco (CSCO), Priceline (PCLN), Hertz (HTZ), and Advance Auto Parts (AAP) fell right after their own... During the company's investor meeting, McDonald's (MCD) raised its global refranchising target to 4,000 restaurants through 2018 with a new long-term goal to become 95% franchised, announced plans to increase its dividend by 5% and said that after "robust" debate it had decided to not pursue a REIT spin-off transaction for its real estate holdings... Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) and SABMiller (SBMRY) came to terms on a deal to combine the companies in a transaction worth $107B. In relation to their deal, Molson Coors (TAP) agreed to purchase SABMiller's 58% stake in MillerCoors, the joint venture formed in the United States in 2008, in a deal valued at $12B. Molson Coors was the biggest winner in terms of percentage stock gains immediately following the announcements, rising over 4% on Wednesday... Mylan (MYL) jumped after the company's offer to acquire Perrigo (PRGO) failed, ending a seven-month fight between the two drugmakers. Perrigo Chief Executive Officer Joseph Papa said he was "delighted" that his company's shareholders rejected the offer and the company added that it will immediately commence its previously announced $2B share buyback program, but its shares slid in the wake of the shareholder vote... PayPal (PYPL) shares saw three straight days of losses after the Wall Street Journal reported that Apple (AAPL) is working on a mobile payments service that could compete with the firm's Venmo platform... Angie's List (ANGI) advanced after IAC/InterActiveCorp (IACI), the parent company of HomeAdvisor, made public a $8.75 per share cash buyout offer. Yelp (YELP), which also connects people with local businesses via its web-based and mobile services, also rose following the revelation of the takeout bid for Angie's List... Alibaba Group (BABA) reported blockbuster sales for the 11.11 shopping festival, better known as "Singles' Day." By the end of Wednesday in China, gross merchandise volume on Alibaba's platforms hit $14.3B, far exceeding last year's 24-hour total of $9.3B and topping the company's $11B forecast. INDEXES: The Dow lost about 3.7% to close at 17,245.24, the S&P 500 fell about 4.25% to close at 2,023.04, and the Nasdaq declined about 3.6% to close at 4,927.88.
15:22 EDTSPLSOffice Depot, Staples offer tranfer of corporate contracts, WSJ says
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15:07 EDTSPLSStaples, Office Depot in talks to transfer contracts to Essendant to appease FTC
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13:46 EDTLOWLowe's volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
Lowe's November call option implied volatility is at 47, December is at 29, January is at 25; compared to its 52-week range of 16 to 33, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q3 results on November 18.
November 12, 2015
11:35 EDTSPLSEU extends Staples, Office Depot investigation to March 2, Reuters says
Antitrust regulators in the European Union have extended their investigation into office suppler Staples' (SPLS) offer to acquire rival Office Depot (ODP) by a few weeks to March 2, says Reuters. Reference Link
09:05 EDTHTZHertz Equipment Rental appoints new CFO and General Counsel
Hertz Global Holdings' Hertz Equipment Rental Corporation business has recently added two new members to its senior leadership team as the business continues with plans to become an independent company by mid-2016. Barbara Brasier has joined HERC as CFO, effective November 9. Most recently, Brasier was Senior Vice President, Tax and Treasury, for Mondelez International. Maryann Waryjas has joined HERC as General Counsel, effective November 11. Waryjas will oversee HERC's corporate governance and statutory reporting requirements leading up to and after HERC becoming a standalone public company. Waryjas joins HERC with more than 30 years of experience in the legal profession.
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