|February 21, 2014|
|12:21 EDT||BKD, GRPN, COG, ESC, PCLN, STRA, HPQ, NEM||On The Fly: Midday Wrap|
Stocks on Wall Street were higher at midday despite the day's primary economic report, on existing homes sales, coming in below expectations. Stocks began the session moderately higher as traders rolled out positions ahead of options expiration. The market seemed to lack direction in the opening moments but the buyers emerged following the housing data, as investors may have been cheered that sales fell only slightly more than expected. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., existing home sales fell 5.1% from the prior month to a rate of 4.62M in January, which was only slightly worse that projected by economists. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of online travel agency priceline.com (PCLN) climbed 3% to trade near $1,325 per share after the company reported stronger than expected fourth quarter results last night. Many research firms reacted to priceline's results and guidance by raising their price targets on the shares, with more than one hiking their targets above $1,500 per share... Groupon (GRPN) reported fourth quarter earnings per share of 4c, excluding certain items, and revenue of $768.4M, beating expectations. However, the company forecast first quarter losses per share 2c-4c, which was far below expectations of 6c per share in earnings. Groupon said it expects one-time costs related to the integration of its recent acquisitions, specifically as it consolidates Ticket Monster with its Korean business, and anticipates approximately $25M of additional investment in marketing and other growth initiatives to drive adoption of the marketplace. Shares of the local e-commerce marketplace owner were down 18% near noon after the report. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Emeritus (ESC), which rose almost 37% after agreeing to a $2.8B deal to merge with Brookdale Senior Living (BKD) in a stock exchange transaction. Also higher was following its earnings report was for-profit education company Strayer Education (STRA), which jumped about 26%. Among the noteworthy losers was Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), which fell 1% after its first quarter results beat expectations but its earnings forecast for the new quarter came in generally below expectations. Also lower following their earnings reports were Cabot Oil & Gas (COG), which fell 7%, and Newmont Mining (NEM), which dropped 6%. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was up 28.90, or 0.18%, to 16,162.13, the Nasdaq was up 12.40, or 0.29%, to 4,279.94, and the S&P 500 was up 3.94, or 0.21%, to 1,843.72.
News For PCLN;GRPN;HPQ;ESC;BKD;STRA;COG;NEM From The Last 14 Days
|February 2, 2016|
|10:01 EDT||COG||On The Fly: Analyst Initiation Summary|
Today's noteworthy initiations include: BlackBerry (BBRY) initiated with a Buy at TD Securities... British American Tobacco (BTI) initiated with a Buy at Berenberg... Cabot Oil & Gas (COG) initiated with a Buy at SunTrust... Celestica (CLS) initiated with a Hold at TD Securities... Devon Energy (DVN) initiated with an Equal Weight at Stephens... Fitbit (FIT) initiated with an Outperform at Oppenheimer... Imperial Tobacco (ITYBY) initiated with a Buy at Berenberg... Kite Pharma (KITE) initiated with an Outperform at RBC Capital... Mellanox (MLNX) initiated with a Buy at Roth Capital.
|07:20 EDT||COG||Cabot Oil & Gas initiated with a Buy at SunTrust|
|06:42 EDT||COG||Cabot Oil & Gas reduces FY16 capital budget to $3235M|
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|06:39 EDT||COG||Cabot Oil & Gas sees Q4 production about 1,642 Mmcfe per day|
Cabot expects production for Q4 to be approximately 1,642 million cubic feet equivalent, or Mmcfe, per day, including approximately 1,552 million cubic feet, or Mmcf, per day of natural gas and approximately 14,977 barrels, or Bbl, per day of liquids. Equivalent production for the quarter is expected to exceed the midpoint of the company's guidance range of 1,626 Mmcfe per day. Based on the expected production volumes for the fourth quarter, the company expects its total production growth for 2015 to be approximately 13%. Natural gas price realizations, including the effect of hedges, are expected to be $1.94 per thousand cubic feet in Q4. Excluding the impact of hedges, natural gas price realizations for the quarter are expected to be $1.52 per Mcf, representing a 75c discount to NYMEX settlement prices and an improvement relative to the company's Q4 guidance range of 90c-$1.00 below NYMEX settlement prices. Realized natural gas prices exceeded the company's expectations due to an improvement in basis differentials throughout Appalachia during the quarter. Oil price realizations are expected to be $37.74 per Bbl. Cabot expects to incur approximately $97 million in capital expenditures associated with activity during the fourth quarter of 2015. Based on this anticipated level of spending during the quarter, the Company expects to incur approximately $774 million in capital expenditures associated with activity during the full year of 2015, compared to the Company's 2015 capital program guidance of $850 million. The lower capital spending was a result of reduced activity levels in the fourth quarter, along with continued improvements in operating efficiencies and further reductions in service costs. Including the change in accrued capital costs relating to 2014 operating activity that was paid in 2015, total capital expenditures (including acquisitions) for 2015 are expected to be approximately $972 million. Contributions to equity method investments for 2015 are expected to be approximately $29 million. Cabot expects to recognize a non-cash, after-tax impairment charge of approximately $73 million in the fourth quarter of 2015 primarily associated with legacy, non-core fields due to the significant decline in commodity prices.
|January 29, 2016|
|10:36 EDT||NEM||Active puts @ CBOE: IWM VMW NEM SPY XRT AAPL|
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|January 28, 2016|
|15:18 EDT||HPQ||Xcel Brands collaborates with HP Inc. to create Isaac Mizrahi smartwatch|
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|05:31 EDT||PCLN||Priceline implied volatility of 47 at upper end of index mean range |
|January 27, 2016|
|12:28 EDT||STRA||For-profit education names fall after FTC sues DeVry over marketing|
DeVry Education (DV) and its peers in the for-profit education space are falling after the Federal Trade Commission filed suit against the company, alleging that DeVry's advertisements "deceived" consumers about the likelihood of finding jobs in their chosen fields of study and earning more than graduates from other universities. In a related action, the Department of Education is also moving against the company for those same practices, requiring it to stop the allegedly deceptive advertisements and take steps to ensure it can verify the truthfulness of its post-graduation employment outcomes, including hiring an independent auditor and informing students of its "unsubstantiated" statistics. The Department's action comes after its investigation of DeVry found the postgraduation employment claims "have not been substantiated to the extent required by law." PRICE ACTION: Shares of DeVry crashed 13.5% to $20.54 following the news, while Apollo Education (APOL), ITT Educational (ESI) and Strayer Education (STRA) each slid over 2% and Bridgepoint (BPI) fell 1%.
|12:07 EDT||STRA||DeVry sinks 19% after FTC brings enforcement action|
Peers Apollo Education (APOL), Strayer (STRA), Grand Canyon (LOPE) and Bridgepoint Education (BPI) are also moving lower.
|11:27 EDT||BKD||Options with increasing call volume|
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|11:09 EDT||BKD||Options with increasing put volume|
Options with increasing put volume: RDN MTG HES BKD TAP RRC GG MTW AIG CLR PYPL
|10:20 EDT||PCLN||Goldman says sell TripAdvisor as Airbnb adds to industry challenges|
The outlook for online travel agencies, or OTAs, has become less favorable, partly due to increased competition from alternative lodging providers like Airbnb, Goldman Sachs wrote in a note to investors today. The firm downgraded one of the stocks in the sector, Priceline (PCLN), to Neutral from Buy, and cut another online travel agency, TripAdvisor (TRIP), to Sell from Neutral. WHAT'S NEW: Amid high lodging occupancy rates and below average supply growth, more travelers are embracing alternative lodging options like Airbnb, cutting out the OTAs, wrote Goldman analyst Heath Terry. Additionally, high occupancy rates are enabling hotels to seek better terms from OTAs, the analyst stated. Meanwhile, OTAs have increased their penetration of the hotel sector, leaving less room for share gains, Terry stated. Turning to specific stocks, the analyst expects Priceline to be hurt by the stronger dollar as well as increased competition from alternative lodging options. He anticipates that TripAdvisor's bottom line will be lowered by its efforts to convince hotels to join its Instant Booking program by granting them more favorable deal terms. Terry kept a Neutral rating on Expedia, but said that the stock could drop further, given the company's high exposure to large hotel chains, the competitive challenges it's facing, and integration risks from four major acquisitions it has made over the last two years. He cut his price target on Priceline to $1,200 from $1,500 and on TripAdvisor to $59 from $68. Terry has a $93 price target on Expedia. PRICE ACTION: In early trading, Priceline fell 3.5% to $1,073, TripAdvisor lost 3.2% to $67.44, and Expedia declined 2.2% to $102.61.
|10:15 EDT||COG||Cabot Oil & Gas downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Wolfe Research|
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|10:00 EDT||PCLN||On The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary|
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: BG Group (BRGYY) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse... Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citi... Bill Barrett (BBG) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Ladenburg... Brown & Brown (BRO) downgraded to Underweight at Morgan Stanley... Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BTIG... Canadian National (CNI) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Raymond James... DreamWorks (DWA) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Topeka... FirstMerit (FMER) downgraded at RBC Capital... Gentex (GNTX) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Baird... Haverty Furniture (HVT) downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc... Hercules Technology (HTGC) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Compass Point... Horizon Technology (HRZN) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Raymond James... Installed Building downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc... Jarden (JAH) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi... K+S (KPLUF) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Berenberg... La-Z-Boy (LZB) downgraded at BB&T... Legacy Reserves (LGCY) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at FBR Capital... Medivation (MDVN) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Canaccord... Merck (MRK) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill... Metaldyne Performance (MPG) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Baird... Pier 1 Imports (PIR) downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc... Priceline (PCLN) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman... Profire Energy (PFIE) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Chardan... Regeneron (REGN) downgraded to Hold at Canaccord... Starwood (HOT) downgraded to Underperform from Outperform at CLSA... Swiss Re (SSREY) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley... TSYS (TSS) downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at First Analysis... Talmer Bancorp (TLMR) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital... TopBuild (BLD) downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc... TripAdvisor (TRIP) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman... VMware (VMW) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Summit Research... W.R. Grace (GRA) downgraded to Buy from Conviction Buy at Goldman... WEC Energy (WEC) downgraded to Neutral from Conviction Buy at Goldman... Welltower (HCN) downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital... Yamana Gold (AUY) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan.
|09:32 EDT||PCLN||Active equity options trading on open|
Active equity options trading on open: AAPL FB AMZN AAL BAC PCLN NFLX MRK GOOG
|09:12 EDT||PCLN||On The Fly: Pre-market Movers |
UP AFTER EARNINGS: Biogen (BIIB), up 5.6%... Hawaiian Holdings (HA), up 6.7%... Capital One (COF), up 1.5%. ALSO HIGHER: Capnia (CAPN), up 34.1% after entering into an exclusive distribution agreement with Bemes... Fate Therapeutics (FATE), up 18.6% after announcing that the FDA has cleared the company's investigational new drug application for ProTmune... Raptor Pharmaceutical (RPTP), up 12.1% after being upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citi... Aquinox (AQXP), up 5.6% after Baker Bros. buys 140,786 shares in the company... Sunedison (SUNE), up 7.4% after SunEdison and Greenlight Capital announced that they have mutually agreed to corporate governance initiatives... Citizens Financial Group (CFG), up 3% after it will be added to the S&P 500... Terex (TEX), up 5.2% after being upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JPMorgan. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS: Tupperware Brands (TUP), down 11.4%... VMware (VMW), down 6.5%... Textron (TXT), down 9.9%... Cliffs Natural (CLF), down 5.8%... Boeing (BA), down 6.2%... Fiat Chrysler (FCAU), down 3%... Apple (AAPL), down 3.4%. ALSO LOWER: Priceline (PCLN), down 2.9% after being downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman... Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), down 4.2% after being downgraded at Citi and KeyBanc... Tripadvisor (TRIP), down 5.5% after being downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman.
|06:02 EDT||PCLN||Priceline downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman|
Goldman Sachs analyst Heath Terry downgraded Priceline (PCLN) to Neutral saying the environment for online travel agents is becoming less favorable amid high occupancy and rising competition from alternative accommodation providers. Terry cut his price target for the shares to $1,200 from $1,500. He continues to believe Priceline is the best positioned in the space, however. The analyst this morning also downgraded TripAdvisor (TRIP) to Sell and kept a Neutral rating on Expedia (EXPE).
|January 26, 2016|
|13:13 EDT||PCLN||Yelp spike attributed to takeover speculation|
An early afternoon spike in shares of Yelp (YELP) is being attributed to takeover speculation. A rumor has Priceline (PCLN) interested in a potential acquisition of Yelp, trading sources tell The Fly. Shares of Yelp are up 68c to $22.34 in early afternoon trading after earlier spiking as high as $22.87. The Fly, in fulfilling its mission of explaining stock movement, often comes across the many unconfirmed rumors being passed through trading desks and social media platforms. On the occasion that rumors or speculation appear on The Fly's news feed, it should be viewed not as giving credence to the conjecture, rather as simply highlighting its impact on the stock prices of the companies involved.
|11:53 EDT||NEM||Options with increasing put volume: RDN MTG PCP HES CLDX NEM BUD JUNO KITE|
|05:17 EDT||PCLN||Priceline implied volatility of 44 at upper end of index mean range |
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