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February 21, 2014
12:21 EDTSTRA, HPQ, NEM, BKD, GRPN, COG, ESC, PCLNOn The Fly: Midday Wrap
Stocks on Wall Street were higher at midday despite the day's primary economic report, on existing homes sales, coming in below expectations. Stocks began the session moderately higher as traders rolled out positions ahead of options expiration. The market seemed to lack direction in the opening moments but the buyers emerged following the housing data, as investors may have been cheered that sales fell only slightly more than expected. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., existing home sales fell 5.1% from the prior month to a rate of 4.62M in January, which was only slightly worse that projected by economists. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of online travel agency (PCLN) climbed 3% to trade near $1,325 per share after the company reported stronger than expected fourth quarter results last night. Many research firms reacted to priceline's results and guidance by raising their price targets on the shares, with more than one hiking their targets above $1,500 per share... Groupon (GRPN) reported fourth quarter earnings per share of 4c, excluding certain items, and revenue of $768.4M, beating expectations. However, the company forecast first quarter losses per share 2c-4c, which was far below expectations of 6c per share in earnings. Groupon said it expects one-time costs related to the integration of its recent acquisitions, specifically as it consolidates Ticket Monster with its Korean business, and anticipates approximately $25M of additional investment in marketing and other growth initiatives to drive adoption of the marketplace. Shares of the local e-commerce marketplace owner were down 18% near noon after the report. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Emeritus (ESC), which rose almost 37% after agreeing to a $2.8B deal to merge with Brookdale Senior Living (BKD) in a stock exchange transaction. Also higher was following its earnings report was for-profit education company Strayer Education (STRA), which jumped about 26%. Among the noteworthy losers was Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), which fell 1% after its first quarter results beat expectations but its earnings forecast for the new quarter came in generally below expectations. Also lower following their earnings reports were Cabot Oil & Gas (COG), which fell 7%, and Newmont Mining (NEM), which dropped 6%. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was up 28.90, or 0.18%, to 16,162.13, the Nasdaq was up 12.40, or 0.29%, to 4,279.94, and the S&P 500 was up 3.94, or 0.21%, to 1,843.72.
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November 24, 2015
15:23 EDTHPQNotable companies reporting after market close
Notable companies reporting after the market close, with earnings consensus, include HP Enterprise (HPE), consensus 52c... Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), consensus 45c... Veeva (VEEV), consensus 11c... Guess (GES), consensus 11c... Caleres (CAL), consensus 78c... TiVo (TIVO), consensus 8c.
15:22 EDTHPQEarnings Watch: Analysts more bullish on HP Inc. than HP Enterprise
HP Inc. (HPQ) and HP Enterprise (HPE) are set to report fourth quarter earnings after the market close on Tuesday, November 24, with a joint conference call scheduled for 5:00 pm ET. On November 2, following its separation from HP, Hewlett Packard Enterprise debuted as a separately traded enterprise technology company with $53B in annual revenue. The call will feature HP Enterprise president and CEO Meg Whitman and CFO Tim Stonesifer as well as HP Inc. president and CEO Dion Weisler and CFO Cathie Lesjak. EXPECTATIONS: For HP Inc., analysts are looking for EPS of 45c on revenue of $12.86B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 39c-53c on revenue of $11.83B-$13.48B. For HP Enterprise, analysts are looking for EPS of 52c on revenue of $13.5B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 41c-61c on revenue of $13.04B-$13.81B. With its Q3 report, the combined company had expected combined Q4 EPS of 92c-98c. Also at that time, HP had narrowed its combined FY15 EPS forecast to $3.59-$3.65 from $3.53-$3.73. This compares to the current consensus estimate for the combined company of $3.63 per share. LAST QUARTER: On August 20, the combined HP reported Q3 EPS of 88c, topping the consensus estimate of 85c, on revenue of $25.3B, which missed a consensus estimate of $25.44B. HP said its Q3 personal systems revenue was down 13% from the prior year period, with total units down 11%, including Desktops units being down 20% and Notebooks units being down 3%. Enterprise Group revenue was up 2% year over year, with Industry Standard Servers revenue up 8%, Storage revenue down 2%, Business Critical Systems revenue down 21%, Networking revenue up 22% and Technology Services revenue down 9%. STREET RESEARCH: Among 33 analysts that cover HP Inc., 18 have Buy or equivalent ratings, 14 have Hold or equivalent ratings and one has a Sell or equivalent rating, according to Bloomberg data. Among 29 analysts that cover HP Enterprise, five have Buy or equivalent ratings, 23 have Hold or equivalent ratings and one has a Sell or equivalent rating, Bloomberg data shows. On November 3, Citi analyst Jim Suva downgraded HP Inc. to Neutral from Buy following the spin-out of HP Enterprise, the company's infrastructure business. Increasing competition may result in additional revenue and margin pressures and potential for increased investment, said Suva, who had a $14.50 price target on HP Inc. shares at the time of the note. On November 4, JPMorgan analyst Rod Hall downgraded HP Inc. to Neutral, citing the company's exposure to "structurally weak" end-markets following the spinoff of HP Enterprise. Hall would like to see data suggesting stabilization in PC demand before getting more constructive on the stock, he said, while setting a $14 target on the shares. That same day, Barclays analyst Mark Moskowitz upgraded HP Inc. to Equal Weight, saying the company's two main segments are "not disappearing" and can drive a "decent yield asset." He similarly set a $14 price target on HP Inc. shares. Moskowitz also started coverage of HP Enterprise with an Underweight rating, his firm's equivalent of a "sell." The company's revenue is at risk due to the cloud's impact on traditional IT, contends Moskowitz, who set a $13 price target on the stock. HP Enterprise could become more acquisitive, which could bring execution and cash flow risks, the analyst added. PRICE ACTION: Ahead of Tuesday's report, HP Inc. shares rose over 3.5% to $14.74, while HP Enterprise was nearly flat at $13.84.
14:09 EDTHPQHP Inc. technical notes ahead of results
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13:49 EDTHPQHewlett-Packard November weekly 14.5 straddle priced for 5.7% movement
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) November weekly 14.5 straddle priced for 5.7% movement into Q4
11:01 EDTHPQHP Inc. volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
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November 23, 2015
10:00 EDTHPQOn The Fly: Analyst Upgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy upgrades include: Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) upgraded to Peer Perform from Underperform at Wolfe Research... Constellation Brands (STZ) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Cowen... Dick's Sporting (DKS) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Canaccord... Encana (ECA) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Evercore ISI... Genomic Health (GHDX) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS... HP Inc. (HPQ) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Maxim... Heritage Commerce (HTBK) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Sandler O'Neill... James River Group (JRVR) upgraded on improved outlook at BMO Capital... Kellogg (K) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse... KeyCorp (KEY) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies... Och-Ziff Capital (OZM) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Keefe Bruyette... PBF Energy (PBF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... Panera Bread (PNRA) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Maxim... Parkway Properties (PKY) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Mizuho... PepsiCo (PEP) upgraded to Neutral from Reduce at Nomura... Sanchez Energy (SN) upgraded to Buy from Accumulate at KLR Group... Sonoco (SON) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Macquarie... Synchrony (SYF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Sterne Agee CRT... Telecom Argentina (TEO) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman... Teva (TEVA) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... TransAlta (TAC) upgraded to Sector Perform from Underperform at RBC Capital... Universal Insurance (UVE) upgraded to Outperform at Keefe Bruyette... Willis Group (WSH) upgraded to Hold from Sell at Deutsche Bank... YPF (YPF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.
08:58 EDTHPQHP Inc. upgraded to Buy, price target raised to $17 at Maxim
As reported previously, Maxim analyst Nehal Chokshi upgraded HP Inc. to Buy from Hold, saying there is room for HP to raise its rate of free cash flow return to about 90% from between 50%-75% now. The analyst also sees potential for HP printing supplies to experience a temporary break amid a secular decline, chances for HP to successfully penetrate the multi-function copier market, and for its PC operating margins to expand. Chokshi raised his price target on HP shares to $17 from $14.50.
08:22 EDTHPQHP Inc. volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
HP Inc. November weekly call option implied volatility is at 52, December is at 34, January is at 31 compared to its 2-week range of 18 to 41, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q4 results on November 24.
07:27 EDTHPQHP Inc. upgraded to Buy from Hold at Maxim
06:09 EDTHPQHP Inc. adds Titan to Engineered by HP Program
HP Inc. announced the expansion of its Engineered by HP program, collaborating with the world's fifth largest watchmaker, Titan, to infuse technology seamlessly into the way consumers live, providing them with smart accessories that are productive and responsive, but not intrusive.
November 19, 2015
13:24 EDTPCLNExpedia CEO says shut out of TripAdvisor Instant Booking for now, Skift says
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09:00 EDTHPQAerohive sell-off unwarranted, says JMP Securities
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November 18, 2015
10:08 EDTGRPNGoPro sinks after analyst finds cameras on flash sales sites
The shares of action camera maker GoPro (GPRO) are sinking and hit a new 52-week low after research firm Piper Jaffray reported that the company has been offering significant discounts on its cameras. WHAT'S NEW: GoPro's cameras have been selling on flash sales websites such as Zulily (ZU) and Groupon (GRPN) at price discounts of 16%-34%, Piper analyst Erinn Murphy wrote in a note to investors today. As a result of these discounts and the 147% increase in GoPro's inventory at the end of the third quarter, the analyst is concerned that the company's gross margin could be pressured. In addition to the discounts GoPro is offering on the flash websites, the camera maker cut the price of its GoPro Session camera on Amazon to $299 from $399 in September and there has been "select downward price movement" on two more of its cameras on Amazon, Murphy reported. The analyst continues to expect GoPro's Q4 earnings per share to come in at 34c, versus analysts' consensus estimate of 41c. She slashed her fiscal 2016 EPS estimate for the company to $1.03 from $1.35, versus the consensus outlook of $1.37. Murphy reduced her price target on the stock to $15 from $20 and kept an Underweight rating on the name. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Ambarella (AMBA) makes chips used in GoPro's cameras. Best Buy (BBY), which is due to report its results tomorrow, sells GoPro's cameras. PRICE ACTION: In early trading, GoPro fell 8% to $19.19. Earlier today, it hit a new 52-week low of $19.04.
09:34 EDTGRPNActive equity options trading on open
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November 17, 2015
16:33 EDTPCLNPriceline appoints Christa Quarles CEO of OpenTable
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November 16, 2015
09:26 EDTGRPNGroupon closes operations in Nordic countries, Breakit reports
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November 13, 2015
16:40 EDTPCLNAppaloosa gives quarterly update on stakes
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16:26 EDTPCLNStocks end week lower as retail gets routed
Stocks ended the week sharply lower after weak retail earnings reports, highlighted by Macy's (M), were followed by a worse than expected government report on retail sales performance in October. MACRO NEWS: In the U.S., retail sales rose 0.1% in the month of October, versus expectations for an increase of 0.3%. When autos and gas are removed, the core reading was up 0.3%, versus expectations for a rise of 0.4%. Producer prices fell 0.4%, versus expectations for them to be up 0.2%. When food and energy are removed, the core reading was down 0.3%, versus expectations for it to be up 0.1%. Business inventories grew 0.3% in September while sales were flat compared to August. Consumer sentiment, as measured by the preliminary print from the University of Michigan survey, improved 3.1 points to 93.1 in November, which was better than the 91.5 reading that was expected. In Europe, data showed that eurozone's economy grew by just 0.3% in the third quarter, which was a slowdown from the 0.4% GDP growth recorded three months earlier and weaker than the 0.4% consensus growth forecast. In China, exports declined for a fourth straight month in October, sliding 3.6%, while imports fell for a 12th straight month, declining 16% in yuan terms. China's foreign-exchange reserves rose in October for the first time in six months, increasing to $3.53T from $3.51T at the end of September, the People's Bank of China reported. Industrial output in China rose 5.6% in October, matching March's reading as the weakest since 2008. Retail sales climbed 11% last month, beating expectations. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of retailers broadly declined following disappointing earnings reports and commentary from a number of department store operators, including Macy's, Nordstrom (JWN) and J.C. Penney (JCP). Weather was cited by a number of them, and analysts also pointed to the continued rise in competition felt by brick-and-mortar retailers from e-commerce players, mainly (AMZN)... Among earnings reporters outside of the retail sector, Viacom (VIAB) and Rackspace (RAX) rose immediately following their reports, while Cisco (CSCO), Priceline (PCLN), Hertz (HTZ), and Advance Auto Parts (AAP) fell right after their own... During the company's investor meeting, McDonald's (MCD) raised its global refranchising target to 4,000 restaurants through 2018 with a new long-term goal to become 95% franchised, announced plans to increase its dividend by 5% and said that after "robust" debate it had decided to not pursue a REIT spin-off transaction for its real estate holdings... Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) and SABMiller (SBMRY) came to terms on a deal to combine the companies in a transaction worth $107B. In relation to their deal, Molson Coors (TAP) agreed to purchase SABMiller's 58% stake in MillerCoors, the joint venture formed in the United States in 2008, in a deal valued at $12B. Molson Coors was the biggest winner in terms of percentage stock gains immediately following the announcements, rising over 4% on Wednesday... Mylan (MYL) jumped after the company's offer to acquire Perrigo (PRGO) failed, ending a seven-month fight between the two drugmakers. Perrigo Chief Executive Officer Joseph Papa said he was "delighted" that his company's shareholders rejected the offer and the company added that it will immediately commence its previously announced $2B share buyback program, but its shares slid in the wake of the shareholder vote... PayPal (PYPL) shares saw three straight days of losses after the Wall Street Journal reported that Apple (AAPL) is working on a mobile payments service that could compete with the firm's Venmo platform... Angie's List (ANGI) advanced after IAC/InterActiveCorp (IACI), the parent company of HomeAdvisor, made public a $8.75 per share cash buyout offer. Yelp (YELP), which also connects people with local businesses via its web-based and mobile services, also rose following the revelation of the takeout bid for Angie's List... Alibaba Group (BABA) reported blockbuster sales for the 11.11 shopping festival, better known as "Singles' Day." By the end of Wednesday in China, gross merchandise volume on Alibaba's platforms hit $14.3B, far exceeding last year's 24-hour total of $9.3B and topping the company's $11B forecast. INDEXES: The Dow lost about 3.7% to close at 17,245.24, the S&P 500 fell about 4.25% to close at 2,023.04, and the Nasdaq declined about 3.6% to close at 4,927.88.
10:16 EDTPCLNOptions with decreasing implied volatility
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November 12, 2015
08:32 EDTHPQHP Inc. declares post-split regular dividend of 12.4c per share
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