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News For NVDA From The Last 14 Days
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August 8, 2014
17:10 EDTNVDAMarket finishes week up slightly as earnings offset by political events
Stocks finished the week fractionally higher than where they started as strong corporate earnings reports and better than expected economic data was weighed against concerns about geopolitical issues and negative M&A news. MACRO NEWS: A few ongoing geopolitical conflicts worried investors and weighed on shares. Russia unveiled sanctions against Western countries, banning the import of a wide range of food items from the U.S, the EU and a few allied countries in response to sanctions recently enacted against it from G7 nations... President Obama authorized the bombing of rebels in Iraq and Hamas and Israel failed to reach a permanent truce... An ISM services index, the U.S. trade deficit for June, and weekly jobless claims were all better than expected. Meanwhile, the increase in unit labor costs last quarter came in below the consensus outlook, perhaps easing fears that the Fed will need to raise interest rates sooner than expected. COMPANY NEWS: On the M&A front, two huge potential deals fell through as 21st Century Fox (FOX, FOXA) withdrew its offer to acquire Time Warner (TWX) and Sprint (S) reportedly decided to end its pursuit of a merger with peer T-Mobile (TMUS)... President Obama indicated that his administration would take unilateral steps in an effort to prevent companies from carrying out tax inversion acquisitions. Among the deals or possible transactions that involve inversion are Medtronic's (MDT) acquisition of Covidien (COV), Valeant's (VRX) proposed takeover of Allergan (AGN) and Mylan's (MYL) acquisition of Abbott's (ABT) developed markets branded generics pharmaceuticals business. Meanwhile, Walgreen's (WAG) stock tumbled after the U.S. company said it would not structure its takeover of European drugstore chain Alliance Boots as a tax inversion deal... 21st Century Fox, 3D printer maker Stratasys (SSYS), chip maker NVIDIA (NVDA), brewer Molson Coors (TAP), and luxury accessories maker Coach (COH) all rose following their earnings reports. Conversely, Target (TGT), luxury accessories maker Michael Kors (KORS) and Internet coupon provider Groupon (GRPN) fell following their results or guidance... Gannett (GCI) struck a deal to acquire the remaining 73% interest in Classified Ventures, whose primary asset is the online car shopping website Cars.com, for $1.8B from the other partners in the venture, which include McClatchy (MNI), Tribune Media (TRBAA), Graham Holdings (GHC) and A. H. Belo (AHC). Gannett also announced plans to spin-off its Publishing business, which includes USA Today, through a tax-free distribution to shareholders... McDonald's (MCD) stock was little changed after the company reported that its comparable store sales fell 2.5% in July, which was significantly worse than expected. Food quality issues weighed on the fast food company's sales in Asia and as a result of the China supplier issue, the company warned its previously issued global comparable sales forecast for 2014 is now at risk. INDEXES: The Dow finished the week up 0.35% to 16,553.93, the S&P 500 rose 0.32% to 1,931.59, and the Nasdaq gained 0.41% to 4,370.90.
16:28 EDTNVDAOn The Fly: Closing Wrap
Stocks began the session in positive territory despite President Obama authorizing air strikes against the Islamic State militant group in northern Iraq in conjunction with a humanitarian effort. The early move higher stalled but the market then moved higher as reports confirmed that Russian military aircraft exercises near the Ukraine border had ended, as planned. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., productivity growth rose 2.5% in the second quarter, beating expectations for a rise of 1.6%. Second quarter unit labor costs, however, only increased 0.6%, which was below the 1% consensus forecast. Wholesale inventories increased 0.3% in June, and sales were up 0.2%, which were both below expectations. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of McDonald's (MCD) were fractionally higher despite the company reporting that its comparable store sales fell 2.5% in July, which was significantly worse than expected. The fast food giant stated that its U.S. comparable sales were down 3.2% in the month compared to the same month of last year and that comp sales in Asia/Pacific, Middle East and Africa dropped 7.3%. The APMEA region's comparable sales decline reflects the impact of food quality and safety issues at a supplier to McDonald's and other food companies in China which caused a "significant negative impact" to results in China, Japan and certain other markets, the company noted. As a result of the China supplier issue, the company's previously issued global comparable sales forecast for 2014 is now at risk, McDonald's added. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was chip maker NVIDIA (NVDA), which rose $1.54, or 8.82%, to $19.00 after the company’s second quarter profit and third quarter revenue outlook surpassed analysts’ consensus estimates. Also higher was small-cap Tekmira Pharmaceuticals (TKMR), which jumped $6.43, or 45.06%, to $20.70 after announcing that the FDA has verbally confirmed they have modified the full clinical hold placed on the TKM-Ebola Investigational New Drug Application to a partial clinical hold. Among the noteworthy losers was cereal maker Post Holdings (POST), which fell $7.08, or 15.91%, to $37.43 and was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at SunTrust after the company reported an adjusted net loss for its third quarter and agreed to acquire American Blanching Company for $128M. Also lower were shares of Ignite Restaurant (IRG), the owner of the Joe’s Crab Shack and Macaroni Grill brands, which fell $4.33, or 34.98%, to $8.05 after reporting second quarter results that missed analysts' expectations and having its shares downgraded at Raymond James and CL King. INDEXES: The Dow advanced 185.66, or 1.13%, to 16,553.93, the Nasdaq gained 35.93, or 0.83%, to 4,370.90, and the S&P 500 rose 22.02, or 1.15%, to 1,931.59.
12:34 EDTNVDAOn The Fly: Midday Wrap
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11:51 EDTNVDANVIDIA rallies after Q2 quarter profit, Q3 revenue outlook top estimates
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10:00 EDTNVDAOn The Fly: Analyst Upgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy upgrades include: Activision Blizzard (ATVI) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Longbow... Allergan (AGN) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Leerink... Andersons (ANDE) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Feltl... Arista Networks (ANET) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup... Barrick Gold (ABX) upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman... Brinker (EAT) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James... CF Industries (CF) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Feltl... CST Brands (CST) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Credit Suisse... Cimarex Energy (XEC) upgraded to Accumulate from Hold at KLR Group... Coca-Cola HBC (OCCH) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank... Delek US (DK) upgraded to Outperform at Cowen... Fifth Street Finance (FSC) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Guggenheim... Glimcher Realty Trust (GRT) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill... Goodrich Petroleum (GDP) upgraded to Strong Buy from Outperform at Raymond James... Monster Beverage (MNST) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Longbow... NIC Inc. (EGOV) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Barrington... NVIDIA (NVDA) upgraded at Needham... POZEN (POZN) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Ascendiant... Power Solutions (PSIX) upgraded to Accumulate from Neutral at Global Hunter... Primoris (PRIM) upgraded to Buy from Hold at BB&T... Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James... Sonus Networks (SONS) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Barrington... Stone Energy (SGY) upgraded to Buy from Accumulate at KLR Group... Tornier (TRNX) upgraded at BMO Capital... Tyson Foods (TSN) upgraded to Buy from Hold at BB&T... WGL Holdings (WGL) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Brean Capital.
09:15 EDTNVDAOn The Fly: Pre-market Movers
HIGHER: NVIDIA (NVDA), up 4.2%, upgraded at Needham following its better than expected Q2 results... Arista Networks (ANET), up 8%, upgraded at Citigroup following better than expected Q2 results, announcing an expanded strategic relationship with VMware (VMW)... Tekmira Pharmaceuticals (TKMR), up 17.5% after announcing that the FDA verbally confirmed they have modified the full clinical hold placed on its TKM-Ebola treatment to a partial clinical hold... Gap (GPS), up 4.7% after July same-store sales rose 2%, company issues Q2 EPS outlook above the consensus estimate... lululemon (LULU), up 2.4% after founder agrees to sell half his stake to Advent for $845M. UP AFTER EARNINGS: SolarCity (SCTY), up 1%... Assured Guaranty (AGO), up 9%... MercadoLibre (MELI), up 13.6%. LOWER: Zynga (ZNGA), down 6% after lowering fiscal 2014 guidance... McDonald's (MCD), down 0.4% after Chinese supplier issue contributes to July comparable sales drop of 2.5%.
08:01 EDTNVDANVIDIA upgraded at Needham
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06:20 EDTNVDANVIDIA upgraded to Buy from Hold at Needham
August 7, 2014
18:41 EDTNVDAOn The Fly: After Hours Movers
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16:25 EDTNVDANVIDIA sees Q3 revenue $1.2B, plus or minus 2%, consensus $1.16B
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16:24 EDTNVDANVIDIA reports Q2 EPS 30c, consensus 20c
Reports Q2 revenue $1.1B, consensus $1.1B.
15:33 EDTNVDA Notable companies reporting after market close
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15:31 EDTNVDANotable companies reporting after market close
Notable companies reporting after the market close, with earnings consensus, include CBS (CBS), consensus 72c; Consolidated Edison (ED), consensus 54c; Monster Beverage (MNST), consensus 75c; News Corporation (NWSA), consensus 3c; NVIDIA (NVDA), consensus 20c; Computer Sciences (CSC), consensus 94c; CareFusion (CFN), consensus 72c;DeVry Education (DV), consensus 67c; Salix Pharmaceuticals (SLXP), consensus $1.72; Federal Realty (FRT), consensus $1.21; SolarCity (SCTY), consensus (99c); Medivation (MDVN), consensus 24c; Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM), consensus 18c; Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY), consensus (56c); Lions Gate (LGF), consensus 17c; Mercadolibre (MELI), consensus 56c; Post Holdings (POST), consensus 27c; Assured Guaranty (AGO), consensus 35c; Great Plains Energy (GXP), consensus 41c; Air Lease (AL), consensus 52c; Ubiquiti Networks (UBNT), consensus 51c; SemGroup (SEMG), consensus 35c.
15:30 EDTNVDANVIDIA August weekly 17.5 straddle priced for 7.7% move into Q2
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14:24 EDTNVDANVIDIA technical comments ahead of results
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13:03 EDTNVDAEarnings Preview: Analysts differ with NVIDIA ahead of Q2 earnings report
NVIDIA (NVDA) is expected to report second quarter earnings after the close on Thursday, August 7, with a conference call scheduled for 5:00 pm ET. NVIDIA is a semiconductor manufacturer that produces graphics chips used in personal computers as well as mobile processors used in cell phones and tablets. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 20c on revenue of $1.1B. The consensus range is 16c-30c for EPS on revenue of $977M-$1.15B, according to First Call. In its last earnings report, NVIDIA said it expects Q2 revenue of $1.1B, plus or minus 2%, which was higher than analysts' consensus of $1.08B at the time. LAST QUARTER: On May 6, NVIDIA reported first quarter EPS of 29c, which beat the consensus forecast of 17c, on revenue of $1.10B, which beat analysts consensus of $1.06B. The company said that a preliminary draft of its Q1 financial results was inadvertently emailed to an internal distribution list of about 100 individuals. Because of this error, the results were provided to the market in advance of trading as a precaution. STREET RESEARCH: RBC Capital upgraded NVIDIA on May 19 to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital. On June 19, BofA/Merrill downgraded NVIDIA to Underperform from Neutral. The firm downgraded shares based on rich valuation and peak margins. Price target was $19. Pacific Crest downgraded NVIDIA to Underperform from Sector Perform on June 23. The firm's checks indicated corporate PC demand continued but motherboard manufacturers indicated consumer demand and excess inventory would drive Q3 unit sales down 5-10% quarter-over-quarter and for Q2 VGA high-end card shipments to be down more than 50% quarter-over-quarter. PRICE ACTION: Since issuing preliminary earnings on May 6, shares of NVIDIA are down over 5.6%. During morning trading, shares of NVIDIA are down 0.4% to $17.57.
10:51 EDTNVDAOptions with increasing implied volatility
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