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News Breaks
June 27, 2014
08:00 EDTADP Employment Report employment to be reported at 08:15
June ADP Employment Report employment will be reported at 08:15 . Current consensus is 213,000
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July 20, 2015
09:23 EDTThe Hudson Institute to hold a discussion on the Internet
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09:10 EDTEarnings updates will cover a wide swath of the economy
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09:10 EDTFed's Bullard said the probability of September rate liftoff is above 50%
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09:00 EDTFX Action: USD-CAD eased to 1.2953 lows
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08:27 EDTFederal Reserve Board to hold an open board meeting
The Board discusses 1. Final Rule to Establish Risk-Based Capital Surcharges for Systemically Important Bank Holding Companies. 2. Final Order Applying Enhanced Prudential Standards to General Electric Capital Corporation under Section 165 of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act in the meeting being held in Washington, D.C. on July 20 at 1 pm. Webcast Link
08:25 EDTCanada Wholesale Preview
Canada Wholesale Preview: Shipments are expected to rise 0.5% m/m in May after the 1.9% surge in April. Forecast risk is to the downside given the strong growth in March and April, and the 0.5% drop in manufacturing shipment volumes seen in May (shipment values were 0.1% higher).
08:15 EDTU.S. equities are poised to open slightly firmer
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08:05 EDTEnergy Action: NYMEX crude
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07:55 EDTTreasury Market Outlook: Treasuries are little changed to slightly lower
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07:54 EDTCredit Suisse macroeconomics analysts hold an analyst/industry conference call
Macroeconomics Analyst Research Team provides an update and outlook on an Analyst/Industry conference call to be held on July 20 at 8 am.
07:50 EDTTreasury Market Outlook: Treasuries are little changed to slightly lower
Treasury Market Outlook: Treasuries are little changed to slightly lower in thin trading (Japan is on holiday), even as global bonds are higher in price. The yield on the 10-year note has slipped to 2.345% versus an overnight high of 2.37%. The German Bund yield is 4 bps lower at 0.75%. Equities are modestly firmer too, as is the dollar. Athens reportedly settled its debt with the IMF, and the ECB and Greek banks finally reopened, to give some stability to the markets. There wasn't much data overnight. German PPI was steady at -1.4% y/y. There is nothing on today's U.S. economic calendar. Earning season picks up and will highlight. Today's slat has IBM, Morgan Stanley, Halliburton, and Hasbro. Data due later this week will feature housing reports.
07:45 EDTN.Y. FX Outlook
N.Y. FX Outlook: The dollar firmed up overnight, taking EUR-USD to lows of 1.0820, levels last seen on May 27. Greek banks re-opened, though capital controls remained in place, while Athens repaid creditors with help from last week's approved bridge loan. More pain will come on the Greece front, though for now, the storm has subsided. Elsewhere, USD-JPY hit a one-month high of 124.38, in light Japanese holiday trade, as USD-CAD stayed form near 1.3000. Gold price slide to five year lows didn't help the CAD, though oil prices remained steady to a bit firmer, offsetting some. The U.S. calendar is completely empty this morning, so focus will look to news from Greece, along with risk levels, including equity, Treasury and commodity developments.
07:35 EDTThe Heritage Foundation to hold a discussion on the tax code
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07:31 EDTFinancial Research Associates to hold a conference
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07:25 EDTFX Update:
FX Update: The dollar has started the new week where it finished of last week, in bullish form. EUR-USD fell to a 10-week low of 1.0820, stopping just short of the May-27 low at 1.0819. USD-JPY rose to a one-month peak of 124.38 during the London AM session following a quiet Asia session in the absence of Japanese markets, which were closed for a public holiday. Cable ebbed to the mid-1.55s, breaching below its 50-day moving average. Sterling also saw losses against the euro, correcting some of its recent outperformance after EY ITEM Club cautioned the BoE against "premature" tightening, which has prompted a rethink in markets into Wednesday's release of the BoE minutes to the July MPC meeting,
07:13 EDTFutures suggest slightly higher open for market
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06:10 EDTiPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures at 16.40, 50-day moving average 18.95
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05:47 EDTOn The Fly: Morning Wrap-Up for July 20
Globex S&P futures are recently up 2.25 from previous day’s SPX cash close. Nikkei 225 up 0.25%, Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index up 0.22%, DAX up 0.79%. WTI Crude oil is recently at $50.91, natural gas down 1.57%, gold at $1131 an ounce, copper down 0.30%.
03:50 EDTFX Action: USD-JPY is plying a tight range
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03:05 EDTFX Update: The euro has started the new week under pressure
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