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News Breaks
February 8, 2013
09:40 EDTConsumer Sentiment Index to be reported at 09:55
February Consumer Sentiment Index will be reported at 09:55 . Current consensus is 75.0
News For NOSYMBOL From The Last 14 Days
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April 2, 2014
10:10 EDTU.S. Factory Goods Preview
U.S. Factory Goods Preview: February factory goods orders are expected to be up 1.5% (median 1.2%) following a 0.8% decline in January. Shipments and inventories should both reveal 0.8% gains for the month. This report comes alongside the already released durable goods figures for the month where analysts saw orders up 2.2%, shipments up 0.9% and inventories up 0.8%.
10:10 EDTU.S. factory orders rebounded 1.6% in February
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10:07 EDTMarket drifting in early trading
Stock futures weakened following the generally in-line ADP employment change report, leading to a mixed open for the broader market. The indexes have moved in a narrow range since the open, with all three major averages hugging the flat line. The ISM New York report on business had a reading of 52.0, which was down from last month’s 57.0. Factory orders increased 1.6% in February, versus expectations for an increase of 1.2%. Following those reports, the Dow is up 14 points, the Nasdaq is up 7 points and the S&P is up 2 points.
10:05 EDTHilsenrath delicately stepped on the Yellen-bashing bandwagen
Hilsenrath delicately stepped on the Yellen-bashing bandwagen last night in a WSJ piece (subscription) on her selection of two ex-cons as examples of long-term unemployment in Monday's speech. That "bombshell" had been circulating on blogs for much of yesterday as a way to discredit her, especially for those made uncomfortable with her attempt to humanize the long-term unemployment picture as "not just statistics." The Fedwatcher, who has fostered the role as a Fed mouthpiece, cited both backers of and detractors to this new approach. He also confirmed that Yellen was aware of the individuals' criminal backgrounds and worked with a Chicago employment network that seeks to place ex-offenders in jobs to source them for the speech, rather than mistakenly including them. Yellen critics smelled some blood in the water after her "6-months" reference and were only too happy to jump on this one as well, however, the 4 bp back-up in T-note yields has more to do with ADP and payrolls than Fed credibility for now.
10:00 EDTFactory Orders data reported
February Factory Orders up 1.6% vs. consensus of 1.2% for the month
09:30 EDTTreasury Action: Treasuries are pricing in upside risk to jobs report
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09:23 EDTArgus's media and telecoms analyst hold an analyst/industry conference call
Research Director Kelleher, along with Media & Telecoms Analyst Bonner and Argus President Eade, discuss catalysts and risks in the rapidly evolving media and telecommunications sector on an Analyst/Industry conference call to be held on April 9 at 11 am.
09:15 EDTU.S. equities are off earlier highs after ADP
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08:55 EDTFX Action: USD-CAD is under 1.1010
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08:50 EDTTreasury Option Action: bearish put positioning
Treasury Option Action: bearish put positioning is suspected in overnight trade, with a likely buyer of 5k in May 121.5/122.5 put spreads on 10-year futures. As Jun 10s 7-ticks lower near 123-045 at least the positioning fits with the price action after roaming in a 123-135 to 123-025 range on Globex.
08:42 EDTJPMorgan to hold a conference
Public Finance Transportation & Utility Conference is being held in New York on April 2-3.
08:39 EDTDeutsche Bank to hold a conference
Pan European Small & Mid Cap 14th Annual Conference is being held in London, England on April 2-3.
08:38 EDTJPMorgan to hold a conference
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08:38 EDTStandard & Poor's to hold a symposium
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08:35 EDTThe 191k March ADP rise
The 191k March ADP rise sits only a tad below our estimate of a 205k March private payroll rise with a 200k overall payroll gain, following a February ADP boost to a 178k (was 139k) gain that reversed the gap to the 162k BLS private payroll increase. The ADP data are less subject to a March bounce from a weather-depressed February level than the BLS data, so today's small undershoot may actually suggest upside BLS payroll risk. Workers are included in the ADP payroll data even if they miss work due to bad weather, while in the BLS survey, workers are only counted as working if they worked during the BLS survey period. Also, the "as reported" ADP figures have run 26k/month weaker than private payrolls over the seventeen months since the October 2012 methodology change by Moody's. Note that the component mix of ADP gains almost exactly tracked the composition of our payroll estimate, with gains of 28k for goods employment, 20 for construction, 5k for factories and 164k for services. For a discussion of the risks with Friday's U.S. jobs report, see Monday's commentary, edited to incorporate data released since then.
08:32 EDTHMG Strategy to hold a summit
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08:30 EDTFutures drift higher following ADP employment report
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08:30 EDTTreasury Action: yields spiked higher on ADP
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08:30 EDTFX Action: The dollar moved modestly higher
FX Action: The dollar moved modestly higher after the slightly better ADP jobs print, taking EUR-USD to intra day lows near 1.3779 from 1.3795, and USD-JPY up to 103.81 from under 103.70. Equity futures are fractionally higher, while Treasury yields edged up a touch.
08:25 EDTU.S. ADP private payrolls increased 191k in March
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