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February 8, 2013
09:00 EDTIndustrial Production Capacity Utilization Rate to be reported at 09:15
January Industrial Production Capacity Utilization Rate will be reported at 09:15 . Current consensus is 78.9%
News For NOSYMBOL From The Last 14 Days
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September 9, 2014
16:35 EDTWeek of 9/20 ICSC-Goldman Store Sales to be released at 07:45
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15:15 EDTTreasury Closing Summary:
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14:45 EDTTreasury Action: the 10-year note is reopened tomorrow
Treasury Action: the 10-year note is reopened tomorrow ($21 B size), and the auction could suffer the same fate as today's given worries over next week's FOMC decision. The Fed is widely expected to trim another $10 B from QE asset purchases (ahead of an expected October end date) and adjust forward guidance, likely doing away with the "considerable time" phrase as rate lift-off draws ever nearer (though it's still many months out). The wi has cheapened 3 bps today to 2.51%. That would be the cheapest award rate in a couple of months, but that is still rich on an outright basis and may not compensate sufficiently for other risks. However, with a still very wide spread to Europe, overseas demand should remain supportive. Last month's $24 B new issue was awarded at 2.439% and saw a 2.83 cover, better than the 2.71 average, and garnered a strong 47.0% indirect bid (44.0% average).
14:15 EDTU.S. equities got an iWatch pop
U.S. equities got an iWatch pop which finally gave investors something new to cheer about, following the supersized iPhone 6s and iPay system, which lifted NASDAQ comp nearly back into the green. Treasury yields and the dollar were not impressed, however, by the modest swings on stocks.
13:25 EDTU.S. Wholesale Trade Preview
U.S. Wholesale Trade Preview: July wholesale trade data will be released on Wednesday and should reveal a 1.0% (median 0.6%) gain for sales following a 0.2% increase in June. Inventories are expected to be up 0.6% following a 0.3% increase in June. Data in line with this forecast would leave the I/S ratio holding steady for a third month at 1.17.
13:15 EDTTreasury's $27 B 3-year auction results were underwhelming
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13:15 EDTTreasury Action: 3-year yields probed higher
Treasury Action: 3-year yields probed higher in the wake of the $27 B auction, which garnered mixed results and saw the current 3-year yield probe over 1.04%, compared to overnight lows of 1.015% and the 1.066% award rate on the new notes. With Treasuries defensive ahead of any language changes in next week's FOMC statement, the Treasury may have a little challenge peddling supply this week.
12:40 EDTTreasury 3-year auction preview: the auction should go pretty well
Treasury 3-year auction preview: the auction should go pretty well thanks to the back-up in yield. The wi has cheapened to 1.065%, and a stop there would be the highest since April 2011, and the first 1.0% coupon since May 2011. The note is also somewhat cheap on the curve given the bias toward curve flatteners. There should be good sponsorship from foreign accounts thanks to the yield premium, especially with shorter dated German rates still in negative territory and easy monetary policy from the ECB expected to remain in place. On the other hand, the advent of the FOMC next week, with a good chance that the "considerable time" language is dumped, may leave buyers sidelined. Additionally there could be some worry after the SF Fed's study suggested the Treasury market maybe too complacent on interest rate risks. The note has been special in repo, but recent data suggest the short base has dwindled. And, the general tone in global bonds has turned more bearish. The August sale was awarded at 0.924% and garnered a below average 3.03 cover (3.32 average) and a solid 36.2% indirect bid (33.0% average). Direct bidders took 19.0%, while primary dealers garnered 44.8%.
12:00 EDTTreasury's $35 B 4-week bill auction was very strong
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12:00 EDTU.S. equities rolled over to lows
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11:15 EDTFed Governor Tarullo stuck to regulatory issues in his testimony
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10:55 EDTDoubleline's Gundlach sees USD-JPY at 200
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10:35 EDTTreasury Option Action: mixed positioning in the 5-year
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10:35 EDTTreasury 3-year auction outlook: the global selloff in bonds
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10:20 EDTU.S. JOLTS report showed job openings slipped 2k to 4,673k in July
U.S. JOLTS report showed job openings slipped 2k to 4,673k in July after climbing 98k to 4,675k (revised from 4,671k) in June. This breaks a string of 5 consecutive monthly increases, though it's still one of the highest levels since 2001. Hirings increased 81k to 4,872k following June's 53k rebound to 4,791k (revised from 4,830k). Quitters increased 33k to 2,517k following a 3k June decline to 2,484k (revised from 2,534k). Despite the slippage in some of the stats, the report nevertheless meshes with other data reflecting the improved labor market.
10:10 EDTShort positioning in Treasuries was trimmed
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09:50 EDTFX Action: USD-JPY losses were short lived
FX Action: USD-JPY losses were short lived, as the pairing held support into the 106 level, before bouncing back to 106.30. From here however, new selling interest is reportedly moving in from 106.40, with Japanese interest noted. Near term, analysts suspect analysts may have seen the highs for now, with a move under 106.00 likely to squeeze out dome weaker recently taken long positions. Under 106.00, standing bids are not seen until 105.75.
09:23 EDTHouse Science, Space and Technology Committee to hold a hearing
The Energy and Oversight Subcommittees examines characteristics and behavior of crude oil produced from the Bakken region in North Dakota, Montana and Canada in a joint hearing entitled, "Bakken Petroleum: The Substance of Energy Independence" on September 9 at 2 pm. Webcast Link
09:14 EDTHouse Energy & Commerce Committee to hold a hearing
The Subcommittee on Health holds a hearing entitled, "21st Century Cures: Examining the Regulation of Laboratory Developed Tests" with FDA Director Shuren on September 9 at 9:30 am. Webcast Link
09:10 EDTFed governor Tarullo will testify before the Senate Banking Committee
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