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News For NOSYMBOL From The Last 14 Days
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October 31, 2014
09:05 EDTToday's U.S. income report revealed a September undershoot
Today's U.S. income report revealed a September undershoot for both income and spending after modest boosts back in July that left a down-tilt in the Q3 figures around the disappointing quarterly averages in yesterday's GDP report. Income rose just 0.2% in September with 0.2% declines in both nominal and "real" consumption, with spending hits from retail sales declines alongside a service consumption rise as analysts further reverse a big July weather-hit. The 0.2% September income rise undershot the 0.5% hours-worked rise with a flat hourly earnings figure in the last jobs report, while the 0.2% September consumption drop tracked the 0.3% headline retail sales drop with a 0.2% ex-auto decline. Analysts lowered our Q4 GDP growth forecast to 2.5% (was 2.8%), following yesterday's 3.5% Q3 growth figure. Analysts lowered our Q4 real consumption growth forecast to 2.4% (was 2.7%), following the disappointing 1.8% Q3 climb. Analysts expect lean personal income growth of just 3.3% in Q4 with a 2.9% pace for disposable income, following higher prior respective growth rates of 4.2% and 4.0% in Q3,and 6.3% and 6.8% in Q2.
08:55 EDTFX Action: USD-CAD ran up from 1.1180
FX Action: USD-CAD ran up from 1.1180 into the Canadian GDP data, to over 1.1250 in the aftermath, where the marginally softer outcome saw buyers step in. Monday's 1.1255 high is in sight now, with the 1.1300 level set to move back into the cross hairs on a break of the level. Gold is down nearly 3%, while WTI crude is now down flirting with the $80/bbl mark, both likely to weigh further on the CAD.
08:50 EDTTreasury Action: yields steadied mid-range
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08:45 EDTU.S. ECI climbed another 0.7% in Q3
U.S. ECI climbed another 0.7% in Q3, the same pace as in Q2 and more than double Q1's 0.3%. And it's up 2.2% y/y versus 2.0% y/y in Q2. Compensation increased 0.8% last quarter after a 0.6% increase previously, with benefits up 0.6%, a little cooler compared to the 1.0% Q2 surge.
08:45 EDTFX Action: The dollar pulled back fractionally
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08:40 EDTU.S. personal income rose 0.2% in September, while spending fell 0.2%
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08:37 EDTFutures continue to suggest a sharply higher open
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08:35 EDTOil Action: NYMEX crude is down nearly 1.0%,
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08:34 EDTEmployment Cost Index ECI data reported
Employment Cost Index ECI up 0.7% vs. consensus of 0.5% for the quarter
08:10 EDTU.S. employment cost index preview:
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08:10 EDTU.S. personal income preview:
U.S. personal income preview: personal income is expected to grow 0.4% in September (median 0.3%), while consumption should be unchanged (median 0.1%). For the PCE chain price data, analysts expect a -0.1% rate for September with an unchanged rate for the core, which compares to CPI forecasts of -0.1% and 0.2%. for more detail.
08:00 EDTTreasury Market Outlook: Treasuries are lower
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07:55 EDTN.Y. FX Outlook
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07:19 EDTWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund volatility flat into Bank of Japan stimulus
WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund overall option implied volatility of 20 compares to its 26-week average of 19 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement into Bank of Japan significantly expanding its stimulus program.
07:17 EDTCurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust volatility flat into Bank of Japan stimulus
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07:15 EDTFutures soar on Japan monetary stimulus
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07:14 EDTFDA to hold a public hearing
The FDA holds Day 2 of "Development & Regulation of Abuse-Deterrent Opioid Medications" in Silver Spring, Maryland on October 31 at 8:30 am. Webcast Link
07:05 EDTFX Update: The yen dove sharply on the unexpected BoJ easing
FX Update: The yen dove sharply on the unexpected BoJ easing, which saw USD-JPY spike to a six-year peak at 111.67, so far, well up on yesterday's 109.26 NY closing level. EUR-JPY rallied by over two big figures to a five-week highs above 140, and other yen crosses saw a similar price action. The BoJ announcement of an expansion in QQE came by a tight vote of 5-4 and was a complete shock to markets. Aside from causing the dive in the yen, the Nikkei stock index surged by nearly 5% and the 10-year JGB yield tumbled to new cycle lows (in the case of stocks there was also a report by Reuters, citing sources, that Japan will give approval to the government pension fund's plan to increase equity holdings). Elsewhere, the dollar traded generally firm. EUR-USD ground out a fresh three-week low at 1.2541 before the euro managed a muted rebound on the flash Oct Eurozone CPI estimate, which nudged to 0.4% y/y form 0.3% in September.
06:35 EDTEuro zone October inflation was in-line with expectations, Reuters says
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05:53 EDTNovember front month equity options last day to trade is November 21, 2014
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