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Stock Market & Financial Investment News

News For NOSYMBOL From The Last 14 Days
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February 5, 2016
12:00 EDTChina fired a shot across the bows of speculators
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11:30 EDTFX Action: USD-JPY has recovered
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11:05 EDTU.S. equities have extended losses
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10:55 EDTFor the U.S. jobs data impact on the quarterly outlook
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10:45 EDTJobs report keeps Fed March hike decision in limbo
Jobs report keeps Fed March hike decision in limbo according to the spin from WSJ Fedwatcher Hilsenrath (subscription), leaving the Fed in "watchful waiting mode." He said the Fed had been expecting the pace of payrolls gains to slow down from 279k average in Q4 and Yellen at the December JEC had said even 100k growth would be sufficient to keep absorb new entrants and stabilize unemployment. Moreover, the dip in the jobless rate below 5.0% "reinforces the central theme behind the Fed's December rate increase--slack in the job market is diminishing and will eventually lead to more wage and inflation pressure. A 12-cent increase in average hourly earnings, which lifted wages by 2.5% from a year earlier, underscores that theme." For now the Fed is balancing slower Q4 growth against any more signs of firming inflation or wages, or jobless dip. But, "it is likely to be a last-minute decision either way, keeping investors guessing along the way," he said. In either case, it would appear that volatility will be the winner in the meantime.
10:25 EDTEnergy Action: NYMEX crude crashed to $30.92
Energy Action: NYMEX crude crashed to $30.92 lows from post-jobs report highs of $32.42, before recovering to current $31.55 levels. Oversupply concerns continue to kill any nascent oil rallies, and without an agreement from producers to cut back supply, the market is expected to sell into strength, as it has been for months.
10:25 EDTAtlanta Fed's GDPNow for Q1 was raised to 2.2%
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10:20 EDTThe U.S. trade deficit rose by less than expected
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10:05 EDTCanada Ivey PMI Preview
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09:38 EDTJobs data and oil weigh on market
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09:30 EDTEuro$ interest rate futures hit the deck
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09:15 EDTU.S. equities extended losses following payrolls
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09:15 EDTThe U.S. jobs data beat estimates by all metrics but payrolls
The U.S. jobs data beat estimates by all metrics but payrolls, which posted a restrained 151k headline gain despite an oddly robust 40k goods sector rise that defied weakness in other January reports. Annual revisions lowered the December payroll level by 105k, leaving a net upward revision for job growth since the larger 206k downward revision in the benchmark month of March. The workweek rose to a cycle-high 34.6 and hours-worked surged by 0.4%, though with a flat hours-worked figure for the goods sector, alongside an outsized 0.5% surge for average hourly earnings. Even the household sector beat estimates with gains of 615k for civilian employment and 502k for the labor force, though note that analysts often see big January swings in these measures, while the jobless rate plunged to a cycle-low 4.92% alongside a participation rate rise to 62.7%. The report will boost monthly estimates for January as well as prospects for Q1 GDP, though our estimate will remain at 1.8%.
08:55 EDTFX Action: USD-CAD popped up to 1.3805
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08:50 EDTU.S. trade deficit widened 2.7% to $43.4 B in December
U.S. trade deficit widened 2.7% to $43.4 B in December, from the $42.2 B November shortfall (revised from $42.4 B). Exports dipped 0.3% while imports rose 0.3%. Excluding petroleum, the deficit was $37.4 B versus -$36.8 B (revised from -$37.0 B). The "real" trade balance widened to -$60.3 B compared to November's -$59.2 B (revised from -$59.6 B), with real goods exports rising 0.2% and goods imports climbing 0.8%. The trade balance with Canada fell to -$2.2 B from -$0.5 B previously, but narrowed with China to -$27.9 B from -$31.3 B.
08:50 EDTTreasury Action: yields whipsawed
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08:45 EDTU.S. nonfarm payrolls rose 151k in January
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08:45 EDTFX Action: The dollar initially fell
FX Action: The dollar initially fell following the jobs report, where NFP missed expectations, though the unemployment rate fell to cycle lows of 4.9%, and hourly earnings rose more than expected. Dollar losses were short-lived, as major pairings quickly returned to pre-data levels. Meanwhile, the December trade deficit was in-line with expectations. EUR-USD popped to trend highs of 1.1255 from 1.1200 before heading briefly back under the figure, as USD-JPY dropped to 116.28 lows from 116.70, then bounced briefly to 117.05 before returning to 116.60.
08:36 EDTFutures move lower following jobs data
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08:32 EDTInternational Trade Balance Level data reported
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