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News For NOSYMBOL From The Last 14 Days
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November 27, 2015
11:20 EDTFed's Beige Book preview:
Fed's Beige Book preview: the Fed's Beige Book (Wednesday) will reiterate the economy continues to expand at a moderate to modest pace, and hence will support expectations for a December 16 rate hike. Anyway, it's the jobs report (Friday) that will be most important for policymakers, though it will have to be exceptionally weak to get the Fed to delay again. This report is likely to read much like October's where consumer spending was mostly higher, non-financial service activity generally strengthened, while manufacturing was mixed. Labor markets probably remained tight too, though wage and price pressures remained moderate.
11:15 EDTFX Action: USD-JPY rallied to 122.78 highs
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10:15 EDTTreasury Action: action is the word for next week with the ECB headlining
Treasury Action: action is the word for next week with the ECB headlining various central bank meetings, testimony form Fed Chair Yellen, and plenty of global data on inflation, trade, and employment, including the key U.S. non-farm payroll report. The ECB is widely expected to announce more QE stimulus next Thursday. Meanwhile, the RBA meets Tuesday and while it's expected to remain on hold, recent economic reports have been disappointing and open the possibility for more easing from the current 2% target rate. The RBI and BoC also announces policy decisions Tuesday, and Wednesday, respectively, and both are expected to hold steady. Yellen testifies to the JEC on Thursday and her comments will be closely scrutinized for any hints that a December 16 rate hike is NOT in the cards. The week concludes with the November jobs report on Friday.
09:42 EDTCLSA software analyst holds an analyst/industry conference call
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09:10 EDTTreasury Action: let the shopping begin
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08:45 EDTFX Action: USD-CAD was on three-session highs
FX Action: USD-CAD was on three-session highs of 1.3353 in early North American trade, as the greenback posted broad gains, and as oil prices were pressured. Canadian IPPI came in as expected, while RMPI was a bit hotter than forecast, though had little impact on the CAD, which has printed 1.3356. Traders will now eye oil prices, where a WTI break under $42 will likely see USD-CAD advance further.
08:32 EDTFutures slightly higher ahead of holiday-shortened session
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08:25 EDTCanada IPPI Preview
Canada IPPI Preview: Analysts expect the industrial product price index (IPPI) to fall 0.5% (m/m, nsa) in October after the 0.3% declines in August and September. The Canadian dollar appreciated (on a month average basis) in October, which analysts expect will drive the expected decline in October. The CAD gained value versus the USD, as the USD-CAD fell (so takes more CAD to buy a USD) 1.5% to a month average 1.307 in October. A 2.0% m/m drop in the CPI's gasoline price index also points to a drop in the IPPI during October The BoC's commodity price index slipped 0.4% m/m in October after the 2.3% gain in September. The IPPI is expected to post a -0.2% y/y rate of decline in October after the 0.4% drop in September. The RMPI is projected to rise 1.0% October, driven by a modest rise in oil prices from September.
08:10 EDTEnergy Action: NYMEX crude is down 1.75%
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07:55 EDTTreasury Market Outlook: bonds are in rally mode outside of Asia
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07:50 EDTN.Y. FX Outlook
N.Y. FX Outlook: The dollar firmed up in London dealings, following a very quiet Thursday session, taking EUR-USD to 1.0575, just above the 1.0565 trend low printed on Wednesday. USD-JPY recovered to near 122.65 from 122.31 lows, as cable posted three-week lows of 1.5032. The U.S. calendar is empty today, and a post-Thanksgiving early close in the bond market and on Wall Street should combine for an uneventful Friday session.
07:45 EDTFX Update: The dollar rebounded
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07:41 EDTBarclays healthcare analysts hold an analyst/industry conference call
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07:41 EDTGuggenheim analysts hold an analyst/industry conference call
Analysts provide an update on Washington policies on an Analyst/Industry conference call to be held on November 27 at 11 am.
07:34 EDTWisdomTree Dreyfus Chinese Yuan Fd volatility at low end of range
WisdomTree Dreyfus Chinese Yuan Fd December call option implied volatility is at 10, January is at 12; compared to its 52-range of 6 to 33, suggesting decreasing price movement into wide yuan movement.
05:33 EDTOn The Fly: Morning Wrap-Up for November 27
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03:55 EDTThe Shanghai Composite closed 5.5% for the worse
The Shanghai Composite closed 5.5% for the worse -- its worst daily decline since August. Other markets in the Asia region fared better, though most were down. The catalyst behind the sell-off in China was news that a number of brokerages are being investigated for alleged violation of securities regulations. A deluge of data out of Japan today were mixed, and didn't have a big impact on markets. Headline CPI 0.3% y/y in October, but the core figure was -0.1%, and household spending dove 2.4% last month, adding to a 0.4% decline in September. Japanese unemployment fell to a 20-year low of 3.1% in October, down from 3.4%, but this was down to a shrinking labour force. The most-recent survey by Reuters found near all respondents were expecting the BoJ to expand monetary policy at its January meeting, and the data don't impact much change on this front.
02:45 EDTFX Update: The dollar is trading moderately softer
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02:37 EDTWeek of 12/9 Fed Balance Sheet to be released at 16:30
02:37 EDTWeek of 11/30 Money Supply to be released at 16:30
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