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News For NOSYMBOL From The Last 14 Days
Check below for free stories on NOSYMBOL the last two weeks.
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August 15, 2014
14:10 EDTFed's Bullard said the FOMC is debating the timing of rate lift-off
Fed's Bullard said the FOMC is debating the timing of rate lift-off, in an XM Sirius radio interview. He looks for the first rate hike at the end of Q1 2015 (which would mean the March 17, 18 FOMC), underpinned by the improving labor market. But he admitted that he is on the "early side" of other FOMC members. He noted that recent data has been strong, consistent with the Fed's outlook, and fears the markets are pricing in too dovish a view. The 10-year TIPS (at 0.133%) is "shockingly low." And he's been surprised at market stability in the face of the QE tapering. The slightly more hawkish Bullard is not a voter this year or next.
12:38 EDTJuly Personal Income and Outlays to be released at 08:30
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12:25 EDTU.S T-note technicals: bulls are still in the driver's seat
U.S T-note technicals: bulls are still in the driver's seat as Ukrainian border skirmishes with Russian "humanitarian" forces, along with very dovish remarks on the Fed's inflation target miss by Kocherlakota fueling the rally. This followed on the heels of flat-negative euro-GDP readings and break in the Bund below 1.0% this week. The T-note yield close below 2.40%, followed by a breach of 2.349% August-8 lows puts it in contention for the lowest level since the QE "taper tantrum" gap in late-June of 2013 as those with stubborn bearish positioning are forced to square up. That puts gap range lows of 2.11% from 21-Jun-13 in the cross-hairs and 1.99% below, while 2.40/2.44% reverts to yield resistance, with the 2.50% psych area above.
11:55 EDTMore dovespeak from Kocherlakota: unemployment is unacceptably high
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11:35 EDTPIMCO's Gross Tweeted: on "Global deflation:
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11:25 EDTFX Action: USD-CAD is back over 1.0900
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11:15 EDTU.S. equities retreated back into the red
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11:05 EDTFed dove Kocherlakota: Fed still "some way" from full employment
Fed dove Kocherlakota: Fed still "some way" from full employment and is a "long way" from its employment goal. He doesn't expect inflation goal of 2% to be reached until 2018, meaning resources remain underutilized, even as the jobless rate is seen falling to 5.7% this year. He sees that low rate masking continued weakness in the labor market as the fraction of prime-age potential workers with a job is "disturbingly low." This very dovish view is contributing to the latest drop in T-note yield through the 2.349% Aug-8 low along with ongoing gains in Bunds.
10:55 EDTFX Action: USD-JPY has eased to intra day lows
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10:54 EDTUkraine says troops 'destroy' part of Russian convoy, Bloomberg reports
Bloomberg cites a Ukrainian military spokesperson. Reports from Bloomberg and other news services of increased tension in Ukraine have coincided with a downturn in the averages, The Fly notes.
10:50 EDTPhilly Fed's survey of forecasts showed little change in outlooks on the economy
Philly Fed's survey of forecasts showed little change in outlooks on the economy versus those of three months ago, in the latest report. The panel of professional forecasters project real GDP growth of 3.0% this quarter, and 3.1% in Q4, to bring 2014 growth (annual average over annual average) to 2.1%, a slight downgrade from the 2.4% estimate from May. Growth is expected to pick up to 3.1% in 2015 but slip to 2.9% in 2016 and then 2.8% in 2017. Continued improvement in the labor market is anticipated, with the annual average unemployment rate projected at 6.3% for this year, and dropping to 5.7% in 2015, and 5.4% in 2016. Employment is forecast at a monthly average 228.6k increase for Q3 and 211.2k for Q4, bringing 2014's monthly average gain to 204.8k. That's up a bit from the May estimate of 196.5k. Meanwhile, headline 2014 CPI is seen at a 2.3% clip, revised up from 1.9% in the prior forecast, with the core rate at 2.1% versus 1.8% previously.
10:30 EDTToday's U.S. reports
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10:19 EDTCLSA technology analysts hold an analyst/industry conference call
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10:15 EDTThe August Michigan sentiment drop to 79.2
The August Michigan sentiment drop to 79.2 from 81.8 in July extended the pattern of oscillations around a lean level with a painfully small cyclical uptrend. Michigan sentiment faces headwinds from a deteriorating geopolitical backdrop, limited credit availability, and disruptions from Obamacare, though confidence has enjoyed a 2014 lift from rising equity and home prices. Confidence continues to underperform consumption and payrolls. The tendency for under-estimates in the preliminary report has dissipated somewhat in 2014, though analysts've still seen an upward revision in every month of 2014 with a 0.7 average boost, following a larger 1.8 average boost in 2013. Analysts expect the August reading to sit in the 80.0 area after revision in the final report. Analysts expect an August consumer confidence drop to 87.0 after the July pop to a 90.9 cycle-high from a lower 86.4 in June, versus last year's temporary June peak of 82.1. Analysts've seen small diverging August wiggles in most available confidence indicators as they fluctuate around their mid-2013 levels.
10:10 EDTFX Action: The dollar edged marginally lower
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10:10 EDTU.S. consumer confidence fell 2.6 points to 79.2 in the preliminary August
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10:10 EDTTreasury Action: soft U. Michigan boosted prices
Treasury Action: soft U. Michigan boosted prices on Treasuries and futures, while lowering the boom on yields again to knock the T-note below 2.38% to session lows and still eying 2.349% Aug-8 lows. Yet stocks have opened higher and continue to rejoice on the Fed policy implications ahead of Yellen's Jackson Hole keynote address next week, along with the perception of lower risk in the Mid-East and Ukraine however tenuous. Yet, bearish put demand on the options front has been noted at the long-end.
10:00 EDTTreasury Option Action: some bearish positioning at the long-end
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09:55 EDTU.S. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Preview
U.S. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Preview: The first release on Michigan Sentiment should reveal a headline increase to 82.0 (median 81.5) after the July dip to 81.8. The secondary measures of confidence for the month were mixed with the RBC-CASH Index rising to 51.5 from 50.5 and the IBD/TIPP declining to 44.5 from 45.6.
09:50 EDTThe 0.4% July U.S. industrial production rise matched our estimate
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<< 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | all recent NOSYMBOL news | >>

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