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Stock Market & Financial Investment News

News Breaks
January 2, 2013
14:45 EDTMoody's: 'Cliff' deal not basis for meaningful improvement in U.S. debt ratios
Moody's Investors Service said that the fiscal package passed by both houses of Congress yesterday is a further step in clarifying the medium-term deficit and debt trajectory of the federal government. It does not, however, provide a basis for a meaningful improvement in the government's debt ratios over the medium term. The rating agency expects that further fiscal measures are likely to be taken in coming months that would result in lower future budget deficits, which are necessary if the negative outlook on the government's bond rating is to be returned to stable. On the other hand, lack of further deficit reduction measures could affect the rating negatively. Notably, yesterday's package does not address the federal government's statutory debt limit, which was reached on December 31. The need to raise the debt limit may affect the outcome of future budget negotiations. Moody's said the macroeconomic effects of the package are positive, since it averts the recession that would likely have occurred had personal income taxes gone up for all income levels. However, the increase in the Social Security payroll tax from 4.2% to 6.2% of income that became effective on January 1 will likely be a constraint on growth in coming quarters. Furthermore, expenditure cuts that may be decided in coming months could also affect the rate of GDP growth in the near term. Overall, therefore, the recent package mitigates part of the fiscal drag on the economy associated with the fiscal cliff but does not eliminate it. Moody's added that it believes that the debt limit will eventually be raised and that the risk of default on Treasury bonds is extremely low, this confluence of events adds uncertainty to the outcome of negotiations. However, the spending measures that result from the negotiations will form part of the medium-term outlook for the budget deficit. Moody's will need to consider these measures in assessing the rating outlook. Further revenue measures may also form part of the negotiations. The debt trajectory resulting from this process is likely to determine whether the Aaa rating is returned to a stable outlook or downgraded to Aa1, as Moody's previously stated.
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January 16, 2015
08:45 EDTU.S. CPI fell 0.4% in December with the core rate unchanged
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08:43 EDTThe ABA's Economic Advisory Committee holds a press conference
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08:35 EDTFutures continue to suggest another lower open
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08:25 EDTFedspeak is due from a trio of doves
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08:20 EDTEnergy Action: NYMEX crude recovered from overnight lows
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08:20 EDTU.S. CPI Preview
U.S. CPI Preview: December CPI should reveal a -0.2% (median 0.4%) headline decline as falling oil prices continue to weigh on the report. Analysts expect the core to be up 0.1% for the month. This comes on the heels of a -0.3% headline in November with a 0.1% core increase. December's PPI report revealed a 0.3% headline decline but with a 0.3% increase for the core.
07:50 EDTN.Y. FX Outlook
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07:50 EDTTreasury Market Outlook: Treasuries are a little lower
Treasury Market Outlook: Treasuries are a little lower, in contrast to gains in Asian and European sovereigns as the SNB's currency actions continue to reverberate. Trading volume remained heavy. The 2-year Treasury yield has edged up to 0.43%, while the 10-year is at 1.72%. There's been some back-up in Greek rates on reports some banks are seeking for Emergency Liquidity Assistance. Equities are mixed with European bourses mostly in the green, while Asian shares and U.S. equity futures are lower. The dollar was mostly firmer. Not surprisingly, many economists are cutting Swiss growth forecasts. As for overnight data, Eurozone HICP was confirmed at -0.2%. U.S. data includes December CPI, industrial production and preliminary January consumer sentiment figures. It will also be very interesting to hear comments from the Fed's Kocherlakota, Williams, and Bullard in the face of the SNB's move and with further declines in oil prices.
07:45 EDTCFA Society of Chicago to hold a luncheon meeting
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07:44 EDTFederal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President speaks on economic outlook
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07:43 EDTFederal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President speaks on monetary policy
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07:40 EDTFutures lower as market slide continues
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07:10 EDTFX Update: The dollar remained generally supported
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06:57 EDTFed looks set to raise rates in Q2, Reuters says
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06:06 EDTOn The Fly: Morning Wrap-Up for January 16
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05:52 EDTJanuary front month equity options last day to trade is January 16, 2015
04:25 EDTFX Action: USD-JPY steadier around after earlier rebound
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02:25 EDTFX Update: The dollar has been steady-to-softer
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02:03 EDTWeek of 1/28 Fed Balance Sheet to be released at 16:30
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02:03 EDTWeek of 1/19 Money Supply to be released at 16:30
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