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December 28, 2012
08:15 EDTEmployment Situation Unemployment Rate to be reported at 08:30
December Employment Situation Unemployment Rate will be reported at 08:30 . Current consensus is 7.8%
News For NOSYMBOL From The Last 14 Days
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February 18, 2015
13:45 EDTEnergy Action: NYMEX crude has posted new intra day lows
Energy Action: NYMEX crude has posted new intra day lows of $51.84, falling from session highs of $53.19, and under early lows of $51.89. Sources say the Exxon-Mobil refinery incident in California had little to do with the latest crude sell-off, though with refinery maintenance and labor action outages, a broken refinery won't do anything to improve the crude demand picture.
13:35 EDTU.S. FOMC minutes preview:
U.S. FOMC minutes preview: the minutes should reveal a more upbeat outlook on the economy and labor market. But there's not likely to be any strong indication over the timing of rate liftoff. Nevertheless, the tone of minutes could set the stage for Fed Chair Yellen's Monetary Policy Report next week. The discussion around the inclusion of the "financial and international developments," the main surprise out of the January 27, 28 policy statement will be closely examined for any hints on what risks might be standing out. Also of interest will be the new watch word, "patient." Analysts're likely to see considerable discussion over its longevity. Fedspeak has indicated most Committee members support the view that inflation is being temporarily depressed by declining energy prices.
12:40 EDTTreasury Curve Action: slight flattening
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11:50 EDTFX Action: USD-JPY peaked at 119.36
FX Action: USD-JPY peaked at 119.36 early in the session, and has since faded to 119.08 lows, as stocks languish in shallow negative territory, and as yields fade some. Bidding interest has been reported into 119.00, with offers seen into 119.40 now. Stops are rumored at 119.50, though thick Japanese exporter offers are said to be parked from 119.80 to 120.00. BoJ chief Kuroda affirmed overnight that there is no imminent need for more stimulus, which for now at least may take some urgency away from buying USD-JPY.
11:45 EDTTreasury's $40 B 4-week bill auction was solid
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10:55 EDTToday's U.S. reports
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10:10 EDTEuro$ interest rate options: some bullish positioning in block trade
Euro$ interest rate options: some bullish positioning in block trade was reported in the form of purchases of 15k in September 95/96 call 1x2s and 3k in September call 2x3s. Otherwise it was a pretty quiet start, say sources, with the bullish sale of 1.5k in Short March 88 puts as well. The June 2015 contract is a half-tick higher near 99.57, while the deferreds are mixed ranging from -0.5 to +3 ticks.
10:00 EDTThe 0.2% U.S. industrial production utility-led bounce in January
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09:38 EDTMarket opens slightly lower after housing, industrial production data
Stock futures traded slightly below fair value throughout the pre-market trading session, with little help from the early economic reports, which included lower than expected housing starts and industrial production growth. The focus will now be on this afternoon’s release of the minutes from the January FOMC meeting, which are scheduled for release at 2:00 pm EST. In early trading, the Dow is down 34 points, the Nasdaq is down 2 points and the S&P is down 3 points.
09:35 EDTThe 2.0% January U.S. housing starts drop
The 2.0% January U.S. housing starts drop to a 1.065 M clip tracked estimates, after small downward revisions that left a small disappointment, alongside a 0.7% permits drop to a 1.053 M rate that reflected a new series based on a 2014 "universe" of places that require permits, versus 2004. January housing starts weakness was led by the single family component, which fell 6.7%, and with starts in the Midwest, which plunged 22% due to harsh weather. The weather has had an oscillating effect on data this winter, as a harsh November was followed by a mild December, but then harsh weather again in January and February. These gyrations were documented by the industrial production report's utility figures, given a 2.3% January bounce after a 6.9% December decline but 3.6% November rise. Beyond weather, the single-digit pace of the housing market recovery since 2013 is disappointing, as the sector faces an ongoing headwind from mortgage market dysfunction and investor caution. Analysts now expect growth for starts under construction of 14% in Q1 that matches the 14% (was 15%) rate in Q4, and our Q1 GDP estimate remains at 2.5%.
09:30 EDTTreasury Action: yields remained below highs
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09:30 EDTFX Action: The dollar eased a touch
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09:25 EDTU.S. industrial production rose 0.2% in January
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09:15 EDTFOMC minutes will show how "patient" debate is evolving
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09:06 EDTRedbook Store Sales data reported
Week of 2/14 Redbook Store Sales up 3.2% for the year
09:00 EDTU.S. equities are in shallow negative territory
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09:00 EDTFX Action: USD-CAD found support into the 1.2400 level
FX Action: USD-CAD found support into the 1.2400 level through the London morning session, and rallied to intra day highs of 1.2456 in early North American dealings. The move came as WTI crude touched intra day lows of $52.24, after peaking at $53.36 in London. Soft U.S. PPI data helped the USD in general a bit lower, which offset the better Canadian wholesale data, taking USD-CAD back into 1.2425.
09:00 EDTU.S. Industrial Production Preview
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08:55 EDTThe 0.8% U.S. January PPI drop
The 0.8% U.S. January PPI drop with a 0.1% core price decline undershot estimates thanks to a 0.8% plunge in transportation and warehousing service prices that allowed a 0.2% drop for service prices overall. Analysts saw the expected big 2.1% January goods price drop with declines of 10.3% for energy and 1.1% for food. Analysts expect a 0.1% PPI drop in February with a 0.1% core price rise, though if the early-February bounce in oil and gasoline prices continues analysts may need to raise these estimates into month-end. On the old SOP basis, analysts saw a 2.1% headline PPI plunge that followed decreases of 1.1% in December and 0.8% in November, alongside a 0.2% core price rise. Last Friday's trade price report revealed a huge 2.0% January export price plunge that accompanied an oil-led 2.8% import price decline, alongside core price declines of 0.4% for exports and 0.6% for imports. Analysts still expect 0.5% headline declines for both CPI and PCE chain prices, with a 0.1% core price gain for CPI and a flat PCE core figure.
08:45 EDTFX Action: The dollar moved a touch lower
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