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News For NOSYMBOL From The Last 14 Days
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July 25, 2014
13:09 EDTOver 15K Russian troops built up along Ukraine border, Reuters says
Reuters stated on Twitter that more than 15,000 Russian troops are now amassed along the border with Ukraine, citing the U.S. ambassador to NATO. Reference Link
11:55 EDTAnother leg lower on U.S. stocks tracked Europe
Another leg lower on U.S. stocks tracked Europe where equities hit the skids, lurching lower heading to the home stretch ahead of the weekend. The Euro Stoxx 50 is off 1.3%, while France's CAC is off 1.6%. Russian stocks remain underwater as well, with the MICEX off 1.5% and the RTS 1.7% lower on fears about even deeper sanctions as mortar rounds get lobbed back and forth across the border of Eastern Ukraine. The major U.S. indices are 0.5-0.7% lower as a result following earnings misses at Amazon and Visa, which soured sentiment overnight. Indeed, the biggest decliners in the Dow are Visa -4.8%, UnitedHealth -1.6% and AMEX -1.5%, while Verizon and McDonald's are 0.3% firmer.
11:35 EDTFX Action: USD-CAD pushed through the 1.0800 mark
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10:45 EDTIn a recap for bond bulls, PIMCO's Gross Tweeted:
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10:30 EDTTreasury Option Action: heavy 10-year combo activity
Treasury Option Action: heavy 10-year combo activity has been confirmed in overnight trade, entailing 40k in September 124 puts purchased against 20k in September 126 and 20k in September 126+ calls. Speculation is that this could be aimed at replacing positions rolling off given expirations today. Some 123k in Aug 124 puts are expected to expire worthless today. September 10-year futures are 6.5-ticks firmer with the opening downdraft on stocks, compared to a range of 125-08 to 124-30 so far.
10:00 EDTFed Policy Outlook: analysts don't expect any major revelations from the FOMC
Fed Policy Outlook: analysts don't expect any major revelations from the FOMC in next week's (July 29, 30) meeting. Another $10 B cut in QE purchases is pretty much a foregone conclusion, with the Fed expected to finish its buybacks in October with a $15 B reduction. And while there is likely to be a hot debate over the exit strategy and rate lift-off, Wednesday's policy statement won't give anything away in terms of explicit strategies or rate lift-off timing. Indeed, about the only material change in the statement relative to June's should be a slight upgrade to the economic outlook and labor market conditions, while the statement on inflation should reiterate prices are running below target but longer-term expectations have remained stable. The time is fast approaching, however, that the Fed will have to change the "considerable time" forward guidance, as well as update the markets on whether Treasury holdings will be allowed to expire, or be reinvested. Yellen's dovish nature and the general belief at the Fed that the stock of Treasuries in the portfolio is more important than flows suggest the former tactic may be employed. Analysts are still forecasting the first rate hike will take place in Q2. Many other Fedwatchers have been pushing up their forecasts from 2H. And given the improvement in the labor market, there is risk for a hike as early as the March 17, 18, 2015 meeting, especially as it includes a press conference.
09:57 EDTFutures weaken, leading to lower open
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09:30 EDTEuro$ interest rate options: straddle spread demand
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09:20 EDTTreasury Action: curve flatteners are generally in play
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09:20 EDTToday's U.S. durables report
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09:05 EDTBig decisions loom for the Fed
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08:55 EDTFX Action: The dollar gyrated a bit
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08:50 EDTU.S. equities rotated lower
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08:45 EDTTreasury Action: yields rotated lower
Treasury Action: yields rotated lower on the headline durables gain, which came in around consensus and didn't really set off any alarm bells either way. With stocks already loitering in the red, that left the T-note yield to probe below Asian lows near 2.50% to lows of 2.49%, down from overnight highs near 2.52%. The 2s-10s spread is right on top of +200 bp again. Both supply and the FOMC loom next week, which could keep the bond market finely balanced for now.
08:40 EDTU.S. durable goods orders rebounded 0.7% in June
U.S. durable goods orders rebounded 0.7% in June after a 1.0% May decline (revised down from -0.9%). The latter was the first decline since January. Transportation orders were up 0.6% as the 2.8% drop in May (revised from -3.0%) was partly unwound. Excluding transportation, orders were up 0.8% versus -0.1% previously. Nondefense capital goods orders excluding aircraft rebounded 1.4% versus the 1.2% May decline (revised from -1.1%). Shipments inched up 0.1% for a 6th straight monthly gain. Nondefense capital goods shipments excluding aircraft fell 1.0%. Inventories increased 0.4%.
08:34 EDTStock futures suggest relatively quiet open
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08:32 EDTCredit Suisse macroeconomics analysts hold analyst/industry conference call
Analysts provide an industry update and outlook on an Analyst/Industry conference call to be held on July 28 at 8 am.
08:20 EDTFed funds opened at 0.09%
Fed funds opened at 0.09%. The rate ranged from 0.05% to 0.31250% on Thursday with a 0.09% effective rate as the 2-week maintenance period came to a close. Interbank borrowing rates remained volatile at today's Libor fixing. The overnight dollar Libor rate edged up to 0.09150% after dipping to 0.09130% yesterday. The 1-week rate slipped to 0.12200%, unwinding yesterday's move up to 0.12325%. The 3-month rate fell to 0.23410% from 0.23510%. And the 12-month rate rose to 0.56010% versus Thursday's 0.55710%.
08:19 EDTHouse Science, Space and Technology Committee to hold a hearing
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08:10 EDTU.S. Durable Goods Preview
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