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News For NOSYMBOL From The Last 14 Days
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August 25, 2015
14:15 EDTFed discount rate minutes voted 6 to 5
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14:10 EDTU.S. Durable Goods Preview
U.S. Durable Goods Preview: July durable goods data is out Wednesday and should show orders up 1.0% (median -0.5%) following a 3.4% bounce in June. Analysts expect shipments to be up 1.5% from 0.5% in June and inventories to be up 0.6%, the same pace as June. Data in line with this forecast would leave the I/S ratio down to 1.66 after two months at 1.68. There is some downside risk as Boeing orders fell to 101 in July from 181 in June.
14:05 EDTMarket off best levels in afternoon trading
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13:25 EDTTreasury Action: short yields backed up to highs
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13:20 EDTU.S. 2-year auction results:
U.S. 2-year auction results: The short issue was awarded at 0.663%, slightly below the WI-level at the bid deadline and garnered a subpar 3.16 cover (vs 3.41 average, lowest since October) and decent 47.1% indirect bid (vs 45% average), while primary dealers took down 42.6% and directs 10.27%. Of the $26 B sale non-comps were $138.04 M. Overall not a great auction, but fair under the circumstances given recent outsized volatility, which has been feeding back into the Fed lift-off and trajectory outlook.
12:55 EDTU.S. 2-year auction preview:
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12:05 EDTTreasury Action: yields continue to levitate higher
Treasury Action: yields continue to levitate higher as stocks by and large sustained their opening bounce, lead by the long-end which is unwinding some of its recent outperformance. The bond yield is up 11.5 bp at 2.833%, the 10-year rose 10 bp to 2.10%, the 5-year is 8 bp higher near 1.44% and the 2-year yield rose 5.3 bp to 0.62% from opening levels. That's driven the 2s-10s spread out to +148 bp and the 5s-30s spread to +139 bp. The Bund/T-note spread meanwhile took a haircut to +138 bp.
11:15 EDTToday's U.S. reports
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11:10 EDTU.S. VIX volatility index is 20% lower near 32.0
U.S. VIX volatility index is 20% lower near 32.0 having closed at 40.74 Monday compared to session highs of 53.29 then. Considering the VIX was as low as 10.88 as recent as early August, the VIX chart is pretty astonishing and reports earlier in the week of a buyer of 50-calls on the VIX appear now to be vindicated (assuming they took profit). At 32.0 analysts're conviently trading right on the 50% retrace level of the August upmove after the savage removal of equity investor complacency yesterday. Yet, the S&P 500 at 1,931 is still below the 1,990 50% retrace of its August 2,114 high to 1,867 low swing.
10:55 EDTFX Action: USD-JPY headed into pre-open lows near 119.40
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10:55 EDTEuro$ interest rate futures skidded lower
Euro$ interest rate futures skidded lower on the snap-back rebound in equities, which exorcized some of the risk premium in the short-dated rate contracts with stocks up 2.6-2.8% after yesterday's plunge. That's sent the December 2015 contract 2-ticks lower near 99.565 (0.435% implied rate) vs highs of 99.59 (0.410%) Monday. The deferred contracts are 2-13 ticks lower out the curve, as a September rate hike is still in play and the trajectory adjusted accordingly.
10:45 EDTTreasury Option Action: 2-way positioning in 10s and bonds
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10:45 EDTFX Action: USD-CAD rallied back to near trend highs
FX Action: USD-CAD rallied back to near trend highs, topping over 1.3270, as gold and oil prices retreat once more. WTI crude is heading back down into the $39/bbl level, after the modest rally earlier ran out of steam ahead of $39.90. Gold meanwhile has fallen back 2%. The risk taking backdrop, while much improved from Monday, is not as strong as U.S. equity futures indicated ahead of the Wall Street open, which has likely weighed some on the CAD as well.
10:40 EDTThe 5.4% U.S. new home sales bounce
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10:30 EDTFX Action: The dollar edged slightly higher
FX Action: The dollar edged slightly higher after the mix of data, where consumer confidence was much improved, as were new home sales, while the Richmond Fed index fell back sharply. EUR-USD is on session lows of 1.1438, down from 1.1475 into the data, while USD-JPY is over 119.80 from 119.60, though off its earlier intra day peak of 120.40. Wall Street is holding its sharp gains, while yields are off session highs.
10:25 EDTThe August U.S. consumer confidence bounce to 101.5
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10:15 EDTU.S. Richmond Fed factory index fell to 0 in August
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10:15 EDTTreasury Action: yields steadied below highs
Treasury Action: yields steadied below highs in the aftermath of the confidence surge, home sales jump and Richmond Fed plunge, which will keep the markets guessing on the economy and Fed policy. The T-note continues to consolidate below 2.092% Monday highs, while the 2-year yield has drifted lower to 0.608% despite the upcoming 2-year auction and equity rebound, keeping the curve on its steeper slant at +148 bp on 2s-10s.
10:10 EDTU.S. consumer confidence
U.S. consumer confidence rose sharply to 101.5 in August after climbing to 91.0 in June (revised from 90.9). It was 90.3 a year ago. This is the best level since March. The future index rose to 92.5 from 82.3. The current conditions index rose to 115.1 from 104.0 previously (revised from 111.6).
10:10 EDTU.S. new home sales rose 5.4% to 507k in July
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