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Stock Market & Financial Investment News

News For NOSYMBOL From The Last 14 Days
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March 16, 2015
12:20 EDTFOMC Forecast revisions
FOMC Forecast revisions from this week's FOMC meeting will be revealed Wednesday, and later in the April 8 FOMC minutes. Despite a more optimistic tone in Fed statements since the December and ongoing expectations of a mid-year tightening, analysts expect big downward revisions in the GDP and PCE chain price estimates for 2015. Analysts expect a downward shift in the 2015 GDP central tendency to 2.4%-2.7% from 2.6%-3.0%, and a big downward shift in the 2015 PCE chain price central tendency to 0.6%-0.9% to 1.0%-1.6% thanks to plunging oil prices. The 2015 core price central tendency should fall to 1.2%-1.6% from 1.5%-1.8%. Future GDP and chain price estimates should be largely unchanged. Analysts expect the usual downward bumps in the jobless rate estimates. Future Fed funds rate estimates should be narrowed, as views converge around the current Fed and market consensus. page for a table of our assumptions for the Fed's revised forecasts.
11:55 EDTTreasury's $52 B 3- and 6-month bill results were a little lackluster
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11:40 EDTU.S. equities have a head of steam
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11:30 EDTTreasury Option Action: some busy call positioning
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11:30 EDTFX Action: USD-CAD matched Friday's 1.2818 high
FX Action: USD-CAD matched Friday's 1.2818 high, the rally coinciding with oil's drop to new six-year lows if $42.85. Stops were triggered at 1.2800, though selling interest over the figure has kept 1.2820 stops just out of reach for now.
11:24 EDTCitigroup agriculture analysts hold an analyst/industry conference call
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11:10 EDTTreasury announced a $40 B 4-week bill sale for Tuesday
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11:06 EDT4-Week Bill Announcement CUSIP Number data reported
4-Week Bill Announcement CUSIP Number at 912796FD6
10:55 EDTEuro$ interest rate options: heavy block trade
Euro$ interest rate options: heavy block trade appears to be going with the grain of gains in underlying rate futures heading into the FOMC, with bullish sales of 10k in Green September 76 puts vs 3.6k at 97.93, 10k in Blue September 72 puts vs 3.4k at 97.58 and 15k in Blue December 70 puts vs 4.0k at 97.50 - all put sales. June 2015s still up a tick at 99.625, while deferreds 1-5.5 ticks higher.
10:35 EDTFed Policy Outlook: the Fed is still expected to remove "patient"
Fed Policy Outlook: the Fed is still expected to remove "patient" from its policy statement on Wednesday, despite the weaker than expected data of late (excluding the jobs numbers). However, analysts expect Chair Yellen will play down the rate hike implications of such action. The FOMC is also expected to revise down its 2015 growth and inflation forecasts to also temper fears over lift-off, as should some narrowing in the "dot-plot" estimates. Look for Yellen to stress that the policy path remains data dependent, and note that there is still slack in the labor market. She is also expected to be quizzed on the weakness in oil prices and the stronger dollar and their implications for growth and inflation.
10:25 EDTGoldman analysts to hold an analyst/industry conference call
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10:20 EDTOil Action: NYMEX crude traded through the $53.56 trend low
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10:15 EDTTreasury Action: yields remained subdued near lows
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10:10 EDTU.S. NAHB homebuilder sentiment index dropped to 53 in March
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10:00 EDTEuro$ interest rate options: bullish positioning ahead of the Fed
Euro$ interest rate options: bullish positioning ahead of the Fed appears to be the m.o. this week, starting with a 25k purchase of Short June 88/90/91 call spread, along with a bullish sale of Front September 93/95 put spreads. Also reported was a bullish purchase of 1k in Front Sep 96/97 call spreads. That has been accompanied by gains in the underlying futures, with a 0.5-tick rise in the June 2015 to 99.62, while the deferreds are 0.5-6.0 ticks firmer out the curve.
10:00 EDTThe 0.1% U.S. industrial production up-tick
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10:00 EDTFX Action: USD-CAD ran into a wall of offers
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09:57 EDTJPMorgan analysts hold an analyst/industry conference call
Analysts, along with Rogerio Chequer (Co-Founder of Movimento Vai Pra Rua, discuss the consequences of the popular protests in Brazil on an Analyst/Industry conference call to be held on March 16 at 1 pm.
09:53 EDTJPMorgan U.S. telecom services analyst holds an Analyst/Industry conference call
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09:45 EDTU.S. NAHB housing market index preview:
U.S. NAHB housing market index preview: the NAHB HMI is forecast to rise to 56 in March from 55 in February. For more detail, see the NAHB website.
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