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News For NOSYMBOL From The Last 14 Days
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June 23, 2015
10:00 EDTU.S. equities opened marginally firmer
U.S. equities opened marginally firmer after a number of cross-currents swept across the markets in earlier trade. Among them were the headline drop in durables, followed by relatively hawkish Fed Powell remarks and a rebound in yields and the dollar. Those created some headwinds for stocks, though european markets remained bullish, with the Euro Stoxx 50 up around 1%, while Athens is another 4.5% higher on hopes that a Greek deal will be cemented this week. Volatility was the word in China after margin requirements were boosted, followed by a plunge and rebound in stocks there that left the Shenzhen 3.2% higher and the Shanghai Comp up 2.1%, with Japan's N-225 1.7% firmer on the weak yen. Up next are new home sales and the Richmond Fed index.
10:00 EDTU.S. Markit flash PMI manufacturing index slid tp 53.4 in June
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09:50 EDTU.S. New Home Sales Preview
U.S. New Home Sales Preview: May new home sales should reveal a 1.0% decline to a 512k (median 520k) unit pace for the month following the 6.8% bounce to a 517k pace in April. Despite Monday's firm existing home sales figures which had the headline pace up 5.1% there is still downside risk from the NAHB decline to 54 in May and the fall in housing starts to 1,036k from 1,165k in April.
09:30 EDTTreasury 2-year auction outlook:
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09:15 EDTU.S. FHFA home price index rose 0.3% to 221.67 in April
U.S. FHFA home price index rose 0.3% to 221.67 in April after the same sized rise to 221.06 in May (revised from 221.0). Home prices are up 5.3% y/y.
09:10 EDTMore from Fed's Powell: gradual rate hikes are being built in
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09:05 EDTFX Action: The dollar is on intra day highs
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09:03 EDTFHFA House Price Index M/M change data reported
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09:01 EDTGlobal X Funds July volatility elevated on wide price movement
Global X Funds July call option implied volatility is at 90, September is at 77, December at 65; compared to its 52-week range of 31 to 110, suggesting large near term price movement.
09:00 EDTPeterson Institute for International Economics to hold a discussion
The Peterson Institute holds a discussion of the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) groundbreaking study, "Rethinking Financial Deepening: Stability and Growth in Emerging Markets" with IMF Deputy Director Ratna Sahay in Washington, D.C. on June 23 at 12:15 pm. Webcast Link
09:00 EDTFed could misfire again on its unemployment projections:
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09:00 EDTToday's disappointing U.S. durable goods figures
Today's disappointing U.S. durable goods figures lowered growth prospects, and analysts trimmed our estimated clip for real equipment spending in the Q2 GDP report to 2.6% from 3.6% after a similar 2.7% pace in Q1. Analysts left our headline GDP estimate at 2.8%. Analysts expect a $35 B Q2 inventory subtraction after a revised $17.0 (was $15.0) B Q! inventory addition. Even with the Q2 inventory drop analysts expect a fairly high $62 B Q2 inventory accumulation rate. Analysts still assume a Q1 GDP growth boost to -0.4% from -0.7%, which incorporates upward revisions of $1 B for factory inventories, $1 B for wholesale inventories, $8 B for private and public construction, and $4 B for net exports. Analysts expect a flat May factory inventory rise with a 0.1% total inventory increase, given today's 0.2% factory durable inventory decline. Analysts assume a 0.5% May factory orders drop with a 0.4% factory shipments increase, given an assumed 0.8% price-led nondurable shipments and orders rise. Analysts saw a 0.1% May durable shipments drop that slightly undershot the flat factory hours-worked figure and the 0.2% durable goods manufacturing rise in the last industrial production report.
08:56 EDT Federal Reserve Gov. Jerome Powell Speech to be released at 08:45
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08:56 EDT Federal Reserve Gov. Daniel Tarullo Speech to be released at 08:00
08:56 EDTRedbook Store Sales data reported
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08:50 EDTFed governor Powell sees 50-50 odds of September hike
Fed governor Powell sees 50-50 odds of September hike and expects the economy to grow more strongly in the second half after being weighed by the strong dollar, which dented exports and growth. He still wants to see job growth that continued to reduce slack and further tightening of the economy is needed for inflation to rise after being dented by oil prices and the dollar. He believes tests could be satisfied for a rate hike as soon as September. His relatively hawkish outlook appears to have boosted yields once again after their earlier dip on weak headline durables.
08:45 EDTTreasury Action: yields reversed lower
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08:45 EDTFX Action: The dollar moved a touch to the softer side
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08:33 EDTCredit Suisse to hold a conference
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08:20 EDTEnergy Action: NYMEX crude is trading at $60.06
Energy Action: NYMEX crude is trading at $60.06 into the N.Y. open, after ranging between $59.84 and $60.50 overnight. Improving European data has helped the demand outlook for oil, though this morning's firmer dollar, and the beginnings of what could be a U.S. gasoline glut have offset. RBOB gasoline futures have fallen nearly 8% over the past week, from nearly eight-month highs over $2.1850, to this morning's lows of $2.0140. Natural gas is slightly higher, trading at $2.76/M BTU, but still close to two-week lows.
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