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Stock Market & Financial Investment News

News For NOSYMBOL From The Last 14 Days
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January 27, 2015
10:35 EDTThe 11.6% U.S. new home sales pop
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10:35 EDTTreasury Action: a wild ride for the 30-year
Treasury Action: a wild ride for the 30-year culminated in a run to a historic low yield of 2.3289% before bubbling back up over 2.34%, well off session highs of 2.4095%. In the melee after the damp durables print the cash bond yield perversely shot to that session high near 2.41% before plunging back down to 2.34% again, a move rumored to be driven by some HFT (high-frequency) crew or other fast-money type. It especially stood out as there was no parallel move on the 10-year yield at all, just a big downbar on the yield from the 1.80% area to 1.76% at the time, lending credence to the conspiracy theory.
10:30 EDTU.S. Markit flash services PMI rose to 54.0 in January
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10:30 EDTU.S. new home sales rebounded a hefty 11.6% to 481k in December
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10:30 EDTFed Policy Outlook: FOMC began its meeting at 10:00 ET.
Fed Policy Outlook: FOMC began its meeting at 10:00 ET. It is not expected to make major changes in its policy statement tomorrow. The Fed made the shift in its December announcement away from "considerable time" toward a "patient" approach in terms of its normalization path and is widely expected to retain that posture. Analysts don't expect the Fed to tip its hand yet on the timing of rate liftoff. Indeed, if the path is truly data dependent, policymakers can't predetermine that outcome, though many have already indicated their best guess is around mid-2015 given the improvement in the economy and labor market. However, the stronger dollar, declining oil prices, deceleration in price pressures, falling inflation expectations, and minimal wage pressures suggest the first rate hike could be delayed into the second half of 2015, as analysts suspect, if not 2016. Note that retaining the "patient" characterization would take an April rate hike off the table (Yellen defined patient as meaning no tightening for the next two meetings.
10:25 EDTU.S. Richmond Fed manufacturing index dipped to 6 in January
U.S. Richmond Fed manufacturing index dipped to 6 in January from 7 in December, having ranged in 2014 from -5 (March) to 20 (October). The employment component dropped to 5 from 13, but with the workweek doubling to 8 from 4. Wages fell to 3 versus 8. New order volume was flat at 4. The annualized percent change in prices paid dropped to 0.7% from 1.26%. The 6-month shipment index dipped to 30 compared to 38 in December, with employment falling to 18 versus 23, new orders at 29 from 34, with the annualized percent change in prices paid sliding to 1.17% from 1.46%.
10:15 EDTFX Action: The dollar edged higher
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10:15 EDTTreasury Action: yields based above lows
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10:10 EDTU.S. consumer confidence jumped to 102.9 in January
U.S. consumer confidence jumped to 102.9 in January from an upwardly revised 93.1 in December (was 92.6). This is the best read since August 2007, and was helped by the gains on Wall Street and lower gas prices. The present situations component surged to 112.6 from 99.9 (revised from 98.6). The expectations component rose to 96.4 from 88.5. The labor market differential improved significantly, basically halved to -5.2 from -10.6 (revised from -10.6).
10:05 EDTU.S. new home sales preview:
U.S. new home sales preview: new home sales are expected to increase 1.6% to a 445k unit pace in December (median 450 M) from 438k in November. Forecast risk is upward, given the improvement in the December starts. preview.
10:00 EDTU.S. consumer confidence preview:
U.S. consumer confidence preview: January Consumer Confidence is expected to increase to 97.0 (median 95.1) from 92.6 in December, as sinking gasoline prices, falling rates and rising wealth boost confidence. This compares to a recent low of 25.3 in February of 2009. Forecast risk is upward, given firm figures in the first Michigan release. preview.
09:56 EDTMarket down sharply after Microsoft, Caterpillar, durable goods disappoint
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09:55 EDTU.S. Markit services flash PMI preview:
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09:55 EDTEuro$ interest rate options: pre-FOMC jockeying
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09:30 EDTFX Action: USD-CAD's 1.2500 print
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09:25 EDTNYSE has invoke "Rule 48" ahead of the open
NYSE has invoke "Rule 48" ahead of the open which provides for "exemptive relief" in the event of extreme market volatility conditions, which allows for relief of suspension of trade temporarily following a market-wide halt. The winter storm could provide some more cover, though it is the earnings blizzard that is causing the chop.
09:20 EDTFed hike forecasts are being revised
Fed hike forecasts are being revised in the wake of this recent round of disappointing earnings and data misses. Among the first is Morgan Stanley, which has reportedly deferred its call to March of 2016 from January 2016. As the energy price and dollar typhoon continues to wrack the markets, others are expected to follow suit and Goldman is expected to not be far behind, according to sources.
09:15 EDTU.S. Case Shiller November 20-city home price index slid 0.22% to 172.94
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09:15 EDTThe U.S. durables report sharply underperformed
The U.S. durables report sharply underperformed, both via big December declines across the orders and equipment data, with and without transportation or defense, and big downward November revisions that left three months of notable underperformance for orders and equipment. Shipments and inventories slightly beat assumptions after restrained factory data in the payroll and industrial production reports, though the data were bad news for the GDP growth outlook on net. Analysts still expect 3.5% Q4 GDP growth, but with a -1% (was +1%) figure for the equipment component. Inventories are poised to add $15 B to Q4 GDP growth, after a $2.6 B subtraction in Q3 that left an already-elevated $82.2 B accumulation rate. Our Q1 GDP estimate remains at 2.5%, though today's data signal downside risk. Analysts expect a flat December factory and overall inventory figure, given today's 0.5% factory durable inventory rise. Analysts assume a 2.2% December factory orders drop with a flat factory shipments figure, given an assumed 1.0% price-led decline for nondurable shipments and orders.
09:12 EDTS&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index data reported.
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