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Stock Market & Financial Investment News

News For NOSYMBOL From The Last 14 Days
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May 5, 2015
14:01 EDTMarket remains near lows in afternoon trading
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13:50 EDTU.S. VIX equity volatility popped higher
U.S. VIX equity volatility popped higher with the decline in stocks, rising 10.5% to 14.2, though it remains in a well-worn range. The session range has been 14.37-12.97 after opening at 13.21, while the range since March has been 12.10 lows marked on May 4 to 17.19 highs on March 26. The S&P 500 -1.0% is meanwhile is catching down with the NASDAQ -1.4%, breaking back below the 2,100 psych level and eying 2,077 April 30 lows, but still some distance from 2,039 March 11 lows. As analysts mentioned yesterday, volatility in the bond market for settlement on Friday was trading at a 4.5-tic premium to the past six payrolls events (as measured by straddles), so the bond market definitely is bracing for a bigger surprise factor on Friday. Perhaps stock market volatility is beginning to catch on?
13:25 EDTTreasury Supply: May refunding details are out Wednesday
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12:55 EDTU.S. equities are trying to base after selling off
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12:45 EDTU.S. corporate bond update: one huge deal is on the docket today
U.S. corporate bond update: one huge deal is on the docket today, braving the bearish tone across asset markets. And this offering is another factor pressuring Treasuries. Abbvie has a big $16.7 B 6-part deal that includes $3 B in 3-year notes. $3.75 B in 5s, $1 B in 7s, $3.75 B in 10s, $2.5 B in 20s, and $2.7 B in 30-year bonds. Corning Inc has a $750 M 3- and 7-year deal. Kingdom of Sweden has a benchmark 3-year deal on tap.
12:30 EDTFX Action: USD-JPY gave up the 120 handle
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12:15 EDTTreasury Option Action: some bullish bond positioning
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12:00 EDTTreasury Option Action: mixed activity emerged
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11:45 EDTTreasury's $30 B 4-week bill auction was solid and priced well
Treasury's $30 B 4-week bill auction was solid and priced well, thanks in large part to the massive global selloff in both bonds and stocks today. However, the rest of the stats were fairly average. The offering stopped through at 0.00% versus 0.005% at the bid deadline. Bids totaled $114.8 B for a 3.83 cover, not quite up to the 4.25 last week and the better than 4-to-1 ratios since early April. But it's only a little above the 3.78 average. Indirect bidders were awarded 16.0%, about half of last week's 30.3% and versus the 27.9% average.
11:40 EDTTreasury Futures Action: size selling on the June 10-year
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11:35 EDTU.S. Tax Receipts Bounce in April, But Anemic Overall:
U.S. Tax Receipts Bounce in April, But Anemic Overall: Daily Treasury data imply a respectable 10% y/y receipt climb in the important tax-month of April, as capital gains fueled a 13% y/y rise in nonwithheld receipts alongside a 12% y/y withheld receipt rise. Yet, analysts still assume a restrained 6% y/y increase for both Q2 and FY15 overall. An assumed 3% y/y April outlay rise translates to a $138 B monthly surplus, and an estimated $480 B FY15 gap that sits near both the $486 B CBO FY15 estimate and the $483 B FY14 deficit.
11:25 EDTEuro$ interest rate futures: heavy selling pressure
Euro$ interest rate futures: heavy selling pressure has been noted, including the sale of 100k in June 2016 futures from 98.995-98.975. On the options front, there was some bearish buying of 95 put 1x2s on September 2015s, bullish sale of 5k in Short June 88/90 put spreads and bullish buying of 7k in Short May 90/91 call spreads. Also split were bullish sales of 5k in Green May 8 puts and 10k in Green June 80 puts. The December 2015 contract is a half-tick lower at 99.37, while the deferreds are up to 5-ticks lower out the curve.
11:20 EDTFed Policy Outlook: the FOMC will have a hard time justifying a June hike
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11:20 EDTFX Action: USD-CAD met its downside target
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11:05 EDTU.S. 10-year technicals near key chartpoint
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11:00 EDTToday's U.S. reports
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10:45 EDTEnergy Action: NYMEX crude broke through $60.00 resistance
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10:44 EDTBofA/Merrill rates analysts hold an analyst/industry conference call
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10:40 EDTTreasury Option Action: bullish call buying on bonds
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10:25 EDTGoldman cut Q1 GDP tracking estimate to -0.5%
Goldman cut Q1 GDP tracking estimate to -0.5% from +0.2% following the trade deficit explosion, which is a bit more aggressive than our own cut to -0.2% from +0.2%. Yet the bond market is getting little relief from this revisionism after the employment components of both Markit and ISM services PMIs ticked higher. Meanwhile, "good news is bad news" equities have extended their declines as the cost of capital and buybacks goes up and Fed lift-off sentiment remains finely balanced.
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