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News For NOSYMBOL From The Last 14 Days
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February 4, 2016
10:20 EDTTreasury Action: yields nudged lower still
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10:15 EDTU.S. factory orders dove 2.9% in December
U.S. factory orders dove 2.9% in December, after slipping 0.7% in November (revised from -0.5%). Factory orders have declined in 4 of the last 5 months. The 5.1% drop in durable orders was revised to -5.0%. A 12.6% plunge in transportation orders paced the headline weakness. Excluding transportation, orders were down 0.8% from -0.7% previously. Nondefense capital goods orders excluding aircraft declined 4.3% versus -0.9% (revised from -1.1%). Shipments dropped 1.4% from 0.-1% (revised from 0.1%). Inventories edged up 0.2%. The inventory-shipment ratio climbed to 1.38, a new cycle high, from 1.35.
10:05 EDTDallas Fed president Kaplan said oil prices may get worse
Dallas Fed president Kaplan said oil prices may get worse before they get better, but supply-demand levels should come back into balance by early or mid-2017 and within a couple of years its a good be that oil prices will be higher. He also segued into Texas real estate bears watching and in the region needs different, tailored rules for smaller banks. While the Fed wants to normalize rates, it must be patient and the world will need to get used to lower levels of growth in China. Financial conditions have tightened since the December hike and the Fed must be very patient in removing excess accommodation. Kaplan wants to be vigilant and patient in assessing how events are unfolding, and should not be speculating about future rate hikes, as well as assessing the global and domestic outlook. This is the third Fed speaker who has turned more cautious/dovish ahead of Yellen's testimony next week.
10:01 EDTFactory Orders data reported
December Factory Orders down -2.9% vs consensus of -2.8% for the month
09:58 EDTThe TradeXchange to hold a webinar
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09:56 EDTMarket continues to be whipsawed by oil prices
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09:50 EDTU.S. T-note technical update:
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09:46 EDTBloomberg Consumer Comfort Index Level data reported
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09:45 EDTU.S. factory orders preview:
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09:33 EDTArgus research director holds an analyst/industry conference call
Research Director Kelleher, along with Argus President Eade, discuss industrial stocks and the opportunities beyond energy exposure on an Analyst/Industry conference call to be held on February 10 at 11 am.
09:30 EDTFX Action: USD-CAD continues to find support
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09:10 EDTU.S. Productivity posted a largely expected 3.0% contraction rate
U.S. Productivity posted a largely expected 3.0% contraction rate in Q4, after a small and also expected trimming in Q3 growth to 2.1% from 2.2%, as a slowdown in output growth revealed in the Q4 GDP data, alongside a big Q3-Q4 hours-worked gyration that still unperformed the monthly hours-worked data, translated to a big productivity swing around a weak path. Analysts saw a lean 1.3% Q4 growth clip for hourly compensation as was signaled by the last round of income figures, with an associated Q4 unit labor cost surge of 4.5%. For our Q1 forecasts, analysts expect a flat productivity figure that sharply undershoots the 1.6% average pace over the 14 years since the start of the last expansion in Q4 of 2001, alongside a 1.8% output rise that undershoots its 2.1% 14-year average, and a 1.8% hours-worked rise that exceeds the 0.5% 13-year average. Analysts expect restrained Q1 compensation growth of 3.0% that translates to a 3.0% unit labor cost rise, versus comparable respective 14-year average growth rates of 2.9% and 1.3%.
09:05 EDTCFA Society of Seattle to hold a discussion
Casey Frazier, Chief Investment Officer of Versus Capital provides an overview of the commercial real estate investable universe with a speech entitled, "Lessons From Institutional Real Estate Portfolio" in Seattle, Washington on February 4 at 8 pm.
09:03 EDTCleveland Federal Reserve Bank President speaks on the economy
Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Mester is the guest speaker at MNI's annual event discussing the Federal Reserve's economic and monetary policy in New York on February 4 at 5 pm. Webcast Link
08:58 EDTExecutives' Club of Chicago to hold a luncheon discussion
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08:54 EDTBoston Security Analysts Society to hold a luncheon meeting
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08:53 EDTThe National Press Club holds a discussion on the FAA
House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee Chairman Bill Shuster (R-PA) discusses new legislation to reauthorize and reform federal aviation programs and the Federal Aviation Administration in a meeting being held in Washington, D.C. on February 4 at 10 am.
08:52 EDTHouse Energy & Commerce Committee to hold a hearing
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08:50 EDTThe 8k U.S. initial claims bounce to 285k
The 8k U.S. initial claims bounce to 285k in the fifth week of January partly reversed the 17k drop to 277k (was 278k) in the MLK week from the 294k six-month high in the BLS survey week, as claims oscillate well above the 255k cycle-low in July. Holiday distortions presumably ended with today's figure and the level of claims remains elevated, though another week's data will help to confirm that the rise isn't at least partly due to seasonal distortion. On an NSA (not seasonally adjusted) basis, initial claims rose 16k, hence capping the period of big seasonal distortions that left an 83k plunge in the MLK week and a 124k drop in the BLS survey week, but a 98k surge in the prior week. Claims are averaging a lofty 284k thus far in January, following an already-elevated 277k December average and much lower prior averages of 270k in November and 263k in October. The 294k BLS survey week reading sharply overshot prior BLS readings of 272k in both November and December, and 259k in October. Analysts still expect a 200k January nonfarm payroll rise in tomorrow's report, with risks that analysts discussed in Monday's commentary.
08:50 EDTFX Action: The dollar fell to two-week lows
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