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News For NOSYMBOL From The Last 14 Days
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August 20, 2015
02:35 EDTFX Update: The dollar is weaker on the FOMC minutes
FX Update: The dollar is weaker on the FOMC minutes from the July meeting, which revealed a slightly more expansive discussion on Chinese risks, and some fears that policy divergence would boost the dollar and in turn limit inflation and net exports. EUR-USD extended to a six-day peak at 1.1148 during Asian trade, subsequently drifting back to the 1.1120 area but still well up on pre-FOMC minutes levels around 1.1060. USD-JPY dove to a three-week low of 123.69 in late U.S. trade yesterday, since recouping the 124.00 level during Tokyo hours. Aside from the yen, most Asian currencies managed to find a footing today on the back of the softer dollar, and with the PBoC setting the CNY slightly firmer today. Asian stock markets, however, once again declined. A sharp dive in oil prices, on data showing a rise in U.S. inventories, wreaked havoc in energy shares in Asia. Front-month NYMEX crude futures hit new cycle lows under $41, which is a loss of over 2% from yesterday's peak.
02:01 EDT Beige Book to be released at 14:00
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August 19, 2015
16:33 EDT Speech to be released at 00:00
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16:33 EDTWeek of 8/28 MBA Mortgage Applications to be released at 07:00
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15:05 EDTTreasury Closing Summary:
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15:05 EDTJapan Can't Get a Break - GDP falls in Q2:
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14:25 EDTU.S. Leading Indicators Preview
U.S. Leading Indicators Preview: The July leading indicators index is out Thursday and is expected to decline 0.2% (median 0.2%) following a 0.6% increase in June. Recent strength in housing permits has lent strength to the index but the unwind revealed in the July housing starts report will likely pull the LEI down from recent strength.
14:25 EDTU.S. Philadelphia Fed Index Preview
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14:25 EDTU.S. Existing Home Sales Preview
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14:10 EDTFX Action: The dollar fell broadly
FX Action: The dollar fell broadly after the FOMC minutes, as the committee signaled it wasn't yet ready to raise rates. While September is still on the table, the FX market appears to have discounted September lift-off to a degree. EUR-USD has topped out at 1.1118 so far, up from 1.1035 lows, while USD-JPY has fallen to 123.85 from near 124.25. Cable briefly breached 1.57, as USD-CAD eased under 1.3110 from over 1.3175.
14:10 EDTFOMC minutes revealed "no clear sign" for September hike
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14:00 EDTTreasury Action: leaky FOMC minutes caught the bond market
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13:53 EDTSome Fed members feel inflation may not soon meet condition for firming
Minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting read, "Many participants indicated that their outlook for sustained economic growth and further improvement in labor markets was key in supporting their expectation that inflation would move up to the Committee's 2 percent objective, and that they would be looking for evidence that the economic outlook was evolving as they anticipated. However, some participants expressed the view that the incoming information had not yet provided grounds for reasonable confidence that inflation would move back to 2 percent over the medium term and that the inflation outlook thus might not soon meet one of the conditions established by the Committee for initiating a firming of policy."
13:50 EDTFOMC minutes show most members feel firming conditions 'approaching'
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13:49 EDTHeadlines from FOMC minutes come out early
Headlines from the Federal Reserve's last meeting minutes came out early after a news agency broke an embargo. The minutes show that most Federal Reserve officials thought economic conditions needed for a rate hike were "approaching."
13:40 EDTChina's Economy To Undercut 7% 2015 GDP Target:
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13:30 EDTTreasury Action: TIPS are underperforming nominals
Treasury Action: TIPS are underperforming nominals, not surprisingly, after CPI disappointed forecasts and as commodity prices continue to tumble. The market is also cheaper ahead of Thursday's 5-year TIPS reopening. The 5-year breakeven has fallen to 117 bps, the narrowest since early January when sliding oil prices, Eurozone fears resulting from Greek fallout, and the firming dollar all served to boost disinflation fears. Despite the tame inflation outlook, the TIPS offering should see a decent bid from indirect accounts.
13:00 EDTU.S. VIX equity volatility gapped out
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12:15 EDTEuro$ interest rate futures swung back into the green
Euro$ interest rate futures swung back into the green now that stocks have dug their hole deeper and USD-JPY is probing 124.00 as a sign of risk-off trade or as one pundit put it "NASDAQ 5000 hats off". The December 2015 contract is a tick higher now near 99.47 (0.530%) compared to 99.455 earlier (0.545%), while the 1-3.5 tick losses on the deferreds are now 1.0-3.5 tick gains for a swing of 2-7 ticks out the curve.
12:05 EDTFX Action: USD-CAD posted eight-session highs
FX Action: USD-CAD posted eight-session highs of 1.3173, just shy of the August 10 peak of 1.3182. The commodity meltdown has been the biggest driver this morning, with copper and oil prices on six-year lows. September NYMEX crude, which will expire at the close today, touch new trend lows of $40.60, while the October contract, taking over as front-month tomorrow has fallen to $41.16 lows. USD-CAD offers are reported into the 1.3200 mark, but a break of 1.3213, the August 5 top, should bring significant stops to bear.
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