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December 7, 2012
06:42 EDTBoehner, Obama now sole participants in cliff talks, NY Times says
Republican House Speaker John Boehner and President Barack Obama are now the only two major figures negotiating a resolution to the fiscal cliff, as senators and House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi have been excluded from the talks, according to The New York Times. The change was made at Boehner's request, the newspaper reported. Reference Link
News For NOSYMBOL From The Last 14 Days
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July 22, 2014
15:15 EDTTreasury Closing Summary:
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14:20 EDTCanada Retail Sales Preview
Canada Retail Sales Preview: Analysts expect retail sales, due Wednesday, to expand 0.8% m/m in May (median +0.7%) after the 1.1% gain in April. The ex-autos sales aggregate is expected to rise 0.3% m/m in May (median same) after the 0.7% gain in April. Vehicle sales made further headway, perhaps outpacing the usual spring growth spurt after the harsh winter. Gasoline prices marched higher, which should again lift gasoline station sales. An as-expected gain in sales would underpin the Q2 GDP rebound scenario, but not deter the BoC's focus on the less certain growth outlook this year amid serial disappointment globally and in Canada.
14:05 EDTCleveland Fed's Median CPI rose 0.2%, with the 16% trimmed mean up 0.1%
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13:44 EDTWeek of 8/2 Redbook to be released at 08:55
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13:44 EDTWeek of 8/2 ICSC-Goldman Store Sales to be released at 07:45
12:45 EDTTreasury Action: right on top of the 50% retrace
Treasury Action: right on top of the 50% retrace of the post-CPI range, the T-note yield is hugging 2.483% after sinking from 2.505% to 2.460% even as stocks continue to build on their opening bounce. Meanwhile, an Interpol team is beginning to identify the victims of flight MH17, suggesting cooperation is continuing from Ukraine separatists after the delays, easing risk aversion. That's a very tight range within the larger 2.692-2.441% July range, while 2.75-2.40% are the next 3-month bookends beyond. There's limited economic fare between now and next week's FOMC meeting, dominated by housing reports, which should leave the summer doldrums in place for now.
12:30 EDTTreasury Action: SEC is set to announce proposes new rules on MMFs
Treasury Action: SEC is set to announce proposes new rules on MMFs Wednesday. And that could lead to some short term volatility in the funds market, depending on what's released. Fears are that new restrictions on withdrawing cash could be imposed, and that could result in a pretty fast exit from funds. Another possibility is a floating share price versus the $1 currently in place for some funds (various regulations were imposed after the Reserve Fund "broke the buck" in September 2008). Changes to what assets the funds can purchase is also a possibility.
11:55 EDTTreasury's bill auctions were a little disappointing
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11:15 EDTFed Policy Outlook: recent data don't suggest rate hikes are in the offing
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10:55 EDTU.S. corporate debt: a triple-trancher from Manufacturers Hanover
U.S. corporate debt: a triple-trancher from Manufacturers Hanover will include 3- and 5-year legs, though size and price guidance hasn't been posted. Another financial deal in the investment grade sector is a Citigroup 5-year (price talk +85-95 bp over), while Nederlandse has a $500 M 2-year at even with mid-swaps. In the high yield sector Citgo, Kosmos, and Regency have intermediate offerings on tap. The reach for yield and low volume of offerings and sovereign issuance this week should keep investor demand keen and hedging impact light.
10:50 EDTToday's U.S. reports
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10:45 EDTEuro$ interest rate options: a variety of trades
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10:40 EDTFX Action: The dollar moved marginally higher
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10:20 EDTU.S. existing home sales beat estimates
U.S. existing home sales beat estimates with a 2.6% June rise to a 5.04 M rate after a slightly-revised 4.91 (was 4.89) M rate in May and 4.66 M April clip to leave a small Q2 rebound from depressed Q1 rates of 4.59-4.62 M. The Q2 sales rise still leaves a disappointing 2014 performance, as June sales are 6.3% below the 5.380 M recent-peak in July of last year, before the Fed's taper-talk and rising mortgage rates took their toll. Median prices have held up better, given a 5.3% June rise to a new cycle-high that leaves that gauge 4.3% above the prior cycle-high from last June, though a shift in the mix of sales likely accounts for median price gain. Analysts have cyclical gains of just 46% for existing home sales and 36% for pending home sales, versus larger cyclical gains of 87% for new home sales, 87% for housing starts, and 88% for permits. Analysts expect GDP growth of 2.5% in Q2 and 3.5% in Q3, after the hefty 2.9% Q1 plunge, with residential construction growth of 3% in Q2 and 7% in Q3, after declines in the prior two quarters of 4.2% in Q1 and 7.9% in Q4 of last year.
10:20 EDTU.S. Richmond Fed's manufacturing index rose 3 points to 7 in July
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10:15 EDTTreasury Action: yields rebounded from lows
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10:10 EDTU.S. existing home sales rose 2.6% to 5.04 M in June
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10:01 EDTExisting Home Sales data reported
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10:00 EDTTreasury Action: TIPS are underperforming after the CPI report
Treasury Action: TIPS are underperforming after the CPI report. Though the FOMC is more interested in PCE, the slowdown in the annual core rate for May to a 1.9% y/y pace from 2.0% saw TIPS yields edge a tad higher, with the shorter maturities posting the biggest losses. The 5-year breakeven has narrowed to 201 basis points before inching back out slightly to 202 basis points. The spread gapped out to beyond 210 basis points, the widest in over a year, after core CPI accelerated to a 2.0% y/y rate, the highest in a year.
09:50 EDTFX Action: USD-CAD firmed up toward 10760
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