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Stock Market & Financial Investment News

News For NOSYMBOL From The Last 14 Days
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June 19, 2015
18:45 EDTDurable Goods Orders Ex-transportation to be reported at 08:30
May Durable Goods Orders Ex-transportation will be reported at 08:30 . Current consensus is 0.5% for the month
18:45 EDTDurable Goods Orders to be reported at 08:30
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18:45 EDTExisting Home Sales to be reported at 10:00
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15:45 EDTTreasury Action: yields are closing at their lows
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15:34 EDTGlobal X Funds volatility elevated into Greek government credit uncertainty
Global X Funds July call option implied volatility is at 101, September is at 77, December at 68; compared to its 52-week range of 31 to 110 -day range, suggesting large price movement.
15:10 EDTTreasury Closing Summary:
Treasury Closing Summary: Treasuries finished out the week on a firmer footing Friday as the residual good will from the flatter Fed "dot plot" midweek spilled over and the stock market remained leery about a liquidity crisis in Greece into Monday even after another top-up of the ECB ELA. Data was absent today, but SF Fed dove Williams gave a pretty detailed update of his policy views. While he wants to see more evidence of inflation returning to target, he also didn't rule out a couple of rate hikes before year-end, nor did Cleveland Fed hawk Mester.
14:30 EDTFed's Mester sees a gradual rate path
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14:18 EDTAverages remain in red in lackluster afternoon trading
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13:55 EDTAction Economics Survey results:
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13:50 EDTNY Fed will launch a "Monthly Snapshot" of the U.S. Economy
NY Fed will launch a "Monthly Snapshot" of the U.S. Economy on Monday, according to its press release: "The Federal Reserve Bank of New York will launch US Economy in a Snapshot, a monthly report providing a quick and accessible look at developments in the economy. The US Economy in a Snapshot includes charts and commentary on overall economic activity, the labor market, household conditions, the business sector and various financial market metrics. In addition, the Snapshot can include a “Special Topics” section to cover a range of issues such as the behavior of commodity prices, developments in the Second District or findings from the New York Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations." Guess they got tired of the Atlanta Fed having all the fun with GDPNow.
13:35 EDTStill more from Williams: he would want to hike twice this year
Still more from Williams: he would want to hike twice this year if data comes in as expected and he envisions 25 bp increments, as it gets closer to the time to raise rates. Yet there's little cost to await more data to get a clearer picture on inflation, while the baseline forecast for the economy has not changed, amid some near-term uncertainty. Williams sees the normal Fed funds rate at 3.5-4.0% and should avoid telegraphing rate hike decisions in advance. That seems to dovetail with the lower dots, while his last statement is a bit curious given the lengths Yellen has gone to in order to eliminate policy surprises and rattle the markets after the taper tantrum.
13:20 EDTEnergy Action: Baker-Hughes weekly rig count numbers
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13:10 EDTFedspeak will resume next week with Fed Governor Powell
Fedspeak will resume next week with Fed Governor Powell (Tuesday) taking part in a panel discussion on the "Monetary Policy Outlook and the Economy" at a WSJ breakfast from 8:30 ET. Fed Governor Tarullo also takes part in a panel (Thursday) on a "Conversation on the Economy and Financial Regulation" from 8 ET. Powell jumps back in on "Building a Safer Payment System" at a Kansas City Fed conference from 8:45 ET. KC Fed hawk George (Friday) will speak at the same conference on the "The Payments System".
12:25 EDTMore from Williams: most of the decline in the labor force participation
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12:05 EDTSF Fed dove Williams is still in "wait and see" mode
SF Fed dove Williams is still in "wait and see" mode on lift-off until he's more confident on inflation moving back to 2%, however he does still believe the FOMC will raise rates this year. The Fed voter reiterates that it's safer to raise rates sooner, then proceed gradually, than to wait too long - his main policy mantra of late. He notes that even once the Fed raises rates that policy will still be accommodative. Meanwhile, he's not convinced that inflation has bottomed, though wage growth signals a nearly-healed labor market and he sees unemployment drifting down to 5.2% by year-end. Williams views slower jobs and GDP growth as not surprising, but in fact desirable. Williams is speaking before an NBER conference and could well be one of those dots on the fence about 1-2 hikes before year-end.
10:39 EDTJefferies energy analysts hold an analyst/industry conference call
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10:29 EDTGuggenheim analysts hold an analyst/industry conference call
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10:27 EDTBarclays healthcare analysts hold an analyst/industry conference call
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10:20 EDTTreasury Option Action: minor bullish positioning
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10:01 EDTAtlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations Bus Infl Exp % Yr/Yr data reported
June Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations Bus Infl Exp % Yr/Yr up 1.9% for the year
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