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Stock Market & Financial Investment News

News For NOSYMBOL From The Last 14 Days
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April 16, 2015
14:20 EDTU.S. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Preview
U.S. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Preview: The first release on April Michigan Sentiment is out Friday and the headline should improve to 94.0 (median 94.0) from 93.0 in March. Depressed gasoline prices have helped to lift consumer confidence measures through the winter and the already released IBD/TIPP Poll for April increased to 51.3 from 49.1.
14:15 EDTU.S. CPI Preview
U.S. CPI Preview: March CPI is out Friday and should reveal a 0.2% (median 0.2%) headline increase for the month with the core up 0.1% (median 0.1%). PPI data for March has already been released and revealed a 0.2% headline gain and a 0.2% core increase. Plunging oil prices kept inflation measures depressed through the winter but they leveled off in March and are now beginning to rebound.
14:10 EDTEnergy Action: NYMEX crude has vaulted to $57.36 highs
Energy Action: NYMEX crude has vaulted to $57.36 highs, with late buyers emboldened by the break of the overnight high of $56.66, along with further dollar weakness. The contract now stands at four-month highs.
13:50 EDTFed dove Rosengren: rate hike conditions have not been met
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13:43 EDTAverages nearly unchanged as market looks for direction
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13:25 EDTTreasury Action: Treasuries are recovering
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13:20 EDTFed hawk Meister wants to hike relatively soon
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13:15 EDTFed's Lockhart would like to see "direct, affirmative evidence in the data
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13:00 EDTFX Action: USD-CAD continued its downward path
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12:55 EDTEuro$ interest rate options update: some bearish call selling
Euro$ interest rate options update: some bearish call selling has been reported, including sales of 5k in Green June 86/87/88 call butterflies and 5k in Front September 96/97/98 call butterflies, along with the bearish purchase of 5k in Front September 95 puts. Underlying rate futures remain under pressure, with the deferreds down by as much as 4.5-ticks.
12:25 EDTU.S. VIX equity volatility has drifted lower
U.S. VIX equity volatility has drifted lower to the 13.0 area as stocks find some traction from lows, compared to a very tight range of 13.35-12.95. Year lows of 10.28 set on July 3 of 2014 provide the next area of support, with life lows of 8.2 on July 4 1994 seemingly at odds with volatility expected surrounding the Fed rate lift-off later in the year. Compared to 16.66 April highs on the first of the month, this followed suit with the rebound in the S&P 500 from 2,048 lows on the same day to an April high of 2,111. That's a 13.8% gain from flash crash lows of 1,820 back on October 17th. In the meantime, another run at life highs of 2,119.59 set on February 25 doesn't seem much of a stretch, especially if earnings continue to shrug off the Q1 economic slump.
12:05 EDTFX Action: USD-JPY managed to rally back to 110.43
FX Action: USD-JPY managed to rally back to 110.43 highs before heading lower, with talk of technically driven sellers stepping in ahead of the overnight high of 119.47, and the 50-day moving average, which currently sits at 119.55. The April 3 low of 118.72 provides initial support, with the March 26 base of 118.33 the next downside target.
11:40 EDTU.S. equities are attempting to base
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11:15 EDTTreasury announced an $18 B 5-year TIPS offering for Thursday
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11:10 EDTFed Policy Outlook: it's harder and harder to make a case for a June hike
Fed Policy Outlook: it's harder and harder to make a case for a June hike (analysts've always thought September was the soonest anyway). Softer data and the dovish tone of key Fed officials and policy statements have largely taken mid-year rate liftoff out of the picture. This week's disappointing economic reports, along with the unexpectedly weak March jobs report, will leave policymakers sidelined in June. There's just not enough time over the next two months to make up the erosion. Q4 GDP growth was more than halved from the 5.0% pace of Q3, and Q1 looks to be cut in two as well, with our forecast of a 1.0% clip. Q2 is still quite uncertain, as noted by Fed VC Fischer, but it's not starting off on great footing. Manufacturing growth remains uneven, as indicated by the April Philly Fed and Empire State reports. The housing sector is also not cooperating. Inventories remain bloated with the I/S ratio at a recessionary level. Consumption hasn't benefited much from the oil price drop windfall. And while the labor market has been a major bright spot, there's risk from ongoing erosion in the energy sector. And as for price pressures, at best the Fed will see bottoming, but aren't likely to be convinced yet that inflation is moving to the 2% target given the slow economic growth so far this year.
11:10 EDTEuro$ interest rate options: some bearish positioning
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11:07 EDT5-Yr TIPS Announcement Offering Amount data reported
5-Yr TIPS Announcement Offering Amount at $18.0 B
11:07 EDT5-Yr TIPS Announcement CUSIP Number data reported
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10:35 EDTTreasury Action: yields set session highs
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10:35 EDTThe Philly Fed bounce to 7.5
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