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April 21, 2014
09:02 EDTNFLXNetflix April weekly volatility elevated at 126 into Q1 and outlook
Netflix April weekly call option implied volatility is at 126, May is at 67, June is at 51; compared to its 26-week average of 44 according to Track Data, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q1 today after the market close.
News For NFLX From The Last 14 Days
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July 29, 2015
16:00 EDTNFLXOptions Update; July 29, 2015
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July 28, 2015
16:00 EDTNFLXOptions Update; July 28, 2015
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10:47 EDTNFLXUBS says YouTube paid service could be $1B business
Google's (GOOG, GOOGL) revenue could increase by about $1B or more if it decides to offer a paid, ad free version of its YouTube website in the U.S., UBS wrote in a note to investors today. The firm made the estimate based on a survey it conducted of U.S. consumers. WHAT'S NEW: YouTube remains well-positioned to benefit from the growth of online video, UBS analyst Eric Sheridan stated. After UBS conducted a survey of U.S. adult consumers, Sheridan reported that the survey found that 27% of U.S. consumers would probably subscribe to a paid, ad free version of YouTube. According to Bloomberg, YouTube has decided to launch such a service in coming months. If only 5% of U.S. YouTube users buy subscriptions to the service, Google's revenue would rise by about $943M, Sheridan estimated. Following the survey, the analyst is more confident that Google will meet his revenue estimates, which exceed consensus levels. Specifically, he predicted that Google's revenue for the second half of 2015 would come in at $32.4B, versus the consensus outlook of $31.8B, while its 2016 revenue would be $72.2B, compared with the consensus estimate of $69.7B. Sheridan kept a $750 price target and Buy rating on the stock. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Other companies that are significantly exposed to online video include Netflix (NFLX), Facebook (FB) and AOL, which has been acquired by Verizon (VZ). PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, Google Class A shares were little changed at $657.55.
09:42 EDTNFLXActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: AAPL BIDU FB NFLX F T FCX TWTR
July 27, 2015
16:00 EDTNFLXOptions Update; July 27, 2015
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09:36 EDTNFLXActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: AAPL NFLX INTC MU VZ BIDU AMBA
06:30 EDTNFLXSky prepares to unveil set-top box, Telegraph reports
Sky is finishing up an advanced set-top box called SkyQ, a device it hopes can help its pay-TV business compete against BT (BT), the Telegraph reports. The new hardware is set to be unveiled in the next few weeks and will offer satellite households an "Apple (AAPL) and Netflix (NFLX) style" experience, the report says, citing industry insiders. Reference Link
July 26, 2015
15:48 EDTNFLXNetflix executive: Expect DVD rentals for 'foreseeable future,' NYT reports
Despite the success of Netflix's streaming service, Hank Breeggemann, general manager of the company's DVD division, told the New York Times to "expect us to continue to ship DVDs for the foreseeable future." The report notes that Netflix is employing cutting-edge technology to streamline the process of shipping DVDs while trimming costs, with Breeggemann adding, "If you cut back on service, you are going to lose your subscriber base." Reference Link
July 24, 2015
15:06 EDTNFLXEarnings Watch: TV networks report as streaming services gain ground
CBS (CBS), Time Warner (TWX), Viacom (VIA, VIAB), and 21st Century Fox (FOX, FOXA) are among TV network companies expected to report quarterly results over the next several weeks, with Comcast (CMCSA, CMCSK) already having reported before the open on July 23. EXPECTATIONS: Time Warner is expected to report EPS of $1.03 on revenue of $6.9B, CBS is expected to report EPS of 73c on revenue of $3.22B, Viacom is expected to report EPS of $1.47 on revenue of $3.22B, and 21st Century Fox is expected to report EPS of 37c on revenue of $6.48B. LAST QUARTER: CBS, Time Warner, and Fox all reported stronger than expected Q1 results, while Viacom reported higher than expected Q2 EPS but missed on revenue. THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS: On the morning of July 23, Comcast reported Q2 EPS of 84c in line with estimates, and revenue of $18.7B versus expectations for $18.14B. Cable customer relationships for the quarter were up 31,000 to 27.3M, driven by increases in double and triple product relationships. During a subsequent conference call, the company noted that TV viewership continues to be under pressure. NEWS: At Re/code's Code Conference on May 27, CBS CEO Leslie Moonves remarked that his network will "probably" sign up for Apple's (AAPL) rumored TV service, and on June 3, CBS announced that its Showtime network will be offered over the internet as a stand-alone streaming service launching in early July for a monthly price of $10.99, with Apple as its first partner. On July 1, Variety quoted sources as saying Viacom was attempting to entice advertisers by offering to construct social-media and digital extensions of traditional TV ad campaigns as the company seeks to move away from Nielsen-based advertising sales. On July 8, the Wall Street Journal reported that Viacom's Paramount Pictures reached an agreement with AMC (AMC) to accelerate the home release of movies, noting that the company hoped to implement the quickened schedule for all new releases beginning later in the year. On July 17, Re/code reported that Viacom held talks to acquire e-commerce and media company Thrillist Media, according to sources. On June 17, 21st Century Fox named James Murdoch as CEO, with founder and former chairman and CEO Rupert Murdoch appointed executive co-chairman alongside Lachlan Murdoch. The Telegraph reported on June 20 that Fox rejected offers for its stake in Sky (SKYAY) from Vodafone (VOD) and Vivendi (VIVHY), potentially signalling an interest in outright purchasing the rest of Sky, according to the report. More recently, the European Commission announced on July 23 that it delivered a statement of objections to Sky and various film studios owned by Comcast, Viacom, Fox, Time Warner, Disney (DIS), and Sony (SNE), discussing anti-trust concerns due to limitations on country-by-country availability of pay-TV services. STREET RESEARCH: On May 12, Pacific Crest said it believes Apple will launch its TV service before the end of the year, saying the move should benefit TV networks as well as Apple itself. On June 24, Brean Capital said Facebook's (FB) agreement with Time Warner to host premier episodes of certain upcoming shows was "a trend worth following," and possibly indicative of Facebook hosting additional TV content in the future. Also on June 24, FBR Capital contended that Netflix (NFLX) was on pace to have a larger 24-hour audience than all traditional broadcast networks, where ratings are seeing declines on average, according to the research firm. Those comments were followed by a July 10 note on Netflix from Morgan Stanley, saying the subscription streaming service was seeing higher time spent per day than any single broadcast network. Moving away from the Netflix factor, on July 10, JPMorgan said CBS shares looked "very attractive" following a recent selloff, though the company saw a downgrade on July 20 from Pivotal, which cited higher costs of capital among other factors. Finally, Citi upgraded Viacom on July 16 to Neutral, citing recent underperformance in the company's shares heading into earnings season.
14:04 EDTNFLXOn The Fly: Weekly technical notes on 'FANG' and divergences
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July 23, 2015
13:53 EDTNFLX“Fab Five” option implied volatility
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06:51 EDTNFLXDreamWorks upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at FBR Capital
FBR Capital analyst Barton Crockett upgraded DreamWorks (DWA) to Market Perform saying growth from licensing more TV shows to Netflix (NFLX) should offset increased competition in core feature films. Crockett raised his price target for shares to $26.
July 22, 2015
15:02 EDTNFLXOptions Update; July 22, 2015
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10:15 EDTNFLXOptions with decreasing implied volatility
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July 21, 2015
10:24 EDTNFLXOptions with decreasing implied volatility
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09:35 EDTNFLXActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: AAPL FB IBM TSLA BAC PVA NFLX
July 20, 2015
16:01 EDTNFLXOptions Update; July 20, 2015
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10:13 EDTNFLXOptions with decreasing implied volatility
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09:53 EDTNFLXNetflix falls to session lows, levels to watch
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09:34 EDTNFLXActive equity options trading on open
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