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News Breaks
January 7, 2014
09:08 EDTNFLXNetflix volatility may rise on downgrade to Underweight at Morgan Stanley
Netflix option implied volatility may pick up Morgan Stanley’s downgrade to Underweight from Equal Weight. Overall option implied volatility is at 48 is near its 26-week average of 49 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
News For NFLX From The Last 14 Days
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February 3, 2016
09:37 EDTNFLXActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: AAPL BAC FB YHOO GILD CMG NFLX GOOGL QCOM
06:16 EDTNFLXHulu eyes Sundance film acquisitions, Bloomberg reports
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February 2, 2016
15:46 EDTNFLXEarnings Watch: Media networks report amid shifts in streaming, TV landscape
Comcast (CMCSA), CBS (CBS), Time Warner (TWX), Viacom (VIA), and 21st Century Fox (FOX) are among media companies expected to report quarterly results over the next several weeks. EXPECTATIONS: Comcast is expected to report EPS of 82c on revenue of $18.77B, CBS is expected to report EPS of 93c, Time Warner is expected to report EPS of $1.00 on revenue of $7.53B, Viacom is expected to report EPS of $1.18 on revenue of $3.26B, and Fox is expected to report EPS of 44c on revenue of $7.54B. LAST QUARTER: Comcast, Fox, and viacom reported mixed results for the previous quarter, while CBS and Time Warner beat on both top and bottom lines. NEWS: On November 10, Comcast announced it expanded its advanced fiber network to Modesto, California as part of the company's ongoing response to Google (GOOG) Fiber. On November 12, the Wall Street Journal broke news that Hulu, a video streaming joint venture of Disney (DIS), Comcast and Fox, is in talks to sell a stake to Time Warner, though the Journal said on January 31 that the company has expressed dissatisfaction with Hulu's inclusion of current-season TV episodes, which it believes contributes to cord-cutting. On December 2, the Wall Street Journal reported that YouTube was holding talks with Hollywood studios and production companies to seek content licenses amid intensified competition with Netflix (NFLX), Amazon (AMZN), and Hulu. On December 9, Re/code reported that Apple (AAPL), rumored to be working on a subscription TV service, walked away from its negotiations with the major networks after being pressed to include "filler" channels in its hypothetical service. Speaking at a January 7 media conference, Time Warner CFO Howard Averill said the company was negotiating to make full seasons of TV shows available to pay-TV customers on demand, mirroring the "binge watching" offered by Netflix. On January 8, the New York Post reported that Corvex Management was considering an activist position in Time Warner. That same day, Benzinga reported that Twenty-First Century Fox remained interested in the company and had made a $105 per share acquisition offer, though Fox later denied the report. On January 14, the New York Post reported that Comcast has begun "ripping up" agreements with cable networks, moving them from basic cable onto digital tiers in response to consumer demand for smaller bundles. On January 27, Reuters reported that SpringOwl Asset Management is urging Viacom to seek outside investment from strategic partners. On January 30, the New York Post reported that Nelson Peltz is considering an activist position in Time Warner. On February 1, the National Football League announced a broadcasting agreement with CBS and Comcast's NBC which will see the two companies paying roughly $225M each for rights to the next two seasons of Thursday Night Football. Also on February 1, it was reported that Fox offered certain employees voluntary buyouts as part of a $250M cost cutting target. STREET RESEARCH: On November 5, Wells Fargo analyst Marci Ryvicker downgraded Time Warner to Market Perform after its "huge" guidance cut last quarter, with the shares also seeing downgrades at CLSA and Bank of America Merrill Lynch. On December 22, Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne called Comcast one of his top large cap picks for 2016, saying the company can use skinny bundles to take market share and potentially add net video customers for the first time since 2006. On January 8, research firm Stifel cut its price target on CBS to $54 from $66, citing a belief that industry syndication and SVOD revenues will significantly decelerate going forward, with CBS having more exposure to those areas than its peers. Meanwhile, JPMorgan added the company to its U.S. focus list on January 11, citing its heavily discounted stock and potentially strong EPS growth in 2016. On February 1, Pacific Crest argued that Comcast shares should be owned going into fourth quarter results, contending that the company's video and broadband investments will likely translate to increased market share and strong cash flows this year. PRICE ACTION: Comcast and Fox, the first of the media giants to report quarterly earnings, are down 2% and 3.6%, respectively, amid the broader market selloff.
11:10 EDTNFLXStocks with call strike movement; NFLX SPLS
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10:00 EDTNFLXOn The Fly: Analyst Upgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy upgrades include: DuPont Fabros (DFT) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Evercore ISI... GOL Linhas (GOL) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman... Integrated Device (IDTI) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Wedbush... Julius Baer (JBAXY) upgraded to Hold from Sell at Deutsche Bank... Kohl's (KSS) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Buckingham... Mattel (MAT) upgraded on positive catalysts at Stifel... Mitsubishi sees limited downside for Tableau (DATA), ups to Neutral ... Morgan Stanley (MS) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Macquarie... Netflix (NFLX) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray... Realty Income (O) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley... TJX (TJX) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital.
09:28 EDTNFLXOn The Fly: Pre-market Movers
UP AFTER EARNINGS: Michael Kors (KORS), up 17.3%... Mattel (MAT), up 6.9%... Mallinckrodt (MNK), up 4.3%... Alphabet (GOOGL), up 5%... Dow Chemical (DOW), up 3%... UPS (UPS), up 2.3%. ALSO HIGHER: Netflix (NFLX), up 1.1% after being upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray... Hansen Medical (HNSN), up 18.8% after announcing FDA clearance of Magellan Robotic Catheter eKit. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS: Integrated Device (IDTI), down 20%... BP (BP), down 8.5%... Royal Caribbean (RCL), down 7%... Waddell & Reed (WDR), down 5.5%... Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), down 5.5%. ALSO LOWER: Twitter (TWTR), down after being downgraded to Sell from Hold at Stifel... American Campus (ACC), down 1.1% after 15.6M share Spot Secondary priced at $41.25... Horsehead (ZINC), down 47.6% after filing for Chapter 11 protection in Delaware.
05:51 EDTNFLXNetflix upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson upgraded Netflix to Overweight following the stock's 30% decline over the past two months. Concerns around slowing domestic growth and competition have created an entry point into the name, Olson tells investors in a research note. The analyst admits Netflix's domestic growth will continue to slow but sees the streaming service as an international growth story. He keeps a $122 price target for the stock. Netflix closed yesterday up $2.25 to $94.09.
February 1, 2016
16:01 EDTNFLXOptions Update; February 1, 2016
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13:42 EDTNFLXEarnings Watch: Alphabet to report Q4 results under new corporate structure
Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) is expected to report fourth quarter earnings after the market close on Monday, February 1 with a conference call scheduled for 4:30 pm ET. Alphabet is a multinational conglomerate that serves as the parent company of Google, Calico, GV, Google Capital, and Nest Labs. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of $8.09 on revenue of $20.77B. The consensus range is $7.32-$8.59 for EPS, and $20.33B-$21.68B for revenue, according to First Call. LAST QUARTER: Alphabet reported third quarter EPS of $7.35 against estimates of $7.21, on revenue of $18.7B against estimates of $18.53B. Google reported Q3 aggregate paid clicks up 23%, paid clicks on Google websites down 5%, aggregate cost-per-clicks down 11%, and cost-per-click on Google websites down 4%. The company also reported Q3 Sites revenue up 16% to $13.08B and Q3 Total advertising revenue up 13% to $26.78B. During its Q3 earnings report, the company said it will begin to disclose the Google business as a single segment in Q4. It also announced that the board authorized the company to repurchase $5.1B of Class C shares in Q4. GOOGLE SEGMENT: Alphabet announced that it will report Google as a single segment within its company beginning in Q4. It stated, "The new operating structure is being introduced in phases. For financial reporting purposes, we expect the reorganization will result in disclosing our Google business as a single segment and all other Alphabet businesses combined as Other Bets beginning in the fourth quarter of 2015." Within Alphabet, the Google segment now has 6 products with over 1B users, including Search, Maps, YouTube, Chrome, Android and Google Play. Gmail is also closing in on the mark with its 900M user base. RBC Capital believes that the disclosure of segment results by Google in conjunction with its Q4 results will cause the stock to rerate. The firm believes that the segment results will highlight the high profits of core Google, supporting an increase in the stocks' sum of the parts valuation. NEWS AND STREET RESEARCH: In the past quarter, Alphabet had a strong holiday season with ChannelAdvisor reporting Google Shopping was up 31.7% over the entire holiday period. Specifically, Google Shopping was up 35.9% on Thanksgiving, up 40.3% on Black Friday, up 25.7% on Cyber Saturday, and up 18.6% on Cyber Monday. Alphabet announced the redesigned launch of Google+ in November, the exploration of Fiber in Chicago and Los Angeles, and announced plans to open its first retail store in New York City. The company also targets the China launch of the Google Play app store in 2016, according to multiple reports. Lenovo (LNVGY) CEO Chen Xudong confirmed that Google Play is expected to come to China at some point this year. The company is expected to make its self-driving car company under the Alphabet structure as a stand-alone business. Ford (F) and Google are in discussions over self-driving cars, with the currently negotiated contract likely to "last a long time." According to a Reuters report, Google expects fewer software failiures in self-driving cars as it learns from its mistakes. Google tested solar-powered Internet drones and expects consumer package delivery via drone to begin in 2017. Google is also in talks with the NFL for streaming rights for London games next year. STREET RESEARCH: Oppenheimer said cloud providers like Alphabet may have a huge opportunity in the coming years. The firm said Alphabet may look for a major partner like Salesforce (CRM) to drive its cloud business. Cantor said Google ad revenue growth should continue to be strong and BMO Capital said Alphabet's outlook has improved as valuation has become more reasonable. Bernstein said the Street continues to underestimate the resilience and growth potential of Alphabet's search ad business and YouTube. Barron's, in particular, was extremely positive on YouTube, saying its revenue per viewer could potentially double in five years. It added it could be twice as valuable as Netflix (NFLX). JMP Securities was also bullish on the company, saying Alphabet benefitted from a relatively strong holiday season for online advertising. Ahead of its Q4 earnings report, JMP Securities expects the company to report "relatively strong" results. PRICE ACTION: Google shares have gained about 6% over the last three months. In Monday afternoon trading ahead of the Q4 report, Google shares are up almost 2%
11:14 EDTNFLXStocks with call strike movement; NFLX AA
Netflix (NFLX) April 110 call option implied volatility increased 6% to 51, Alcoa (AA) April 8 call option implied volatility increased 4% to 50 according to iVolatility.
09:44 EDTNFLXForbes contributor suggests Apple should buy Netflix
Forbes contributor Jay Somaney noted that Apple (AAPL) has recently been reported to be talking to TV producers and Hollywood studios about investing and developing original TV shows and he contends that "one way to circumvent the tedious and lengthy negotiations process with Hollywood and the networks" is for Apple to offer to buy out Netflix (NFLX). Reference Link
09:36 EDTNFLXActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: BAC AAPL FB AMZN TWTR MGM MCD NFLX GILD INTC TSLA AA BABA C
09:11 EDTNFLXDISH says releases Hopper 3 to customers nationwide
DISH Network (DISH) announced the availability of its award-winning Hopper 3 to customers nationwide. The third-generation of DISH's whole-home DVR system, Hopper 3 features 16 tuners, delivers an enhanced 4K experience and supports up to seven TVs simultaneously. In the coming weeks, Hopper 3 will launch the Netflix (NFLX) app and integrate Netflix titles into its universal search results.
05:11 EDTNFLXNetflix announces Brahman Naman to premiere exclusively on Netflix
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January 31, 2016
20:11 EDTNFLXTime Warner, Hulu talks heat up over issue of current seasons, WSJ says
Time Warner's (TWX) negotiations to potentially buy into Hulu, a joint venture of Comcast (CMCSA, CMCSK), Fox (FOX, FOXA) and Disney (DIS), have been heating up lately over the issue of Hulu subscribers being able to view current-season TV shows, reports the Wall Street Journal, citing sources. Though the feature is a differentiator for Hulu when compared to Netflix (NFLX) and Amazon (AMZN), Time Warner believes the presence of full, current seasons contributes to cord cutting, the report says. Reference Link
January 29, 2016
16:00 EDTNFLXOptions Update; January 29, 2016
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January 28, 2016
19:09 EDTNFLXOn The Fly: After Hours Movers
UP AFTER EARNINGS: Gigamon (GIMO), up 15.2%... QLogic (QLGC), up 11%... Fortinet (FTNT), up 9.2%... ShoreTel (SHOR), up 5.7%... Skyworks (SWKS), up 3.6%... Flextronics (FLEX), up 4.6%... Microsoft (MSFT), up 3.6%... Proofpoint (PFPT), up 3.1%. ALSO HIGHER: Palo Alto Networks (PANW) is up 1.1% and FireEye (FEYE) is up 1.6% after Fortinet reported quarterly results. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS: Amazon.com (AMZN), down 13.2%... Synaptics (SYNA), down 3.8%... Electronic Arts (EA), down 8%... Quality Systems (QSII), down 9%... Visa (V), down 1.2%. ALSO LOWER: Facebook (FB) is down 1.2%, Netflix (NFLX) is down 2.7%, and Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) is down 1.5% and 1.7%, respectively, after Amazon reported quarterly results.
16:00 EDTNFLXOptions Update; January 28, 2016
iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures down 84c to 25.21 Option volume leaders: FB AAPL MSFT AMZN NFLX BAC BABA QCOM AAL MU C RIG
12:22 EDTNFLXEarnings Watch: Amazon expected to report strong Q4 results after holiday season
Amazon.com (AMZN) is expected to report fourth quarter earnings after the market close on Thursday, January 28 with a conference call scheduled for 5:00 pm ET. Amazon.com is an online retail company that also provides consumer electronics and cloud computing services. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of $1.56 on revenue of $35.93B. The consensus range is 60c-$2.41 for EPS, and $35.11B-$36.75B for revenue, according to First Call. LAST QUARTER: Amazon.com reported third quarter EPS of 17c against estimates of (13c), on revenue of $25.4B against estimates of $24.91B. At that time, the company gave Q4 revenue guidance of $33.5B-$36.75B and Q4 operating income guidance of $80M-$1.28B, compared to $591M in the year-ago period. Amazon also reported Q3 Amazon Web Services revenue $2.085B and AWS operating income $521M. The company said Prime Day added 2% to its global revenue growth rate. NEWS: In the past quarter, ChannelAdvisor said that Amazon outpaced the industry with a 16.8% holiday SSS growth. Specifically, Amazon's SSS grew 28.9% on Thanksgiving, up 20% on Black Friday, up 20.5% on Cyber Sunday, and up 25.6% on Cyber Monday. During that time, Amazon's Fire tablet was the top-selling product. According to a Re/code report in December, Amazon is now accounting for more than half of all sales growth in U.S. eCommerce. In Q4, Amazon also announced expansions for Prime Now in Los Angeles, San Diego, Baltimore, Austin and Chicago. It began delivering alcohol in Manhattan and offered delivery from local stores in China. By the end of 2015, Amazon was offering Prime Now in 26 cities. The company plans to open fulfillment centers in Columbus, Massachusetts and Canada. It also also build an Amazon Wind Farm in Ohio. Amazon announced that it will shutter its payments service and Groupon-style daily deals service in 2016. However, it also announced that it tripled its selection of free games and apps since launching Amazon Underground. Amazon held early tests of cargo aircraft as it looks to establish its own freight operations. During the Golden Globe awards, Amazon's "Mozart in the Jungle" received two awards, while its competitor Netflix (NFLX) left empty-handed. STREET RESEARCH: In the long-term, Citi said Amazon has a path towards $20 per adjusted EPS by 2018 due to an ongoing mix shift in the retail business and stellar growth in its high margin cloud business. The company was also initiated with an Overweight at Pacific Crest, and had its price target raised at Nomura and BofA.Merrill, citing the company's aim to be part of the consumer purchase process and its lead in both eCommerce and the cloud. Piper Jaffray said Amazon's Prime membership has been the most impressive despite a large base of users. It expected Amazon to add 8M-9M Prime subscribers during the full holiday season, ahead of its previous expectation of 6M-7M. Piper Jaffray added that estimates are mis-modeling Amazon's margin expansion in 2016 and believes the company's unit growth will likely exceed expectations. Ahead of the Q4 earnings report, Stifel said Amazon revenue is expected to beat expectations due to healthy eCommerce trends, strong Prime adoption and strong adoption of AWS. Bernstein also said that the street margin outlook for Amazon continues to be too low, and believes the company is poised to beat street expectations. PRICE ACTION: Amazon.com shares are near flat over the last three months. In Thursday trading ahead of the Q3 report, Amazon.com shares are higher by 6.5%.
09:38 EDTNFLXActive equity options trading on open
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