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April 19, 2013
11:34 EDTNFLXEarnings Preview: Netflix shares up over 64% since last report
Netflix (NFLX) is expected to report first quarter earnings after the market close on Monday, April 22 with a conference call scheduled for 6:00 pm ET. Netflix is an Internet subscription service that allows members to watch TV shows and movies through DVD and on-demand streaming. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 18c on revenue of $1.02B. The consensus range is (14c)-35c for EPS, and $1.01B-$1.03B for revenue, according to First Call. LAST QUARTER: Netflix reported fourth quarter EPS 13c against estimates of (13c) on revenue of $945M against estimates of $934.12M. The company reported total subscriptions for domestic streaming 27.2M and international streaming 6.12M. It also reported Q4 total subscriptions for domestic DVD 8.22M. Netflix forecast Q1 EPS of 0c-23c and said it expects Q1 domestic streaming subscriptions to reach 28.5M-29.2M and international streaming subscriptions to reach 6.6M-7.3M. It also said it has no plans to launch in additional international markets in the first half of this year. NEWS: In the past quarter, Netflix signed a deal with Dreamworks (DWA) as it continues to expand kids programming with an original series. It also announced an integration agreement with Facebook (FB). In a regulatory filing, the company said contribution margins for domestic DVD segment will decline sequentially. STREET RESEARCH: Analyst firms Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan and BMO Capital all raised their price targets on Netflix during the quarter, citing original content and increased subscriber expectations. Pacific Crest said the company should report Q1 subscriber growth and also said Netflix shares should be bought on any post-earnings weakness. PRICE ACTION: Netflix shares have risen more than 64% since the first day of trading following the company's Q4 report. In Friday mid-day trading ahead of the Monday night's report, Netflix shares are up around 2.5%.
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January 20, 2015
15:21 EDTNFLXNotable companies reporting after market close
Notable companies reporting after the market close, with earnings consensus, include IBM (IBM), consensus $5.41; Netflix (NFLX), consensus 45c; CA Technologies (CA), consensus 60c; Cree (CREE), consensus 22c; Woodward (WWD), consensus 46c; Fulton Financial (FULT), consensus 21c; Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), consensus 1c; Interactive Brokers (IBKR), consensus 6c; Pinnacle Financial (PNFP), consensus 53c.
14:17 EDTNFLXNetflix technical commentary ahead of earnings
The stock has been in a sideways consolidation pattern since a sharp downtrend began in October of last year. The approximate range has been a high at $350 and a low at $320. Breaks of either end of this range will be important determinants of the trend following earnings. A breakout above $350 would potentially reverse the current dominant downtrend. With over 8.5% of the trading float short, there could be substantial buy-to-cover pressure in the event of a positive surprise. Upside levels to watch above $350 would be at $357.95, $366.51, and $375.83. On an extreme positive surprise, the $380 area could be tested. If the news is negative, a break below the $320 area would likely lead to a resumption of the dominant downtrend. Support levels to watch would be at $310.25, $299.50, and $290.28. A breakdown below $300 would be long-term bearish for price, confirming a major top.
14:04 EDTNFLXNetflix January weekly 345 straddle priced for 11% movement into Q4
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08:11 EDTNFLXNetflix volatility increases into Q4 and outlook
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January 16, 2015
11:16 EDTNFLXCBS, Viacom climb following Stifel upgrades
Shares of CBS (CBS) and Viacom (VIA, VIAB) are climbing after research firm Stifel upgraded the stocks to Buy from Hold. CBS owns the CBS network and other entertainment properties. Viacom owns a number of cable networks, including MTV and Nickelodeon. WHAT'S NEW: CBS' NFL rights leave it well-positioned to charge cable companies and other TV providers high fees, Stifel analyst Benjamin Mogil wrote in a note to investors today. Meanwhile, the company's strong ratings and lower production costs reduce its risk, Mogil stated. CBS has more opportunities when it comes to selling its content to Internet TV networks such as Netflix (NFLX), Mogil believes. The analyst set a $65 price target on the shares. Meanwhile, Mogil believes that Viacom should benefit from the adoption of ratings measurements other than Nielsen's (NLSN) tools. Viacom has complained that Nielsen's tools have underestimated its ratings by failing to adequately take into account new types of content consumption, the analyst noted. Viacom's recent expansion into new international markets should also improve its performance, Mogil stated. He set an $89 price target on the shares. ANOTHER TO WATCH: Mogil initiated coverage of Twenty-First Century Fox (FOXA) with a $41 price target and Buy rating, saying that the company is well-positioned to benefit from its wide range of sports programming. He set a $41 price target on the shares. PRICE ACTION: In late morning trading, CBS advanced 2.75% to $55, Viacom gained 2.5% to $68, and Twenty-First Century Fox rose 0.4% to $34.72.
10:34 EDTNFLXNetflix January weekly volatility increases into Q4 and outlook
Netflix January weekly call option implied volatility is at 97, February is at 55, March is at 46; compared to its 26-week average of 37 according to Track Data, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q4 results on January 20.
10:01 EDTNFLXOn The Fly: Analyst Upgrade Summary
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09:30 EDTNFLXNetflix results likely to beat expectations, says Cantor
Cantor expects Netflix's Q4 results to beat expectations. The firm views the company's 2015 original content as compelling and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
08:57 EDTNFLXNetflix upgraded to Outperform at Cowen
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06:09 EDTNFLXNetflix upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Cowen
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January 15, 2015
07:59 EDTNFLXNetflix Q4 results should be in-line with expectations, says Canaccord
Canaccord said Q4 result for Netflix should be in-line with expectations, but its guidance on subscriptions will be the focus for investors. Canaccord believes the long term growth story for Netflix remains intact, even though near-term subscriber trends remain difficult to predict. Canaccord reiterates its Buy rating and $450 price target on Netflix shares.
January 14, 2015
14:29 EDTNFLXNetflix January weekly volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
Netflix January weekly call option implied volatility is at 89, February is at 57, March is at 46; compared to its 26-week average of 37 according to Track Data, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q4 results on January 20.
14:15 EDTNFLXNetflix seen boosted by strong new content
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10:00 EDTNFLXOn The Fly: Analyst Upgrade Summary
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09:36 EDTNFLXActive equity options trading
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07:57 EDTNFLXJPMorgan positive on Netflix into Q4 earnings
JPMorgan reiterates an Overweight rating on shares of Netflix with a $450 price target ahead of the company's Q4 results on January 20. The firm expects a "solid' report driven by the continued shift away from linear TV and positive seasonality. It also expects new content and traction in Western Europe to drive subscriber growth in 2015.
07:23 EDTNFLXNetflix upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel
Stifel upgrade Netflix to Buy with a $380 price target citing compelling risk/reward given strong content cycles that include a strong slate of originals, lowered expectations, and continued international expansion.
January 13, 2015
11:57 EDTNFLXNetflix, Kudelski Group enter product relationship, resolve patent litigation
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January 12, 2015
09:04 EDTNFLXAmazon wins first Golden Globe for 'Transparent,' Business Insider reports
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08:18 EDTNFLXNetflix January weekly volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
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