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November 17, 2015
09:02 EDTAAPLAnalyst pans competing products, says buy Fitbit
Shares of previous high-flier Fitbit (FIT) have dropped about 30% in the last two weeks following the company's third quarter earnings report, but an analyst at Bank of America upgraded his view of the fitness tracker maker this morning, saying that now is the time to buy ahead of fourth quarter results that may be boosted by the "underwhelming" new products being launched by its competitors. UNDERWHELMING COMPETITION: Fitbit's sales guidance for this holiday quarter looks conservative, contends Bank of America analyst Nat Schindler, who notes that the company only had the launch of one new product last December but will have the Charge, Charge HR and Surge to drive sales this season. Schindler also notes that the company's international advertising has expanded into more countries ahead of the holidays this year. Key, however, may be the "underwhelming" lineup of new or updated fitness trackers launched by competitors, such as the Microsoft's (MSFT) Band 2, Jawbone's UP4 and Sony's (SNE) Smartband 2, many of which have only minor improvements and no "must have" features to pull consumers away from Fitbit, Schindler told investors in his research note. PLATFORM PICKING UP STEAM: The analyst also pointed out that Fitbit now has more than 20 companies signed onto its health and wellness platform, including big names like Target (TGT) and Barclays (BCS), which he believes should help drive revenue beats in the upcoming fiscal year due to increased device sales. Also, the additional dashboard data should help Fitbit maintain long-term user engagement, said Schindler. APPLE WATCH: Apple's (AAPL) Apple Watch is largely viewed as the biggest potential competitive threat to Fitbit's offerings, but on the fitness tracker maker's last earnings call CEO James Park said Fitbit's products differ from those of its competitors in several key aspects, including pricing, cross-platform compatibility, brand awareness and product line breadth. Other wearables makers include Garmin (GRMN) and Samsung. PRICE ACTION: Since the day after Fitbit's last earnings report after the market close on November 2, its shares have fallen about 29.5% to close yesterday at $28.80. In pre-market trading this morning, Fitbit shares rose 2% to $29.40.
07:58 EDTGMCRKeurig Green Mountain volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
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07:01 EDTAAPLGlobal Payments to offer Apple Pay support in Canada
Global Payments (GPN) said it will offer its merchants in Canada the ability to accept American Express (AXP) payments made with Apple (AAPL) Pay. As an Apple Pay-qualified payment provider, Global Payments' robust suite of payments solutions is fully enabled for Apple Pay acceptance, allowing merchants to offer their customers the convenience of Apple Pay acceptance in-store, in-app and on-the-go.
06:35 EDTGOOGGoogle's Project Aura working on three new wearables, the Information says
Google's revamped Google Glass project, known as Project Aura, is developing a wearable with a screen and at least one without, the Information reports. Three versions of the head-mounted device are currently in development, though three may be consolidated into two, the report says. The two without a screen rely on bone conduction, much like the original Google Glass, the report says. Reference Link
06:03 EDTHDHome Depot sees FY15 EPS $5.36, consensus $5.31
Sees FY15 sales growth of 5.7%, consensus $87.74B. The FY15 EPS includes benefit of its intent to repurchase additional $2B of shares in Q4, bringing total 2015 share repurchases to $7B.
06:02 EDTHDHome Depot reports Q3 EPS excluding items $1.36, consensus $1.32
Reports Q3 revenue $21.82B, consensus $21.76B. Reports Q3 comparable store sales up 5.1%. Reports Q3 US comparable store sales up 7.3%.
05:24 EDTHDStocks with implied volatility above IV index mean; CRM HD
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05:20 EDTBBRYStocks with implied volatility movement; VIPS BBRY
Stocks with implied volatility movement; Vipshop (VIPS) 92, BlackBerry (BBRY) 63 according to iVolatility.
November 16, 2015
16:43 EDTAAPLGreenlight Capital added Apple, sold some SunEdison
Greenlight Capital gave a quarterly update on its stakes in a filing this afternoon. NEW STAKES: CNX Coal Resources (CNXC), Garmin (GRMN), Terraform Global (GLBL), and Liberty Global (LILA). INCREASED STAKES: Apple (AAPL), Michael Kors (KORS), Dillard's (DDS), UIL Holdings (UIL), and Twenty-First Century Fox (FOXA). DECREASED STAKES: SunEdison (SUNE), Micron (MU), Voya (VOYA), Applied Materials (AMAT), and SunEdison Semiconductor (SEMI). LIQUIDATED STAKES: Citizens Financial (CFG), Lam Research (LRCX), Spirit AeroSystems (SPR), Hertz (HTZ), and Macy's (M).
16:00 EDTAAPLOptions Update; November 16, 2015
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15:02 EDTHDNotable companies reporting before tomorrow's open
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14:44 EDTHDHome Depot volatility increases into Q3 and outlook
Home Depot November call option implied volatility is at 45, December is at 27; compared to its 52-week range of 16 to 32, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q3 results on November 17.
14:38 EDTHDHome Depot November 120 straddle priced for 4.4% movement into Q3
14:28 EDTHDHome Depot technical notes ahead of earnings
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12:35 EDTAAPLApple reaps 94% of global smartphone profits, Business Insider says
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10:40 EDTHDEarnings Watch: Home Depot reports following recent rout among retailers
Home Depot (HD), a home improvement retailer, is scheduled to report third quarter results before the market opens on Tuesday, November 17, with a conference call scheduled for 9:00 am ET. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of $1.32 on revenue of $21.76B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is $1.28-$1.37 on revenue of $21.16B-$22B. LAST QUARTER: On August 18, Home Depot reported second quarter adjusted EPS of $1.71 on revenue of $24.83B, generally in line with analysts' consensus estimates of $1.71 and $24.69B, respectively. The company said same-store sales increased 4.2% year-over-year, with U.S. SSS up 5.7%. The company raised its fiscal year 2015 EPS growth view to 13% from 11%-12% and its FY15 revenue growth forecast to 5.2%-6% from 4%-4.6%. The company previously raised its FY15 EPS growth view to 11%-12% and revenue growth view to 4.2%-4.8% from 3.5%-4.7%. Home Depot also said it sees FY15 SSS to be up 4.1%-4.9% y/y, an increase from its prior view of 4%-4.6% growth. Home Depot said at the time that it expected to repurchase an additional $3.9B of shares during the remainder of the year for a total of $7B. NEWS: On its last earnings conference call, Home Depot said the increased guidance reflects the outperformance of Q2 and the expected benefits of the Interline Brands acquisition. The company also noted that it will tap the long-term debt markets in the fall. During the quarter, Home Depot completed the $1.63B acquisition of Interline. STREET RESEARCH: UBS raised its price target on Home Depot to $138 from $129 on the day after its last earnings release, saying it sees several factors that could drive upside, including the addition of the Interline platform and system enhancements. PRICE ACTION: Last week, while retailers Macy's (M), Nordstrom (JWN) and numerous others in the space reported worse than expected quarterly results and gave downbeat guidance, Home Depot shares declined about 4.7%. Over the last three months, Home Depot shares are up about 1%. In early trading ahead of Tuesday's earnings, shares in Home Depot slipped about 0.25% to $119.74.
10:25 EDTAAPLUBS trims Apple target, says iPhone partner cut production forecast
Hon Hai, which manufactures Apple's (AAPL) iPhones, expects to assemble significantly fewer iPhones this quarter than in the same period in 2014, UBS wrote in a note to investors today. WHAT'S NEW: Hon Hai Precision Industry, also known as Foxconn, is expected to assemble 10% fewer iPhones this quarter than in the same period in 2014, said UBS analyst Steven Milunovich, citing work from fellow UBS analyst Arthur Hsieh. Previously, companies that supply force touch components for iPhones saw a 10%-15% reduction in their orders, the analyst reported. These developments "are not encouraging," but Apple had previously ordered a large number of iPhones for Q4, according to Milunovich. Overall iPhone demand "could still be decent," he believes. However, the analyst lowered his iPhone sales estimate for Apple's March quarter to 61M from 62.5M, asserting that iPhone sales on China's November 11 Singles Day holiday may have come in below expectations. Based on October search volumes, he continues to believe that demand for iPhone units in the fourth quarter of the calendar year will be 75M, in-line with the consensus outlook. Milunovich trimmed his price target on Apple to $140 from $150 but kept a Buy rating on the shares. WHAT'S NOTABLE In a note to investors on November 10, Credit Suisse reported that it was cutting its estimates for 2016 iPhone sales. The firm expects sales of the device to fall 10.4% in the first quarter versus the same period in 2015, and it predicts that iPhone sales will decline 5.5% year-over-year in 2016. Suppliers with greater than 10% exposure to Apple include Avago (AVGO), SanDisk (SNDK), Analog Devices (ADI), Broadcom (BRCM), Texas Instruments (TXN), NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) and Fairchild (FCS), Credit Suisse reported. The firm said it continues to have a negative view of the smartphone sector. PRICE ACTION: In early trading, Apple added nearly 1% to $113.34.
09:37 EDTAAPLActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: AAPL FB ORCL BAC SUNE FDX FCX EXPE NFLX MU AMZN INTC TSLA
09:33 EDTGOOGeBay second week of November SSS up 0.4%, ChannelAdvisor says
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08:46 EDTAAPL4-inch iPhone 6c may be available in middle of 2016, Cult of Mac reports
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