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November 18, 2015
16:09 EDTGMCRKeurig Green Mountain sees FY16 CapEx $225M-$275M
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16:08 EDTGMCRKeurig Green Mountain raises annual dividend 13% to $1.30 per share
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16:07 EDTGMCRKeurig Green Mountain spikes 16% following Q4 results, FY16 guidance
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16:07 EDTGMCRKeurig Green Mountain sees FY16 free cash flow $420M-$500M
16:06 EDTGMCRKeurig Green Mountain sees FY16 adjusted EPS $3.25-$3.45, consensus $3.47
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16:05 EDTGMCRKeurig Green Mountain reports Q4 adjusted EPS 85c, consensus 71c
Reports Q4 revenue $1.04B, consensus $1.03B.
16:01 EDTAAPLOptions Update; November 18, 2015
iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures down 1.39 to 19.44. Option volume leaders: AAPL NBG TGT NFLX F FB QCOM SUNE GPRO MSFT
14:44 EDTGMCRKeurig Green Mountain technical comments ahead of earnings
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14:38 EDTGMCRNotable companies reporting after market close
Notable companies reporting after the market close, with earnings consensus, include Salesforce (CRM), consensus 19c... L Brands (LB), consensus 52c... (CTRP), consensus 9c... NetApp (NTAP), consensus 57c... Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR), consensus 71c.
14:20 EDTGMCRKeurig Green Mountain November 40 straddle priced for 16.5% movement into Q4
12:41 EDTGMCREarnings Watch: Keurig CEO still confident of long-term goals ahead of Q4 report
Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR) is scheduled to report fourth quarter results after the market close on Wednesday, November 18 with a conference call scheduled for 5:00 pm ET. Keurig Green Mountain, formerly Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, is engaged in the specialty coffee and coffee maker businesses and owns the "Keurig" brand of single-serve coffee makers and products. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 71c on revenue of $1.03B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 68c-74c on revenue of $1.07B-$1.2B. LAST QUARTER: On August 5, Keurig Green Mountain reported third quarter adjusted EPS of 80c, beating analysts' estimates of 79c, on revenue of $969.6M, missing consensus estimates of $1.04B. The company forecast Q3 adjusted EPS of 70c-75c on a sales decline of low teens compared to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2014. The company forecast FY15 adjusted EPS to decline in mid-single digits and net sales growth to be flat to up low-single digits compared to FY14. NEWS: In conjunction with its last earnings release, Keurig Green Mountain announced a $1B share repurchase authorization and said that based upon its preliminary estimates for fiscal 2016, the company expects its hot business to deliver modest adjusted EPS growth over fiscal 2015 inclusive of the expected productivity savings. The company also announced plans to reduce its workforce by 5% over the next few years, which is expected to generate about $300M in savings over the next three years with approximately $100M of savings in FY16. Brian Kelley, the company's chief executive officer, said that the company can still reach its long-term EPS goals and noted that the company experts a stronger FY15 holiday season than FY14. Kelley said that the company's new countertop device, the Kold machine, will drive long-term growth following recent sales declines in its core business, Reuters reported in September. Dow Jones said on October 21 that David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital shorted Keurig Green Mountain again. STREET RESEARCH: Canaccord lowered its price target on Keurig Green Mountain to $59 from $65 in a November note to clients and said they can't recommend buying the shares until the K-cup risk stabilizes, which could be helped by a strong holiday brewer sales season. On November 11, shares were downgraded to Negative from Mixed at OTR Global. PRICE ACTION: Over the last three months, Keurig Green Mountain shares are down over 19%. Year-to-date, shares are down roughly 69%. In afternoon trading ahead of the company's earnings, shares are up fractionally to $40.43.
12:33 EDTAAPLOn The Fly: Top stock stories at midday
Stocks on Wall Street began the session in positive territory and have moved higher throughout the morning. All eyes continue to be fixed on Paris and successful police action in a raid of the dwellings of suspects from the bombing over the weekend may have added to today's positive sentiment. There was little help from the day's economic data, however, as the housing starts report for October came in with the lowest reading in seven months and the energy inventories data showed another buildup in crude. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., housing starts fell 11.0% to a 1.06M pace in October, weaker than the expected rate of 1.16M. Building permits, however, rose 4.1% to a 1.15M rate, versus an expected rise of 3.8%. The day's big economic event may be yet to come, as investors await the minutes from the Fed's last FOMC meeting, which are scheduled for release at 2:00 pm ET. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of Target (TGT) fell more than 5% after the retailer reported in-line quarterly sales and profits and narrowed the range of its fiscal year earnings view. Target, which guided for same-store sales in its holiday quarter to be up 1%-2%, added that it sees "indications of heavy inventory levels" at some competitors into the holiday season... Shares of railroad operator Norfolk Southern (NSC) spiked in the after-hours trading after rival Canadian Pacific (CP) announced that it had sent an offer letter proposing a business combination, but failed to outline the details of its proposal. Norfolk Southern then confirmed Canadian Pacific to acquire the company for $46.72 in cash and a fixed exchange ratio of 0.348 Canadian Pacific shares per Norfolk share, calling the indication of interest "unsolicited, low-premium, non-binding and highly conditional." CNBC's David Faber, citing sources, subsequently reported that Norfolk Southern has no interest in pursuing a merger, but Norfolk shares remain up more than 6% early this afternoon, while Canadian Pacific is up nearly 6% as well... Shares of Apple (AAPL) climbed about 3% after Goldman Sachs added the stock to its Conviction Buy List, predicting that investors should begin to focus on the company's monetization and recurring revenue opportunities over the next year, which would be a boon to its valuation. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Aramark (ARMK), which rallied 8% after it reported upbeat quarterly earnings and guided for fiscal 2016. Also higher was Fairchild Semicondcutor (FCS), which gained 8.5% after it agreed to be acquired for approximately $2.4B by ON Semiconductor (ON), which fell 8% following the deal announcement. Another noteworthy losers was Qualcomm (QCOM), which fell nearly 10% after it said that allegations from Korea's FTC that the company did not properly negotiate "aspects" of its licenses are "not supported by the facts." Also lower was Staples (SPLS), which was down 4% after it reported Q3 earnings and provided an earnings outlook for Q4. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was up 132.98, or 0.76%, to 17,622.48, the Nasdaq was up 43.00, or 0.86%, to 5,029.01, and the S&P 500 was up 15.62, or 0.76%, to 2,066.06.
11:24 EDTGOOGGoogle eyes YouTube enhancement with VR experiences, DigiTimes says
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10:49 EDTAAPLGoldman says buy Apple ahead of 'Apple-as-a-Service' sentiment shift
The shares of Apple (AAPL) are climbing after Goldman Sachs added the stock to its Conviction Buy List. Apple is taking steps to increase the monetization of its customer base and investors should begin to focus on the company's monetization and recurring revenue opportunities over the next year, leading to a higher valuation after this transition occurs, the firm predicts. WHAT'S NEW: Apple can significantly increase the monetization of its 500M users over the next few years, Goldman analyst Simona Jankowski wrote in a note to investors today. It should be able to attain this goal by selling more of its services, such as Apple TV and Apple Music, to its customers and by convincing them to buy more of its hardware products, including Macs, iPads and watches, the analyst stated. Apple's introduction of installment plans for the iPhone should also facilitate its transition to a recurring revenue model, Jankowski indicated. If Apple creates similar installment plans for its other products and services, its current average revenue per iPhone user would be $42 per month, the analyst estimated. If every iPhone users adopts every Apple product and service, the tech giant's ARPU would climb to $153 per month, implying that it can grow significantly as its users adopt more of its products and services, according to Jankowski. The market currently values Apple as a hardware company and would give the company a higher valuation if it began to view the tech giant as having a recurring revenue model, which she dubs "Apple-as-a-Service." She has a $163 price target on the shares. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, Apple rose about 3% to $117 per share.
10:47 EDTAAPLTarget sees Apple Watch to be top gift in wearable category in holiday season
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10:29 EDTBBRYOptions with increasing implied volatility
Options with increasing implied volatility: TERP CSC SGMS RH BBRY ULTA SNDK ORCL NKE VNET
10:00 EDTAAPLOn The Fly: Analyst Upgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy upgrades include: Apple (AAPL) upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman... BorgWarner (BWA) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... Cognex (CGNX) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Canaccord... FARO Technologies (FARO) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Canaccord... Lazard (LAZ) upgraded to Strong Buy from Outperform at Raymond James... LendingClub (LC) upgraded on valuation, positive outlook at Sterne Agee CRT... Middleby (MIDD) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital... Perrigo (PRGO) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at B. Riley... RE/MAX Holdings (RMAX) upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at JMP Securities... Sally Beauty (SBH) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... Shopify (SHOP) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James... TASER (TASR) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Ladenburg... USG (USG) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Northcoast.
09:52 EDTAAPLApple trades up, Goldman adds to Conviction Buy List
The stock was last at $116.89, up over 2.8% on the session on moderate volume. At current price next resistance is at $119.27. Support is at $115.75, the opening price of the day.
09:34 EDTHD, AAPLActive equity options trading on open
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08:47 EDTGMCRKeurig Green Mountain expanding KOLD beverage lineup with cocktail mixers
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