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November 24, 2015
11:33 EDTJNPRBrocade sinks to 52-week low after Q1 outlook trails estimates
Shares of Brocade (BRCD), a supplier of networking equipment, are sinking after the company's outlook for the first quarter trailed analysts' consensus estimates. WHAT'S NEW: Last night, Brocade reported fourth quarter adjusted earnings per share of 26c and revenue of $588.83M, beating analysts' consensus estimates of 24c and $575.1M, respectively. Adjusted gross margin for the quarter was 67.9%, while adjusted operating margin was 25%. SAN product revenue was $325M in Q4, flat year-over-year and up 5% quarter-over-quarter, while Q4 IP Networking product revenue was $170M, up 12% year-over-year and 10% quarter-over-quarter. GUIDANCE: Looking ahead to Q1, Brocade forecast adjusted EPS of 23c-25c and revenue of $550M-$570M, below analysts' consensus estimates of 26c and $582.17M, respectively. The company also sees Q1 adjusted gross margin of 67%-67.5%, adjusted operating margin of 24%-25.5%, adjusted free cash flow of $30M-$50M, operating cash flow of $50M-$70M and capital expenditures of $15M-$20M. Additionally, the company forecast Q1 SAN product revenue flat to up 3% quarter over quarter, "as we typically see stronger buying patterns from our OEM partners in our fiscal Q1." IP Networking revenue is expected down 16% to down 22% q/q, driven by U.S. federal seasonality and lower router sales. The company sees Q1 Global Services revenue down 2% q/q due to a one-time catch-up benefit realized in Q4 of approximately $3M. Brocade noted that at the end of Q4, OEM inventory was approximately 1.3 weeks of supply based on SAN business revenue and the company expects inventory to be between one to two weeks in Q1. ANALYST REACTION: JPMorgan analyst Rod Hall downgraded Brocade to Neutral from Overweight this morning, saying that enterprise IT spending continues to look weak after the company's guidance missed estimates. Hall also cut his price target for shares to $9 from $14. PRICE ACTION: Brocade fell 82c, or about 8%, to $9.27 in late morning trading on more than three times its average daily trading volume. Earlier in the session, the stock hit a fresh 52-week low of $9.16. Including today's pull back, the shares have lost approximately 20% over the past 12 months. OTHERS TO WATCH: Other networking equipment suppliers include Cisco Systems (CSCO), down 0.6%, Juniper Networks (JNPR), down 0.4%, Extreme Networks (EXTR), down 0.7%, and QLogic (QLGC), down 1.3%.
November 23, 2015
10:00 EDTCAVMOn The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: Aixtron (AIXG) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan... Cavium (CAVM) downgraded on checks at JMP Securities... Chico's (CHS) downgraded to Underperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research... Chipotle (CMG) downgraded on new E coli infections at Sterne Agee CRT... Constant Contact (CTCT) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Stifel... Fairchild (FCS) downgraded to Neutral from Positive at Susquehanna... Haemonetics (HAE) downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at Raymond James... Jumei (JMEI) downgraded to Underperform from Buy at CLSA... Phillips 66 (PSX) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman... Power Integrations (POWI) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Sidoti... Tata Motors (TTM) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman... Textura (TXTR) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse... TriVascular (TRIV) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BTIG... Viacom (VIAB) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank.
08:31 EDTCAVMCavium downgraded on checks at JMP Securities
As noted earlier, JMP Securities downgraded Cavium to Underperform from Market Perform. The firm says its industry checks indicate that the company is facing higher-than-expected competitive, cost, and timing risks. The firm believes that consensus estimates for the company are excessive, while its valuation is also too high. Target $50.
06:18 EDTCAVMCavium downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at JMP Securities
November 19, 2015
11:52 EDTALTRIntel sees Altera as accelerator of 'virtuous cycle'
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09:00 EDTARUNAerohive sell-off unwarranted, says JMP Securities
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November 18, 2015
13:44 EDTALTRBefore the Move: Watch Intel into tomorrow's analyst day
Chipmaker Intel's (INTC) analyst day tomorrow could yield information on numerous company operations, but Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis cautions investors that the probability for positive surprises appears low given recent spending outlays. BACKGROUND: Intel, one of the largest semiconductor makers in the world, is scheduled to hold an analyst day on Thursday, November 19. Beyond providing forecasts for its various business segments and remarks on the larger computer market, Intel is expected to provide further clarity on several recent stories, including its memory joint venture with Micron (MU), plans to invest heavily in a Chinese production facility and progression towards chips on the 10 nanometer scale. STRONG OUTLOOK, MILD MEETING: Intel's pending acquisition of Altera (ALTR) and its plans to invest as much as $5.5B in a computer memory facility in Dalian, China leave little room for positive surprises at tomorrow's event in regards to 2016 margins, capital expenditures, or shareholder returns, Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis said in a recent research note. That said, the analyst views Intel's Chinese facility expansion as part of a "brilliant investment strategy that positions Intel as a partner to China" and "keeps the market open" to its microprocessors, perhaps Intel's more famed business segment. Though the two initiatives are certain to push up near-term debt load, Lipacis takes the longer-term view, reminding investors that Intel has shown consistently strong free cash flow over the past decade, leading him to forecast another $13B in 2016. The year may also bring "a number" of other positives for the company, including more data center wins after the Altera tie-up, potentially renewed sales on a cyclical uptick in PC gaming, and even the possibility of an iPhone chip contract, though Lipacis said none of those points look set to be discussed tomorrow. The analyst kept a Buy rating and $38 price target on the shares while reiterating that Thursday's Intel event may have little in store for those expecting eye-grabbing surprises. PRICE ACTION: Shares of Intel have advanced roughly 0.9% to $32.92 Wednesday afternoon. "Before the Move" is The Fly's recurring series of exclusive stories that identify potentially market moving events, along with analyst predictions, ahead of the news.
09:23 EDTMXIMTowerJazz to acquire Maxim Integrated facility in San Antonio
TowerJazz (TSEM) has signed an agreement with Maxim Integrated (MXIM) to purchase Maxim's 8-inch fabrication facility in San Antonio, Texas. The proposed purchase will expand TowerJazz's current worldwide manufacturing capacity, cost-effectively increasing production by approximately 28K wafers per month. TowerJazz and Maxim expect to close the transaction in January 2016. As part of the transaction, the companies have also signed a long-term supply agreement for TowerJazz to manufacture products for Maxim in the San Antonio facility. The transaction is to be paid with TSEM ordinary shares with a total value of approximately $40M. All of the site's nearly 500 employees will be retained.
08:19 EDTMXIMRBC Capital to hold a tour
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November 17, 2015
10:33 EDTMXIMCiti says Xilinx, not Maxim, likely to be acquired
According to Citi, analog chip maker Maxim Semiconductor (MXIM) probably won't be acquired, despite Bloomberg reports which stated that Texas Instruments (TXN) and Analog Devices (ADI) had held talks about potentially buying the company. The firm sees Xilinx (XLNX) as the only large cap chip maker remaining that has "all of the attributes of a good takeover target." WHAT'S NEW: The only two companies capable of buying Maxim are Texas Instruments and Analog Devices, Citi analyst Christopher Danely wrote in a note to investors today. However, Maxim's valuation is too high for Texas Instruments and the deal would be too big for Analog Devices, the analyst stated. However, Xilinx is a potential takeover target, partly due to its high margins, a size large enough that it could impact an acquirer's profits and its cost cutting opportunities, Danely stated. One potential acquirer of Xilinx is Qualcomm (QCOM), which has suggested that it could be interested in M&A opportunities in the future, the analyst wrote. Despite his belief that Xilinx could be acquired, Danely kept a Neutral rating on the shares. WHAT'S NOTABLE: On October 14, Bloomberg reported that Analog Devices and Maxim were in merger talks. On October 28, the news service reported that Texas Instruments was in talks about buying Maxim. According to Bloomberg, Maxim was working with a bank on a strategic review before it was approached by Analog Devices. Maxim may not want to sell itself unless it receives a large premium, the news service stated. PRICE ACTION: In early trading, Maxim was flat near $38.86 per share, while Xilinx gained 1.5% to $47.83.
08:54 EDTMXIMMaxim could be bidder for Fairchild, says Citi
Citi analyst Atif Malik views Maxim Integrated (MXIM) as a potential acquirer Fairchild Semiconductor (FCS). Bloomberg on October 13 reported that Fairchild was seeking advice for a potential sale, and listed potential acquirers as STMicroelectronics (STM), Infineon (IFNNY) and ON Semiconductor (ON). Bids from STM and ON seem unlikely, but Infineon and Maxim could be potential acquirers of Fairchild, Malik tells investors in a research note. In a bull case scenario, Fairchild's buyout value could reach $25 per share, the analyst contends. Fairchild closed yesterday at $17.76. Malik's peer at Citi, analyst Christopher Danely, argued today in research note that Maxim Integrated (MXIM) is unlikely to get acquired despite reports of interest from Analog Devices (ADI) and Texas Instruments (TXN). Danely views Xilinx (XLNX) as a potential takeout target, potentially for Qualcomm (QCOM).
08:37 EDTMXIMCiti sees Xilinx, not Maxim, as potential takeout candidate
Citi analyst Christopher Danely says he does not expect Maxim Integrated (MXIM) to get acquired despite reports of interest from Analog Devices (ADI) and Texas Instruments (TXN). Xilinx (XLNX) is the only large-cap semiconductor company left with "all of the attributes of a good takeover target," Danely tells investors in a research note. He believes Xilinx management could be willing sellers at the right price, and points out Qualcomm (QCOM) has a history of doing deals. Xilinx could make a good candidate for Qualcomm, Danely contends.
05:40 EDTCAVMCavium announces collaboration with Bright Computing
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05:40 EDTCAVMCavium announces collaboration with Bright Computing
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November 16, 2015
16:53 EDTALTRPaulson reduced stake in Valeant
Paulson & Co. gave a quarterly update on its stakes in a filing this afternoon. NEW STAKES: Perrigo (PRGO), CIT Group (CIT), Precision Castparts (PCP), Cameron (CAM), and Altera (ALTR). INCREASED STAKES: Teva (TEVA), Post Holdings (POST), Starwood Hotels (HOT), LivaNova (LIVN), and Synergy Pharmaceuticals (SGYP). DECREASED STAKES: Valeant (VRX), Shire (SHPG), Whiting Petroleum (WLL), Computer Sciences (CSC), and Oasis Petroleum (OAS). LIQUIDATED STAKES: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt (HMHC), Broadcom (BRCM), and Sprint (S).
November 12, 2015
13:24 EDTJNPREarnings Watch: Cisco seeks to break out of trading rut with Q1 report
Cisco Systems (CSCO) is scheduled to report results of its fiscal first quarter after the market close on Thursday, November 12 with a conference call scheduled for 4:30 pm ET. Cisco, a member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, sells Internet protocol-based networking and other products related to the communications and IT industry and provides related services. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 56c on revenue of $12.65B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 55c-59c on revenue of $12.55B-$12.81B. Along with its quarterly report, Cisco guided to Q1 EPS of 55c-57c and said it expects its revenue to increase 2%-4% year over year. LAST QUARTER: On August 12, Cisco reported fourth quarter EPS of 59c on revenue of $12.8B, beating consensus estimates of 56c and $12.65B for EPS and revenue, respectively. NEWS: On its Q4 earnings conference call, Cisco said that it was looking at acquisitions at the right price, particularly in areas like software and security. On August 31, Apple (AAPL) and Cisco announced a partnership to build a "fast lane" for iOS business users by optimizing Cisco networks for iOS devices and apps, integrating iPhone with Cisco enterprise environments and providing unique collaboration on iPhone and iPad. The next day, Cisco was among multiple other companies, including Amazon (AMZN), Google (GOOG), Intel (INTC), Microsoft (MSFT), Mozilla, and Netflix (NFLX), announcing the formation of the Alliance for Open Media to build next-generation media formats, codecs, and technologies in the public interest. On September 3, Business Insider reported that people at Cisco still though that chairman John Chambers was running the show as chief executive officer after appointing Chuck Robbins to that role last May. On September 15, Mandiant, a FireEye (FEYE) subsidiary, said in a blog post that researchers discovered previously unknown attacks on certain routers and that such attacks replace the operating system used in Cisco equipment. About a week later, the Wall Street Journal reported that Cisco was aiming to strengthen its business in China by joining forces with Inspur group, a move which was confirmed on September 24. On October 29, Cisco announced its intention to acquire 1 Mainstream. CNBC later reported that the company paid $100M-$150M to acquire 1 Mainstream. On November 9, Ericsson (ERIC) and Cisco announced a global business and technology partnership to "create the networks of the future." The companies said that the strategic partnership will be a key driver of growth and value for the next decade, with each company benefiting from incremental revenue in calendar year 2016 and expected to ramp to $1B or more for each by 2018. STREET RESEARCH: On August 17, Morgan Stanley downgraded Cisco to Equal Weight from Overweight and maintained a $30 price target on the stock, saying it did not believe improved growth is "secular" and anticipates growth will revert to GDP like levels as the upgrade cycle concludes. Wells Fargo said on August 28 that a 10% selloff in communication tech stocks, including Cisco, had created an attractive buying opportunity. Bernstein said a week later that Cisco, Juniper (JNPR), and F5 Networks (FFIV) should be bought on wider macro economic weakness. On October 6, Citi initiated coverage of Cisco with a Buy rating and $30 price target. A week later, Barclays initiated coverage of Cisco with an Overweight rating and a $32 price target. On November 9, RBC Capital maintained an Outperform rating and $33 price target on Cisco, saying it expects the company to report slightly better than expected results. The next day, SunTrust maintained a Buy rating on Cisco, saying its partnership with Ericsson was a positive and should strengthen Cisco's service provider business. PRICE ACTION: In afternoon trading ahead of tonight's report, Cisco shares were up 0.5% to $27.97. In the last three months, Cisco shares are fractionally higher and virtually unchanged when discounting this afternoon's slight rise.
08:25 EDTCAVMCavium Xilinx should be bought at current levels, says Pacific Crest
After attending ARM TechCon, Pacific crest says Cavium;s (CAVM) Thunderx remains the only viable chip for ARM severs. The firm believes that Xilinx (XLNX) is gaining customers due to Intel's (INTC) acquisition of Altera (ALTR) based on concerns about the latter company's commitment to non-data-center applications.
08:01 EDTJNPRJuniper names Kevin Walker as Security Chief Technology Officer
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