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June 11, 2014
13:43 EDTSNDK, MUMicron, SanDisk climb after two notch upgrades at BofA/Merrill
Shares of memory technology developers Micron (MU) and SanDisk (SNDK) are rising after Bank of America Merrill Lynch upgraded its rating on both stocks two notches to Buy from Underperform in a note to investors earlier today. WHAT'S NEW: The supply/demand dynamics for Micron and SanDisk are more favorable than BofA/Merrill had previously believed, an analyst at the firm, Simon Dong-je Woo, wrote. Among the reasons for the change in the firm's outlook are higher memory content in laptops and tablets made in China and more aggressive promotion of flash storage by data/network operators. Meanwhile, hurdles will prevent new memory supplies from causing a glut in the market, Woo believes. Both companies should report in-line Q2 results and "upbeat" results in the second half of 2014 and in 2015, the analyst forecast. He increased his price target on Micron to $40 from $22 and on SanDisk to $125 from $80. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Also upbeat today on Micron was Credit Suisse analyst John Pitzer. The company should benefit from strong demand for its DRAM memory technology from companies and other organizations, driven by the proliferation of data tool, Pitzer contended in a note to investors earlier today. He raised his price target on the stock to $50 from $30 and kept an Outperform rating on the shares. PRICE ACTION: In mid-afternoon trading, Micron rose 5.5% to $31 and SanDisk gained 3% to $100.
News For MU;SNDK From The Last 14 Days
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November 23, 2015
17:34 EDTMUIntermolecular says CDP program with Micron to conclude on April 1, 2016
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November 20, 2015
16:02 EDTMUOptions Update; November 20, 2015
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11:45 EDTSNDKNimble Storage plummets to 52-week low after results, guidance trail estimates
Shares of Nimble Storage (NMBL), a flash storage solutions provider, are plunging after the company's third quarter results and fourth quarter outlook significantly trailed analysts' consensus estimates. WHAT'S NEW: Thursday night after the close, Nimble Storage reported Q3 adjusted earnings per share of (14c) and revenue of $80.7M, well below the consensus of (8c) and $87.44M, respectively. Q3 non-GAAP gross margin was 66.9% compared to 67.1% in the prior year period. GUIDANCE: Looking ahead to Q4, Nimble Storage forecast adjusted EPS of (13c)-(11c) and revenue of $87M-$90M, far below the estimates of 0c and $99.2M respectively. EXECUTIVE COMMENTARY: Suresh Vasudevan, Chief Executive Officer of Nimble Storage, noted that the company's enterprise investments were "taking longer to become fully productive" and that the shift in investment from commercial to enterprise business "impacted its commercial revenue growth more than they anticipated." Chief Financial Officer Anup Singh said, "We plan to make some key investments to drive growth that will constrain short-term profitability. We believe our planned investments will improve revenue growth as well as operating leverage over time. We expect that it will take several quarters to realize the impact of these investments and have factored that into our guidance for Q4 FY16." ANALYST REACTION: Friday morning there was a wealth of analyst commentary, with eleven separate firms downgrading Nimble Storage. Conversely, Piper Jaffray analyst Andrew Nowinski said Nimble Storage was oversold following the company's Q3 miss and push out of its break-even point beyond 2016. Estimates and the stock's valuation have been de-risked, Nowinski told investors in a post-earnings research note. He kept an Overweight rating on the name and lowered his price target for Nimble to $20 from $37. Jefferies analyst James Kisner recommended using the significant pullback in shares of Nimble Storage as a buying opportunity. Despite the missed Q3 revenue and disappointing Q4 guidance, Nimble's hybrid storage technology remains well differentiated and the total addressable market is large, Kisner told investors in a post-earnings research note. He cut his price target for shares to $20 from $33 and kept a Buy rating on the name. After Nimble reported weaker than expected results, Sterne Agee CRT still believes that the company has "a healthy franchise" in the $75,000-$125,000 price range. The firm continues to believe that the company's Hybrid product is differentiated from competing systems. It kept a Buy rating on the shares. PRICE ACTION: In late morning trading, Nimble Storage fell $10.37, or over 50%, to $10.02 on more than seven times its average daily trading volume. As the session unfolds, the stock continues to hit fresh 52-week lows. Over the past 12 months, the stock is down approximately 62%. OTHERS TO WATCH: Other flash storage solutions providers include Pure Storage (PSTG), down 13%, NetApp (NTAP), up fractionally, SanDisk (SNDK), down fractionally, and Violin Memory (VMEM) down over 6%.
November 18, 2015
13:44 EDTMUBefore the Move: Watch Intel into tomorrow's analyst day
Chipmaker Intel's (INTC) analyst day tomorrow could yield information on numerous company operations, but Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis cautions investors that the probability for positive surprises appears low given recent spending outlays. BACKGROUND: Intel, one of the largest semiconductor makers in the world, is scheduled to hold an analyst day on Thursday, November 19. Beyond providing forecasts for its various business segments and remarks on the larger computer market, Intel is expected to provide further clarity on several recent stories, including its memory joint venture with Micron (MU), plans to invest heavily in a Chinese production facility and progression towards chips on the 10 nanometer scale. STRONG OUTLOOK, MILD MEETING: Intel's pending acquisition of Altera (ALTR) and its plans to invest as much as $5.5B in a computer memory facility in Dalian, China leave little room for positive surprises at tomorrow's event in regards to 2016 margins, capital expenditures, or shareholder returns, Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis said in a recent research note. That said, the analyst views Intel's Chinese facility expansion as part of a "brilliant investment strategy that positions Intel as a partner to China" and "keeps the market open" to its microprocessors, perhaps Intel's more famed business segment. Though the two initiatives are certain to push up near-term debt load, Lipacis takes the longer-term view, reminding investors that Intel has shown consistently strong free cash flow over the past decade, leading him to forecast another $13B in 2016. The year may also bring "a number" of other positives for the company, including more data center wins after the Altera tie-up, potentially renewed sales on a cyclical uptick in PC gaming, and even the possibility of an iPhone chip contract, though Lipacis said none of those points look set to be discussed tomorrow. The analyst kept a Buy rating and $38 price target on the shares while reiterating that Thursday's Intel event may have little in store for those expecting eye-grabbing surprises. PRICE ACTION: Shares of Intel have advanced roughly 0.9% to $32.92 Wednesday afternoon. "Before the Move" is The Fly's recurring series of exclusive stories that identify potentially market moving events, along with analyst predictions, ahead of the news.
10:29 EDTSNDKOptions with increasing implied volatility
Options with increasing implied volatility: TERP CSC SGMS RH BBRY ULTA SNDK ORCL NKE VNET
08:19 EDTSNDKRBC Capital to hold a tour
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November 17, 2015
11:10 EDTMUMicron the most likely target for Tsinghua stake, says Macquarie
Macquarie analyst Deepon Nag highlighted yesterday that Tsinghua Unigroup Chairman Zhao Weiguo told Reuters in an interview that his company was in talks with a U.S. semiconductor company, and that a deal could be announced as early as the end of the month. Zhao stated that a majority stake was unlikely due to regulatory concerns. Given recent moves by China in the memory market, Micron (MU) is the most likely target for Tsinghua, Nag wrote in a note to investors. Tsinghua recently announced a 15% stake in Western Digital (WDC) at a 33% premium to the company's prior closing price. A similar premium for Micron would lead to a 15% stake in Micron for $20 per share, which would equal $3.4B, the analyst points out. Shares of Micron are up 46c, or 3%, to $15.35 in late morning trading. Nag has an Outperform rating on Micron with a $30 price target.
11:03 EDTMUTsinghua Chairman says in talks with U.S.-based chipmaker, Reuters reports
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11:02 EDTMUMicron calls active on speculation of a Chinese investment
Micron November 15.5 and 16 calls are active on total call volume of 27K contracts (12K puts) on speculation of a Chinese investment. November call option implied volatility is at 65, December is at 55; compared to its 52-week range of 28 to 74. Active call volume suggests traders taking positions for upside price movement.
07:56 EDTMUUBS to hold a conference
Global Technology Conference is being held in San Francisco on November 16-18 with webcasted company presentations to begin on November 17 at 10:45 am.; not all company presentations may be webcasted. Webcast Link
November 16, 2015
16:43 EDTMUGreenlight Capital added Apple, sold some SunEdison
Greenlight Capital gave a quarterly update on its stakes in a filing this afternoon. NEW STAKES: CNX Coal Resources (CNXC), Garmin (GRMN), Terraform Global (GLBL), and Liberty Global (LILA). INCREASED STAKES: Apple (AAPL), Michael Kors (KORS), Dillard's (DDS), UIL Holdings (UIL), and Twenty-First Century Fox (FOXA). DECREASED STAKES: SunEdison (SUNE), Micron (MU), Voya (VOYA), Applied Materials (AMAT), and SunEdison Semiconductor (SEMI). LIQUIDATED STAKES: Citizens Financial (CFG), Lam Research (LRCX), Spirit AeroSystems (SPR), Hertz (HTZ), and Macy's (M).
10:25 EDTSNDKUBS trims Apple target, says iPhone partner cut production forecast
Hon Hai, which manufactures Apple's (AAPL) iPhones, expects to assemble significantly fewer iPhones this quarter than in the same period in 2014, UBS wrote in a note to investors today. WHAT'S NEW: Hon Hai Precision Industry, also known as Foxconn, is expected to assemble 10% fewer iPhones this quarter than in the same period in 2014, said UBS analyst Steven Milunovich, citing work from fellow UBS analyst Arthur Hsieh. Previously, companies that supply force touch components for iPhones saw a 10%-15% reduction in their orders, the analyst reported. These developments "are not encouraging," but Apple had previously ordered a large number of iPhones for Q4, according to Milunovich. Overall iPhone demand "could still be decent," he believes. However, the analyst lowered his iPhone sales estimate for Apple's March quarter to 61M from 62.5M, asserting that iPhone sales on China's November 11 Singles Day holiday may have come in below expectations. Based on October search volumes, he continues to believe that demand for iPhone units in the fourth quarter of the calendar year will be 75M, in-line with the consensus outlook. Milunovich trimmed his price target on Apple to $140 from $150 but kept a Buy rating on the shares. WHAT'S NOTABLE In a note to investors on November 10, Credit Suisse reported that it was cutting its estimates for 2016 iPhone sales. The firm expects sales of the device to fall 10.4% in the first quarter versus the same period in 2015, and it predicts that iPhone sales will decline 5.5% year-over-year in 2016. Suppliers with greater than 10% exposure to Apple include Avago (AVGO), SanDisk (SNDK), Analog Devices (ADI), Broadcom (BRCM), Texas Instruments (TXN), NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) and Fairchild (FCS), Credit Suisse reported. The firm said it continues to have a negative view of the smartphone sector. PRICE ACTION: In early trading, Apple added nearly 1% to $113.34.
09:37 EDTMUActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: AAPL FB ORCL BAC SUNE FDX FCX EXPE NFLX MU AMZN INTC TSLA
07:39 EDTSNDKNetlist says appeals court upholds validity of LRDIMM patent against Inphi
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05:57 EDTMUDRAMeXchange: Q3 Mobile DRAM sales rise 18%, DigiTimes says
Mobile DRAM revenue in Q3 was up 18% sequentially to $4.55B, reports DigiTimes. According to DRAMeXchange, SK Hynix made the largest contribution to the growth with revenues surging 30.5% to $1.2B while Samsung remained the largest DRAM supplier with revenue increasing 16.5% to $2.58B. Samsung continued to hold a more than 50% share of the global mobile DRAM market in the quarter. Reference Link
November 11, 2015
09:59 EDTSNDKOn The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: Amedisys (AMED) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Mizuho... Apple Hospitality REIT (APLE) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Ladenburg... BioCryst (BCRX) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA/Merrill... Boot Barn (BOOT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at BB&T... C1 Financial (BNK) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Raymond James... Clarcor (CLC) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Avondale... EMC (EMC) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo... Eaton (ETN) downgraded on near-term challenges at Argus... Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR) downgraded to Negative from Mixed at OTR Global... Lennox (LII) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan... Mediaset (MDIUY) downgraded to Hold from Buy at HSBC... MetLife (MET) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley... Metaldyne Performance (MPG) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays... Oracle (ORCL) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley... Penn Virginia (PVA) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Canaccord... Rex Energy (REXX) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Northland... Rice Energy (RICE) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman... Rockwell Automation (ROK) downgraded to Underperform from Outperform at CLSA... Sabra Health Care (SBRA) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at SunTrust... SanDisk (SNDK) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Bernstein... Vestas Wind (VWDRY) downgraded to Hold from Buy at HSBC.
06:16 EDTSNDKSanDisk downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Bernstein
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November 10, 2015
13:33 EDTSNDKApple, suppliers fall after analyst calls out reduced iPhone component orders
Apple (AAPL) shares, as well as those of a number of its chip suppliers, are dropping following a bearish note by Credit Suisse, whose checks pointed to reduced iPhone component orders heading into 2016. DECLINING IPHONE ORDERS: Following checks on Apple's Asian supply chain over the weekend, Credit Suisse analyst John Pitzer and his team cut estimates for iPhone shipments going forward into 2016. The research firm now sees first quarter units down 10.4% year-over-year to just 55M, and calendar year 2016 unit shipments down 5.5% to 222M. The team had previously forecast a respective 63M and 242M for those periods, but cut expectations in the face of apparently reduced supplier orders from Apple for the iPhone 6s. Credit Suisse notes that chip suppliers with greater than 10% exposure to Apple include Avago (AVGO), SanDisk (SNDK), Analog Devices (ADI), Broadcom (BRCM), Texas Instruments (TXN), NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) and Fairchild (FCS). Already cautious on Apple and other smartphone plays, the research firm reiterated its bearish view on the sector due to high market penetration, saying it instead prefers chip names levered to industrial, auto, and infrastructure applications, such as Linear Technology (LLTC), Maxim (MXIM), Cypress (CY) and ON Semiconductor (ON). IVES SAYS BUY: The Credit Suisse research note comes on the heels of a more bullish take by FBR yesterday, with the firm's Daniel Ives saying many investors "are not seeing the forest through the trees" when it comes to Apple. He characterized supply chain worries as "chatter" and lackluster Apple Watch sales as "bumps in the roads." More important, said Ives, is the "major inflection point period" which the company is entering, with streaming TV, iPad Pro, the $100B iPhone market opportunity in China, and a "blockbuster" iPhone 7 all approaching on the horizon, leading Ives to reiterate an Outperform rating and $175 price target on the shares. SUPPLIER PRICE ACTION: Despite FBR's confidence in Apple, smartphone component suppliers moved broadly lower after Tuesday's note from the Credit Suisse team. Avago has declined 3.8% to $121.67, while Broadcom, Skyworks (SWKS), and Qorvo (QRVO) lost a respective 2.1%, 5.1%, and 4.2%. Meanwhile, Apple shares are down 3.3% to $116.63.

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