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May 19, 2014
13:43 EDTBRCM, MU, TXN, NVDAAnalyst sees value in semiconductors, upgrades several in space
Shares of several semiconductor companies are rising after their shares were upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform by RBC Capital in a note to investors earlier today. WHAT'S NEW: The stock multiples of semiconductor makers should be higher, RBC Capital argued in a note about the sector. In conjunction with that note, the firm upgraded its ratings on several names in the space, including, Micron (MU), NVIDIA (NVDA), Texas Instruments (TXN), and Broadcom (BRCM). Micron, which develops computer memory products, should benefit from higher gross margins generally and strong prices for DRAM in particular given tight supplies, RBC analyst Doug Freedman wrote. Additionally, Micron could return cash to shareholders, he stated. Freedman raised his price target on the shares to $34 from $27. NVIDIA is likely to benefit as it sells chips for use in higher value markets, such as gaming systems and automobiles, the analyst contended. Moreover, NVIDA's past investments should allow it to control its spending more tightly going forward, resulting in strong cash flows, according to Freedman. The company's current strategies are more likely to enable its free cash flow to grow than its previous strategies, the analyst indicated, hiking his price target on the stock to $26 from $21. Like NVIDIA, Texas Instruments is likely to benefit as it sells chips into more lucrative markets, according to Freedman. In Texas Instruments' case, these markets include communications and industrial sectors, as well as the automotive space, he wrote. Freedman increased his price target on TI's shares to $57 from $49. Finally, Broadcom should benefit from strength in both its core broadband business and its Infrastructure & Networking Group, the analyst believes. Given the outlook for those businesses, the stock is undervalued, he contended. Also likely to boost the company is stronger demand for its mobile and wireless products due to the proliferation of advanced connectivity systems such as LTE, the analyst believes. The analyst raised his price target on Broadcom to $40 from $33.
News For MU;NVDA;TXN;BRCM From The Last 14 Days
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November 23, 2015
17:34 EDTMUIntermolecular says CDP program with Micron to conclude on April 1, 2016
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10:51 EDTBRCMOptions with increasing implied volatility: TERP BRCM CHK RAD POM
November 20, 2015
16:02 EDTMUOptions Update; November 20, 2015
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November 18, 2015
13:44 EDTMUBefore the Move: Watch Intel into tomorrow's analyst day
Chipmaker Intel's (INTC) analyst day tomorrow could yield information on numerous company operations, but Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis cautions investors that the probability for positive surprises appears low given recent spending outlays. BACKGROUND: Intel, one of the largest semiconductor makers in the world, is scheduled to hold an analyst day on Thursday, November 19. Beyond providing forecasts for its various business segments and remarks on the larger computer market, Intel is expected to provide further clarity on several recent stories, including its memory joint venture with Micron (MU), plans to invest heavily in a Chinese production facility and progression towards chips on the 10 nanometer scale. STRONG OUTLOOK, MILD MEETING: Intel's pending acquisition of Altera (ALTR) and its plans to invest as much as $5.5B in a computer memory facility in Dalian, China leave little room for positive surprises at tomorrow's event in regards to 2016 margins, capital expenditures, or shareholder returns, Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis said in a recent research note. That said, the analyst views Intel's Chinese facility expansion as part of a "brilliant investment strategy that positions Intel as a partner to China" and "keeps the market open" to its microprocessors, perhaps Intel's more famed business segment. Though the two initiatives are certain to push up near-term debt load, Lipacis takes the longer-term view, reminding investors that Intel has shown consistently strong free cash flow over the past decade, leading him to forecast another $13B in 2016. The year may also bring "a number" of other positives for the company, including more data center wins after the Altera tie-up, potentially renewed sales on a cyclical uptick in PC gaming, and even the possibility of an iPhone chip contract, though Lipacis said none of those points look set to be discussed tomorrow. The analyst kept a Buy rating and $38 price target on the shares while reiterating that Thursday's Intel event may have little in store for those expecting eye-grabbing surprises. PRICE ACTION: Shares of Intel have advanced roughly 0.9% to $32.92 Wednesday afternoon. "Before the Move" is The Fly's recurring series of exclusive stories that identify potentially market moving events, along with analyst predictions, ahead of the news.
08:19 EDTNVDARBC Capital to hold a tour
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08:14 EDTBRCMNXP Semiconductors added to Top Pick list at FBR Capital
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November 17, 2015
11:10 EDTMUMicron the most likely target for Tsinghua stake, says Macquarie
Macquarie analyst Deepon Nag highlighted yesterday that Tsinghua Unigroup Chairman Zhao Weiguo told Reuters in an interview that his company was in talks with a U.S. semiconductor company, and that a deal could be announced as early as the end of the month. Zhao stated that a majority stake was unlikely due to regulatory concerns. Given recent moves by China in the memory market, Micron (MU) is the most likely target for Tsinghua, Nag wrote in a note to investors. Tsinghua recently announced a 15% stake in Western Digital (WDC) at a 33% premium to the company's prior closing price. A similar premium for Micron would lead to a 15% stake in Micron for $20 per share, which would equal $3.4B, the analyst points out. Shares of Micron are up 46c, or 3%, to $15.35 in late morning trading. Nag has an Outperform rating on Micron with a $30 price target.
11:03 EDTMUTsinghua Chairman says in talks with U.S.-based chipmaker, Reuters reports
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11:02 EDTMUMicron calls active on speculation of a Chinese investment
Micron November 15.5 and 16 calls are active on total call volume of 27K contracts (12K puts) on speculation of a Chinese investment. November call option implied volatility is at 65, December is at 55; compared to its 52-week range of 28 to 74. Active call volume suggests traders taking positions for upside price movement.
10:33 EDTTXNCiti says Xilinx, not Maxim, likely to be acquired
According to Citi, analog chip maker Maxim Semiconductor (MXIM) probably won't be acquired, despite Bloomberg reports which stated that Texas Instruments (TXN) and Analog Devices (ADI) had held talks about potentially buying the company. The firm sees Xilinx (XLNX) as the only large cap chip maker remaining that has "all of the attributes of a good takeover target." WHAT'S NEW: The only two companies capable of buying Maxim are Texas Instruments and Analog Devices, Citi analyst Christopher Danely wrote in a note to investors today. However, Maxim's valuation is too high for Texas Instruments and the deal would be too big for Analog Devices, the analyst stated. However, Xilinx is a potential takeover target, partly due to its high margins, a size large enough that it could impact an acquirer's profits and its cost cutting opportunities, Danely stated. One potential acquirer of Xilinx is Qualcomm (QCOM), which has suggested that it could be interested in M&A opportunities in the future, the analyst wrote. Despite his belief that Xilinx could be acquired, Danely kept a Neutral rating on the shares. WHAT'S NOTABLE: On October 14, Bloomberg reported that Analog Devices and Maxim were in merger talks. On October 28, the news service reported that Texas Instruments was in talks about buying Maxim. According to Bloomberg, Maxim was working with a bank on a strategic review before it was approached by Analog Devices. Maxim may not want to sell itself unless it receives a large premium, the news service stated. PRICE ACTION: In early trading, Maxim was flat near $38.86 per share, while Xilinx gained 1.5% to $47.83.
08:54 EDTTXNMaxim could be bidder for Fairchild, says Citi
Citi analyst Atif Malik views Maxim Integrated (MXIM) as a potential acquirer Fairchild Semiconductor (FCS). Bloomberg on October 13 reported that Fairchild was seeking advice for a potential sale, and listed potential acquirers as STMicroelectronics (STM), Infineon (IFNNY) and ON Semiconductor (ON). Bids from STM and ON seem unlikely, but Infineon and Maxim could be potential acquirers of Fairchild, Malik tells investors in a research note. In a bull case scenario, Fairchild's buyout value could reach $25 per share, the analyst contends. Fairchild closed yesterday at $17.76. Malik's peer at Citi, analyst Christopher Danely, argued today in research note that Maxim Integrated (MXIM) is unlikely to get acquired despite reports of interest from Analog Devices (ADI) and Texas Instruments (TXN). Danely views Xilinx (XLNX) as a potential takeout target, potentially for Qualcomm (QCOM).
08:37 EDTTXNCiti sees Xilinx, not Maxim, as potential takeout candidate
Citi analyst Christopher Danely says he does not expect Maxim Integrated (MXIM) to get acquired despite reports of interest from Analog Devices (ADI) and Texas Instruments (TXN). Xilinx (XLNX) is the only large-cap semiconductor company left with "all of the attributes of a good takeover target," Danely tells investors in a research note. He believes Xilinx management could be willing sellers at the right price, and points out Qualcomm (QCOM) has a history of doing deals. Xilinx could make a good candidate for Qualcomm, Danely contends.
07:56 EDTMU, TXNUBS to hold a conference
Global Technology Conference is being held in San Francisco on November 16-18 with webcasted company presentations to begin on November 17 at 10:45 am.; not all company presentations may be webcasted. Webcast Link
November 16, 2015
16:53 EDTBRCMPaulson reduced stake in Valeant
Paulson & Co. gave a quarterly update on its stakes in a filing this afternoon. NEW STAKES: Perrigo (PRGO), CIT Group (CIT), Precision Castparts (PCP), Cameron (CAM), and Altera (ALTR). INCREASED STAKES: Teva (TEVA), Post Holdings (POST), Starwood Hotels (HOT), LivaNova (LIVN), and Synergy Pharmaceuticals (SGYP). DECREASED STAKES: Valeant (VRX), Shire (SHPG), Whiting Petroleum (WLL), Computer Sciences (CSC), and Oasis Petroleum (OAS). LIQUIDATED STAKES: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt (HMHC), Broadcom (BRCM), and Sprint (S).
16:43 EDTMUGreenlight Capital added Apple, sold some SunEdison
Greenlight Capital gave a quarterly update on its stakes in a filing this afternoon. NEW STAKES: CNX Coal Resources (CNXC), Garmin (GRMN), Terraform Global (GLBL), and Liberty Global (LILA). INCREASED STAKES: Apple (AAPL), Michael Kors (KORS), Dillard's (DDS), UIL Holdings (UIL), and Twenty-First Century Fox (FOXA). DECREASED STAKES: SunEdison (SUNE), Micron (MU), Voya (VOYA), Applied Materials (AMAT), and SunEdison Semiconductor (SEMI). LIQUIDATED STAKES: Citizens Financial (CFG), Lam Research (LRCX), Spirit AeroSystems (SPR), Hertz (HTZ), and Macy's (M).
10:25 EDTTXN, BRCMUBS trims Apple target, says iPhone partner cut production forecast
Hon Hai, which manufactures Apple's (AAPL) iPhones, expects to assemble significantly fewer iPhones this quarter than in the same period in 2014, UBS wrote in a note to investors today. WHAT'S NEW: Hon Hai Precision Industry, also known as Foxconn, is expected to assemble 10% fewer iPhones this quarter than in the same period in 2014, said UBS analyst Steven Milunovich, citing work from fellow UBS analyst Arthur Hsieh. Previously, companies that supply force touch components for iPhones saw a 10%-15% reduction in their orders, the analyst reported. These developments "are not encouraging," but Apple had previously ordered a large number of iPhones for Q4, according to Milunovich. Overall iPhone demand "could still be decent," he believes. However, the analyst lowered his iPhone sales estimate for Apple's March quarter to 61M from 62.5M, asserting that iPhone sales on China's November 11 Singles Day holiday may have come in below expectations. Based on October search volumes, he continues to believe that demand for iPhone units in the fourth quarter of the calendar year will be 75M, in-line with the consensus outlook. Milunovich trimmed his price target on Apple to $140 from $150 but kept a Buy rating on the shares. WHAT'S NOTABLE In a note to investors on November 10, Credit Suisse reported that it was cutting its estimates for 2016 iPhone sales. The firm expects sales of the device to fall 10.4% in the first quarter versus the same period in 2015, and it predicts that iPhone sales will decline 5.5% year-over-year in 2016. Suppliers with greater than 10% exposure to Apple include Avago (AVGO), SanDisk (SNDK), Analog Devices (ADI), Broadcom (BRCM), Texas Instruments (TXN), NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) and Fairchild (FCS), Credit Suisse reported. The firm said it continues to have a negative view of the smartphone sector. PRICE ACTION: In early trading, Apple added nearly 1% to $113.34.
10:00 EDTNVDAOn The Fly: Analyst Upgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy upgrades include: Alliant Energy (LNT) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo... AmerisourceBergen (ABC) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley... Amphenol (APH) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... CA Technologies (CA) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Citi... Cempra (CEMP) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley... Edgewell Personal Care (EPC) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman... Eli Lilly (LLY) upgraded on improved growth outlook at BMO Capital... MiMedx (MDXG) upgraded to Strong Buy from Buy at Needham... NVIDIA (NVDA) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Canaccord... New York REIT (NYRT) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Evercore ISI... Oracle (ORCL) upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman... Perrigo (PRGO) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS... Semtech (SMTC) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at B. Riley... Tullow Oil (TUWOY) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS... Wabtec (WAB) upgraded to Outperform on valuatoin at Raymond James.
09:37 EDTMUActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: AAPL FB ORCL BAC SUNE FDX FCX EXPE NFLX MU AMZN INTC TSLA
06:40 EDTNVDANVIDIA upgraded to Buy from Hold at Canaccord
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05:57 EDTMUDRAMeXchange: Q3 Mobile DRAM sales rise 18%, DigiTimes says
Mobile DRAM revenue in Q3 was up 18% sequentially to $4.55B, reports DigiTimes. According to DRAMeXchange, SK Hynix made the largest contribution to the growth with revenues surging 30.5% to $1.2B while Samsung remained the largest DRAM supplier with revenue increasing 16.5% to $2.58B. Samsung continued to hold a more than 50% share of the global mobile DRAM market in the quarter. Reference Link
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