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Stock Market & Financial Investment News

News For MSO;JCP;M From The Last 14 Days
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February 27, 2015
16:22 EDTJCPStocks have another winning week after Greek deal, Yellen reassurance
Stocks ended higher this week after the euro zone sealed its deal to extend Greece's bailout and Fed chair Janet Yellen reiterated that the central bank would take a patient approach to raising interest rates. MACRO NEWS: Last Friday afternoon, Greece reached a framework deal with its euro zone partners to extend its bailout by four months, contingent on a reform proposal being accepted. The proposals were accepted by the EU early this week... In testimony before Congress, Janet Yellen reiterated that the Federal Reserve can remain patient in deciding when to hike interest rates... U.S. economic data was mixed, as the Q4 GDP growth revision, durable goods orders for January, and an index of consumer sentiment beat expectations, but weekly jobless claims and existing home sales for January missed expectations... Somewhat positive economic data came out of China, as the flash HSBC/Markit Purchasing Managers' Index was 50.1, representing a four month high. However, China's export orders declined at the fastest rate in 20 months. COMPANY NEWS: Drug maker Valeant (VRX) agreed to buy Salix (SLXP), which develops gastrointestinal products, for $158 per share. In another development on the M&A front, Bloomberg reported that HP (HPQ) is in talks to make its biggest acquisition in several years by potentially acquiring Aruba Networks (ARUN), which provides Wi-Fi products. Additionally, PTC Therapeutics (PTCT) rose after Reuters said the company is working with financial advisers to explore a potential sale after receiving takeover interest from several companies including Shire (SHPG) and BioMarin (BMRN)... Solar energy company SunPower (SPWR) was one of this week's big winners after its quarterly results topped expectations, and the company announced that it's in advanced talks to form a joint YieldCo vehicle with peer First Solar (FSLR). First Solar also rallied after the news... Among the noteworthy losers this week was Lumber Liquidators (LL), after the company reported Q4 earnings per share and revenue that missed consensus expectations. The flooring retailer also warned on its associated call that an upcoming "60 Minutes" piece may cast the company in an unfavorable light and disclosed in its annual report that the Department of Justice indicated in recent communications that it is contemplating seeking criminal charges under the Lacey Act... Companies that rose after reporting their quarterly results included Home Depot (HD) and Gap (GPS), while HP, TASER (TASR), and J.C. Penney (JCP) dropped after reporting their results. INDEXES: For the week, the Dow was down 0.04% to 18,132.70, the Nasdaq was up 0.15% to 4,963.53, and the S&P 500 was down 0.27% to 2,104.50.
16:14 EDTJCPOn The Fly: Closing Wrap
Stocks on Wall Street were lower for the day, but still rose for the week and the month of February. The market moved in a narrow range for most of today's session despite a host of economic reports that were released earlier in the day. In spite of today's modest declines, the market put the finishing touches on one of its best months ever, with the Dow and S&P posting their best monthly rises since October 2011 and the Nasdaq notching its best month since 1998. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., the Commerce Department estimated GDP grew at an annual rate of 2.2% in the last quarter of 2014, which is weaker than the 2.6% rate first estimated last month, but above the consensus forecast for the GDP growth rate to be cut to 2%. The Chicago PMI fell 13.6 points to 45.8 in February, which was much worse than the expected reading of 58.0. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment final February print came in at 95.4, which is a little better that the 93.6 preliminary February print and above the consensus forecast for a 94.0 reading. The pending home sales index bounced 1.7% to 104.2 in January, versus expectations for it to be up 2%. COMPANY NEWS: Two notable retailers moved in opposite directions following their quarterly reports, as Gap (GPS) rose and J.C. Penney fell. Gap gained $1.23, or 3.05%, to $41.60 after the company reported fourth quarter earnings that beat expectations. The owner of Old Navy, Banana Republic and its flagship nameplate also announced a $1B share repurchase program and plans to increase its dividend. J.C. Penney, meanwhile, reported earnings that missed expectations and gave a 2015 gross margin outlook that disappointed some analysts and its shares slid 62c, or 6.8%, to $8.50. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Monster Beverage (MNST), which jumped $16.38, or 13.13%, to $141.12 after the energy drink maker's fourth quarter results surpassed analysts’ consensus estimates and announced plans to expand distribution with Coca-Cola (KO) bottlers into additional territories. Among the noteworthy losers was Weight Watchers (WTW), which dropped $6.23, or 35.48%, to $11.33 after reporting lower than expected quarterly revenues and issuing a worse than expected profit forecast for its new fiscal year. Also lower were shares of Southwestern Energy (SWN), which fell $1.27, or 4.82%, to $25.08 after becoming the latest oil production company to lower its 2015 capital expenditure forecast. INDEXES: The Dow fell 81.72, or 0.45%, to 18,132.70, the Nasdaq lost 24.36, or 0.49%, to 4,963.53, and the S&P 500 declined 6.24, or 0.3%, to 2,104.50.
12:54 EDTJCPOn The Fly: Midday Wrap
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11:04 EDTJCPStocks with call strike movement; JCP DDD
J.C. Penney (JCP) August 10 call option implied volatility decreased 5% to 44, 3D Systems (DDD) August 34 call option implied volatility increased 7% to 44 according to IVolatility.
09:37 EDTJCPJ.C. Penney tumbles, levels to watch
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09:24 EDTJCPOn The Fly: Pre-market Movers
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09:23 EDTJCPJ.C. Penney 2017 financial targets are unattainable, says Craig-Hallum
Craig-Hallum said J.C. Penney's 2015 gross margin outlook supports its view the company's 2017 financial targets are unattainable. Given the continued double digit growth of the margin dilutive e-commerce channel, the firm does not see meaningful upside to gross margin targets and reiterates Sell rating.
07:11 EDTJCPJ.C. Penney remains a 'show me story,' says Deutsche Bank
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06:46 EDTJCPJ.C. Penney sell-off a buying opportunity, says Piper Jaffray
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February 26, 2015
18:43 EDTJCPOn The Fly: After Hours Movers
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17:55 EDTJCPJ.C. Penney sees Q1 sales to be impacted less than 1% due to West Coast ports
Management stated that they believe that the West Coast port shutdown impacted holiday business. The company did see a slowdown in January and ended FY14 $30M-$50M lower than was expected. The company is attempting to leverage other ports on the East Coast and Gulf Coast. The company is mitigating late shipments by transporting more goods via roadway than by rail. The company expects Q1 sales to be impacted less than 1% and Impacts to gross margins to be less than $20M. Both the Q1 sales and Q1 gross margin impact is accounted for in the company's FY15 guidance.
17:35 EDTJCPJ.C. Penney CEO Ullman says company is 'back and competing effectively'
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17:25 EDTJCPJ.C. Penney reports men's apparel, home, fine jewelry were top performers in Q4
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17:21 EDTJCPJ.C. Penney reports FY14 positive free cash flow of $57M
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16:13 EDTJCPJ.C. Penney down 5.6% after Q4 earnings miss expectations
16:12 EDTJCPJ.C. Penney sees FY15 comparable store sales up 3%-5%
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16:11 EDTJCPJ.C. Penney ended year with liquidity of approximately $2.1B
For Q4, gross margin improved 540 basis points to 33.8% of sales, compared to 28.4% in the same quarter last year. Gross margin was positively impacted by significant improvement in the company's merchandise mix and margin on clearance sales over the prior year quarter.
16:10 EDTJCPJ.C. Penney reports Q4 adjusted EPS 0c, consensus 11c
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15:30 EDTJCPNotable companies reporting after market close
Notable companies reporting after the market close, with earnings consensus, include Monster Beverage (MNST), consensus 59c... Ross Stores (ROST), consensus $1.11... Gap (GPS), consensus 74c... Autodesk (ADSK), consensus 24c... Universal Health Services (UHS), consensus $1.50... Southwestern Energy (SWN), consensus 50c... Ensco (ESV), consensus $1.36... J.C. Penney (JCP), consensus 11c... Nimble Storage (NMBL), consensus (14c)... Herbalife (HLF), consensus $1.22... Allscripts Healthcare (MDRX), consensus 9c... SBA Communications (SBAC), consensus 2c... Aruba Networks (ARUN), consensus 27c... Splunk (SPLK), consensus 4c... Air Lease (AL), consensus 61c... Ingram Micro (IM), consensus 99c... Weight Watchers (WTW), consensus 7c... Northern Oil and Gas (NOG), consensus 19c... Envision Healthcare (EVHC), consensus 36c... Infoblox (BLOX), consensus 5c... Live Nation (LYV), consensus (41c)... OmniVision (OVTI), consensus 29c... Bonanza Creek Energy (BCEI), consensus 27c.
13:03 EDTJCPJ.C. Penney February weekly 9 straddle priced for 10.2% movement into Q4
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12:48 EDTJCPEarnings Preview: J.C. Penney sees Q4 SSS at high end of 2%-4% view
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12:01 EDTJCP, MAppeals court revives two claims by Macy's against J.C. Penney, Reuters says
A New York appeals court has revived two claims by Macy's (M) against J.C. Penney (JCP) that accuse J.C. Penney of contract interference and unfair competition related to a Martha Stewart contract, though the appeals court reaffirmed the prior decision that Macy's did not deserve punitive damages, reports Reuters, citing court statements. Reference Link
11:56 EDTMMacy's falls, levels to watch
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11:52 EDTJCP, MMacy's claims against J.C. Penney to be reinstated after appeal, Bloomberg says
07:36 EDTJCPJ.C. Penney volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
J.C. Penney February weekly call option implied volatility is at 168, March weekly calls are at 91, April is at 55; compared to its 26-week average of 54 according to Track Data, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q4 results today.
February 24, 2015
11:06 EDTMMacy's says will continue to be aggressive in buying back stock
10:54 EDTMMacy's doesn't see Bluemercury accretive to EPS in 2015
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10:52 EDTMMacy's says 2015 a 'transition' year
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09:33 EDTMMacy's expects to launch offprice outlet stores in 2015
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08:39 EDTMMacy's sees completing Bluemercury transaction in Q1
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08:05 EDTMMacy's reports Q4 EPS $2.44 ex-charges, consensus $2.41
Reports Q4 revenue $9.36B, consensus $9.4B. Comparable sales growth on an owned plus licensed basis for the fourth quarter was 2.5%. On an owned basis, fourth quarter comparable sales grew 2%. The fourth quarter charges of $87 million were lower than the estimate of $100 million to $110 million provided in the company’s Feb. 3 news release on investments for sales growth. This was primarily the result of lower severance expense as the company was able to place more associates than expected in new jobs within the company in the course of its workforce reductions.
08:03 EDTMMacy's sees FY15 EPS $4.70-$4.80, consensus $4.84
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06:48 EDTJCPPiper reiterates J.C. Penney as top pick for 2015
Piper Jaffray analyst Neely Tamminga reiterates J.C. Penney as a top pick for 2015 ahead of the retailer's year-end 2014 earnings report. Tamminga believes Penny's comp for February, the first month of its fiscal year, could be tracking up 4%. The analyst also thinks Penny management could express conviction in the retailer's plan to recapture share among moderate consumers on Thursday's earnings call. Tamminga has an Overweight rating on Penny with a $12 price target.
06:40 EDTMMacy's March volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
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05:57 EDTMStocks with implied volatility movement; AMAT M
Stocks with implied volatility movement; Applied Materials (AMAT) 43, Macy's (M) 28 according to iVolatility.
February 23, 2015
15:23 EDTMNotable companies reporting before tomorrow's open
Notable companies reporting before tomorrow's market open, with earnings consensus, include Comcast (CMCSA), consensus 78c... Home Depot (HD), consensus 89c... American Tower (AMT), consensus 51c... Ecolab (ECL), consensus $1.20... Macy's (M), consensus $2.40... Pall Corp. (PLL), consensus 87c... Windstream (WIN), consensus 3c.
14:03 EDTMMacy's technical comments before earnings release
The shares are in a topping pattern, with the $62 area a key support level. If there were a break below $62, the topping pattern would be confirmed. Next support in that event would be at $60.57, and then at $59 to $57.03. If the news is a positive surprise, next resistance would be at $65.74 and then at the 52-week high and life high at $68.30.
13:56 EDTMEarnings Preview: Macy's sees FY14 EPS $4.35-$4.37, SSS up 2.5%
Macy's (M) is scheduled to report fourth quarter earnings before the market open on Tuesday, February 24, with a conference call scheduled for 10:30 am ET. Macy's is a retailer that sell a range of merchandise, including apparel and accessories, cosmetics, home furnishings and other consumer goods. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of $2.40 on revenue of $9.4B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is $2.21-$2.59 on revenue of $9.32B-$9.56B. LAST QUARTER: Macy's reported third quarter EPS of 61c, above estimates for 50c, on revenue of $6.2B, slightly below estimates for $6.34B. Same-store sales, together with comparable sales of departments licensed to third parties, were down 0.7% from the prior year. Q3 comparable sales exclusive of licensed businesses were down 1.4%. Macy's chairman and Chief Executive Officer Terry Lundgren said the company was "optimistic" for Q4, though the company commented on the Q3 earnings conference call that it was "not counting on a lot of help from the economy" for the holiday season. Macy's said Q4 gross margin "could be flat or could be down." NEWS: In early February, Macy's raised its fiscal year 2014 EPS view to $4.35-$4.37 from its previous outlook of $4.25-$4.35. Estimates at that time called for FY14 EPS of $4.35. Macy's said the outlook excludes charges of approximately $100M-$110M related to the previously announced merchandising and marketing restructuring, store and field adjustments, store closings and asset impairment charges, as well as approximately $17M of interest expense related to the make-whole premium for the previously announced early retirement of debt. Macy's said Q4 comparable sales growth on an owned plus licensed basis was 2.5%. This calculates to growth in comparable sales on an owned plus licensed basis 2014 of 1.4%. On an owned basis, Q4 comparable sales were 2%. The retailer said its Q4 performance represents a "strengthening trend" from Q3 and spring season. The company said Jeff Gennette, president of Macy’s, will oversee Macy’s merchandise planning, as well as maintain oversight responsibility for merchandising and marketing of Macy’s stores and digital, and private brand product development. Gennette relinquished his day-to-day responsibilities as Macy’s chief merchandising officer. Peter Sachse, Macy’s chief stores officer since 2012, moved to a new role as Macy’s Chief for Innovation and Business Development. Jeff Kantor, previously chairman of macys.com, was named Macy’s Chief Stores Officer. The company also said R.B. Harrison would continue in his role as Macy’s. Chief Omnichannel Officer and that Julie Greiner, Macy’s Chief Merchandise Planning Officer since 2009, will retire from the company in August. During the quarter, Macy's said it would close 14 stores and restructure merchandising and marketing functions at Macy’s and Bloomingdale’s. In conjunction with the merchandising and marketing restructuring and store and field adjustments, as well as store closings and asset impairment charges, an estimated $100M-$110M of charges, of which approximately $80M-$90M is expected to be cash, will be booked in Q4. The retailer named RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) Chief Financial Officer Leslie Hale to its board of directors, sued Strategic Marks after the company attempted to acquire certain Macy's brand names and acquired Bluemercury for $210M in cash. STREET RESEARCH: Morgan Stanley downgraded Macy's to Equal Weight and removed shares from the Best Ideas List based on share and earnings outperformance. The analyst believes valuation appropriately values Macy's superior execution and sees balanced risk/reward going forward. Evercore ISI initiated Macy's with a Buy and $74 price target given its scale and stability, competitive advantages, strong vendor relationships and significant cash-flow generation. During the quarter, Macy's was also downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Northcoast. PRICE ACTION: Over the last three months, Macy's shares are up fractionally. In afternoon trading, he stock is down 0.3% to $63.51 ahead of Tuesday's report.
February 19, 2015
14:41 EDTJCPJ.C. Penney volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
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06:55 EDTMMacy's March volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
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February 18, 2015
10:00 EDTJCPJ.C. Penney move higher attributed to real estate speculation
The move higher in shares of J.C. Penney (JCP) is being attributed to speculation the company may look to monetize its real estate assets. The speculation seems to be originating from a Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) employee's webpage showing the retailer as a client. The JLL employee, Stephen Bridges, specializes in "assisting industrial users with the lease, purchase, and sale of real estate." It is not clear when Penny became a client of JLL. Shares of Penny rallied to a high of $8.50, and are trading up 16c to $8.29 in early trading. Reference Link
03:20 EDTMOn The Fly: Analyst Initiation Summary
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February 17, 2015
13:03 EDTJCPJ.C. Penney volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
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10:00 EDTMOn The Fly: Analyst Initiation Summary
Today's noteworthy initiations include: Box, Inc. (BOX) initiated with a Hold at Canaccord... Euronav NV (EURN) initiated with an Overweight at Morgan Stanley... GoPro (GPRO) initiated with an Outperform at Northland... M/A-COM (MTSI) initiated with a Neutral at BofA/Merrill... Macy's (M) initiated with an Underweight at Barclays... NetSuite (N) initiated with an Underperform at Exane BNP Paribas... Omega Healthcare (OHI) initiated with a Neutral at BofA/Merrill... Pandora (P) initiated with a Neutral at Macquarie... Pattern Energy (PEGI) coverage resumed with an Outperform at BMO Capital... Regeneron (REGN) initiated with an Outperform at Bernstein... Trovagene (TROV) initiated with an Overweight at Piper Jaffray... Vista Outdoor (VSTO) initiated with a Market Perform at Cowen.
04:58 EDTMNordstrom downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays
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04:54 EDTMMacy's initiated with an Underweight at Barclays
Barclays started shares of Macy's with an Underweight rating saying it expects comps to remain under 2% as the retailer lacks exposure to the growing off-price segment. The firm put a $55 price target on shares. Shares of Macy's closed Friday down 34c to $64.32.
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