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News For HPQ;MSFT From The Last 14 Days
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November 24, 2015
14:09 EDTHPQHP Inc. technical notes ahead of results
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13:49 EDTHPQHewlett-Packard November weekly 14.5 straddle priced for 5.7% movement
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) November weekly 14.5 straddle priced for 5.7% movement into Q4
11:01 EDTHPQHP Inc. volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
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05:56 EDTMSFTMicrosoft shares workforce numbers in global diversity report
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November 23, 2015
10:18 EDTMSFTGameStop plunges on weaker than expected Q3 earnings
Shares of GameStop (GME) are plunging in morning trading after the company reported downbeat third quarter earnings on lower new software and hardware sales and delays in store openings. The company also provided guidance for the fourth quarter and reiterated its outlook for fiscal year 2015. WHAT'S NEW: Before the market open, GameStop reported Q3 adjusted earnings per share of 54c on revenue of $2.02B, below analysts' consensus estimates of 59c and $2.14B, respectively. GameStop added that global same-store sales for the quarter were down 1.1% year over year, with SSS down 1.7% in the United States and up 0.3% internationally. The company said foreign currency negatively impacted EPS by 2c and sales by about $100M and noted that it recorded $1.6M of one-time charges as a result of non-recurring acquisition-related costs. GameStop said new hardware sales declined 20.4%, while new software sales were down 9.3%; pre-owned sales were up 0.6%, the company said. Commenting on the quarter, Chief Executive Officer Paul Raines said that the company's results fell to the low end of its guidance range -- 53c-60c for EPS on SSS up 1% to up 4% -- due to "lower than expected new software and hardware sales and delays in Technology Brands store openings." The company provided an outlook for the fourth quarter, forecasting EPS of $2.12-$2.32, below analysts' estimates of $2.37, and SSS ranging from down 1% to up 6%. Despite the disappointing Q3 earnings and weak Q4 guidance, GameStop affirmed its FY15 EPS view of $3.66-$3.86 and added that it expects full year same store sales to grow 2%-6%. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Prior to the retailer's Q3 earnings report, Steven Russolillo of the Wall Street Journal's Ahead of the tape said that GameStop was "running out of lives" since it has experienced an increasingly challenging video game retail environment due to a rising number of shoppers buying games digitally. Russolillo noted that GameStop's resale business is still profitable and may pare losses somewhat. In addition, NPD Group reported earlier this month a 3% year over year decline in game software retail sales in the U.S. in October. The loss came even despite the major launch of Microsoft's (MSFT) flagship title "Halo 5: Guardians." STREET RESEARCH: Piper Jaffray analyst Michael J. Olson said that GameStop is "clearly" seeing an impact from increasing digital software sales, but that the firm expects digital expansion to ease during the holiday quarter. Olson added that the video game industry is currently in the "renewed growth phase" and that he expects trends in the sector to be strong heading into 2016. The analyst maintained an Overweight rating and $57 price target on the company's stock. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, GameStop slipped 13.93% to $33.89. The company will hold its earnings conference call at 11am. OTHERS TO WATCH: Video game makers are also lower this morning. Shares of Electronic Arts (EA) are down 2.26%, Take Two Interactive (TTWO) is down 0.84% and Activision Blizzard is down 1.55%.
10:00 EDTHPQOn The Fly: Analyst Upgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy upgrades include: Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) upgraded to Peer Perform from Underperform at Wolfe Research... Constellation Brands (STZ) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Cowen... Dick's Sporting (DKS) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Canaccord... Encana (ECA) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Evercore ISI... Genomic Health (GHDX) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS... HP Inc. (HPQ) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Maxim... Heritage Commerce (HTBK) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Sandler O'Neill... James River Group (JRVR) upgraded on improved outlook at BMO Capital... Kellogg (K) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse... KeyCorp (KEY) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies... Och-Ziff Capital (OZM) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Keefe Bruyette... PBF Energy (PBF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... Panera Bread (PNRA) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Maxim... Parkway Properties (PKY) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Mizuho... PepsiCo (PEP) upgraded to Neutral from Reduce at Nomura... Sanchez Energy (SN) upgraded to Buy from Accumulate at KLR Group... Sonoco (SON) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Macquarie... Synchrony (SYF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Sterne Agee CRT... Telecom Argentina (TEO) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman... Teva (TEVA) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... TransAlta (TAC) upgraded to Sector Perform from Underperform at RBC Capital... Universal Insurance (UVE) upgraded to Outperform at Keefe Bruyette... Willis Group (WSH) upgraded to Hold from Sell at Deutsche Bank... YPF (YPF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.
09:39 EDTMSFTActive equity options trading on open
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08:58 EDTHPQHP Inc. upgraded to Buy, price target raised to $17 at Maxim
As reported previously, Maxim analyst Nehal Chokshi upgraded HP Inc. to Buy from Hold, saying there is room for HP to raise its rate of free cash flow return to about 90% from between 50%-75% now. The analyst also sees potential for HP printing supplies to experience a temporary break amid a secular decline, chances for HP to successfully penetrate the multi-function copier market, and for its PC operating margins to expand. Chokshi raised his price target on HP shares to $17 from $14.50.
08:58 EDTMSFTMicrosoft price target raised to $65 from $55 at Pacific Crest
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08:22 EDTHPQHP Inc. volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
HP Inc. November weekly call option implied volatility is at 52, December is at 34, January is at 31 compared to its 2-week range of 18 to 41, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q4 results on November 24.
07:27 EDTHPQHP Inc. upgraded to Buy from Hold at Maxim
07:18 EDTMSFTMicrosoft price target raised to $60 from $56 at UBS
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06:30 EDTMSFTGameStop sees challenge around growing number of digital shoppers, WSJ says
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06:09 EDTHPQHP Inc. adds Titan to Engineered by HP Program
HP Inc. announced the expansion of its Engineered by HP program, collaborating with the world's fifth largest watchmaker, Titan, to infuse technology seamlessly into the way consumers live, providing them with smart accessories that are productive and responsive, but not intrusive.
November 20, 2015
10:38 EDTMSFTAnalyst sees 'cloud cold war' coming between Google, Microsoft, Amazon
Recent comments by Google (GOOG) indicate that the tech giant plans to make a major push in the cloud infrastructure market, Deutsche Bank analyst Ross Sandler wrote in a note to investors today. Google's initiatives in this area could significantly boost its stock price and signify the start of a "cold war" in the space, but are unlikely to negatively affect the number two player in the area, Microsoft (MSFT), Sandler believes. WHAT'S NEW: Google has not been aggressively expanding its cloud infrastructure business, but recent comments by the tech giant indicates that this situation is changing, Sandler wrote. Google executive Urs Holzle said that the tech giant plans to aggressively expand its cloud platform, and projected that the company's revenue from the cloud could surpass its ad revenue by 2020, the analyst noted. The note comes after Google acquired a small platform-as-a-service company called bebop and appointed its CEO, VmWare (VMW) co-founder Diane Greene, to lead a new cloud business. Based on Hozle's comment, Google is seeking to boost its cloud revenue to $100B by 2020, Sandler estimated. If the tech giant even "gets part of the way" to meeting the goal, the growth in its cloud business will boost its market cap by hundreds of billions of dollars, Sandler believes. Google's push in the cloud is negative for Microsoft, but it will take years for Google to build up its cloud business to the point where it's competitive with Microsoft's cloud offering, Azure, the analyst contended. Amazon (AMZN), which Google also much catch, is the runaway leader in the cloud market. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Google may look to make acquisitions in the software-as-a-service sector to build up its cloud business, and vendors like Red Hat (RHT) which sell to cloud infrastructure providers have added a major new customer, Sandler wrote. Major software-as-a-service providers include (CRM), Workday (WDAY), and Netsuite (N). PRICE ACTION: In early trading, Alphabet Class A shares gained 1.5% to $771.37, Microsoft slid 1.1% to $53.33 and Amazon rose fractionally to $662.87.
06:20 EDTMSFTSony mulling bringing PS2 games to PS4, WSJ says
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November 19, 2015
09:00 EDTHPQAerohive sell-off unwarranted, says JMP Securities
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08:18 EDTMSFTMicrosoft participates in a panel discussion
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November 18, 2015
16:01 EDTMSFTOptions Update; November 18, 2015
iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures down 1.39 to 19.44. Option volume leaders: AAPL NBG TGT NFLX F FB QCOM SUNE GPRO MSFT
14:49 EDTMSFTEarnings Watch: Salesforce shares up 14% since last earnings report
Salesforce (CRM) is scheduled to report third quarter results after the market close on Wednesday, November 18, with a conference call scheduled for 5:00 pm ET. Salesforce is a provider of enterprise cloud computing solutions that include apps and platform services. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 19c on revenue of $1.7B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 17c-20c on revenue of $1.68B-$1.72B. On its last earnings conference call, Salesforce gave Q3 EPS guidance of 18c-19c and revenue guidance of $1.69B-$1.7B. It also gave FY16 EPS guidance of 70c-72c and FY16 revenue of $6.6B-$6.63B. The company expects FY16 operating cash flow growth of approximately 34%-35%. Salesforce said it is now on pace to reach $7B run rate later this year. LAST QUARTER: On August 20, Salesforce reported second quarter EPS of 19c, beating the consensus analyst forecast of 18c. The company's revenue came in at $1.63B, topping the consensus estimate of $1.60B. It reported deferred revenue on balance of $3.03B as of July 31 and Q2 subscription and support revenue of $1.52B. Salesforce added that Q2 was the "best quarter ever" for the company due to momentum in Europe and growth in the adoption of its core platform. NEWS: Salesforce and Western Union (WU) announced an agreement for Western Union to use Sales Cloud, Community Cloud, Analytics Cloud and App Cloud to automate previously paper-based processes. Salesforce also announced plans to extend its strategic partnership with Microsoft (MSFT). The company said it would double its workforce in the Seattle area. STREET RESEARCH: Brean Capital said Salesforce should be a core holding due its new cloud targets, operating margin expansion and revenue growth in the 20%-30% range year over year. Jeffries said it was impressed with the company's DreamForce conference, but kept an Underperform rating on the stock because the net present value of new business may be negative for Salesforce at this time. In late September, Oppenheimer said that the company's checks were positive. It added that Salesforce's share of the market could be increasing and adds that Salesforce's platform strategy is becoming more popular with customers. PRICE ACTION: Salesforce shares are up over 14% since the company's Q2 report. In afternoon trading ahead of Thursday's report, Salesforce shares are up fractionally.
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