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November 17, 2015
06:39 EDTWMTWal-Mart Asia CEO: China to drive over half of sector growth, CNBC says
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06:35 EDTGOOGGoogle's Project Aura working on three new wearables, the Information says
Google's revamped Google Glass project, known as Project Aura, is developing a wearable with a screen and at least one without, the Information reports. Three versions of the head-mounted device are currently in development, though three may be consolidated into two, the report says. The two without a screen rely on bone conduction, much like the original Google Glass, the report says. Reference Link
06:27 EDTWMTWal-Mart may see worst y/y decline since 1973, WSJ says
Wal-Mart's stock has slumped roughly 40% since reaching over $90 in January, setting the company up for its worst year over year decline since 1973, Steven Russolillo of the Wall Street Journal's Ahead of the Tape reports. There is not much reason to believe that the retailer's shares will rebound ahead of Tuesday's quarterly report, Russolillo says. Deflationary concerns and the growing e-commerce market represent two structural issues hindering Wal-Mart's ability to stage swift turnaround, the report says. Reference Link
06:27 EDTINTCIntel November volatility elevated into investor meeting
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06:16 EDTMSFTMicrosoft turns around flawed security technology, NY Times says
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November 16, 2015
17:02 EDTMSFTPoint72 added to lululemon position, subtracted from Netflix position
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16:43 EDTAAPLGreenlight Capital added Apple, sold some SunEdison
Greenlight Capital gave a quarterly update on its stakes in a filing this afternoon. NEW STAKES: CNX Coal Resources (CNXC), Garmin (GRMN), Terraform Global (GLBL), and Liberty Global (LILA). INCREASED STAKES: Apple (AAPL), Michael Kors (KORS), Dillard's (DDS), UIL Holdings (UIL), and Twenty-First Century Fox (FOXA). DECREASED STAKES: SunEdison (SUNE), Micron (MU), Voya (VOYA), Applied Materials (AMAT), and SunEdison Semiconductor (SEMI). LIQUIDATED STAKES: Citizens Financial (CFG), Lam Research (LRCX), Spirit AeroSystems (SPR), Hertz (HTZ), and Macy's (M).
16:23 EDTWMTOn The Fly: Top stock stories for Monday
Stock futures were pointing to a higher open early this morning, showing resiliency in the wake of Friday's terrorist attacks in France and the nation's millitary retaliation against ISIS this weekend. However, the futures weakened following the release of manufacturing data from the N.Y. region, leading to a slightly lower open for the broader market. The averages pared their losses and searched for direction in early trading, but by early afternoon the bulls took control and sent the indexes on an uptrend throughout the afternoon. The major averages each notched gains of more than 1% and recaptured much of what they'd lost on Friday. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., the Empire State index, which measures manufacturing in the N.Y. region, edged up to -10.74 in November, up from last month's -11.4, but below expectations for a -6.5 reading. In Asia, Japan's gross domestic product declined 0.8% in the third quarter, missing expectations for a 0.2% decrease and taking the nation's economy back into recession. COMPANY NEWS: Starwood Hotels & Resorts (HOT) found a buyer, but not the one that recent reports had been foreshadowing. Starwood and Marriott (MAR) announced a deal under which the companies will combine in a cash and stock transaction valued at $12.2B to create the world's largest hotel company. Starwood, which had been linked in media reports to a number of other potential buyers in the past, including Hyatt (H) most recently, fell 3.6% to $72.27 following the deal announcement, while Hyatt rose 3.4% and Marriott added 1.35%. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was CONSOL Energy (CNX), which advanced 56c, or 7.57%, to $7.96 after Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn reiterated the stock as his "best idea" at Monday's Robin Hood Investors Conference. Also higher was Wal-Mart (WMT), gaining $1.44, or 2.55%, to $57.87 ahead of its third quarter earnings report Tuesday morning, which comes after largely disappointing reports from other major retailers. Among the noteworthy losers was Clovis Oncology (CLVS), which crashed $69.19, or 69.6%, to $30.24 after new data showed the number of patients testing its cancer drug candidate rociletinib with an unconfirmed response who converted to a confirmed response was lower than expected. The company also noted that the FDA requested additional information related to the treatment's confirmed response rates. Also lower was Dillard's (DDS), which lost $4.97, or 6.41%, to $72.54 after reporting lower than expected Q3 results, the latest in a series of disappointments for the sector. Additionally, SunEdison (SUNE) fell 38c, or 7.61%, to $4.55 after quarterly filings revealed that at least two prominent hedge funds exited or trimmed their stakes in the company. INDEXES: The Dow rose 237.77, or 1.38%, to 17,483.01, the Nasdaq gained 56.73, or 1.15%, to 4,984.62, and the S&P 500 advanced 30.15, or 1.49%, to 2,053.19.
16:00 EDTAAPL, MSFTOptions Update; November 16, 2015
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15:02 EDTWMTNotable companies reporting before tomorrow's open
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14:08 EDTWMTWal-Mart technical comments ahead of results
The shares are at multi-year lows and in a downtrend heading into earnings news. If there was a bullish surprise, the first important resistance level would be at the 10-week moving average at $60.58. The 10-week is a good proxy for a downtrend resistance line for the current longer-term bearish price channel. Resistance above the top of the channel would be at $61.23. If the news continues to be negative, the channel low at $55.46 would be a first major test of support. Price at that level would mark a fresh 52-week low. Additional support levels to watch as potential downside objectives would be at $53.55 and then at $51.79.
14:00 EDTWMTWal-Mart November 57 straddle priced for 3.5% movement into Q3
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12:35 EDTAAPLApple reaps 94% of global smartphone profits, Business Insider says
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11:42 EDTWMTWal-Mart volatility increases into Q3 and outlook
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11:15 EDTWMTEarnings Watch: Analysts largely downbeat on Wal-Mart after annual meeting
Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) is scheduled to report third quarter earnings before the market open on Tuesday, November 17, with a conference call scheduled for 7:00 am ET. Wal-Mart, a member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, operates retail stores in various formats under 69 different banners in 27 countries with its "everyday low price" philosophy. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 98c on revenue of $117.79B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is $1.07-$1.15 on revenue of $114.86B-$119.57B. In its last earnings report, Wal-Mart forecast Q3 EPS of 93c-$1.05 with Q3 U.S. same store sales projected to grow 2%-3%. LAST QUARTER: Wal-Mart reported second quarter EPS of $1.08, missing analysts' estimate of $1.12, on revenue of $120.2B, beating analysts' estimate of $119.72B. The company said currency negatively impacted Q2 EPS by approximately 4c. Comp sales at Walmart U.S. increased 1.5%, driven by traffic of 1.3%, and Neighborhood Market comps increased approximately 7.3%. Global e-commerce sales for Q2 increased about 16%, the company said. Looking ahead, Wal-Mart cut its outlook for fiscal year 2016 EPS to $4.40-$4.70 from $4.70-$5.05 against estimates at that time for $4.77. Chief Financial officer Charles Holley said operating profit would be pressured for the remainder of the year, due to in store associate wages and additional hours, as well as headwinds from pharmacy reimbursements and ongoing shrink. The company said that the impact from investments in wages, training and additional hours in its stores and clubs will be approximately 24c, including approximately 8c in Q3. Additionally, the company said that along with pharmacy headwinds, higher than expected ongoing shrink in Walmart U.S. will impact full year EPS by around 11c, including about 3c in Q3. Further, the FY16 currency exchange rate impact is expected to be approximately 15c, up 2c from last quarter's revised guidance of 13c. NEWS: At its annual meeting on October 14, Wal-Mart forecast net sales growth of approximately 3% for FY16 excluding the impact of currency exchange fluctuations. The company forecast net sales growth of 3%-4% annually over the next three years, which will add about $45B-$60B in sales. Looking to fiscal year 2017, Wal-Mart forecast EPS down 6%-12% vs. FY16. Wal-Mart also said that the strong dollar is expected to reduce the company's FY15 revenue by $15B, Reuters said. Wal-Mart's board authorized a new $20B share repurchase program and said it expects operating income to bottom out in FY17. During the quarter, Reuters reported that Wal-Mart filed an application with the Federal Aviation Administration to test drones for home delivery, curbside pickup and warehouse inventory checks. The Wall Street Journal said Wal-Mart is slimming down its number of items in an attempt to bolster sales figures, yet the reduction has created tensions with suppliers. STREET RESEARCH: Credit Suisse, Stephens and BofA Merrill Lynch all downgraded Wal-Mart after the retailer's annual meeting based on guidance for declining earnings in FY17 and a lack of earnings growth until FY19. Baird, UBS and Jefferies all cut their price targets on Wal-Mart following the annual meeting. JPMorgan analyst Christopher Horvers said the "depth and degree" of the financial pressures addressed at the annual meeting were "much greater than anticipated." Ahead of the Q3 earnings report, Baird reiterated its Outperform rating and $70 price target and said Wal-Mart shares appear to hold some value for patient investors. Wal-Mart was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Northcoast on November 13. PRICE ACTION: Wal-Mart shares are down over 21% over the last three months, but are up about 1% to $57.07 in late morning trading ahead of Tuesday's earnings report.
10:25 EDTAAPLUBS trims Apple target, says iPhone partner cut production forecast
Hon Hai, which manufactures Apple's (AAPL) iPhones, expects to assemble significantly fewer iPhones this quarter than in the same period in 2014, UBS wrote in a note to investors today. WHAT'S NEW: Hon Hai Precision Industry, also known as Foxconn, is expected to assemble 10% fewer iPhones this quarter than in the same period in 2014, said UBS analyst Steven Milunovich, citing work from fellow UBS analyst Arthur Hsieh. Previously, companies that supply force touch components for iPhones saw a 10%-15% reduction in their orders, the analyst reported. These developments "are not encouraging," but Apple had previously ordered a large number of iPhones for Q4, according to Milunovich. Overall iPhone demand "could still be decent," he believes. However, the analyst lowered his iPhone sales estimate for Apple's March quarter to 61M from 62.5M, asserting that iPhone sales on China's November 11 Singles Day holiday may have come in below expectations. Based on October search volumes, he continues to believe that demand for iPhone units in the fourth quarter of the calendar year will be 75M, in-line with the consensus outlook. Milunovich trimmed his price target on Apple to $140 from $150 but kept a Buy rating on the shares. WHAT'S NOTABLE In a note to investors on November 10, Credit Suisse reported that it was cutting its estimates for 2016 iPhone sales. The firm expects sales of the device to fall 10.4% in the first quarter versus the same period in 2015, and it predicts that iPhone sales will decline 5.5% year-over-year in 2016. Suppliers with greater than 10% exposure to Apple include Avago (AVGO), SanDisk (SNDK), Analog Devices (ADI), Broadcom (BRCM), Texas Instruments (TXN), NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) and Fairchild (FCS), Credit Suisse reported. The firm said it continues to have a negative view of the smartphone sector. PRICE ACTION: In early trading, Apple added nearly 1% to $113.34.
10:00 EDTBBYOn The Fly: Analyst Downgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy downgrades include: Abengoa (ABGB) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Canaccord... Best Buy (BBY) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital... CDTi (CDTI) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Roth Capital... CNH Industrial (CNHI) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan... Clayton Williams (CWEI) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Roth Capital... Disney (DIS) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim... Endo (ENDP) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Mizuho... Five Below (FIVE) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank... Garrison Capital (GARS) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair... General Growth (GGP) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Evercore ISI... Helmerich & Payne (HP) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Evercore ISI... Kosmos (KOS) downgraded on investor sentiment, costs at RBC Capital... MannKind (MNKD) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Griffen Securities... Media General (MEG) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Evercore ISI... Progressive (PGR) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman... Sabra Health Care (SBRA) downgraded on challenges, investor sentiment at Stifel... Simon Property (SPG) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Evercore ISI... Springleaf (LEAF) downgraded after settlement on acquisition reached at BMO Capital... Steiner Leisure (STNR) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair... Taubman Centers (TCO) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Evercore ISI... TerraForm Power (TERP) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS... UniCredit (UNCFF) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi... Violin Memory (VMEM) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Maxim... Vipshop (VIPS) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley... Wolseley (WOSYY) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank.
10:00 EDTNVDAOn The Fly: Analyst Upgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy upgrades include: Alliant Energy (LNT) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo... AmerisourceBergen (ABC) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley... Amphenol (APH) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... CA Technologies (CA) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Citi... Cempra (CEMP) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley... Edgewell Personal Care (EPC) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman... Eli Lilly (LLY) upgraded on improved growth outlook at BMO Capital... MiMedx (MDXG) upgraded to Strong Buy from Buy at Needham... NVIDIA (NVDA) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Canaccord... New York REIT (NYRT) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Evercore ISI... Oracle (ORCL) upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman... Perrigo (PRGO) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS... Semtech (SMTC) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at B. Riley... Tullow Oil (TUWOY) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS... Wabtec (WAB) upgraded to Outperform on valuatoin at Raymond James.
09:37 EDTAAPL, INTCActive equity options trading on open
Active equity options trading on open: AAPL FB ORCL BAC SUNE FDX FCX EXPE NFLX MU AMZN INTC TSLA
09:33 EDTGOOGeBay second week of November SSS up 0.4%, ChannelAdvisor says
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