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November 18, 2015
14:49 EDTMSFTEarnings Watch: Salesforce shares up 14% since last earnings report
Salesforce (CRM) is scheduled to report third quarter results after the market close on Wednesday, November 18, with a conference call scheduled for 5:00 pm ET. Salesforce is a provider of enterprise cloud computing solutions that include apps and platform services. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 19c on revenue of $1.7B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 17c-20c on revenue of $1.68B-$1.72B. On its last earnings conference call, Salesforce gave Q3 EPS guidance of 18c-19c and revenue guidance of $1.69B-$1.7B. It also gave FY16 EPS guidance of 70c-72c and FY16 revenue of $6.6B-$6.63B. The company expects FY16 operating cash flow growth of approximately 34%-35%. Salesforce said it is now on pace to reach $7B run rate later this year. LAST QUARTER: On August 20, Salesforce reported second quarter EPS of 19c, beating the consensus analyst forecast of 18c. The company's revenue came in at $1.63B, topping the consensus estimate of $1.60B. It reported deferred revenue on balance of $3.03B as of July 31 and Q2 subscription and support revenue of $1.52B. Salesforce added that Q2 was the "best quarter ever" for the company due to momentum in Europe and growth in the adoption of its core platform. NEWS: Salesforce and Western Union (WU) announced an agreement for Western Union to use Sales Cloud, Community Cloud, Analytics Cloud and App Cloud to automate previously paper-based processes. Salesforce also announced plans to extend its strategic partnership with Microsoft (MSFT). The company said it would double its workforce in the Seattle area. STREET RESEARCH: Brean Capital said Salesforce should be a core holding due its new cloud targets, operating margin expansion and revenue growth in the 20%-30% range year over year. Jeffries said it was impressed with the company's DreamForce conference, but kept an Underperform rating on the stock because the net present value of new business may be negative for Salesforce at this time. In late September, Oppenheimer said that the company's checks were positive. It added that Salesforce's share of the market could be increasing and adds that Salesforce's platform strategy is becoming more popular with customers. PRICE ACTION: Salesforce shares are up over 14% since the company's Q2 report. In afternoon trading ahead of Thursday's report, Salesforce shares are up fractionally.
14:38 EDTBBYNotable companies reporting before tomorrow's open
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13:44 EDTINTCBefore the Move: Watch Intel into tomorrow's analyst day
Chipmaker Intel's (INTC) analyst day tomorrow could yield information on numerous company operations, but Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis cautions investors that the probability for positive surprises appears low given recent spending outlays. BACKGROUND: Intel, one of the largest semiconductor makers in the world, is scheduled to hold an analyst day on Thursday, November 19. Beyond providing forecasts for its various business segments and remarks on the larger computer market, Intel is expected to provide further clarity on several recent stories, including its memory joint venture with Micron (MU), plans to invest heavily in a Chinese production facility and progression towards chips on the 10 nanometer scale. STRONG OUTLOOK, MILD MEETING: Intel's pending acquisition of Altera (ALTR) and its plans to invest as much as $5.5B in a computer memory facility in Dalian, China leave little room for positive surprises at tomorrow's event in regards to 2016 margins, capital expenditures, or shareholder returns, Jefferies analyst Mark Lipacis said in a recent research note. That said, the analyst views Intel's Chinese facility expansion as part of a "brilliant investment strategy that positions Intel as a partner to China" and "keeps the market open" to its microprocessors, perhaps Intel's more famed business segment. Though the two initiatives are certain to push up near-term debt load, Lipacis takes the longer-term view, reminding investors that Intel has shown consistently strong free cash flow over the past decade, leading him to forecast another $13B in 2016. The year may also bring "a number" of other positives for the company, including more data center wins after the Altera tie-up, potentially renewed sales on a cyclical uptick in PC gaming, and even the possibility of an iPhone chip contract, though Lipacis said none of those points look set to be discussed tomorrow. The analyst kept a Buy rating and $38 price target on the shares while reiterating that Thursday's Intel event may have little in store for those expecting eye-grabbing surprises. PRICE ACTION: Shares of Intel have advanced roughly 0.9% to $32.92 Wednesday afternoon. "Before the Move" is The Fly's recurring series of exclusive stories that identify potentially market moving events, along with analyst predictions, ahead of the news.
13:41 EDTBBYBest Buy November 31 straddle priced for 10% movement into Q3
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13:37 EDTBBYBest Buy technical comments ahead of results
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12:33 EDTAAPLOn The Fly: Top stock stories at midday
Stocks on Wall Street began the session in positive territory and have moved higher throughout the morning. All eyes continue to be fixed on Paris and successful police action in a raid of the dwellings of suspects from the bombing over the weekend may have added to today's positive sentiment. There was little help from the day's economic data, however, as the housing starts report for October came in with the lowest reading in seven months and the energy inventories data showed another buildup in crude. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., housing starts fell 11.0% to a 1.06M pace in October, weaker than the expected rate of 1.16M. Building permits, however, rose 4.1% to a 1.15M rate, versus an expected rise of 3.8%. The day's big economic event may be yet to come, as investors await the minutes from the Fed's last FOMC meeting, which are scheduled for release at 2:00 pm ET. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of Target (TGT) fell more than 5% after the retailer reported in-line quarterly sales and profits and narrowed the range of its fiscal year earnings view. Target, which guided for same-store sales in its holiday quarter to be up 1%-2%, added that it sees "indications of heavy inventory levels" at some competitors into the holiday season... Shares of railroad operator Norfolk Southern (NSC) spiked in the after-hours trading after rival Canadian Pacific (CP) announced that it had sent an offer letter proposing a business combination, but failed to outline the details of its proposal. Norfolk Southern then confirmed Canadian Pacific to acquire the company for $46.72 in cash and a fixed exchange ratio of 0.348 Canadian Pacific shares per Norfolk share, calling the indication of interest "unsolicited, low-premium, non-binding and highly conditional." CNBC's David Faber, citing sources, subsequently reported that Norfolk Southern has no interest in pursuing a merger, but Norfolk shares remain up more than 6% early this afternoon, while Canadian Pacific is up nearly 6% as well... Shares of Apple (AAPL) climbed about 3% after Goldman Sachs added the stock to its Conviction Buy List, predicting that investors should begin to focus on the company's monetization and recurring revenue opportunities over the next year, which would be a boon to its valuation. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Aramark (ARMK), which rallied 8% after it reported upbeat quarterly earnings and guided for fiscal 2016. Also higher was Fairchild Semicondcutor (FCS), which gained 8.5% after it agreed to be acquired for approximately $2.4B by ON Semiconductor (ON), which fell 8% following the deal announcement. Another noteworthy losers was Qualcomm (QCOM), which fell nearly 10% after it said that allegations from Korea's FTC that the company did not properly negotiate "aspects" of its licenses are "not supported by the facts." Also lower was Staples (SPLS), which was down 4% after it reported Q3 earnings and provided an earnings outlook for Q4. INDEXES: Near midday, the Dow was up 132.98, or 0.76%, to 17,622.48, the Nasdaq was up 43.00, or 0.86%, to 5,029.01, and the S&P 500 was up 15.62, or 0.76%, to 2,066.06.
11:24 EDTGOOGGoogle eyes YouTube enhancement with VR experiences, DigiTimes says
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11:22 EDTBBYBest Buy management to meet with Jefferies
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10:49 EDTAAPLGoldman says buy Apple ahead of 'Apple-as-a-Service' sentiment shift
The shares of Apple (AAPL) are climbing after Goldman Sachs added the stock to its Conviction Buy List. Apple is taking steps to increase the monetization of its customer base and investors should begin to focus on the company's monetization and recurring revenue opportunities over the next year, leading to a higher valuation after this transition occurs, the firm predicts. WHAT'S NEW: Apple can significantly increase the monetization of its 500M users over the next few years, Goldman analyst Simona Jankowski wrote in a note to investors today. It should be able to attain this goal by selling more of its services, such as Apple TV and Apple Music, to its customers and by convincing them to buy more of its hardware products, including Macs, iPads and watches, the analyst stated. Apple's introduction of installment plans for the iPhone should also facilitate its transition to a recurring revenue model, Jankowski indicated. If Apple creates similar installment plans for its other products and services, its current average revenue per iPhone user would be $42 per month, the analyst estimated. If every iPhone users adopts every Apple product and service, the tech giant's ARPU would climb to $153 per month, implying that it can grow significantly as its users adopt more of its products and services, according to Jankowski. The market currently values Apple as a hardware company and would give the company a higher valuation if it began to view the tech giant as having a recurring revenue model, which she dubs "Apple-as-a-Service." She has a $163 price target on the shares. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, Apple rose about 3% to $117 per share.
10:47 EDTAAPLTarget sees Apple Watch to be top gift in wearable category in holiday season
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10:08 EDTBBYGoPro sinks after analyst finds cameras on flash sales sites
The shares of action camera maker GoPro (GPRO) are sinking and hit a new 52-week low after research firm Piper Jaffray reported that the company has been offering significant discounts on its cameras. WHAT'S NEW: GoPro's cameras have been selling on flash sales websites such as Zulily (ZU) and Groupon (GRPN) at price discounts of 16%-34%, Piper analyst Erinn Murphy wrote in a note to investors today. As a result of these discounts and the 147% increase in GoPro's inventory at the end of the third quarter, the analyst is concerned that the company's gross margin could be pressured. In addition to the discounts GoPro is offering on the flash websites, the camera maker cut the price of its GoPro Session camera on Amazon to $299 from $399 in September and there has been "select downward price movement" on two more of its cameras on Amazon, Murphy reported. The analyst continues to expect GoPro's Q4 earnings per share to come in at 34c, versus analysts' consensus estimate of 41c. She slashed her fiscal 2016 EPS estimate for the company to $1.03 from $1.35, versus the consensus outlook of $1.37. Murphy reduced her price target on the stock to $15 from $20 and kept an Underweight rating on the name. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Ambarella (AMBA) makes chips used in GoPro's cameras. Best Buy (BBY), which is due to report its results tomorrow, sells GoPro's cameras. PRICE ACTION: In early trading, GoPro fell 8% to $19.19. Earlier today, it hit a new 52-week low of $19.04.
10:00 EDTAAPLOn The Fly: Analyst Upgrade Summary
Today's noteworthy upgrades include: Apple (AAPL) upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman... BorgWarner (BWA) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... Cognex (CGNX) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Canaccord... FARO Technologies (FARO) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Canaccord... Lazard (LAZ) upgraded to Strong Buy from Outperform at Raymond James... LendingClub (LC) upgraded on valuation, positive outlook at Sterne Agee CRT... Middleby (MIDD) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital... Perrigo (PRGO) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at B. Riley... RE/MAX Holdings (RMAX) upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at JMP Securities... Sally Beauty (SBH) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman... Shopify (SHOP) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James... TASER (TASR) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Ladenburg... USG (USG) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Northcoast.
09:52 EDTAAPLApple trades up, Goldman adds to Conviction Buy List
The stock was last at $116.89, up over 2.8% on the session on moderate volume. At current price next resistance is at $119.27. Support is at $115.75, the opening price of the day.
09:34 EDTAAPLActive equity options trading on open
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08:19 EDTNVDARBC Capital to hold a tour
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06:19 EDTBBYUPS, FedEx peers see business in bulky item deliveries, WSJ says
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06:14 EDTAAPLApple upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman
Goldman Sachs analyst Simona Jankowski upgraded Apple to Conviction Buy saying the stock trades at a 30% discount to the S&P 500 multiple. The market views Apple as a "hardware" stock, or a company with limited recurring revenue and visibility that only extends to the next product cycle, Jankowski tells investors in a research note. Over the next year, however, the analyst expects the market focus will shift from unit growth to installed base monetization and recurring revenues, which she dubs "Apple-as-a-Service." Jankowski believes Apple has a "significant multi-year opportunity" to increase monetization given its estimated installed base of 500M loyal iPhone users. She has a $163 price target for shares. The iPhone maker closed yesterday down 49c to $113.69.
06:12 EDTAAPLApple Pay coming to Domino's by end of year, Cinnabon in 2016, AP reports
Apple (AAPL) yesterday said that company-owned Domino's (DPZ) pizza outlets will be accepting Apple Pay by the end of 2015, while Cinnabon plans to integrate the mobile payments solution in its stores in 2016, The Associated Press reports. Reference Link
05:56 EDTAAPLSony Mobile, LG to develop smartphone app processors in-house, DigiTimes says
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05:37 EDTBBYStocks with implied volatility above IV index mean; CRM BBY
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