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News Breaks
March 26, 2014
12:29 EDTLULUEarnings Preview: lululemon reporting Q4 results after cutting outlook
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) is scheduled to report fourth quarter earnings before the market open on Thursday, March 27, with a conference call scheduled for 9:00 am ET. Lululemon is a designer and retailer of yoga-inspired apparel operating primarily in North America and Australia. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 72c on revenue of $515.11M, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 70c-73c on revenue of $508.1M-$521.44M. LAST QUARTER: Lululemon reported third quarter EPS of 45c against estimates for 41c on revenue of $379.9M against estimates for $376.2M; same-store sales increased 5% and direct-to-consumer revenue increased 37% to $62M. NEWS: In January, lululemon cut its Q4 outlook due to decelerating traffic, and said it had seen traffic and sales trends decelerate "meaningfully" in January. The company's updated Q4 guidance is EPS of 71c-78c on revenue of $513M-$518M vs. prior guidance of 78c-80c and $535M-$540M, respectively. The company forecast Q4 comparable sales in the negative low to mid single digits, below its previous guidance of flat comparable store sales on a constant basis. Lululemon commented that "At the end 2013, lululemon is starting to see the results of the significant investments it made throughout this past year to strengthen and enhance its back-of-house product operations structure. The company said it is confident that its new leadership will help build on this 'stronger foundation to execute our long-term growth strategies.'" At the ICR Xchange Conference in January, the company said it is taking next year "seriously" and plans to do everything it can to make conversation "more positive." Lone Pine Capital liquidated its stake in the company. STREET RESEARCH: According to TheStreet.com's Stephanie Link, lululemon has the potential to be a Wall Street "darling" once again as the many problems the company had last year are likely to be fixed with new management. Stifel expects lululemon's FY14 guidance to miss analysts' consensus estimates, but expects the company to return to positive comps by the second half of fiscal year 2014. The company said in a court filing related to a shareholder lawsuit that the company promptly addressed quality control problems with its luon pants as they became apparent and updated investors in real time. During the quarter, the stock's price target was lowered at Deustsche Bank, Credit Suisse and JPMorgan. Shares were upgraded at Oppenheimer and RBC Capital, and downgraded at Janney Capital and ISI Group. PRICE ACTION: Over the last three months, lululemon shares are down almost 18%. Year-to-date, shares are down about 17%. Ahead of tomorrow's earnings, shares are up over 2% in mid-day trading.
News For LULU From The Last 14 Days
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March 26, 2015
10:30 EDTLULUOptions with decreasing implied volatility
Options with decreasing implied volatility: ASPS WLL WBAI CTRP FIVE LINE DRC RHT LULU APOL
10:19 EDTLULUlululemon remains an under-owened growth story, says JPMorgan
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09:58 EDTLULULululemon says spring inventory may be affected by port issues
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09:38 EDTLULULululemon sees FY15 gross margins delevering from FY14
Sees approx. impact of $65M to revenue for FY15 from forex, 60bp impact to gross margin offset by $30M reduction in SG&A. net impact to earnings of approx. 4c per share vs. FY14. Says February was externally impacted by weather, product delivery delays. Sees weather having approximate $3M impact to sales in February, early March due to store closures, lower traffic in areas impacted by storms. Says has not been able to avoid delays in ocean shipment times into West Coast ports. Sees delays extending into Q2. Sees 14 new Q1 store openings in NA. Sees Q1 gross margin 49%-50%. Says expects merchandise margins to stabilize. Expects SG&A to delever slightly y/y. Expects to open 60 corporate-owned stores in FY15. Sees FY15 gross margins delevering from FY14, with merchandise margins stabilizing. Sees forex, weather, other factors having 9c to EPS for FY15. Sees FY15 operating margin deleveraging from FY14. Says targeting long-term SSS growth in mid-single digits.
09:28 EDTLULULululemon says port slowdown may impact Q1 results
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09:23 EDTLULUOn The Fly: Pre-market Movers
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05:36 EDTLULUlululemon sees FY15 EPS $1.85-$1.90, consensus $2.06
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05:35 EDTLULUlululemon sees Q1 EPS 31c-33c, consensus 39c
Sees Q1 revenue $413M-$418M, consensus $442.01M. Sees Q1 comparable sales up in low single digits on a constant dollar basis.
05:34 EDTLULUlululemon reports Q4 total comparable sales up 8%
Total comparable sales, which includes comparable store sales and direct to consumer, increased by 8% for the fourth quarter on a constant dollar basis. Comparable store sales for the fourth quarter increased by 5% on a constant dollar basis and direct to consumer net revenue increased 20% on a constant dollar basis. Direct to consumer net revenue increased 17% to $114.5 million, or 19.0% of total company net revenue, in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2014, an increase from 18.8% of total company net revenue in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2013.
05:34 EDTLULUlululemon reports Q4 EPS 78c, consensus 73c
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March 25, 2015
15:34 EDTLULUNotable companies reporting before tomorrow's open
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15:34 EDTLULUlululemon technical commentary ahead of results
The shares rebounded sharply at the end of last year but have paused in the last several weeks prior to earnings. The range of price has been bound by $60 at the low and $68 at the high. These bounds may help understand where price may go following earnings and outlook. If the news is positive, a first test of resistance would come at $64.96, the 50-day moving average. A breakout above the moving average would be a technical positive, with the 52-week high at $68.99 as next resistance. An extreme positive move on the upside could take shares to the $70 area. It was from that price point in December 2013 that the stock began its fall. If the news is bearish, support levels to watch below $60 would be at $58, $55.48, and $53.39.
12:30 EDTLULUEarnings Preview: Lululemon sees Q4 EPS 71c-73c on revenue $595M-$600M
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07:28 EDTLULUOptions expected to be active
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06:00 EDTLULUStocks with implied volatility above IV index mean; LULU BBRY
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March 23, 2015
13:50 EDTLULUAnalysts take opposite sides on lululemon before Q4 report
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08:58 EDTLULUlululemon should be bought ahead of earnings on Thursday, says Cowen
Cowen said the risk/reward is good for lululemon ahead of its earnings report on Thursday and recommends buying shares ahead of the event. The firm cited improved product, controlled markdowns, and potential online traffic gains. Cowen reiterated its Outperform rating and $70 price target on lululemon shares.
07:42 EDTLULUlululemon subject to sharp pullback if momentum pauses, says Canaccord
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07:36 EDTLULUlululemon volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
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March 19, 2015
07:16 EDTLULUlululemon volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
lululemon March weekly call option implied volatility is at 74, April is at 46, June is at 38, September is at 36; compared to its 26-week average of 36 according to Track Data, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q4 on March 26.
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