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News Breaks
June 11, 2014
12:48 EDTADDYY, VFC, LULUEarnings Preview: Lululemon quarter may not be 'defining' quarter in turnaround
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) is scheduled to report first quarter earnings before the market open on Thursday, June 12, with a conference call scheduled for 9:00 am ET. Lululemon is a designer and retailer of yoga-inspired apparel operating primarily in North America and Australia. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 32c on revenue of $381.24M, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 30c-38c on revenue of $376.55M-$403.7M. LAST QUARTER: Lululemon reported fourth quarter EPS of 75c against estimates for 72c on revenue of $521M against estimates for $515.11M. same-store sales decreased 2% on a constant dollar basis, and total SSS, including direct-to-consumer, increased 4% on a constant dollar basis. Looking ahead, the company forecast Q1 EPS of 31c-33c on revenue of $377M-$382M and flat total combined SSS on a constant dollar basis. The company also guided fiscal year 2014 EPS to $1.80-$1.90 and revenue of $1.77B-$1.82B on estimates for $1.90 and $1.78B, respectively. Total combined SSS for FY14 is expected to be in the low to mid single digits on a constant dollar basis. NEWS: On its Q4 earnings conference call, lululemon said SSS would gradually improve throughout the year from Q1, and said it expected Q1 SSS, excluding online, to be low single digit negative. At an "uneventful" analyst day meeting held in April, the yoga clothing maker did not provide updates on its mid-term or long-term financial objectives, according to research firm Sterne Agee. On April 18, Reuters said U.S. District Judge Katherine Forrest granted final dismissals of lawsuits which accused lululemon and various company officials of defrauding shareholders by hiding yoga pant defects. Reuters also noted that lululemon has been facing increased competition from rival yoga-wear retailers and department stores such as Gap (GPS), Athleta, VF Corp's lucy, Macy's (M) and others who are selling athletic-wear at lower prices and across more locations. On June 11, founder Chip Wilson announced that he voted against the re-election of Michael Casey and RoAnn Costin to the board of lululemon. He commented that he is "concerned that the Board is not aligned with the core values of product and innovation on which lululemon was founded and on which the company thrived. As a 27% shareholder in the company, I believe change is now needed at the Board level to increase shareholder value." Lululemon responded to Wilson, "The Board is overseeing lululemonís strategy to strengthen the Companyís foundation, focus its product engine on innovation, and accelerate sustainable and controlled global expansion. By leveraging its design-led roots, strengthening its supply chain and providing an exceptional guest experience, we are confident that lululemon, under new CEO Laurent Potdevinís leadership, will provide guests with the high-quality, technical products they know and love and create value for shareholders. Contrary to Mr. Wilson's assertions, lululemonís Board members are aligned with the companyís core values and possess the necessary expertise to successfully lead lululemon forward." STREET RESEARCH: Canaccord, which expects in-line results and unchanged guidance, believes investors sentiment on lululemon is overly negative. Camilo Lyon, managing director of equity research at Canaccord Genuity said in a report that possible suitors of lululemon include VF Corp (VFC). and Adidas (ADDYY), the Globe and Mail reported on June 10. RBC Capital does not expect Q1 to be a defining quarter for the company's turnaround, but expects the company's comp trends to rebound sequentially throughout the year. ISI Group said in May that lululemon could be a potential takeover target for VF Corp.PRICE ACTION: Over the last three months, lululemon shares are down almost 9%. Year-to-date, shares are down almost 25%. Ahead of tomorrow's earnings, shares are down 2.5% in mid-day trading.
News For LULU;VFC;ADDYY From The Last 14 Days
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March 26, 2015
10:19 EDTLULUlululemon remains an under-owened growth story, says JPMorgan
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09:58 EDTLULULululemon says spring inventory may be affected by port issues
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09:38 EDTLULULululemon sees FY15 gross margins delevering from FY14
Sees approx. impact of $65M to revenue for FY15 from forex, 60bp impact to gross margin offset by $30M reduction in SG&A. net impact to earnings of approx. 4c per share vs. FY14. Says February was externally impacted by weather, product delivery delays. Sees weather having approximate $3M impact to sales in February, early March due to store closures, lower traffic in areas impacted by storms. Says has not been able to avoid delays in ocean shipment times into West Coast ports. Sees delays extending into Q2. Sees 14 new Q1 store openings in NA. Sees Q1 gross margin 49%-50%. Says expects merchandise margins to stabilize. Expects SG&A to delever slightly y/y. Expects to open 60 corporate-owned stores in FY15. Sees FY15 gross margins delevering from FY14, with merchandise margins stabilizing. Sees forex, weather, other factors having 9c to EPS for FY15. Sees FY15 operating margin deleveraging from FY14. Says targeting long-term SSS growth in mid-single digits.
09:28 EDTLULULululemon says port slowdown may impact Q1 results
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09:23 EDTLULUOn The Fly: Pre-market Movers
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05:36 EDTLULUlululemon sees FY15 EPS $1.85-$1.90, consensus $2.06
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05:35 EDTLULUlululemon sees Q1 EPS 31c-33c, consensus 39c
Sees Q1 revenue $413M-$418M, consensus $442.01M. Sees Q1 comparable sales up in low single digits on a constant dollar basis.
05:34 EDTLULUlululemon reports Q4 total comparable sales up 8%
Total comparable sales, which includes comparable store sales and direct to consumer, increased by 8% for the fourth quarter on a constant dollar basis. Comparable store sales for the fourth quarter increased by 5% on a constant dollar basis and direct to consumer net revenue increased 20% on a constant dollar basis. Direct to consumer net revenue increased 17% to $114.5 million, or 19.0% of total company net revenue, in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2014, an increase from 18.8% of total company net revenue in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2013.
05:34 EDTLULUlululemon reports Q4 EPS 78c, consensus 73c
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March 25, 2015
15:34 EDTLULUNotable companies reporting before tomorrow's open
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15:34 EDTLULUlululemon technical commentary ahead of results
The shares rebounded sharply at the end of last year but have paused in the last several weeks prior to earnings. The range of price has been bound by $60 at the low and $68 at the high. These bounds may help understand where price may go following earnings and outlook. If the news is positive, a first test of resistance would come at $64.96, the 50-day moving average. A breakout above the moving average would be a technical positive, with the 52-week high at $68.99 as next resistance. An extreme positive move on the upside could take shares to the $70 area. It was from that price point in December 2013 that the stock began its fall. If the news is bearish, support levels to watch below $60 would be at $58, $55.48, and $53.39.
12:30 EDTLULUEarnings Preview: Lululemon sees Q4 EPS 71c-73c on revenue $595M-$600M
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07:28 EDTLULUOptions expected to be active
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06:00 EDTLULUStocks with implied volatility above IV index mean; LULU BBRY
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March 23, 2015
13:50 EDTLULUAnalysts take opposite sides on lululemon before Q4 report
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08:58 EDTLULUlululemon should be bought ahead of earnings on Thursday, says Cowen
Cowen said the risk/reward is good for lululemon ahead of its earnings report on Thursday and recommends buying shares ahead of the event. The firm cited improved product, controlled markdowns, and potential online traffic gains. Cowen reiterated its Outperform rating and $70 price target on lululemon shares.
07:48 EDTADDYYAdidas NA president plans new strategy for U.S. market, WSJ says
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07:42 EDTLULUlululemon subject to sharp pullback if momentum pauses, says Canaccord
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07:36 EDTLULUlululemon volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
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March 19, 2015
07:16 EDTLULUlululemon volatility elevated into Q4 and outlook
lululemon March weekly call option implied volatility is at 74, April is at 46, June is at 38, September is at 36; compared to its 26-week average of 36 according to Track Data, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q4 on March 26.
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