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August 8, 2014
07:40 EDTLULU, UAlululemon fundamental risk remains after founder sale, says Jefferies
Jefferies views lululemon co-founder Chip Wilson's sale of half his stake to Advent positively since it averts a proxy fight, but the firm still sees continued fundamental risk to forward sales and margins. Jefferies prefers putting new money to work in Under Armour (UA) and keeps a Hold rating on lululemon (LULU) with a $41 price target.
News For LULU;UA From The Last 14 Days
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November 30, 2015
09:38 EDTLULUlululemon trades sharply lower, levels to watch
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09:15 EDTLULUOn The Fly: Pre-market Movers
HIGHER: Anavex Life Sciences (AVXL), up 20.5% after 3-71 data published in Neurodegenerative Diseases... Oramed Pharmaceuticals (ORMP), up 16.7% after signing up to $50M licensing and investment agreements for insulin in China... Horizon Pharma (HZNP), up 3.8% after receiving EC approval for Ravicti... Fitbit (FIT), up 4.2% after being upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays... Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT), up 1.6% following a positive mention by Barron's. LOWER: Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals (CYCC) and AEterna Zentaris (AEZS), down 24.5% and 13.6%, respectively, following a Tweet by KaloBios (KBIO) CEO Martin Shkreli... Supercom (SPBC), down 21.6% after reporting preliminary third quarter revenue... Macrocure (MCUR), down 11.5% after announcing that the company's CFO and Chief Medical Officer are stepping down... lululemon (LULU), down 4.4% after being downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at FBR Capital... Office Depot (ODP), down 2.8% after the NY Post reported that regulators are preparing to block Staples' (SPLS) proposed acquisition of Office Depot... SouFun (SFUN), down 2% after being downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman.
09:02 EDTLULUlululemon December volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
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08:36 EDTUAUnder Armour Steven Madden outlook positive, says Canaccord
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08:14 EDTUAThanksgiving deals seen as negative for Under Armour, Deckers
After visiting stores and doing other checks throughout the Thanksgiving holiday weekend, an analyst at research firm Piper Jaffray concluded that Under Armour (UA), Deckers Outdoor (DECK) and Steven Madden (SHOO) offered higher promotions than last year, prompting her to lower her estimates and price targets on the three stocks. MORE PROMOTIONAL: After visiting malls and big box retailers on Thanksgiving night, Piper Jaffray analyst Erinn Murphy said in a note to investors on Friday that brands that appeared more promotional than last year included Under Armour, Deckers Outdoor, Steven Madden, GoPro (GPRO), Michael Kors (KORS) and Ralph Lauren (RL). In a post-weekend follow-up note, Murphy lowered her estimates for Under Armour, saying the company remains one of the more promotional brands across the athletic landscape and that the brand remained promotional during the Thanksgiving weekend. She lowered her estimates on Under Armour for the upcoming quarter and beyond, cut her price target on the stock to $88 from $97 and keeps a Neutral rating on the name. Murphy also lowered her estimates for Deckers Outdoor after observing more UGG promotions over the Thanksgiving weekend relative to last year. The analyst cut her price target for Deckers to $55 from $63 and keeps a Neutral rating on the name. Remarking on Steven Madden, Murphy noted that the brand was more promotional not only on Black Friday but in the two days following as well. She lowered her forecast for the shoemaker to the lower end of guidance for FY15 and trimmed her price target on the stock to $36 from $41, but keeps an Overweight rating on the name. FITBIT: Murphy, who said in her Thanksgiving notes that she views the "must-have" items as being in the electronics and cosmetics spaces this holiday season, said her checks suggested that levels of Fitbit (FIT) products sold down well during the weekend. Importantly, the company's Flex, which she believes is the highest margin offering in its lineup, was full-price throughout the weekend. Murphy has an Overweight rating with a $60 price target on Fitbit shares. PRICE ACTION: In Friday's holiday shortened session, Under Armour shares sunk about 2.6% to $89.68, Deckers dropped 3.2% to $50.11 and Steven Madden added 10c to $33.03.
07:01 EDTLULUlululemon downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at FBR Capital
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06:47 EDTUAUnder Armour estimates and price target lowered at Piper Jaffray
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05:39 EDTUAFitbit upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays
Barclays analyst Matthew McClintock upgraded Fitbit (FIT) to Overweight saying the 26% pullback in shares over the past 30 days is unjustified. New product launches, new corporate wellness deals and margin improvement should provide share catalysts over the next year, McClintock tells investors in a research note. Current valuation levels "are just too compelling to ignore" now that potential headwinds from the Nike (NKE) and Under Armour (UA) analyst days as well as initial performance from Apple (AAPL) Watch are in the rearview mirror, the analyst contends. He keeps a $49 price target for Fitbit shares. The provider of health and fitness products closed Friday down 16c to $27.80.
November 27, 2015
06:39 EDTUAPiper says Deckers, GoPro look more promotional than last year
After visiting malls and big box retailers during the initial 6 PM store openings last night, Piper Jaffray analyst Erinn Murphy says brands that appear more promotional than last year include Deckers Outdoor (DECK), GoPro (GPRO), Michael Kors (KORS), Ralph Lauren (RL), Steven Madden (SHOO) and Under Armour (UA). Customer traffic "was robust" at the open on Thanksgiving, Murphy tells investors this morning in a research note. She views the "must-have" items as being in the electronics and cosmetics spaces.
November 25, 2015
06:23 EDTLULUlululemon implied volatility of 61 at upper end of index mean range
November 24, 2015
08:51 EDTLULUExpress American Eagle lululemon business trends strong, says BMO Capital
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05:58 EDTLULUlululemon implied volatility of 62 at upper end of index mean range
November 23, 2015
16:20 EDTLULUOn The Fly: Top stock stories for Monday
The buyers and sellers spent most of the day in a tug-of-war, sending the averages back and forth across the flat line. The market is coming off one of its best weeks of the year and spent the day consolidating its most recent gains. The price of crude acted much like equities, as it too moved back and forth across the flat line and was virtually unchanged in the end. ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., Markit's flash manufacturing PMI for November fell 1.5 points to 52.6, missing expectations for a 54.0 reading. Existing home sales dropped 3.4% to a 5.36M rate in October, lower than the forecast for a 5.4M rate. The Chicago Fed National Activity Index showed a reading of -0.04, versus the expected +0.05 reading. In Europe, Markit's composite services and manufacturing PMI rose to 54.4 in October from a prior reading of 53.9. That reading marks the euro-area's highest level since May 2011. COMPANY NEWS: The well-telegraphed deal to create the world's largest drugmaker was made official this morning, though shares of both of the merging companies sold off as investors continue to fret that the U.S. government may step in to block the transaction, or at least make it less lucrative due to tax code changes. Pfizer (PFE) announced it will combine with Allergan (AGN) in a stock transaction valued at $363.63 per Allergan share on November 20 in a deal with a total enterprise value of approximately $160B. However, Allergan shares declined $10.74, or 3.56%, to $301.70 following the announcement, while Pfizer dipped 86c, or 2.69%, to $31.32... Alcoa (AA) rose 38c, or 4.37%, to $9.07 after activist investor Elliott Management revealed a 6.4% stake, saying it seeks to engage in a "constructive dialogue" regarding the company's recently announced spinoff plans as well as a number of added opportunities it sees to maximize shareholder value... In other activist investor news, Carl Icahn turned up the heat on AIG (AIG) CEO Peter Hancock, saying his talks with Hancock make it "abundantly clear" that he is not willing to take the steps that Icahn has pushed for, including the suggestion that the insurer break up to shrink below the threshold for systemically important financial institutions. Icahn intends to soon commence a consent solicitation, which may include a proposal to add a new director who would agree in advance to succeed Hancock as CEO if asked by the board to do so. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Tyson Foods (TSN), which rallied $4.44, or 10.17%, to $48.09 after the meat producer reported better than expected quarterly revenue and gave guidance for fiscal 2016. Also higher was lululemon (LULU), which rose another 7% to $52.77, adding to recent gains, as speculation over a possible takeover by a larger rival, such as Under Armour (UA) or Nike (NKE), persists, fueled by continued media mentions. Among the noteworthy losers was GameStop (GME), which fell $1.64, or 4.18%, to $37.62 after reporting weaker than expected Q3 results. Electronic Arts (EA) also slipped 4.75% to $68.98 after GameStop made comments about its "Star Wars Battlefront" game falling short of expectations so far, though several analysts contended the game retailer's comments should be taken with a grain of salt, cautioning that a shift to digital sales may be playing a role in that apparent softness. INDEXES: The Dow fell 31.13, or 0.17%, to 17,792.68, the Nasdaq lost 2.44, or 0.05%, to 5,102.48, and the S&P 500 slipped 2.58, or 0.12%, to 2,086.59.
13:25 EDTUA, LULULululemon adds to gains as takeover speculation persists
Shares of Lululemon Athletica (LULU) rose in afternoon trading as speculation over a possible takeover by a larger rival persists, fueled by continued media mentions. WHAT'S NEW: On Friday, dealReporter credited a Thursday gain for Lululemon to "unsubstantiated rumors" that Under Armour (UA is seeking to make a $62 per share takeover bid for the yoga apparel maker. DealReporter said that Under Armour may not be the best fit to acquire Lululemon based on differences in branding, marketing and culture, but said that Nike (NKE) would be a better fit to take over the apparel company, since it is in the "right position at the right time" to make such a deal work, contacts told The Fly. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Three days after dealReporter commented on the rumors, the New York Post said today that there was "plenty of chatter" that Lulu and Under Armour were in discussions over a possible deal, noting that the latter company has been "actively seeking" growth in the women's sportswear sector. The Post noted that Bloomberg Gadfly suggested that Nike should be spending $7.5B to acquire Lululemon instead of using that money for a $12B buyback. PRICE ACTION: In afternoon trading, Lululemon rallied 5% to $51.76. Over the past five days, Lululemon is up nearly 15%. Reference Link
November 20, 2015
16:02 EDTUAOptions Update; November 20, 2015
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09:36 EDTUA, LULUNike, not Under Armour, should buy lululemon, dealReporter says
Lululemon (LULU) gained 3.6% yesterday, which dealReporter credits to "unsubstantiated rumors" that Under Armour (UA) was planning to make a $62 per share takeover bid. Given the differences in their branding, marketing, and culture, dealReporter said it is not sure such a deal would be a good fit, but added that it believes Nike (NKE) is in the "right position at the right time" to make such an acquisition of lululemon work, contacts tell The Fly.
November 19, 2015
11:00 EDTLULUlululemon November calls active on renewed takeover speculation
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10:55 EDTLULURumor: lululemon strength attributed to renewed takeover speculation
The Fly, in fulfilling its mission of explaining stock movement, often comes across the many unconfirmed rumors being passed through trading desks and social media platforms. On the occasion that rumors or speculation appear on The Fly's news feed, it should be viewed not as giving credence to the conjecture, rather as simply highlighting its impact on the stock prices of the companies involved.
November 18, 2015
07:28 EDTUAUnder Armour sell-off on Dick's Sporting worries overdone, says SunTrust
November 17, 2015
10:01 EDTUAUnder Armour, Nike slide after Dick's outlook misses expectations
Shares of Under Armour (UA) and Nike (NKE) slipped after Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) provided guidance for the fourth quarter and fiscal 2015 that both missed consensus estimates. WHAT'S NEW: Dick's Sporting Goods reported Q3 adjusted earnings per share of 45c on revenue of $1.64B, mostly in-line with analyst estimates of 47c on revenues of $1.64B. The company guided for Q4 EPS of $1.10-$1.25, short of the consensus estimate of $1.43. Dick's also said it anticipates FY15 adjusted EPS of $2.85-$3.00, lower than current analyst expectations of $3.19. STREET RESEARCH: Following the report, Baird analyst Justin Kleber said that Dick's Sporting Goods is the "strongest player" in its segment, which should enable the company to grow its sector-leading 10% market share at the expense of smaller competitors. The analyst added that profitability for the company should improve as volumes increase and as the company leverages its store base to fulfill further orders. Kleber said that Dick's Sporting Goods' e-commerce business will be more profitable than its brick-and-mortar business by 2017. The analyst maintained a Neutral rating and $48 price target on Dick's Sporting Goods' stock. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, Dick's Sporting Goods dropped 17.5% to $33.67, while supplier Under Armour fell 5.6% to $84.95 and Nike was down 2% to $121.08. Dick's peers fell as well, with Finish Line (FINL) dropping 1%, Foot Locker (FL) slid 1.3% and Cabela's (CAB) dipping marginally in morning trading.
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