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January 13, 2014
04:55 EDTJWN, JWN, JWN, WIT, WIT, WIT, SNE, SNE, SNE, SPLS, SPLS, SPLS, INFY, INFY, INFY, ORCL, ORCL, ORCL, CSCO, CSCO, CSCO, EBAY, EBAY, EBAY, MSFT, MSFT, MSFT, FDO, FDO, FDO, WAG, WAG, WAG, SAP, SAP, SAP, IBM, IBM, IBM, M, M, M, FL, FL, FL, JDAS, JDAS, JDAS, MA, MA, MANational Retail Federation to ho ld a convention
NRF 103rd Annual Convention & Expo 2014 is being held in New York on January 12-15.
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August 13, 2014
14:54 EDTCSCO, MSFTEarnings Preview: Cisco reports following Deutsche upgrade, Pac Crest downgrade
Cisco Systems (CSCO) is scheduled to report fourth quarter results after the market close on Wednesday, August 13, with a conference call scheduled for 4:30 pm ET. Cisco, a member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, sells Internet protocol-based networking and other products related to the communications and IT industry and provides related services. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 53c on revenue of $12.14B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is 51c-54c on revenue of $11.8B-$12.25B. Along with its last quarterly report, Cisco guided to Q4 adjusted EPS of 51c-53c and said it expects its revenue to be down 1% to 3% in the quarter compared to the prior year. At that time, the company also said it sees its FY14 adjusted EPS to come in at the higher end of its previously communicated $1.95-$2.05 range. LAST QUARTER: On May 14, Cisco reported third quarter adjusted EPS of 51c, beating the consensus analyst forecast of 48c. It's revenue came in at $11.5B, topping the $11.38B consensus forecast. Cisco reported a Q3 adjusted gross margin of about 62.7%. NEWS: On June 17, Cisco announced its intent to acquire privately held Tail-f Systems, whose products help service providers and enterprise IT organizations easily and cost-effectively implement applications, network services and solutions across networking devices. Upon completion of the acquisition, which is expected to be complete in Q4, Tail-f employees will join Cisco's Cloud and Virtualization Group. About two weeks later, tech blog Gigaom reported that Cisco has acquired British firm Assemblage for technology that uses real-time collaboration that does not require the user to download programs or plug-ins. On July 15, Cisco announced a multi-year sales and go-to-market agreement with Microsoft (MSFT) designed to modernize data centers through the delivery and acceleration of integrated solutions. Cisco and Microsoft will both invest in sales, marketing and engineering resources to drive global alignment, while delivering deeper technology integration across cloud and data center markets, the companies stated. STREET RESEARCH: On May 21, Northland said that after speaking with Cisco's management and attending Cisco Live, the firm believed that the company is taking share form Arista Networks (ANET), which has since come public. The firm added that it did not believe that Juniper (JNPR) has gained traction in data center switching and it recommended Cisco as a cyclical recovery play and a relative bargain to peers. About a week later, Deutsche Bank upgraded its rating on Cisco shares to Buy from Hold, citing expectations that the company's new product ramps in FY15 and FY16 will be stronger than expected. Deutsche said then that it saw upside to consensus estimates and raised its price target for Cisco shares to $30 from $25. On July 28, Pacific Crest downgraded its rating on Cisco shares to Sector Perform from Outperform, citing valuation and concern that the company's margin expansion could moderate in 2015. The firm believes Cisco shares are fairly valued at $26. Less than a week ago, Morgan Stanley said its checks indicate the enterprise market is improving. The firm said it expects Cisco's outlook to be conservative and said concerns over rapid software-defined networking adoption and margin impact are overblown. Morgan Stanley has an Overweight rating with a $30 price target on Cisco. PRICE ACTION: In the last three months, Cisco has advanced about 9.5%. In afternoon trading ahead of tonight's report, Cisco shares are down 0.5% to $25.01.
14:19 EDTCSCOCisco August 25 straddle priced for 4.7% move into Q4
12:07 EDTMOn The Fly: Midday Wrap
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11:46 EDTJWN, MMacy's shares trading lower as Q2 results fall short of expectations
Shares of Macy's (M), a retailer that sells a range of merchandise, including apparel, accessories and home furnishings, are lower after the company's second earnings missed analysts' expectations. WHAT'S NEW: The company reported Q2 earnings per share 80c on revenue of $6.23B, falling short of analysts' estimates of 86c and $6.3B, respectively. Comparable sales were up 3.4% for the quarter and comparable sales together with comparable sales of departments licensed to third parties were up 4%. Chief Executive Officer Terry Lundgren noted that even with an improved sales trend in Q2, the company could not make up its sales shortfall from the first quarter. Looking ahead, Macy's reaffirmed its fiscal year 2014 EPS view of $4.40-$4.50 against estimates of $4.47, but cut its FY14 SSS view to 1.5%-2% from 2.5%-3%. Second half same store sales are expected to be up 2%-3%, and the company said expectations for the second half of the year are "on track." Lundgren said the company is approaching 2H with "confident optimism." WHAT'S NOTABLE: On the company's earnings conference call, Macy's Chief Financial Officer Karen Hoguet said the retail expects third quarter SSS to be lower than fourth quarter, adding that it "feels good" about the back half of the year. Macy's said that it sees fall season EPS, or the combined EPS for Q3 and Q4, of $3.04-$3.14 and expects total sales for the second half of the year to be about 30 basis points lower than comp growth. Macy's sees gross margins flat to down slightly for the year and fall season. ANALYST OPINION: This morning, UBS analysts said the Q2 miss could signal Macy's have been unable to generate incremental margin support from brands into increasingly promotional sales trends. Morgan Stanley analysts, meanwhile, believes the Q2 miss and the pullback in shares will be temporary and it presents a buying opportunity. The firm expects more margin misses over the next few weeks due to the promotional environment and remains convinced that Macy's key strategies are still in the early stages of delivering results. PRICE ACTION: In late-morning trading, shares of Macy's dropped $2.89, or 4.84%, to $56.88. OTHERS TO WATCH: J.C. Penney (JCP), which reports earnings tomorrow, is down 2.15%. Nordstrom (JWN), which also reports earnings tomorrow, is relatively flat.
11:41 EDTEBAYAmazon payment move complements e-commerce platform, says RW Baird
Baird said Amazon's (AMZN) launch of the "Local Register" payment and card reader system is not a surprise after the company's acquisition of assets from GoPago and that the move is complementary to Amazon's e-commerce platform. Baird said Amazon's system will compete with Square and eBay's (EBAY) payment product "Here" and added that it expects Google (GOOG) and Apple (AAPL) to expand their existing payment initiatives. The firm maintains its Outperform rating and $400 price target on Amazon.com.
11:14 EDTMMacy's CFO says early back-to-school sales very strong, particularly active
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10:47 EDTMMacy's sees fall season EPS $3.04-$3.14
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10:44 EDTMMacy's sees Q3 SSS lower than Q4
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10:43 EDTCSCOOptions with increasing implied volatility
Options with increasing implied volatility: PSEC CSCO XONE NDLS
09:31 EDTMAMasterCard, Web.com announce agreement
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09:15 EDTMOn The Fly: Pre-market Movers
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08:09 EDTMMacy's cuts FY SSS view to up 1.5%-2% vs. previous 2.5%-3% view
08:02 EDTMMacy's still sees FY14 EPS $4.40-$4.50, consensus $4.47
“We are approaching the second half of 2014 with confident optimism in our business strategies, merchandise assortments and marketing plans, tempered with the reality that many customers still are not feeling comfortable about spending more in an uncertain economic environment,” CEO Terry Lundgren said. “Thus, we remain focused on outperforming our competitors through innovation in omnichannel, which has added new dimensions in how consumers can shop us and how our company can satisfy customer demand. This includes a robust Buy Online Pickup in Store process, which has been rolled out to all full-line Macy’s stores nationwide so that it is fully available this fall and into the holiday shopping season. Moreover, our Millennial strategies have sharpened our merchandising and marketing to customers in the age range of 13 to 30. This has created new positive energy as our customers begin back-to-school shopping.”
08:02 EDTMMacy's says expectations for 2H14 'on track'
Expectations for the second half of 2014 remain on track, with guidance for comparable store growth of 2%-3%. However, even with an improved sales trend in the second quarter, the company was unable to make up its sales shortfall from the first quarter. This calculates to expectations for a full-year 2014 comparable sales increase of 1.5%-2%. Full-year 2014 comparable sales together with comparable sales of departments licensed to third parties now are expected to increase by 2%-2.5%. Previous guidance was for full-year comparable sales to increase by 2.5%-3%. The company continues to expect full-year 2014 earnings per diluted share in the range of $4.40 to $4.50, consistent with guidance previously provided.
08:01 EDTMMacy's reports Q2 EPS 80c, consensus 86c
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07:22 EDTCSCOGoldman pushes Cisco head to step-up software, Bloomberg says
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06:32 EDTEBAYeBay coverage resumed with a Hold at Stifel
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06:08 EDTEBAYChannelAdvisor reports Amazon July SSS up 40.4%, eBay up 9.7%
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06:04 EDTWAGStocks with implied volatility below IV index mean; TWX WAG
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05:58 EDTMStocks with implied volatility movement; SFUN M
Stocks with implied volatility movement; SouFun (SFUN) 65, Macy's (M) 26 according to iVolatility.
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