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News For WMT;TGT From The Last 14 Days
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November 16, 2015
14:00 EDTWMTWal-Mart November 57 straddle priced for 3.5% movement into Q3
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11:42 EDTWMTWal-Mart volatility increases into Q3 and outlook
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11:15 EDTWMTEarnings Watch: Analysts largely downbeat on Wal-Mart after annual meeting
Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) is scheduled to report third quarter earnings before the market open on Tuesday, November 17, with a conference call scheduled for 7:00 am ET. Wal-Mart, a member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, operates retail stores in various formats under 69 different banners in 27 countries with its "everyday low price" philosophy. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of 98c on revenue of $117.79B, according to First Call. The consensus range for EPS is $1.07-$1.15 on revenue of $114.86B-$119.57B. In its last earnings report, Wal-Mart forecast Q3 EPS of 93c-$1.05 with Q3 U.S. same store sales projected to grow 2%-3%. LAST QUARTER: Wal-Mart reported second quarter EPS of $1.08, missing analysts' estimate of $1.12, on revenue of $120.2B, beating analysts' estimate of $119.72B. The company said currency negatively impacted Q2 EPS by approximately 4c. Comp sales at Walmart U.S. increased 1.5%, driven by traffic of 1.3%, and Neighborhood Market comps increased approximately 7.3%. Global e-commerce sales for Q2 increased about 16%, the company said. Looking ahead, Wal-Mart cut its outlook for fiscal year 2016 EPS to $4.40-$4.70 from $4.70-$5.05 against estimates at that time for $4.77. Chief Financial officer Charles Holley said operating profit would be pressured for the remainder of the year, due to in store associate wages and additional hours, as well as headwinds from pharmacy reimbursements and ongoing shrink. The company said that the impact from investments in wages, training and additional hours in its stores and clubs will be approximately 24c, including approximately 8c in Q3. Additionally, the company said that along with pharmacy headwinds, higher than expected ongoing shrink in Walmart U.S. will impact full year EPS by around 11c, including about 3c in Q3. Further, the FY16 currency exchange rate impact is expected to be approximately 15c, up 2c from last quarter's revised guidance of 13c. NEWS: At its annual meeting on October 14, Wal-Mart forecast net sales growth of approximately 3% for FY16 excluding the impact of currency exchange fluctuations. The company forecast net sales growth of 3%-4% annually over the next three years, which will add about $45B-$60B in sales. Looking to fiscal year 2017, Wal-Mart forecast EPS down 6%-12% vs. FY16. Wal-Mart also said that the strong dollar is expected to reduce the company's FY15 revenue by $15B, Reuters said. Wal-Mart's board authorized a new $20B share repurchase program and said it expects operating income to bottom out in FY17. During the quarter, Reuters reported that Wal-Mart filed an application with the Federal Aviation Administration to test drones for home delivery, curbside pickup and warehouse inventory checks. The Wall Street Journal said Wal-Mart is slimming down its number of items in an attempt to bolster sales figures, yet the reduction has created tensions with suppliers. STREET RESEARCH: Credit Suisse, Stephens and BofA Merrill Lynch all downgraded Wal-Mart after the retailer's annual meeting based on guidance for declining earnings in FY17 and a lack of earnings growth until FY19. Baird, UBS and Jefferies all cut their price targets on Wal-Mart following the annual meeting. JPMorgan analyst Christopher Horvers said the "depth and degree" of the financial pressures addressed at the annual meeting were "much greater than anticipated." Ahead of the Q3 earnings report, Baird reiterated its Outperform rating and $70 price target and said Wal-Mart shares appear to hold some value for patient investors. Wal-Mart was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Northcoast on November 13. PRICE ACTION: Wal-Mart shares are down over 21% over the last three months, but are up about 1% to $57.07 in late morning trading ahead of Tuesday's earnings report.
08:36 EDTWMTWal-Mart holds value for patient long-term investors, says Baird
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07:40 EDTWMTBuffett says lower stakes in Goldman, Wal-Mart doesn't reflect lower confidence
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07:36 EDTWMTBerkshire Hathaway discloses new AT&T stake in quarterly update
Berkshire Hathaway gave a quarterly update on its stakes in a filing this morning. NEW STAKES: AT&T (T), Kraft Heinz (KHC), Liberty Lilac Group (LILA). INCREASED STAKES: Phillips 66 (PSX), Charter (CHTR), Liberty Media (LMCK), Suncor (SU), General Motors (GM). DECREASED STAKES: Goldman Sachs (GS), Wal-Mart (WMT), Deere (DE), Chicago Bridge & Iron (CBI), WABCO (WBC). LIQUIDATED STAKES: Viacom (VIAB).
November 13, 2015
16:24 EDTWMTOn The Fly: Top stock stories for Friday
Stocks on Wall Street ended a tough week on a down note, falling after the Commerce Department reported that retail sales grew by an anemic 0.1% last month. This data comes on the heels of this week's downbeat quarterly report from Macy's (M) and a similarly disappointing report last night from peer Nordstrom (JWN). ECONOMIC EVENTS: In the U.S., retail sales rose 0.1% in the month of October, versus expectations for an increase of 0.3%. When autos and gas are removed, the core reading was up 0.3%, versus expectations for a rise of 0.4%. Producer prices fell 0.4%, versus expectations for them to be up 0.2%. When food and energy are removed, the core reading was down 0.3%, versus expectations for it to be up 0.1%. Business inventories grew 0.3% in September while sales were flat compared to August. Consumer sentiment, as measured by the preliminary print from the University of Michigan survey, improved 3.1 points to 93.1 in November, which was better than the 91.5 reading that was expected. In Europe, data showed that eurozone's economy grew by just 0.3% in the third quarter, which was a slowdown from the 0.4% GDP growth recorded three months earlier and weaker than the 0.4% consensus growth forecast. COMPANY NEWS: Shares of retailers broadly declined following the weaker than expected retail sales data reported by the government as well as third quarter earnings reports from Nordstrom and J.C. Penney (JCP), which fell 15% and 15.5% respectively. Virtually every mass-market, brick-and-mortar retailer was down today, from giants like Wal-Mart (WMT) and Costco (COST), to smaller retailers like Ross Stores (ROST) and Urban Outfitters (URBN)... Shares of Mylan (MYL) jumped 12.9% to $48.78 after the company's offer to acquire Perrigo (PRGO) failed, ending a seven-month fight between the two drug makers. Perrigo Chief Executive Officer Joseph Papa said he was "delighted" that his company's shareholders rejected the offer and the company added that it will immediately commence its previously announced $2B share buyback program, but its shares slid 6.16% to $146.90 in the wake of the shareholder vote... Cisco (CSCO) fell 5.8% after its first quarter earnings and revenue beat expectations but its guidance for the new quarter disappointed. A number of analysts that had been bullish on the name trimmed their price targets in response but also recommended the post-earnings weakness as a buying opportunity. MAJOR MOVERS: Among the notable gainers was Springleaf Holdings (LEAF), which surged $5.07, or 11.5%, to $49.27 after reaching a settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice that will allow the company to proceed with closing its previously announced acquisition of OneMain Financial from Citi (C). On the closing of the acquisition, the company will be renamed OneMain Holdings and has applied to the New York Stock Exchange to change its ticker symbol to "OMF," Springleaf noted. Also higher was Illumina (ILMN), which gained $10.26, or 6.6%, to $165.65 after being selected to replace Sigma-Aldrich (SIAL) in the S&P 500. Among the noteworthy losers was Fossil (FOSL), which plunged $18.62, or 36.5%, to $32.39 after the watchmaker gave lower than expected profit guidance for the upcoming quarter and said it continues to expect this fiscal year's results to be "significantly" negatively impacted by foreign currency changes. Also lower were shares of Vipshop (VIPS), which fell $5.03, or 27%, to $13.60 after issuing weaker than expected preliminary third quarter revenue guidance, which it said was partially driven by the warmer-than-expected fall weather in China. INDEXES: The Dow dropped 202.83, or 1.16%, to 17,245.24, the Nasdaq lost 77.20, or 1.54%, to 4,927.88, and the S&P 500 declined 22.93, or 1.12%, to 2,023.04.
14:21 EDTWMTWal-Mart volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
Wal-Mart November call option implied volatility is at 34, December is at 25; compared to its 52-week range of 23 to 28, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q3 results on November 17.
14:15 EDTTGTTarget volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
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11:05 EDTTGTTarget comparable sales likely within guidance, says Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Sean Naughton acknowledged that sentiment is challenging on Target's stock amid the weakness being reported by a number of retailers this week, but he asserts that Census Bureau data this morning, combined with the firm's observations, leave him thinking that Target's third quarter comparable sales are within the company's guidance of up 1%-2%. The analyst, who thinks Target's fundamentals may be holding up better than some expect, has an Overweight rating and $88 price target on the stock.
09:27 EDTWMTWal-Mart upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Northcoast
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November 12, 2015
19:00 EDTTGTOn The Fly: After Hours Movers
UP AFTER EARNINGS: USA Technologies (USAT), up 15.9%... Blue Buffalo (BUFF), up 7.3%... Planet Fitness (PLNT), up 12.3%... Darling Ingredients (DAR), up 8.1%... Applied Materials (AMAT), up 3.8%... Lipocine (LPCN), up 19.9% after reporting quarterly results and that the FDA has assigned a Prescription Drug User Fee Act goal date of June 28, 2016. ALSO HIGHER: Syngenta (SYT), up 14.5% after Bloomberg reported that the company rejected an initial $42B bid from ChemChina... Yum! Brands (YUM), up 4.1% after reporting that October China Same-Store Sales are up 5%. DOWN AFTER EARNINGS: bebe stores (BEBE), down 10.5%... Nordstrom (JWN), down 20.3%... Fossil (FOSL), down 14.7%... Cisco (CSCO), down 4.8%... El Pollo LoCo (LOCO), down 8.7%... Tahoe Resources (TAHO), down 7.2%. ALSO LOWER: Paycom Software (PAYC), down 5.2%... Netflix (NFLX) down 1% after Dow Jones reported that Hulu, a joint venture of Disney (DIS), Comcast (CMCSA, CMCSK), and Fox (FOX, FOXA), is in discussions to sell a stake in the company to Time Warner (TWX)... TJX Companies (TJX), down 4%, Burlington Stores (BURL), down 5.3%, Macy's (M), down 1.6%, Target (TGT), down 1.9%, J.C. Penney (JCP), down 1.4%, and Kohl's (KSS), down 1.3%, after Nordstrom reported quarterly results and cut its fiscal 2015 guidance.
18:38 EDTTGTDepartment store stocks drop after Nordstrom reports Q3 earnings, cuts guidance
Shares of Nordstrom (JWN) slipped in after-hours trading after the department store reported its third quarter results and cut its guidance for fiscal year 2015. WHAT'S NEW: Nordstrom reported Q3 earnings per share of 42c, against analyst estimates of 72c, Q3 revenue of $3.24B below consensus estimates of $3.37B, and Q3 same-store sales of 0.9%. The company lowered its FY15 adjusted EPS view to $3.40-$3.50 from $3.70-$3.80, against analyst expectations of $3.75, lowered its FY15 revenue guidance to up 7.5%-8% from 8.5%-9.5%, and lowered its FY15 SSS view to 2.5%-3% from 3.5%-4.5%. WHAT'S NOTABLE: Nordstrom reported that Q3 EPS included a reduction of 15c, which primarily represented transaction costs associated with the closing of its credit card portfolio sale. In its Q3 earnings release, Nordstrom said that its performance was below company expectations, reflecting softer sales trends that were generally consistent across channels and merchandise categories. The company noted that its top-performing merchandise category was Cosmetics. In addition, coats, younger customer-focused departments and dresses continued to reflect strength in Women's Apparel. PRICE ACTION: Shares of Nordstrom are trading lower by 20.55% to $50.45 in the after-hours. OTHERS TO WATCH: Retailers that followed Nordstrom downward included TJX Companies (TJX), down 4%, Burlington Stores (BURL), down 5.3%, Macy's (M), down 1.6%, Target (TGT), down 1.9%, J.C. Penney (JCP), down 1.4%, and Kohl's (KSS), down 1.3%.
18:19 EDTWMTWal-Mart workers group to launch 15-day protest into Black Friday, Reuters says
A Wal-Mart Stores worker group that has urged the retailer to increase pay and benefits is conducting a 15-day protest leading up to Black Friday to rekindle the fight for a $15 per hour minimum wage and more opportunities to work full time, Reuters reports. Reference Link
13:05 EDTTGTTarget to open small-format store in Manhattan next year, Fortune reports
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08:15 EDTTGTTarget names Melanie Healey to board of directors
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08:01 EDTWMTJuniper names Kevin Walker as Security Chief Technology Officer
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06:17 EDTWMTWal-Mart starts Black Friday earlier on Thanksgiving day, WSJ says
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November 11, 2015
11:24 EDTTGTStifel is bullish near-term ahead of Q3 report on Target
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07:07 EDTWMTWal-Mart volatility elevated into Q3 and outlook
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