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April 16, 2014
12:30 EDTLNVGY, IBMEarnings Preview: Cantor more upbeat than Citi on IBM ahead of report
International Business Machines (IBM) is expected to report first quarter earnings after the close on Wednesday, April 16, with a conference call scheduled for 4:30 pm ET. IBM, an information technology services and software company, is a member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of $2.54 on revenue of $22.91B. The consensus range is $2.49-$2.62 for EPS on revenue of $22.21B-$23.19B, according to First Call. In response to a question on its Q4 earnings conference call, IBM said that an analyst's math which put the company's Q1 EPS coming in at $2.50 was "consistent with how we would see it as well." LAST QUARTER: IBM reported Q4 EPS of $6.13, beating the consensus estimate of $5.99. Revenue came in at $27.7B, trailing the consensus $28.25 projection. IBM reported Q4 software segment revenue grew 3% to $8.1B and that technology services revenue fell 4% to $9.9B. IBM also said its sees 2014 EPS of "at least" $18.00, which compared to consensus at the time of $17.97 and current consensus of $17.84. STREET RESEARCH: In a note to investors this morning, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Brian White said that he expects IBM to meet the firm's $2.53 per share earnings estimate for the quarter. White added that he expects all of IBM's segments to decline sequentially due to seasonality, but also said that he believes IBM's profit cycle bottomed out in Q1 and that investors could "warm up" to the stock this year. Cantor has a Buy rating and $220 price target on shares of IBM. Yesterday, Citigroup downgraded its rating on IBM to Neutral from Buy, citing the stock's valuation. The firm lowered its price target for shares to $200 from $235. About a week ago, Deutsche Bank initiated coverage of IBM with a Hold rating and $200 price target. NEWS: On January 23, two days after its last quarterly report, IBM agreed to sell its x86 server business, including System x, BladeCenter and Flex System blade servers and switches, x86-based Flex integrated systems, NeXtScale and iDataPlex servers and associated software, to Lenovo (LNVGY) for about $2.3B in cash and stock. IBM will retain its System z mainframes, Power Systems, Storage Systems, Power-based Flex servers, and PureApplication and PureData appliances. Within the next week, Re/code reported, citing sources, that IBM was exploring the sale of its product line focused on software defined networking, or SDN, that was not included in the sale to Lenovo. The company may be seeking as much as $1B for the assets, the report claimed. In February, Bloomberg said IBM was focused on finding a joint-venture partner for its chip-making unit after failing to find a buyer for the assets. The next month, IBM CEO Virginia Rometty reportedly stated in a letter to investors that the company is not exiting hardware entirely. Rometty wrote that "IBM will remain a leader in high-performance and high-end systems, storage and cognitive computing, and we will continue to invest in R&D for advanced semiconductor technology," as quoted by The Wall Street Journal. PRICE ACTION: In afternoon trading ahead of tonight's report, IBM is flat near $197 per share. IBM shares have risen 4.5% over the last three months.
News For IBM;LNVGY From The Last 14 Days
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April 20, 2015
15:05 EDTIBMEarnings Watch: IBM rumored to be concerned about becoming activist target
International Business Machines (IBM) is expected to report first quarter earnings after the close on Monday, April 20, with a conference call scheduled for 4:30 pm ET. IBM, a global information technology services and software company, is a component of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. EXPECTATIONS: Analysts are looking for earnings per share of $2.82 on revenue of $19.73B. The consensus range is $2.57-$3.01 for EPS on revenue of $19.31B-$20.49B, according to First Call. During its investor day meeting on February 26, IBM backed its FY15 EPS view of $15.75-$16.50, which compared to consensus at the time of $16.02 and current consensus of $15.89. Based on February 25 spot rates, the company said it expected currency to impact revenue growth by over 7 points for Q1, and over 6 points for the full year. This was greater than the impact previously provided based on January 16 spot rates. In addition, the company said it continued to expect a 4 point impact to revenue growth in each of the first three quarters of 2015 due to the divestiture of the System x business. LAST QUARTER: IBM reported Q4 EPS of $5.81, topping the consensus estimate of $5.41. Revenue came in at $24.1B, which was below the consensus $24.77B projection. IBM said at that time that it had a services backlog of $128B. NEWS: On February 17, IBM unveiled IBM Spectrum Storage, a new storage software portfolio designed to address data storage inefficiencies, according to the company. To accelerate the development of next-generation storage software, IBM also announced plans to invest more than $1B in its storage software portfolio over the next five years. During its analyst day meeting a bit over a week later, IBM said it was shifting $4B into "strategic initiatives," including Big Data, the Cloud, mobile, social and security. On March 31, IBM announced that it will invest $3B over the next four years to establish a new Internet of Things, or IoT, unit, and that it is building a cloud-based open platform designed to help clients and ecosystem partners build IoT solutions. On April 2, CNBC reported, citing people with knowledge of the matter, that IBM had hired two investment banks to "formulate a defense plan" since the company was concerned about a potential attack by activist hedge funds. The sources also noted that activist investors in IBM had already tried and failed to get Bill Ackman's Pershing Square and Jeffrey Ubben's ValueAct involved in shaking up the company. STREET RESEARCH: On the day after the company's last report, Citigroup cut its price target for IBM shares to $170 from $180. Meanwhile, Jefferies said that day that IBM's cash flow guidance for 2015 was "very weak" and that the company had yet to reach a bottom. The firm continued to believe the risk/reward for shares was skewed negatively and it kept an Underperform rating and $130 price target on IBM shares at that time. On March 2, Atlantic Equities downgraded IBM to Underweight from Neutral. The firm said IBM faces long-term structural issues and it was unconvinced management's strategic plan will change the direction. The firm, which foresees further room for disappointment around consensus expectations of 8% earnings growth in 2016-2017, lowered its price target to $140 from $150 on the stock. On April 15, Credit Suisse lowered its estimates on IBM ahead of the company's Q1 report and reiterated its Underperform rating and $125 price target on the stock. Credit Suisse said then that its concerns remain a weak order book and a reduction in industry-wide deal sizes, margin dilution from the cloud despite any revenue growth, less effective restructuring, and internal turmoil and underinvestment. PRICE ACTION: Shares of IBM fell $4.86, or 3.1%, to $152.09 on the first day of trading after its Q4 report. Despite that drop on the day after the report, IBM shares have risen nearly 5% over the last three months. In afternoon trading ahead of tonight's report, IBM is up 3% to $165.49 per share.
12:57 EDTIBMIBM technical comments ahead of earnings
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06:29 EDTIBMIBM April volatility elevated into Q1 and outlook
IBM April weekly call option implied volatility is at 46, May is at 25, June is at 22; compared to its 26-week average of 20 according to Track Data, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q1 results after the market close on April 21.
April 19, 2015
19:57 EDTIBMIBM project in China causes some U.S. concern, NY Times says
IBM has in the past 16 months agreed and received U.S. permission to provide a Beijing company, Teamsun, with partial plans of its higher end servers and the software that runs on them but the U.S. tech giant's activities in China are now becoming a sensitive issue for the Obama administration which is trying to get Beijing to drop new policies requiring American companies to share technology in exchange for market access, says the New York Times. Reference Link
13:36 EDTIBMIBM stock could move towards $195 in intermediate term, Barron's says
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April 17, 2015
09:32 EDTIBMIBM acquires Explorys from Heritage Group
Explorys, a portfolio company of venture capital firm Heritage Group, has been acquired by IBM in an agreement signed April 13. In May 2012, big data company Explorys received a significant investment from the Heritage Healthcare Innovation Fund, a $167M strategic venture fund that invests in businesses that reduce healthcare costs, improve outcomes and increase the efficiency of delivery.
06:33 EDTIBMChina suspends new bank technology policy, NY Times reports
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April 16, 2015
08:11 EDTLNVGYLenovo Group should be bought on any signficant retreat, says Bernstein
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April 15, 2015
15:14 EDTIBMIBM April volatility elevated into Q1 and outlook
IBM April weekly call option implied volatility is at 31, May is at 22, June is at 18; compared to its 26-week average of 20 according to Track Data, suggesting large near term price movement into the expected release of Q1 results after the market close on April 21.
08:43 EDTIBMIBM estimates lowered at Credit Suisse ahead of the Q1 report
Credit Suisse lowered IBM estimates ahead of the Q1 report on April 20 and reiterated its Underperform rating and $125 price target on the stock. The firm's Q1 estimates for EPS and revenue go to $2.84/$19.8B versus consensus of $2.86/$19.9B and FY15 to $15.59/$85B versus consensus of $15.98/$85.4B. Credit Suisse concerns remain a weak order book and a reduction in industry-wide deal sizes, margin dilution from the cloud despite any revenue growth, less effective restructuring, and internal turmoil and underinvestment.
April 13, 2015
17:13 EDTIBMIBM Medtronic to partner to improve diabetes care
IBM (IBM) and Medtronic (MDT) announced that they will work together to combine powerful analytics and cognitive computing with diabetes medical devices and health data to develop a new generation of personalized diabetes management solutions. People using Medtronic diabetes solutions could benefit from new solutions developed in collaboration with IBM's newly-formed Watson Health unit.
17:12 EDTIBMIBM acquires Cleveland-based Explorys and Dallas-based Phytel
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17:10 EDTIBMIBM establishes a Watson Health Cloud
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April 10, 2015
05:55 EDTLNVGYLenovo expected to ship 8M-9M smartphones in Q1, DigiTimes Research says
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April 9, 2015
18:11 EDTLNVGYWorldwide PC shipments decline 6.7% in Q1, IDC says
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April 8, 2015
12:21 EDTIBMIBM announces U.S. Army is using IBM Hybrid Cloud for logistics
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10:01 EDTIBMIBM announces longstanding collaboration with Care.com
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April 7, 2015
16:55 EDTIBMXerox upgraded to Buy ahead of Q1 results at Citigroup
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09:19 EDTIBMCLSA holds an analyst/industry conference call
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06:31 EDTIBMIBM an unlikely target for activists, Reuters columnist says
Shareholders calling for activist investors to take aim at IBM are likely to be disappointed, according to a Reuters columnist. The company has already carried out a great deal of financial engineering, and it will probably need to spend heavily on R&D and invest in its business for a couple of years in order to turn itself around, the columnist believes. Reference Link
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